مدرسة الاحتمالات

Leyton Orient v Burton Albion

البداية: 2026-05-02 14:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Leyton Orient 2–2 Burton Albion

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

53 شركة مراهنات (18 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Leyton Orient (المضيف)

التنبؤ 51.92%1.93السعر العادل
EV -3.94%
الأفضلية -2.13%
Kelly -4.64%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.85

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
50.24%51.99%51.81%53.75%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.731.791.791.8557.80%55.97%55.87%54.05%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Burton Albion (الضيف)

التنبؤ 23.30%4.29السعر العادل
EV +0.882%
الأفضلية +0.204%
Kelly +0.265%
النمو +0.002%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.33

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
21.53%23.22%23.30%24.53%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.754.024.004.3326.67%24.85%25.00%23.09%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 24.78%4.04السعر العادل
EV +4.07%
الأفضلية +0.968%
Kelly +1.27%
النمو +0.052%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.20

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
22.20%24.79%24.89%28.04%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.103.713.704.2032.26%26.99%27.03%23.81%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (53 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادل ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
Sky Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -9.13%E -5.22%K -12.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -11.47%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV +4.07%E +0.968%K +1.27%G +0.052%7.3%2026-05-02 13:55
Pinnacle1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -6.02%E -3.32%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 23.99%EV -7.74%E -1.95%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 23.52%EV +0.101%E +0.025%K +0.033%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 13:21
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -9.13%E -5.22%K -12.18%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -9.14%E -2.34%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -0.890%E -0.223%K -0.297%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-02 13:55
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -9.13%E -5.22%K -12.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -11.47%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -0.890%E -0.223%K -0.297%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 13:54
LowVig.ag1.81I 55.25%NM 52.02%EV -6.02%E -3.32%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -9.14%E -2.34%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.84%EV -2.13%E -0.539%K -0.722%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-02 08:36
BetOnline.ag1.81I 55.25%NM 52.02%EV -6.02%E -3.32%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -9.14%E -2.34%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.84%EV -2.13%E -0.539%K -0.722%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-02 08:35
DraftKings1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%EV -6.54%E -3.63%K -8.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -6.81%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -3.37%E -0.864%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-02 13:55
Unibet (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.75%EV -9.13%E -5.22%K -12.18%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -0.982%E -0.231%K -0.302%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -3.37%E -0.864%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 05:59
Tipico (DE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -9.13%E -5.22%K -12.18%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.65%EV -9.14%E -2.34%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.65%EV -3.37%E -0.864%K -1.16%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-02 13:40
Marathon Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 52.07%EV -7.06%E -3.94%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -9.14%E -2.34%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.02%EV -3.86%E -0.996%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 13:55
Everygame1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -9.13%E -5.22%K -12.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -12.63%E -3.37%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -4.61%E -1.20%K -1.62%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-02 08:36
1xBet1.81I 55.25%NM 51.66%EV -6.02%E -3.32%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 23.86%EV -8.67%E -2.21%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.48%EV -5.35%E -1.40%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 13:55
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -4.98%E -2.72%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -11.47%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -5.85%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 10:15
betfred_uk1.80I 55.56%NM 52.40%EV -6.54%E -3.63%K -8.17%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -2.15%E -0.511%K -0.671%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -7.08%E -1.89%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-02 11:10
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 51.51%EV -6.54%E -3.63%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -9.14%E -2.34%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -7.08%E -1.89%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-02 13:35
PlayUp1.77I 56.50%NM 52.23%EV -8.09%E -4.57%K -10.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -6.81%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -7.08%E -1.89%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-02 08:30
BoyleSports1.75I 57.14%NM 51.89%EV -9.13%E -5.22%K -12.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -11.47%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -7.08%E -1.89%K -2.58%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-02 10:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.96%EV -3.94%E -2.13%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -6.81%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -8.32%E -2.25%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-02 11:15
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 50.96%EV -3.94%E -2.13%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -6.81%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -8.32%E -2.25%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-02 11:11
Betr (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.93%EV -6.54%E -3.63%K -8.17%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -4.48%E -1.09%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -8.32%E -2.25%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 11:10
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -9.13%E -5.22%K -12.18%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.53%EV +0.882%E +0.204%K +0.265%G +0.002%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -8.32%E -2.25%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 13:55
Betsson1.78I 56.18%NM 52.36%EV -7.57%E -4.26%K -9.71%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.46%EV -3.31%E -0.798%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -8.32%E -2.25%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 10:55
NordicBet1.78I 56.18%NM 52.36%EV -7.57%E -4.26%K -9.71%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.46%EV -3.31%E -0.798%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -8.32%E -2.25%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 10:55
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -6.54%E -3.63%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -11.47%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -8.32%E -2.25%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 13:06
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -6.54%E -3.63%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -11.47%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -8.32%E -2.25%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 13:05
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -6.54%E -3.63%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -11.47%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -8.32%E -2.25%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 13:05
Bovada1.77I 56.50%NM 51.75%EV -8.09%E -4.57%K -10.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -9.14%E -2.34%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -8.32%E -2.25%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-02 13:04
BetUS1.77I 56.50%NM 51.75%EV -8.09%E -4.57%K -10.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -9.14%E -2.34%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -8.32%E -2.25%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-02 13:05
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -9.13%E -5.22%K -12.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -6.81%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -8.32%E -2.25%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-02 13:55
LeoVegas1.81I 55.25%NM 52.04%EV -6.02%E -3.32%K -7.43%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -0.982%E -0.231%K -0.302%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.80%EV -9.56%E -2.62%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-02 13:30
ATG (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 52.04%EV -6.02%E -3.32%K -7.43%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -0.982%E -0.231%K -0.302%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.80%EV -9.56%E -2.62%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-02 13:30
Svenska Spel1.81I 55.25%NM 52.04%EV -6.02%E -3.32%K -7.43%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -0.982%E -0.231%K -0.302%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.80%EV -9.56%E -2.62%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-02 13:30
Coolbet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -6.54%E -3.63%K -8.17%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -2.15%E -0.511%K -0.671%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -10.80%E -3.00%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 11:13
BetMGM1.83I 54.64%NM 50.87%EV -4.98%E -2.72%K -6.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -6.81%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -10.80%E -3.00%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 11:10
TABtouch1.79I 55.87%NM 51.99%EV -7.06%E -3.94%K -8.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.16%EV -2.15%E -0.511%K -0.671%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -10.80%E -3.00%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 13:30
Unibet1.79I 55.87%NM 51.99%EV -7.06%E -3.94%K -8.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.16%EV -2.15%E -0.511%K -0.671%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -10.80%E -3.00%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 13:31
Grosvenor1.79I 55.87%NM 51.99%EV -7.06%E -3.94%K -8.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.16%EV -2.15%E -0.511%K -0.671%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -10.80%E -3.00%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 13:31
Casumo1.79I 55.87%NM 51.99%EV -7.06%E -3.94%K -8.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.16%EV -2.15%E -0.511%K -0.671%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -10.80%E -3.00%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 13:30
Unibet (NL)1.79I 55.87%NM 51.99%EV -7.06%E -3.94%K -8.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.16%EV -2.15%E -0.511%K -0.671%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -10.80%E -3.00%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 13:30
Unibet (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 51.99%EV -7.06%E -3.94%K -8.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.16%EV -2.15%E -0.511%K -0.671%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -10.80%E -3.00%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 13:30
betPARX1.79I 55.87%NM 51.99%EV -7.06%E -3.94%K -8.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.16%EV -2.15%E -0.511%K -0.671%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -10.80%E -3.00%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 13:31
LeoVegas (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.13%EV -7.57%E -4.26%K -9.71%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.09%EV -2.15%E -0.511%K -0.671%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.78%EV -10.80%E -3.00%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-02 13:30
BetRivers1.78I 56.18%NM 52.13%EV -7.57%E -4.26%K -9.71%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.09%EV -2.15%E -0.511%K -0.671%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.78%EV -10.80%E -3.00%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-02 13:31
Neds1.83I 54.64%NM 50.57%EV -4.98%E -2.72%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.73%EV -9.14%E -2.34%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -10.80%E -3.00%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-02 11:11
Ladbrokes (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.57%EV -4.98%E -2.72%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.73%EV -9.14%E -2.34%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -10.80%E -3.00%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-02 11:16
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -6.54%E -3.63%K -8.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -6.81%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -10.80%E -3.00%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-02 11:10
Betway1.77I 56.50%NM 51.70%EV -8.09%E -4.57%K -10.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%EV -6.81%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -10.80%E -3.00%K -4.15%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-02 13:00
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 52.13%EV -9.65%E -5.55%K -13.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.68%EV -6.81%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.20%EV -10.80%E -3.00%K -4.15%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-02 11:11
Codere (IT)1.78I 56.18%NM 50.95%EV -7.57%E -4.26%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.86%EV -11.47%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -10.80%E -3.00%K -4.15%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-02 12:40
Bet Right1.78I 56.18%NM 51.66%EV -7.57%E -4.26%K -9.71%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -4.48%E -1.09%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -12.04%E -3.39%K -4.72%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 11:10
Virgin Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 51.90%EV -9.13%E -5.22%K -12.18%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.15%EV -4.48%E -1.09%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -13.28%E -3.79%K -5.31%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-02 13:30
LiveScore Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 51.90%EV -9.13%E -5.22%K -12.18%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.15%EV -4.48%E -1.09%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -13.28%E -3.79%K -5.31%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-02 13:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 50.24%EV -10.17%E -5.88%K -13.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.73%EV -6.81%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.04%EV -23.19%E -7.48%K -11.04%G +0.000%15.1%2026-05-02 13:56
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.32%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.61%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.06%0.8%2026-05-02 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.46%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.00%1.1%2026-05-02 13:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.46%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.00%1.1%2026-05-02 13:50
Matchbook1.85I 54.05%NM 53.46%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.00%1.1%2026-05-02 13:55
Smarkets1.86I 53.76%NM 52.73%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.92%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.35%2.0%2026-05-02 13:50