StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Leicester City v Plymouth Argyle

2026-09-01 18:45 UTC — League 1

Direkter Vergleich

26 Wettanbieter (12 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Leicester City (Heim)

Prognose 49.58%2.02faire Quote
EV +4.13%
Vorteil +1.97%
Kelly +3.75%
Wachstum +0.155%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.10

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
44.72%48.90%49.56%50.65%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.801.881.852.1055.56%53.20%53.91%47.62%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Plymouth Argyle (Auswärts)

Prognose 25.13%3.98faire Quote
EV -3.49%
Vorteil -0.909%
Kelly -1.23%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.84

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
23.97%25.54%25.14%28.46%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.303.663.733.8430.30%27.30%26.85%26.04%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Unentschieden

Prognose 25.28%3.96faire Quote
EV -1.40%
Vorteil -0.359%
Kelly -0.483%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.90

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
24.03%25.56%25.30%27.11%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.403.643.653.9029.41%27.46%27.40%25.64%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Für Direkter Vergleich schätzt Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) folgende Wahrscheinlichkeiten: Leicester City (Heim): 49.58%; Plymouth Argyle (Auswärts): 25.13%; Unentschieden: 25.28%. Für Leicester City (Heim) entspricht diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 2.02. 2 Wettanbieter bieten Quoten über diesem Wert an; die beste verfügbare Quote beträgt 2.10 und ergibt einen positiven Erwartungswert von +4.13%.

Wettanbieterquoten (26 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsUnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
Unibet (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV +4.13%E +1.97%K +3.75%G +0.155%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -17.06%E -5.17%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -11.51%E -3.29%K -4.61%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-29 16:55
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV +1.65%E +0.804%K +1.57%G +0.026%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -17.06%E -5.17%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -14.04%E -4.13%K -5.85%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-29 18:55
LeoVegas🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.00%EV -1.82%E -0.920%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.60%EV -17.06%E -5.17%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -12.78%E -3.70%K -5.21%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-29 19:39
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -5.29%E -2.77%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -12.03%E -3.44%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -3.93%E -1.03%K -1.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-29 19:45
betfred_uk🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.67%EV -5.79%E -3.05%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.17%EV -5.75%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.17%EV -5.19%E -1.38%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-29 16:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.10%EV -6.78%E -3.61%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.12%EV -5.75%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -3.93%E -1.03%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-29 16:55
1xBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.85%EV -6.78%E -3.61%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 24.47%EV -3.74%E -0.977%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.68%EV -7.72%E -2.12%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-29 19:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.55%EV -7.28%E -3.89%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.21%EV -5.75%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.24%EV -1.40%E -0.359%K -0.483%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 18:45
Coolbet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.07%EV -7.28%E -3.89%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -5.75%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -5.19%E -1.38%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 16:55
Pinnacle🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.07%EV -7.28%E -3.89%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.77%EV -5.00%E -1.32%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.17%EV -5.95%E -1.60%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 19:55
DraftKings🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.06%EV -7.28%E -3.89%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.64%EV -4.49%E -1.18%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -6.46%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 19:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.55%EV -7.28%E -3.89%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -9.52%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -5.19%E -1.38%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-29 16:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.15%EV -7.77%E -4.18%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.29%EV -3.49%E -0.909%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.56%EV -7.72%E -2.12%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-29 19:45
SportsBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -8.27%E -4.47%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -7.01%E -1.89%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -1.40%E -0.359%K -0.483%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-29 17:05
Paddy Power🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.33%EV -8.27%E -4.47%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -7.01%E -1.89%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.50%EV -3.93%E -1.03%K -1.40%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-29 16:59
Bet Right🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -8.27%E -4.47%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -9.52%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -6.46%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-29 17:05
PlayUp🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -8.27%E -4.47%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -7.01%E -1.89%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -8.98%E -2.50%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-29 19:44
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -8.27%E -4.47%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -4.49%E -1.18%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -11.51%E -3.29%K -4.61%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-29 17:45
betano_uk🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -8.27%E -4.47%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -9.52%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -8.98%E -2.50%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-29 19:48
Bet Victor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -8.27%E -4.47%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -9.52%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -8.98%E -2.50%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-29 19:48
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -8.27%E -4.47%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -4.49%E -1.18%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -14.04%E -4.13%K -5.85%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-29 17:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -8.27%E -4.47%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -4.49%E -1.18%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -14.04%E -4.13%K -5.85%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-29 17:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -8.27%E -4.47%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -4.49%E -1.18%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -14.04%E -4.13%K -5.85%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-29 17:45
Fanatics🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -9.26%E -5.06%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -4.49%E -1.18%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.98%E -2.50%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-29 17:49
Sky Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.09%EV -9.26%E -5.06%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -9.52%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -5.19%E -1.38%K -1.89%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-29 18:50
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -10.75%E -5.97%K -13.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.03%E -3.44%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -8.98%E -2.50%K -3.46%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-29 19:50
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (5)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.98I 50.51%NM 46.22%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.05%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%9.3%2026-08-29 20:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.98I 50.51%NM 46.22%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.05%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%9.3%2026-08-29 20:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.96I 51.02%NM 46.47%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.91%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.62%9.8%2026-08-29 20:00
Smarkets1.96I 51.02%NM 45.89%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.85%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.26%11.2%2026-08-29 19:50
Matchbook1.88I 53.19%NM 47.19%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.16%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%12.7%2026-08-29 20:00
Arbitrage (29 Kombinationen) +0.70%Unibet (UK) 2.10 (48.0%) / Marathon Bet 3.84 (26.2%) / SportsBet 3.90 (25.8%)Alle 29 Kombinationen anzeigen
Leicester City (Heim)Plymouth Argyle (Auswärts)UnentschiedenMarge
Unibet (UK)🎯 2.10 (48.0%)Marathon Bet🎯 3.84 (26.2%)Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 3.90 (25.8%)+0.703%
Unibet (UK)🎯 2.10 (48.0%)Marathon Bet🎯 3.84 (26.2%)SportsBet🎯 3.90 (25.8%)+0.703%
Unibet (UK)🎯 2.10 (47.9%)1xBet🎯 3.83 (26.3%)Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 3.90 (25.8%)+0.634%
Unibet (UK)🎯 2.10 (47.9%)1xBet🎯 3.83 (26.3%)SportsBet🎯 3.90 (25.8%)+0.634%
Unibet (UK)🎯 2.10 (47.8%)DraftKings🎯 3.80 (26.4%)Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 3.90 (25.8%)+0.426%
Unibet (UK)🎯 2.10 (47.8%)DraftKings🎯 3.80 (26.4%)SportsBet🎯 3.90 (25.8%)+0.426%
Unibet (UK)🎯 2.10 (47.8%)Fanatics🎯 3.80 (26.4%)Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 3.90 (25.8%)+0.426%
Unibet (UK)🎯 2.10 (47.8%)Fanatics🎯 3.80 (26.4%)SportsBet🎯 3.90 (25.8%)+0.426%
Unibet (UK)🎯 2.10 (47.8%)William Hill🎯 3.80 (26.4%)Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 3.90 (25.8%)+0.426%
Unibet (UK)🎯 2.10 (47.8%)William Hill🎯 3.80 (26.4%)SportsBet🎯 3.90 (25.8%)+0.426%
Unibet (UK)🎯 2.10 (47.8%)888sport🎯 3.80 (26.4%)Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 3.90 (25.8%)+0.426%
Unibet (UK)🎯 2.10 (47.8%)888sport🎯 3.80 (26.4%)SportsBet🎯 3.90 (25.8%)+0.426%
Unibet (UK)🎯 2.10 (47.8%)888sport (SE)🎯 3.80 (26.4%)Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 3.90 (25.8%)+0.426%
Unibet (UK)🎯 2.10 (47.8%)888sport (SE)🎯 3.80 (26.4%)SportsBet🎯 3.90 (25.8%)+0.426%
Unibet (UK)🎯 2.10 (47.8%)Mr Green (SE)🎯 3.80 (26.4%)Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 3.90 (25.8%)+0.426%
Unibet (UK)🎯 2.10 (47.8%)Mr Green (SE)🎯 3.80 (26.4%)SportsBet🎯 3.90 (25.8%)+0.426%
Unibet (UK)🎯 2.10 (47.8%)Pinnacle🎯 3.78 (26.5%)Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 3.90 (25.7%)+0.286%
Unibet (UK)🎯 2.10 (47.8%)Pinnacle🎯 3.78 (26.5%)SportsBet🎯 3.90 (25.7%)+0.286%
Unibet (UK)🎯 2.10 (47.7%)Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 3.75 (26.7%)Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 3.90 (25.7%)+0.073%
Unibet (UK)🎯 2.10 (47.7%)Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 3.75 (26.7%)SportsBet🎯 3.90 (25.7%)+0.073%
Unibet (UK)🎯 2.10 (47.7%)betfred_uk🎯 3.75 (26.7%)Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 3.90 (25.7%)+0.073%
Unibet (UK)🎯 2.10 (47.7%)betfred_uk🎯 3.75 (26.7%)SportsBet🎯 3.90 (25.7%)+0.073%
Unibet (UK)🎯 2.10 (47.7%)Betr (AU)🎯 3.75 (26.7%)Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 3.90 (25.7%)+0.073%
Unibet (UK)🎯 2.10 (47.7%)Betr (AU)🎯 3.75 (26.7%)SportsBet🎯 3.90 (25.7%)+0.073%
Unibet (UK)🎯 2.10 (47.7%)Coolbet🎯 3.75 (26.7%)Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 3.90 (25.7%)+0.073%
Unibet (UK)🎯 2.10 (47.7%)Coolbet🎯 3.75 (26.7%)SportsBet🎯 3.90 (25.7%)+0.073%
Unibet (UK)🎯 2.10 (47.6%)Marathon Bet🎯 3.84 (26.0%)Betr (AU)🎯 3.80 (26.3%)+0.024%
Unibet (UK)🎯 2.10 (47.6%)Marathon Bet🎯 3.84 (26.0%)Betway🎯 3.80 (26.3%)+0.024%
Unibet (UK)🎯 2.10 (47.6%)Marathon Bet🎯 3.84 (26.0%)Paddy Power🎯 3.80 (26.3%)+0.024%