L’École des cotes

Leyton Orient v Burton Albion

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-02 14:00 UTC

Score final : Leyton Orient 2–2 Burton Albion

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Leyton Orient (Local)

Prévision 51.92%1.93cote équitable
EV -3.94%
Avantage -2.13%
Kelly -4.64%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.24%51.99%51.81%53.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.731.791.791.8557.80%55.97%55.87%54.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Burton Albion (Visiteur)

Prévision 23.30%4.29cote équitable
EV +0.882%
Avantage +0.204%
Kelly +0.265%
Croissance +0.002%

avec la cote maximale 4.33

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.53%23.22%23.30%24.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.754.024.004.3326.67%24.85%25.00%23.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 24.78%4.04cote équitable
EV +4.07%
Avantage +0.968%
Kelly +1.27%
Croissance +0.052%

avec la cote maximale 4.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.20%24.79%24.89%28.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.713.704.2032.26%26.99%27.03%23.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
Sky Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -9.13%E -5.22%K -12.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -11.47%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV +4.07%E +0.968%K +1.27%G +0.052%7.3%2026-05-02 13:55
Pinnacle1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -6.02%E -3.32%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 23.99%EV -7.74%E -1.95%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 23.52%EV +0.101%E +0.025%K +0.033%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 13:21
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -9.13%E -5.22%K -12.18%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -9.14%E -2.34%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -0.890%E -0.223%K -0.297%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-02 13:55
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -9.13%E -5.22%K -12.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -11.47%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -0.890%E -0.223%K -0.297%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 13:54
LowVig.ag1.81I 55.25%NM 52.02%EV -6.02%E -3.32%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -9.14%E -2.34%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.84%EV -2.13%E -0.539%K -0.722%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-02 08:36
BetOnline.ag1.81I 55.25%NM 52.02%EV -6.02%E -3.32%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -9.14%E -2.34%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.84%EV -2.13%E -0.539%K -0.722%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-02 08:35
DraftKings1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%EV -6.54%E -3.63%K -8.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -6.81%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -3.37%E -0.864%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-02 13:55
Unibet (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.75%EV -9.13%E -5.22%K -12.18%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -0.982%E -0.231%K -0.302%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -3.37%E -0.864%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 05:59
Tipico (DE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -9.13%E -5.22%K -12.18%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.65%EV -9.14%E -2.34%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.65%EV -3.37%E -0.864%K -1.16%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-02 13:40
Marathon Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 52.07%EV -7.06%E -3.94%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -9.14%E -2.34%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.02%EV -3.86%E -0.996%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 13:55
Everygame1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -9.13%E -5.22%K -12.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -12.63%E -3.37%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -4.61%E -1.20%K -1.62%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-02 08:36
1xBet1.81I 55.25%NM 51.66%EV -6.02%E -3.32%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 23.86%EV -8.67%E -2.21%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.48%EV -5.35%E -1.40%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 13:55
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -4.98%E -2.72%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -11.47%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -5.85%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 10:15
betfred_uk1.80I 55.56%NM 52.40%EV -6.54%E -3.63%K -8.17%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -2.15%E -0.511%K -0.671%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -7.08%E -1.89%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-02 11:10
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 51.51%EV -6.54%E -3.63%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -9.14%E -2.34%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -7.08%E -1.89%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-02 13:35
PlayUp1.77I 56.50%NM 52.23%EV -8.09%E -4.57%K -10.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -6.81%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -7.08%E -1.89%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-02 08:30
BoyleSports1.75I 57.14%NM 51.89%EV -9.13%E -5.22%K -12.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -11.47%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -7.08%E -1.89%K -2.58%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-02 10:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.96%EV -3.94%E -2.13%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -6.81%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -8.32%E -2.25%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-02 11:15
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 50.96%EV -3.94%E -2.13%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -6.81%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -8.32%E -2.25%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-02 11:11
Betr (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.93%EV -6.54%E -3.63%K -8.17%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -4.48%E -1.09%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -8.32%E -2.25%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 11:10
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -9.13%E -5.22%K -12.18%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.53%EV +0.882%E +0.204%K +0.265%G +0.002%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -8.32%E -2.25%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 13:55
Betsson1.78I 56.18%NM 52.36%EV -7.57%E -4.26%K -9.71%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.46%EV -3.31%E -0.798%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -8.32%E -2.25%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 10:55
NordicBet1.78I 56.18%NM 52.36%EV -7.57%E -4.26%K -9.71%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.46%EV -3.31%E -0.798%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -8.32%E -2.25%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 10:55
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -6.54%E -3.63%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -11.47%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -8.32%E -2.25%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 13:06
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -6.54%E -3.63%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -11.47%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -8.32%E -2.25%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 13:05
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -6.54%E -3.63%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -11.47%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -8.32%E -2.25%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 13:05
Bovada1.77I 56.50%NM 51.75%EV -8.09%E -4.57%K -10.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -9.14%E -2.34%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -8.32%E -2.25%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-02 13:04
BetUS1.77I 56.50%NM 51.75%EV -8.09%E -4.57%K -10.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -9.14%E -2.34%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -8.32%E -2.25%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-02 13:05
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -9.13%E -5.22%K -12.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -6.81%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -8.32%E -2.25%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-02 13:55
LeoVegas1.81I 55.25%NM 52.04%EV -6.02%E -3.32%K -7.43%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -0.982%E -0.231%K -0.302%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.80%EV -9.56%E -2.62%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-02 13:30
ATG (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 52.04%EV -6.02%E -3.32%K -7.43%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -0.982%E -0.231%K -0.302%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.80%EV -9.56%E -2.62%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-02 13:30
Svenska Spel1.81I 55.25%NM 52.04%EV -6.02%E -3.32%K -7.43%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -0.982%E -0.231%K -0.302%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.80%EV -9.56%E -2.62%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-02 13:30
Coolbet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -6.54%E -3.63%K -8.17%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -2.15%E -0.511%K -0.671%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -10.80%E -3.00%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 11:13
BetMGM1.83I 54.64%NM 50.87%EV -4.98%E -2.72%K -6.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -6.81%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -10.80%E -3.00%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 11:10
TABtouch1.79I 55.87%NM 51.99%EV -7.06%E -3.94%K -8.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.16%EV -2.15%E -0.511%K -0.671%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -10.80%E -3.00%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 13:30
Unibet1.79I 55.87%NM 51.99%EV -7.06%E -3.94%K -8.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.16%EV -2.15%E -0.511%K -0.671%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -10.80%E -3.00%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 13:31
Grosvenor1.79I 55.87%NM 51.99%EV -7.06%E -3.94%K -8.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.16%EV -2.15%E -0.511%K -0.671%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -10.80%E -3.00%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 13:31
Casumo1.79I 55.87%NM 51.99%EV -7.06%E -3.94%K -8.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.16%EV -2.15%E -0.511%K -0.671%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -10.80%E -3.00%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 13:30
Unibet (NL)1.79I 55.87%NM 51.99%EV -7.06%E -3.94%K -8.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.16%EV -2.15%E -0.511%K -0.671%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -10.80%E -3.00%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 13:30
Unibet (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 51.99%EV -7.06%E -3.94%K -8.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.16%EV -2.15%E -0.511%K -0.671%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -10.80%E -3.00%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 13:30
betPARX1.79I 55.87%NM 51.99%EV -7.06%E -3.94%K -8.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.16%EV -2.15%E -0.511%K -0.671%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -10.80%E -3.00%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 13:31
LeoVegas (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.13%EV -7.57%E -4.26%K -9.71%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.09%EV -2.15%E -0.511%K -0.671%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.78%EV -10.80%E -3.00%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-02 13:30
BetRivers1.78I 56.18%NM 52.13%EV -7.57%E -4.26%K -9.71%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.09%EV -2.15%E -0.511%K -0.671%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.78%EV -10.80%E -3.00%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-02 13:31
Neds1.83I 54.64%NM 50.57%EV -4.98%E -2.72%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.73%EV -9.14%E -2.34%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -10.80%E -3.00%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-02 11:11
Ladbrokes (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.57%EV -4.98%E -2.72%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.73%EV -9.14%E -2.34%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -10.80%E -3.00%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-02 11:16
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -6.54%E -3.63%K -8.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -6.81%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -10.80%E -3.00%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-02 11:10
Betway1.77I 56.50%NM 51.70%EV -8.09%E -4.57%K -10.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%EV -6.81%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -10.80%E -3.00%K -4.15%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-02 13:00
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 52.13%EV -9.65%E -5.55%K -13.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.68%EV -6.81%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.20%EV -10.80%E -3.00%K -4.15%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-02 11:11
Codere (IT)1.78I 56.18%NM 50.95%EV -7.57%E -4.26%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.86%EV -11.47%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -10.80%E -3.00%K -4.15%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-02 12:40
Bet Right1.78I 56.18%NM 51.66%EV -7.57%E -4.26%K -9.71%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -4.48%E -1.09%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -12.04%E -3.39%K -4.72%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 11:10
Virgin Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 51.90%EV -9.13%E -5.22%K -12.18%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.15%EV -4.48%E -1.09%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -13.28%E -3.79%K -5.31%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-02 13:30
LiveScore Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 51.90%EV -9.13%E -5.22%K -12.18%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.15%EV -4.48%E -1.09%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -13.28%E -3.79%K -5.31%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-02 13:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 50.24%EV -10.17%E -5.88%K -13.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.73%EV -6.81%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.04%EV -23.19%E -7.48%K -11.04%G +0.000%15.1%2026-05-02 13:56
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.32%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.61%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.06%0.8%2026-05-02 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.46%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.00%1.1%2026-05-02 13:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.46%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.00%1.1%2026-05-02 13:50
Matchbook1.85I 54.05%NM 53.46%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.00%1.1%2026-05-02 13:55
Smarkets1.86I 53.76%NM 52.73%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.92%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.35%2.0%2026-05-02 13:50