Language:English
Leicester City v Plymouth Argyle
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Leicester City (Local)
Prediction 47.05%2.13fair odd
EV -3.56%
Edge -1.73%
Kelly -3.39%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.05
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.53%47.15%46.95%49.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.871.961.952.0553.48%51.03%51.28%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Plymouth Argyle (Visit)
Prediction 27.57%3.63fair odd
EV -0.734%
Edge -0.204%
Kelly -0.282%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.03%27.50%27.68%28.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.413.403.6032.26%29.31%29.41%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.38%3.94fair odd
EV -2.29%
Edge -0.594%
Kelly -0.802%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.96%25.35%25.37%26.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.453.643.653.8528.99%27.49%27.40%25.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Leicester City (Local): 47.05%; Plymouth Argyle (Visit): 27.57%; Draw: 25.38%. For Plymouth Argyle (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.63. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.60, with an expected value of -0.734%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coral🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.36%EV -3.56%E -1.73%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.95%EV -6.25%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -6.09%E -1.65%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-01 18:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.33%EV -3.56%E -1.73%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.35%EV -7.63%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.32%EV -4.82%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 18:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -3.56%E -1.73%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -9.01%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -8.63%E -2.40%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-01 18:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.14%EV -4.03%E -1.97%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.88%EV -4.87%E -1.41%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.98%EV -2.29%E -0.594%K -0.802%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-01 18:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.40%EV -4.97%E -2.46%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -6.25%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -8.63%E -2.40%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-01 18:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.40%EV -4.97%E -2.46%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -6.25%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -8.63%E -2.40%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-01 18:30 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -5.91%E -2.95%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.25%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -6.09%E -1.65%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-01 18:28 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -5.91%E -2.95%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.25%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -6.09%E -1.65%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-01 18:28 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -5.91%E -2.95%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.25%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -6.09%E -1.65%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-01 18:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -5.91%E -2.95%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -9.01%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -3.55%E -0.935%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-01 18:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -5.91%E -2.95%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.01%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -8.63%E -2.40%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-01 18:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -5.91%E -2.95%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.01%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -8.63%E -2.40%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-01 18:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -5.91%E -2.95%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -9.01%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -11.17%E -3.19%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-01 18:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -5.91%E -2.95%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -9.01%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -11.17%E -3.19%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-01 18:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -5.91%E -2.95%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -9.01%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -11.17%E -3.19%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-01 18:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -5.91%E -2.95%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -10.39%E -3.20%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -9.90%E -2.79%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-01 18:35 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -5.91%E -2.95%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -11.76%E -3.68%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -11.17%E -3.19%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-01 18:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.07%EV -6.38%E -3.21%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -7.63%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.98%EV -4.82%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-01 18:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.96%EV -6.38%E -3.21%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.65%EV -6.80%E -2.01%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.39%EV -6.60%E -1.79%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -6.85%E -3.46%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -7.63%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -6.09%E -1.65%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-01 18:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -6.85%E -3.46%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -7.63%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -6.09%E -1.65%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-01 18:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.56%EV -6.85%E -3.46%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -4.87%E -1.41%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -12.44%E -3.61%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-01 18:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.56%EV -6.85%E -3.46%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -4.87%E -1.41%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -12.44%E -3.61%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-01 18:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.50%EV -8.26%E -4.24%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -0.734%E -0.204%K -0.282%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -4.82%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.50%EV -8.26%E -4.24%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -0.734%E -0.204%K -0.282%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -4.82%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-31 07:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.17%EV -8.26%E -4.24%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -0.734%E -0.204%K -0.282%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -7.36%E -2.02%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-01 17:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.82%EV -8.26%E -4.24%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.11%EV -5.15%E -1.50%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.07%EV -5.59%E -1.50%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-01 18:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.53%EV -8.26%E -4.24%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -9.01%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -3.55%E -0.935%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-01 18:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.44%EV -8.26%E -4.24%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -6.25%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.35%EV -7.36%E -2.02%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-01 18:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.37%EV -8.26%E -4.24%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -9.01%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -4.82%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-01 18:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -8.26%E -4.24%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.50%EV -7.63%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.24%EV -7.36%E -2.02%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -8.26%E -4.24%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -9.01%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -6.09%E -1.65%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-01 18:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -8.26%E -4.24%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -6.25%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -11.17%E -3.19%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-01 18:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -8.26%E -4.24%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -9.01%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -8.63%E -2.40%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-01 18:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -8.26%E -4.24%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -9.01%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -8.63%E -2.40%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.30%EV -8.73%E -4.50%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -0.734%E -0.204%K -0.282%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -7.36%E -2.02%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-01 17:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.30%EV -8.73%E -4.50%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -0.734%E -0.204%K -0.282%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -7.36%E -2.02%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-01 17:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.30%EV -8.73%E -4.50%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -0.734%E -0.204%K -0.282%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -7.36%E -2.02%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-01 17:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.30%EV -8.73%E -4.50%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -0.734%E -0.204%K -0.282%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -7.36%E -2.02%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-01 17:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.30%EV -8.73%E -4.50%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -0.734%E -0.204%K -0.282%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -7.36%E -2.02%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-01 17:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.30%EV -8.73%E -4.50%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -0.734%E -0.204%K -0.282%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -7.36%E -2.02%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-01 17:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -9.20%E -4.77%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -3.49%E -0.998%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -4.82%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-31 07:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.50%EV -10.14%E -5.31%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -3.49%E -0.998%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -6.09%E -1.65%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-31 06:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.98%EV -10.14%E -5.31%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -4.87%E -1.41%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -8.63%E -2.40%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.05%EV -10.14%E -5.31%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.99%EV -14.52%E -4.68%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -4.82%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-01 18:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 47.90%EV -11.08%E -5.86%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.24%EV -4.87%E -1.41%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.86%EV -11.17%E -3.19%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-01 17:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 47.90%EV -11.08%E -5.86%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.24%EV -4.87%E -1.41%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.86%EV -11.17%E -3.19%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-01 17:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.03%EV -11.55%E -6.15%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.17%EV -4.87%E -1.41%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.80%EV -11.17%E -3.19%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-01 17:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.03%EV -11.55%E -6.15%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.17%EV -4.87%E -1.41%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.80%EV -11.17%E -3.19%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-01 17:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.03%EV -11.55%E -6.15%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.17%EV -4.87%E -1.41%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.80%EV -11.17%E -3.19%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-01 17:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.03%EV -11.55%E -6.15%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.17%EV -4.87%E -1.41%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.80%EV -11.17%E -3.19%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-01 17:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.35%EV -12.02%E -6.43%K -13.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -3.49%E -0.998%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -3.55%E -0.935%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.03%EV -12.02%E -6.43%K -13.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -3.49%E -0.998%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -6.09%E -1.65%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-31 07:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.52% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.46% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.02% | 1.2% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.91% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.42% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67% | 1.3% | 2026-09-01 18:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.91% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.42% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67% | 1.3% | 2026-09-01 18:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.91% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.42% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67% | 1.3% | 2026-09-01 18:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.91% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.42% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67% | 1.3% | 2026-09-01 18:35 |