Language:English
Leyton Orient v Burton Albion
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Leyton Orient (Local)
Prediction 51.92%1.93fair odd
EV -3.94%
Edge -2.13%
Kelly -4.64%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.24%51.99%51.81%53.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.731.791.791.8557.80%55.97%55.87%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Burton Albion (Visit)
Prediction 23.30%4.29fair odd
EV +0.882%
Edge +0.204%
Kelly +0.265%
Growth +0.002%
assuming max odds 4.33
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.53%23.22%23.30%24.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.024.004.3326.67%24.85%25.00%23.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 24.78%4.04fair odd
EV +4.07%
Edge +0.968%
Kelly +1.27%
Growth +0.052%
assuming max odds 4.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.20%24.79%24.89%28.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.713.704.2032.26%26.99%27.03%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Leyton Orient (Local): 51.92%; Burton Albion (Visit): 23.30%; Draw: 24.78%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.04. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.07%.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -9.13%E -5.22%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -11.47%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV +4.07%E +0.968%K +1.27%G +0.052% | 7.3% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -6.02%E -3.32%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 3.96I 25.25%NM 23.99%EV -7.74%E -1.95%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.04I 24.75%NM 23.52%EV +0.101%E +0.025%K +0.033%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-02 13:21 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -9.13%E -5.22%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -9.14%E -2.34%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -0.890%E -0.223%K -0.297%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -9.13%E -5.22%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -11.47%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -0.890%E -0.223%K -0.297%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-02 13:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.02%EV -6.02%E -3.32%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -9.14%E -2.34%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.84%EV -2.13%E -0.539%K -0.722%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-02 08:36 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.02%EV -6.02%E -3.32%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -9.14%E -2.34%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.84%EV -2.13%E -0.539%K -0.722%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-02 08:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%EV -6.54%E -3.63%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -6.81%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -3.37%E -0.864%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.75%EV -9.13%E -5.22%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -0.982%E -0.231%K -0.302%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -3.37%E -0.864%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-02 05:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -9.13%E -5.22%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.65%EV -9.14%E -2.34%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.65%EV -3.37%E -0.864%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-02 13:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.07%EV -7.06%E -3.94%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -9.14%E -2.34%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.02%EV -3.86%E -0.996%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -9.13%E -5.22%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -12.63%E -3.37%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -4.61%E -1.20%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-02 08:36 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.66%EV -6.02%E -3.32%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 23.86%EV -8.67%E -2.21%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.48%EV -5.35%E -1.40%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -4.98%E -2.72%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -11.47%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -5.85%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-02 10:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.40%EV -6.54%E -3.63%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -2.15%E -0.511%K -0.671%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -7.08%E -1.89%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-02 11:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.51%EV -6.54%E -3.63%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -9.14%E -2.34%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -7.08%E -1.89%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-02 13:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.23%EV -8.09%E -4.57%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -6.81%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -7.08%E -1.89%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-02 08:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.89%EV -9.13%E -5.22%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -11.47%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -7.08%E -1.89%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-02 10:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.96%EV -3.94%E -2.13%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -6.81%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -8.32%E -2.25%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-02 11:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.96%EV -3.94%E -2.13%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -6.81%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -8.32%E -2.25%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-02 11:11 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.93%EV -6.54%E -3.63%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -4.48%E -1.09%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -8.32%E -2.25%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-02 11:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -9.13%E -5.22%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.53%EV +0.882%E +0.204%K +0.265%G +0.002% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -8.32%E -2.25%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.36%EV -7.57%E -4.26%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.46%EV -3.31%E -0.798%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -8.32%E -2.25%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-02 10:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.36%EV -7.57%E -4.26%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.46%EV -3.31%E -0.798%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -8.32%E -2.25%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-02 10:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -6.54%E -3.63%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -11.47%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -8.32%E -2.25%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-02 13:06 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -6.54%E -3.63%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -11.47%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -8.32%E -2.25%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-02 13:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -6.54%E -3.63%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -11.47%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -8.32%E -2.25%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-02 13:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.75%EV -8.09%E -4.57%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -9.14%E -2.34%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -8.32%E -2.25%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-02 13:04 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.75%EV -8.09%E -4.57%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -9.14%E -2.34%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -8.32%E -2.25%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-02 13:05 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -9.13%E -5.22%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -6.81%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -8.32%E -2.25%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.04%EV -6.02%E -3.32%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -0.982%E -0.231%K -0.302%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.80%EV -9.56%E -2.62%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-02 13:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.04%EV -6.02%E -3.32%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -0.982%E -0.231%K -0.302%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.80%EV -9.56%E -2.62%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-02 13:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.04%EV -6.02%E -3.32%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -0.982%E -0.231%K -0.302%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.80%EV -9.56%E -2.62%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-02 13:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -6.54%E -3.63%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -2.15%E -0.511%K -0.671%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -10.80%E -3.00%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-02 11:13 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.87%EV -4.98%E -2.72%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -6.81%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -10.80%E -3.00%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-02 11:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.99%EV -7.06%E -3.94%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.16%EV -2.15%E -0.511%K -0.671%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -10.80%E -3.00%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-02 13:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.99%EV -7.06%E -3.94%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.16%EV -2.15%E -0.511%K -0.671%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -10.80%E -3.00%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-02 13:31 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.99%EV -7.06%E -3.94%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.16%EV -2.15%E -0.511%K -0.671%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -10.80%E -3.00%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-02 13:31 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.99%EV -7.06%E -3.94%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.16%EV -2.15%E -0.511%K -0.671%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -10.80%E -3.00%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-02 13:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.99%EV -7.06%E -3.94%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.16%EV -2.15%E -0.511%K -0.671%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -10.80%E -3.00%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-02 13:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.99%EV -7.06%E -3.94%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.16%EV -2.15%E -0.511%K -0.671%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -10.80%E -3.00%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-02 13:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.99%EV -7.06%E -3.94%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.16%EV -2.15%E -0.511%K -0.671%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -10.80%E -3.00%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-02 13:31 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.13%EV -7.57%E -4.26%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.09%EV -2.15%E -0.511%K -0.671%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.78%EV -10.80%E -3.00%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-02 13:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.13%EV -7.57%E -4.26%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.09%EV -2.15%E -0.511%K -0.671%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.78%EV -10.80%E -3.00%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-02 13:31 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.57%EV -4.98%E -2.72%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.73%EV -9.14%E -2.34%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -10.80%E -3.00%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-02 11:11 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.57%EV -4.98%E -2.72%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.73%EV -9.14%E -2.34%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -10.80%E -3.00%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-02 11:16 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -6.54%E -3.63%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -6.81%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -10.80%E -3.00%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-02 11:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.70%EV -8.09%E -4.57%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%EV -6.81%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -10.80%E -3.00%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-02 13:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.13%EV -9.65%E -5.55%K -13.04%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.68%EV -6.81%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.20%EV -10.80%E -3.00%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-02 11:11 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.95%EV -7.57%E -4.26%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.86%EV -11.47%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -10.80%E -3.00%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-02 12:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.66%EV -7.57%E -4.26%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -4.48%E -1.09%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -12.04%E -3.39%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-02 11:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.90%EV -9.13%E -5.22%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.15%EV -4.48%E -1.09%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -13.28%E -3.79%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-02 13:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.90%EV -9.13%E -5.22%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.15%EV -4.48%E -1.09%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -13.28%E -3.79%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-02 13:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 50.24%EV -10.17%E -5.88%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.73%EV -6.81%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.04%EV -23.19%E -7.48%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-05-02 13:56 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.32% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.61% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.06% | 0.8% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.46% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.00% | 1.1% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.46% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.00% | 1.1% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.46% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.00% | 1.1% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.73% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.92% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.35% | 2.0% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |