La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Leyton Orient v Burton Albion
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Leyton Orient (Local)
Predicción 51.92%1.93momio equitativo
EV -3.94%
Ventaja -2.13%
Kelly -4.64%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.85
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.24%51.99%51.81%53.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.731.791.791.8557.80%55.97%55.87%54.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Burton Albion (Visitante)
Predicción 23.30%4.29momio equitativo
EV +0.882%
Ventaja +0.204%
Kelly +0.265%
Crecimiento +0.002%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.33
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.53%23.22%23.30%24.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.754.024.004.3326.67%24.85%25.00%23.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 24.78%4.04momio equitativo
EV +4.07%
Ventaja +0.968%
Kelly +1.27%
Crecimiento +0.052%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.20%24.79%24.89%28.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.713.704.2032.26%26.99%27.03%23.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky Bet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -9.13%E -5.22%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -11.47%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV +4.07%E +0.968%K +1.27%G +0.052% | 7.3% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Pinnacle | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -6.02%E -3.32%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 3.96I 25.25%NM 23.99%EV -7.74%E -1.95%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.04I 24.75%NM 23.52%EV +0.101%E +0.025%K +0.033%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-02 13:21 |
| SportsBet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -9.13%E -5.22%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -9.14%E -2.34%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -0.890%E -0.223%K -0.297%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Paddy Power | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -9.13%E -5.22%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -11.47%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -0.890%E -0.223%K -0.297%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-02 13:54 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.02%EV -6.02%E -3.32%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -9.14%E -2.34%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.84%EV -2.13%E -0.539%K -0.722%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-02 08:36 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.02%EV -6.02%E -3.32%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -9.14%E -2.34%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.84%EV -2.13%E -0.539%K -0.722%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-02 08:35 |
| DraftKings | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%EV -6.54%E -3.63%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -6.81%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -3.37%E -0.864%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.75%EV -9.13%E -5.22%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -0.982%E -0.231%K -0.302%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -3.37%E -0.864%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-02 05:59 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -9.13%E -5.22%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.65%EV -9.14%E -2.34%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.65%EV -3.37%E -0.864%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-02 13:40 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.07%EV -7.06%E -3.94%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -9.14%E -2.34%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.02%EV -3.86%E -0.996%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Everygame | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -9.13%E -5.22%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -12.63%E -3.37%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -4.61%E -1.20%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-02 08:36 |
| 1xBet | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.66%EV -6.02%E -3.32%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 23.86%EV -8.67%E -2.21%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.48%EV -5.35%E -1.40%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Fanatics | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -4.98%E -2.72%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -11.47%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -5.85%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-02 10:15 |
| betfred_uk | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.40%EV -6.54%E -3.63%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -2.15%E -0.511%K -0.671%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -7.08%E -1.89%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-02 11:10 |
| William Hill | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.51%EV -6.54%E -3.63%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -9.14%E -2.34%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -7.08%E -1.89%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-02 13:35 |
| PlayUp | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.23%EV -8.09%E -4.57%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -6.81%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -7.08%E -1.89%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-02 08:30 |
| BoyleSports | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.89%EV -9.13%E -5.22%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -11.47%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -7.08%E -1.89%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-02 10:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.96%EV -3.94%E -2.13%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -6.81%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -8.32%E -2.25%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-02 11:15 |
| Coral | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.96%EV -3.94%E -2.13%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -6.81%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -8.32%E -2.25%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-02 11:11 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.93%EV -6.54%E -3.63%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -4.48%E -1.09%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -8.32%E -2.25%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-02 11:10 |
| Bet Victor | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -9.13%E -5.22%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.53%EV +0.882%E +0.204%K +0.265%G +0.002% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -8.32%E -2.25%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Betsson | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.36%EV -7.57%E -4.26%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.46%EV -3.31%E -0.798%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -8.32%E -2.25%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-02 10:55 |
| NordicBet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.36%EV -7.57%E -4.26%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.46%EV -3.31%E -0.798%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -8.32%E -2.25%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-02 10:55 |
| 888sport | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -6.54%E -3.63%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -11.47%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -8.32%E -2.25%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-02 13:06 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -6.54%E -3.63%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -11.47%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -8.32%E -2.25%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-02 13:05 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -6.54%E -3.63%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -11.47%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -8.32%E -2.25%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-02 13:05 |
| Bovada | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.75%EV -8.09%E -4.57%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -9.14%E -2.34%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -8.32%E -2.25%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-02 13:04 |
| BetUS | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.75%EV -8.09%E -4.57%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -9.14%E -2.34%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -8.32%E -2.25%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-02 13:05 |
| TAB | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -9.13%E -5.22%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -6.81%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -8.32%E -2.25%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| LeoVegas | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.04%EV -6.02%E -3.32%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -0.982%E -0.231%K -0.302%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.80%EV -9.56%E -2.62%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-02 13:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.04%EV -6.02%E -3.32%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -0.982%E -0.231%K -0.302%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.80%EV -9.56%E -2.62%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-02 13:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.04%EV -6.02%E -3.32%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -0.982%E -0.231%K -0.302%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.80%EV -9.56%E -2.62%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-02 13:30 |
| Coolbet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -6.54%E -3.63%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -2.15%E -0.511%K -0.671%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -10.80%E -3.00%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-02 11:13 |
| BetMGM | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.87%EV -4.98%E -2.72%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -6.81%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -10.80%E -3.00%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-02 11:10 |
| TABtouch | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.99%EV -7.06%E -3.94%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.16%EV -2.15%E -0.511%K -0.671%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -10.80%E -3.00%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-02 13:30 |
| Unibet | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.99%EV -7.06%E -3.94%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.16%EV -2.15%E -0.511%K -0.671%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -10.80%E -3.00%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-02 13:31 |
| Grosvenor | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.99%EV -7.06%E -3.94%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.16%EV -2.15%E -0.511%K -0.671%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -10.80%E -3.00%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-02 13:31 |
| Casumo | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.99%EV -7.06%E -3.94%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.16%EV -2.15%E -0.511%K -0.671%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -10.80%E -3.00%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-02 13:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.99%EV -7.06%E -3.94%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.16%EV -2.15%E -0.511%K -0.671%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -10.80%E -3.00%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-02 13:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.99%EV -7.06%E -3.94%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.16%EV -2.15%E -0.511%K -0.671%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -10.80%E -3.00%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-02 13:30 |
| betPARX | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.99%EV -7.06%E -3.94%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.16%EV -2.15%E -0.511%K -0.671%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -10.80%E -3.00%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-02 13:31 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.13%EV -7.57%E -4.26%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.09%EV -2.15%E -0.511%K -0.671%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.78%EV -10.80%E -3.00%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-02 13:30 |
| BetRivers | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.13%EV -7.57%E -4.26%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.09%EV -2.15%E -0.511%K -0.671%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.78%EV -10.80%E -3.00%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-02 13:31 |
| Neds | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.57%EV -4.98%E -2.72%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.73%EV -9.14%E -2.34%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -10.80%E -3.00%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-02 11:11 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.57%EV -4.98%E -2.72%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.73%EV -9.14%E -2.34%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -10.80%E -3.00%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-02 11:16 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -6.54%E -3.63%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -6.81%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -10.80%E -3.00%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-02 11:10 |
| Betway | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.70%EV -8.09%E -4.57%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%EV -6.81%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -10.80%E -3.00%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-02 13:00 |
| theScore Bet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.13%EV -9.65%E -5.55%K -13.04%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.68%EV -6.81%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.20%EV -10.80%E -3.00%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-02 11:11 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.95%EV -7.57%E -4.26%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.86%EV -11.47%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -10.80%E -3.00%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-02 12:40 |
| Bet Right | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.66%EV -7.57%E -4.26%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -4.48%E -1.09%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -12.04%E -3.39%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-02 11:10 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.90%EV -9.13%E -5.22%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.15%EV -4.48%E -1.09%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -13.28%E -3.79%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-02 13:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.90%EV -9.13%E -5.22%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.15%EV -4.48%E -1.09%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -13.28%E -3.79%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-02 13:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 50.24%EV -10.17%E -5.88%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.73%EV -6.81%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.04%EV -23.19%E -7.48%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-05-02 13:56 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.32% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.61% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.06% | 0.8% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.46% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.00% | 1.1% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.46% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.00% | 1.1% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Matchbook | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.46% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.00% | 1.1% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Smarkets | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.73% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.92% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.35% | 2.0% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |