Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Leicester City v Plymouth Argyle

2026-09-01 18:45 UTC — League 1

Frente a frente

26 casas de apostas (12 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Leicester City (Local)

Previsão 49.58%2.02odd justa
EV +4.13%
Vantagem +1.97%
Kelly +3.75%
Crescimento +0.155%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
44.72%48.90%49.56%50.65%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.801.881.852.1055.56%53.20%53.91%47.62%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Plymouth Argyle (Visitante)

Previsão 25.13%3.98odd justa
EV -3.49%
Vantagem -0.909%
Kelly -1.23%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.84

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.97%25.54%25.14%28.46%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.303.663.733.8430.30%27.30%26.85%26.04%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 25.28%3.96odd justa
EV -1.40%
Vantagem -0.359%
Kelly -0.483%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.90

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.03%25.56%25.30%27.11%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.403.643.653.9029.41%27.46%27.40%25.64%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Frente a frente, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Leicester City (Local): 49.58%; Plymouth Argyle (Visitante): 25.13%; Empate: 25.28%. Para Leicester City (Local), essa estimativa equivale a odds decimais justas de 2.02. 2 casas de apostas oferecem odds acima desse nível; as melhores odds disponíveis são 2.10, produzindo um valor esperado positivo de +4.13%.

Odds das casas de apostas (26 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Unibet (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV +4.13%E +1.97%K +3.75%G +0.155%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -17.06%E -5.17%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -11.51%E -3.29%K -4.61%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-29 16:55
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV +1.65%E +0.804%K +1.57%G +0.026%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -17.06%E -5.17%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -14.04%E -4.13%K -5.85%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-29 18:55
LeoVegas🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.00%EV -1.82%E -0.920%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.60%EV -17.06%E -5.17%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -12.78%E -3.70%K -5.21%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-29 19:39
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -5.29%E -2.77%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -12.03%E -3.44%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -3.93%E -1.03%K -1.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-29 19:45
betfred_uk🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.67%EV -5.79%E -3.05%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.17%EV -5.75%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.17%EV -5.19%E -1.38%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-29 16:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.10%EV -6.78%E -3.61%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.12%EV -5.75%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -3.93%E -1.03%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-29 16:55
1xBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.85%EV -6.78%E -3.61%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 24.47%EV -3.74%E -0.977%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.68%EV -7.72%E -2.12%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-29 19:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.55%EV -7.28%E -3.89%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.21%EV -5.75%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.24%EV -1.40%E -0.359%K -0.483%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 18:45
Coolbet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.07%EV -7.28%E -3.89%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -5.75%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -5.19%E -1.38%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 16:55
Pinnacle🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.07%EV -7.28%E -3.89%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.77%EV -5.00%E -1.32%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.17%EV -5.95%E -1.60%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 19:55
DraftKings🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.06%EV -7.28%E -3.89%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.64%EV -4.49%E -1.18%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -6.46%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 19:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.55%EV -7.28%E -3.89%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -9.52%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -5.19%E -1.38%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-29 16:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.15%EV -7.77%E -4.18%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.29%EV -3.49%E -0.909%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.56%EV -7.72%E -2.12%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-29 19:45
SportsBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -8.27%E -4.47%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -7.01%E -1.89%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -1.40%E -0.359%K -0.483%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-29 17:05
Paddy Power🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.33%EV -8.27%E -4.47%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -7.01%E -1.89%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.50%EV -3.93%E -1.03%K -1.40%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-29 16:59
Bet Right🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -8.27%E -4.47%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -9.52%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -6.46%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-29 17:05
PlayUp🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -8.27%E -4.47%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -7.01%E -1.89%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -8.98%E -2.50%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-29 19:44
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -8.27%E -4.47%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -4.49%E -1.18%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -11.51%E -3.29%K -4.61%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-29 17:45
betano_uk🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -8.27%E -4.47%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -9.52%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -8.98%E -2.50%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-29 19:48
Bet Victor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -8.27%E -4.47%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -9.52%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -8.98%E -2.50%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-29 19:48
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -8.27%E -4.47%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -4.49%E -1.18%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -14.04%E -4.13%K -5.85%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-29 17:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -8.27%E -4.47%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -4.49%E -1.18%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -14.04%E -4.13%K -5.85%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-29 17:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -8.27%E -4.47%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -4.49%E -1.18%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -14.04%E -4.13%K -5.85%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-29 17:45
Fanatics🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -9.26%E -5.06%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -4.49%E -1.18%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.98%E -2.50%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-29 17:49
Sky Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.09%EV -9.26%E -5.06%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -9.52%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -5.19%E -1.38%K -1.89%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-29 18:50
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -10.75%E -5.97%K -13.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.03%E -3.44%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -8.98%E -2.50%K -3.46%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-29 19:50
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.98I 50.51%NM 46.22%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.05%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%9.3%2026-08-29 20:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.98I 50.51%NM 46.22%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.05%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%9.3%2026-08-29 20:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.96I 51.02%NM 46.47%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.91%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.62%9.8%2026-08-29 20:00
Smarkets1.96I 51.02%NM 45.89%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.85%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.26%11.2%2026-08-29 19:50
Matchbook1.88I 53.19%NM 47.19%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.16%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%12.7%2026-08-29 20:00
Arbitragem (29 combinações) +0.70%Unibet (UK) 2.10 (48.0%) / Marathon Bet 3.84 (26.2%) / SportsBet 3.90 (25.8%)Mostrar as 29 combinações
Leicester City (Local)Plymouth Argyle (Visitante)EmpateMargem
Unibet (UK)🎯 2.10 (48.0%)Marathon Bet🎯 3.84 (26.2%)Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 3.90 (25.8%)+0.703%
Unibet (UK)🎯 2.10 (48.0%)Marathon Bet🎯 3.84 (26.2%)SportsBet🎯 3.90 (25.8%)+0.703%
Unibet (UK)🎯 2.10 (47.9%)1xBet🎯 3.83 (26.3%)Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 3.90 (25.8%)+0.634%
Unibet (UK)🎯 2.10 (47.9%)1xBet🎯 3.83 (26.3%)SportsBet🎯 3.90 (25.8%)+0.634%
Unibet (UK)🎯 2.10 (47.8%)DraftKings🎯 3.80 (26.4%)Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 3.90 (25.8%)+0.426%
Unibet (UK)🎯 2.10 (47.8%)DraftKings🎯 3.80 (26.4%)SportsBet🎯 3.90 (25.8%)+0.426%
Unibet (UK)🎯 2.10 (47.8%)Fanatics🎯 3.80 (26.4%)Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 3.90 (25.8%)+0.426%
Unibet (UK)🎯 2.10 (47.8%)Fanatics🎯 3.80 (26.4%)SportsBet🎯 3.90 (25.8%)+0.426%
Unibet (UK)🎯 2.10 (47.8%)William Hill🎯 3.80 (26.4%)Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 3.90 (25.8%)+0.426%
Unibet (UK)🎯 2.10 (47.8%)William Hill🎯 3.80 (26.4%)SportsBet🎯 3.90 (25.8%)+0.426%
Unibet (UK)🎯 2.10 (47.8%)888sport🎯 3.80 (26.4%)Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 3.90 (25.8%)+0.426%
Unibet (UK)🎯 2.10 (47.8%)888sport🎯 3.80 (26.4%)SportsBet🎯 3.90 (25.8%)+0.426%
Unibet (UK)🎯 2.10 (47.8%)888sport (SE)🎯 3.80 (26.4%)Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 3.90 (25.8%)+0.426%
Unibet (UK)🎯 2.10 (47.8%)888sport (SE)🎯 3.80 (26.4%)SportsBet🎯 3.90 (25.8%)+0.426%
Unibet (UK)🎯 2.10 (47.8%)Mr Green (SE)🎯 3.80 (26.4%)Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 3.90 (25.8%)+0.426%
Unibet (UK)🎯 2.10 (47.8%)Mr Green (SE)🎯 3.80 (26.4%)SportsBet🎯 3.90 (25.8%)+0.426%
Unibet (UK)🎯 2.10 (47.8%)Pinnacle🎯 3.78 (26.5%)Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 3.90 (25.7%)+0.286%
Unibet (UK)🎯 2.10 (47.8%)Pinnacle🎯 3.78 (26.5%)SportsBet🎯 3.90 (25.7%)+0.286%
Unibet (UK)🎯 2.10 (47.7%)Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 3.75 (26.7%)Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 3.90 (25.7%)+0.073%
Unibet (UK)🎯 2.10 (47.7%)Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 3.75 (26.7%)SportsBet🎯 3.90 (25.7%)+0.073%
Unibet (UK)🎯 2.10 (47.7%)betfred_uk🎯 3.75 (26.7%)Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 3.90 (25.7%)+0.073%
Unibet (UK)🎯 2.10 (47.7%)betfred_uk🎯 3.75 (26.7%)SportsBet🎯 3.90 (25.7%)+0.073%
Unibet (UK)🎯 2.10 (47.7%)Betr (AU)🎯 3.75 (26.7%)Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 3.90 (25.7%)+0.073%
Unibet (UK)🎯 2.10 (47.7%)Betr (AU)🎯 3.75 (26.7%)SportsBet🎯 3.90 (25.7%)+0.073%
Unibet (UK)🎯 2.10 (47.7%)Coolbet🎯 3.75 (26.7%)Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 3.90 (25.7%)+0.073%
Unibet (UK)🎯 2.10 (47.7%)Coolbet🎯 3.75 (26.7%)SportsBet🎯 3.90 (25.7%)+0.073%
Unibet (UK)🎯 2.10 (47.6%)Marathon Bet🎯 3.84 (26.0%)Betr (AU)🎯 3.80 (26.3%)+0.024%
Unibet (UK)🎯 2.10 (47.6%)Marathon Bet🎯 3.84 (26.0%)Betway🎯 3.80 (26.3%)+0.024%
Unibet (UK)🎯 2.10 (47.6%)Marathon Bet🎯 3.84 (26.0%)Paddy Power🎯 3.80 (26.3%)+0.024%