Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Leicester City v Plymouth Argyle

2026-09-01 18:45 UTC — League 1

Head to Head

22 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Leicester City (Local)

Prediction 49.24%2.03fair odd
EV +3.40%
Edge +1.62%
Kelly +3.09%
Growth +0.105%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.72%48.62%49.11%50.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.891.852.1055.56%53.05%53.91%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Plymouth Argyle (Visit)

Prediction 25.17%3.97fair odd
EV -3.35%
Edge -0.873%
Kelly -1.18%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.84

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.97%25.67%25.51%28.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.663.733.8431.25%27.36%26.85%26.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.59%3.91fair odd
EV -0.180%
Edge -0.046%
Kelly -0.062%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.03%25.71%25.38%27.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.643.653.9029.41%27.51%27.43%25.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Leicester City (Local): 49.24%; Plymouth Argyle (Visit): 25.17%; Draw: 25.59%. For Leicester City (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.03. 2 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 2.10, producing a positive expected value of +3.40%.

Sportsbook Odds (22 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV +3.40%E +1.62%K +3.09%G +0.105%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -16.94%E -5.13%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -10.42%E -2.98%K -4.17%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-29 16:55
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV +0.935%E +0.456%K +0.891%G +0.008%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -16.94%E -5.13%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -12.98%E -3.82%K -5.41%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-29 18:55
LeoVegas🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.94%EV -0.542%E -0.268%K -0.531%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.37%EV -19.46%E -6.08%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.70%EV -12.98%E -3.82%K -5.41%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-29 17:50
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -5.96%E -3.12%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -9.39%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -7.86%E -2.18%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-29 17:14
betfred_uk🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.67%EV -6.45%E -3.39%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.17%EV -5.62%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.17%EV -4.02%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-29 16:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.10%EV -7.44%E -3.95%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.12%EV -5.62%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -2.74%E -0.721%K -0.978%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-29 16:55
1xBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.82%EV -7.44%E -3.95%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 24.45%EV -3.60%E -0.941%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.73%EV -6.83%E -1.88%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 19:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.55%EV -7.93%E -4.24%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.21%EV -5.62%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.24%EV -0.180%E -0.046%K -0.062%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 18:45
Coolbet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.07%EV -7.93%E -4.24%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -5.62%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -4.02%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 16:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.55%EV -7.93%E -4.24%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -9.39%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -4.02%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-29 16:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.12%EV -8.42%E -4.53%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.28%EV -3.35%E -0.873%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.61%EV -6.83%E -1.88%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-29 19:00
SportsBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -8.91%E -4.82%K -10.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -6.88%E -1.86%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -0.180%E -0.046%K -0.062%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-29 17:05
Paddy Power🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.33%EV -8.91%E -4.82%K -10.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -6.88%E -1.86%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.50%EV -2.74%E -0.721%K -0.978%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-29 16:59
PlayUp🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -8.91%E -4.82%K -10.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.17%EV -8.14%E -2.23%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.17%EV -6.58%E -1.80%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 19:14
Bet Right🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -8.91%E -4.82%K -10.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -9.39%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -5.30%E -1.43%K -1.96%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-29 17:05
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -8.91%E -4.82%K -10.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -4.36%E -1.15%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -10.42%E -2.98%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-29 17:45
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -8.91%E -4.82%K -10.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -4.36%E -1.15%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -12.98%E -3.82%K -5.41%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-29 17:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -8.91%E -4.82%K -10.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -4.36%E -1.15%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -12.98%E -3.82%K -5.41%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-29 17:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -8.91%E -4.82%K -10.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -4.36%E -1.15%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -12.98%E -3.82%K -5.41%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-29 17:45
Fanatics🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -9.90%E -5.41%K -11.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -4.36%E -1.15%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -7.86%E -2.18%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-29 17:49
Sky Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.09%EV -9.90%E -5.41%K -11.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -9.39%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -4.02%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-29 18:50
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.14%EV -11.37%E -6.32%K -14.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -11.91%E -3.40%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -4.02%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-29 18:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets1.96I 51.02%NM 43.75%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.58%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.66%16.6%2026-08-29 17:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.79I 55.87%NM 33.83%1.83I 54.64%NM 33.09%1.83I 54.64%NM 33.09%65.2%2026-08-29 19:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.79I 55.87%NM 33.83%1.83I 54.64%NM 33.09%1.83I 54.64%NM 33.09%65.2%2026-08-29 19:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.79I 55.87%NM 33.83%1.83I 54.64%NM 33.09%1.83I 54.64%NM 33.09%65.2%2026-08-29 19:20
Arbitrage (24 combinations) +0.70%Unibet (UK) 2.10 (48.0%) / Marathon Bet 3.84 (26.2%) / SportsBet 3.90 (25.8%)Show all 24 combinations
Leicester City (Local)Plymouth Argyle (Visit)DrawMargin
Unibet (UK)🎯 2.10 (48.0%)Marathon Bet🎯 3.84 (26.2%)Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 3.90 (25.8%)+0.703%
Unibet (UK)🎯 2.10 (48.0%)Marathon Bet🎯 3.84 (26.2%)SportsBet🎯 3.90 (25.8%)+0.703%
Unibet (UK)🎯 2.10 (47.9%)1xBet🎯 3.83 (26.3%)Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 3.90 (25.8%)+0.634%
Unibet (UK)🎯 2.10 (47.9%)1xBet🎯 3.83 (26.3%)SportsBet🎯 3.90 (25.8%)+0.634%
Unibet (UK)🎯 2.10 (47.8%)Fanatics🎯 3.80 (26.4%)Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 3.90 (25.8%)+0.426%
Unibet (UK)🎯 2.10 (47.8%)Fanatics🎯 3.80 (26.4%)SportsBet🎯 3.90 (25.8%)+0.426%
Unibet (UK)🎯 2.10 (47.8%)William Hill🎯 3.80 (26.4%)Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 3.90 (25.8%)+0.426%
Unibet (UK)🎯 2.10 (47.8%)William Hill🎯 3.80 (26.4%)SportsBet🎯 3.90 (25.8%)+0.426%
Unibet (UK)🎯 2.10 (47.8%)888sport🎯 3.80 (26.4%)Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 3.90 (25.8%)+0.426%
Unibet (UK)🎯 2.10 (47.8%)888sport🎯 3.80 (26.4%)SportsBet🎯 3.90 (25.8%)+0.426%
Unibet (UK)🎯 2.10 (47.8%)888sport (SE)🎯 3.80 (26.4%)Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 3.90 (25.8%)+0.426%
Unibet (UK)🎯 2.10 (47.8%)888sport (SE)🎯 3.80 (26.4%)SportsBet🎯 3.90 (25.8%)+0.426%
Unibet (UK)🎯 2.10 (47.8%)Mr Green (SE)🎯 3.80 (26.4%)Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 3.90 (25.8%)+0.426%
Unibet (UK)🎯 2.10 (47.8%)Mr Green (SE)🎯 3.80 (26.4%)SportsBet🎯 3.90 (25.8%)+0.426%
Unibet (UK)🎯 2.10 (47.7%)Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 3.75 (26.7%)Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 3.90 (25.7%)+0.073%
Unibet (UK)🎯 2.10 (47.7%)Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 3.75 (26.7%)SportsBet🎯 3.90 (25.7%)+0.073%
Unibet (UK)🎯 2.10 (47.7%)betfred_uk🎯 3.75 (26.7%)Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 3.90 (25.7%)+0.073%
Unibet (UK)🎯 2.10 (47.7%)betfred_uk🎯 3.75 (26.7%)SportsBet🎯 3.90 (25.7%)+0.073%
Unibet (UK)🎯 2.10 (47.7%)Betr (AU)🎯 3.75 (26.7%)Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 3.90 (25.7%)+0.073%
Unibet (UK)🎯 2.10 (47.7%)Betr (AU)🎯 3.75 (26.7%)SportsBet🎯 3.90 (25.7%)+0.073%
Unibet (UK)🎯 2.10 (47.7%)Coolbet🎯 3.75 (26.7%)Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 3.90 (25.7%)+0.073%
Unibet (UK)🎯 2.10 (47.7%)Coolbet🎯 3.75 (26.7%)SportsBet🎯 3.90 (25.7%)+0.073%
Unibet (UK)🎯 2.10 (47.6%)Marathon Bet🎯 3.84 (26.0%)Betr (AU)🎯 3.80 (26.3%)+0.024%
Unibet (UK)🎯 2.10 (47.6%)Marathon Bet🎯 3.84 (26.0%)Paddy Power🎯 3.80 (26.3%)+0.024%