Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Leicester City v Plymouth Argyle

Início: 2026-09-01 18:45 UTC

Final: Leicester City 2–0 Plymouth Argyle

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

53 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Leicester City (Local)

Previsão 47.05%2.13odd justa
EV -3.56%
Vantagem -1.73%
Kelly -3.39%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.05

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
45.53%47.15%46.95%49.35%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.871.961.952.0553.48%51.03%51.28%48.78%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Plymouth Argyle (Visitante)

Previsão 27.57%3.63odd justa
EV -0.734%
Vantagem -0.204%
Kelly -0.282%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.03%27.50%27.68%28.99%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.103.413.403.6032.26%29.31%29.41%27.78%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 25.38%3.94odd justa
EV -2.29%
Vantagem -0.594%
Kelly -0.802%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.85

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.96%25.35%25.37%26.72%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.453.643.653.8528.99%27.49%27.40%25.97%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Leicester City (Local): 47.05%; Plymouth Argyle (Visitante): 27.57%; Empate: 25.38%. Para Plymouth Argyle (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.63. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 3.60, com valor esperado de -0.734%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (53 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.36%EV -3.56%E -1.73%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.95%EV -6.25%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -6.09%E -1.65%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 18:20
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.33%EV -3.56%E -1.73%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.35%EV -7.63%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.32%EV -4.82%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 18:20
Unibet (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -3.56%E -1.73%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -9.01%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -8.63%E -2.40%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-01 18:20
Pinnacle🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.14%EV -4.03%E -1.97%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.88%EV -4.87%E -1.41%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.98%EV -2.29%E -0.594%K -0.802%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-01 18:30
BetOnline.ag🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.40%EV -4.97%E -2.46%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -6.25%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -8.63%E -2.40%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-01 18:30
LowVig.ag🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.40%EV -4.97%E -2.46%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -6.25%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -8.63%E -2.40%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-01 18:30
betano_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -5.91%E -2.95%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.25%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -6.09%E -1.65%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-01 18:28
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -5.91%E -2.95%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.25%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -6.09%E -1.65%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-01 18:28
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -5.91%E -2.95%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.25%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -6.09%E -1.65%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-01 18:20
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -5.91%E -2.95%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -9.01%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -3.55%E -0.935%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-01 18:35
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -5.91%E -2.95%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.01%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -8.63%E -2.40%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-01 18:30
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -5.91%E -2.95%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.01%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -8.63%E -2.40%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-01 18:19
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -5.91%E -2.95%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -9.01%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -11.17%E -3.19%K -4.47%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-01 18:20
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -5.91%E -2.95%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -9.01%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -11.17%E -3.19%K -4.47%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-01 18:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -5.91%E -2.95%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -9.01%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -11.17%E -3.19%K -4.47%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-01 18:20
LeoVegas🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -5.91%E -2.95%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -10.39%E -3.20%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -9.90%E -2.79%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-01 18:35
Codere (IT)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -5.91%E -2.95%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -11.76%E -3.68%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -11.17%E -3.19%K -4.47%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-01 18:30
SportsBet🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.07%EV -6.38%E -3.21%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -7.63%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.98%EV -4.82%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-01 18:20
1xBet🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 46.96%EV -6.38%E -3.21%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.65%EV -6.80%E -2.01%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.39%EV -6.60%E -1.79%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-01 18:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -6.85%E -3.46%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -7.63%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -6.09%E -1.65%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-01 18:20
Neds🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -6.85%E -3.46%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -7.63%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -6.09%E -1.65%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-01 18:20
NordicBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.56%EV -6.85%E -3.46%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -4.87%E -1.41%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -12.44%E -3.61%K -5.08%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-01 18:35
Betsson🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.56%EV -6.85%E -3.46%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -4.87%E -1.41%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -12.44%E -3.61%K -5.08%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-01 18:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.50%EV -8.26%E -4.24%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -0.734%E -0.204%K -0.282%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -4.82%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-01 18:40
betfred_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.50%EV -8.26%E -4.24%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -0.734%E -0.204%K -0.282%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -4.82%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-31 07:00
Unibet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.17%EV -8.26%E -4.24%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -0.734%E -0.204%K -0.282%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -7.36%E -2.02%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-01 17:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.82%EV -8.26%E -4.24%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.11%EV -5.15%E -1.50%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.07%EV -5.59%E -1.50%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-01 18:35
Sky Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.53%EV -8.26%E -4.24%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -9.01%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -3.55%E -0.935%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-01 18:20
PlayUp🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.44%EV -8.26%E -4.24%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -6.25%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.35%EV -7.36%E -2.02%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-01 18:35
Paddy Power🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.37%EV -8.26%E -4.24%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -9.01%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -4.82%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-01 18:20
BetUS🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -8.26%E -4.24%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.50%EV -7.63%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.24%EV -7.36%E -2.02%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-01 18:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -8.26%E -4.24%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -9.01%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -6.09%E -1.65%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-01 18:30
TAB🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -8.26%E -4.24%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -6.25%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -11.17%E -3.19%K -4.47%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-01 18:35
Fanatics🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -8.26%E -4.24%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -9.01%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -8.63%E -2.40%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-01 18:30
Bovada🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -8.26%E -4.24%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -9.01%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -8.63%E -2.40%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-01 18:40
Casumo🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.30%EV -8.73%E -4.50%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -0.734%E -0.204%K -0.282%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -7.36%E -2.02%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-01 17:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.30%EV -8.73%E -4.50%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -0.734%E -0.204%K -0.282%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -7.36%E -2.02%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-01 17:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.30%EV -8.73%E -4.50%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -0.734%E -0.204%K -0.282%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -7.36%E -2.02%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-01 17:50
betPARX🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.30%EV -8.73%E -4.50%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -0.734%E -0.204%K -0.282%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -7.36%E -2.02%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-01 17:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.30%EV -8.73%E -4.50%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -0.734%E -0.204%K -0.282%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -7.36%E -2.02%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-01 17:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.30%EV -8.73%E -4.50%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -0.734%E -0.204%K -0.282%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -7.36%E -2.02%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-01 17:50
Coolbet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -9.20%E -4.77%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -3.49%E -0.998%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -4.82%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-31 07:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.50%EV -10.14%E -5.31%K -11.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -3.49%E -0.998%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -6.09%E -1.65%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-31 06:59
Bet Right🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.98%EV -10.14%E -5.31%K -11.15%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -4.87%E -1.41%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -8.63%E -2.40%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-01 18:40
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.05%EV -10.14%E -5.31%K -11.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.99%EV -14.52%E -4.68%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -4.82%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-01 18:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 47.90%EV -11.08%E -5.86%K -12.45%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.24%EV -4.87%E -1.41%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.86%EV -11.17%E -3.19%K -4.47%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-01 17:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 47.90%EV -11.08%E -5.86%K -12.45%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.24%EV -4.87%E -1.41%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.86%EV -11.17%E -3.19%K -4.47%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-01 17:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.03%EV -11.55%E -6.15%K -13.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.17%EV -4.87%E -1.41%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.80%EV -11.17%E -3.19%K -4.47%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-01 17:50
BetRivers🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.03%EV -11.55%E -6.15%K -13.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.17%EV -4.87%E -1.41%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.80%EV -11.17%E -3.19%K -4.47%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-01 17:50
Grosvenor🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.03%EV -11.55%E -6.15%K -13.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.17%EV -4.87%E -1.41%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.80%EV -11.17%E -3.19%K -4.47%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-01 17:50
TABtouch🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.03%EV -11.55%E -6.15%K -13.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.17%EV -4.87%E -1.41%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.80%EV -11.17%E -3.19%K -4.47%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-01 17:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.35%EV -12.02%E -6.43%K -13.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -3.49%E -0.998%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -3.55%E -0.935%K -1.27%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-01 18:40
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.03%EV -12.02%E -6.43%K -13.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -3.49%E -0.998%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -6.09%E -1.65%K -2.26%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-31 07:00
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Smarkets◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.52%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.46%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.02%1.2%2026-09-01 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.06I 48.54%NM 47.91%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.42%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67%1.3%2026-09-01 18:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.06I 48.54%NM 47.91%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.42%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67%1.3%2026-09-01 18:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.06I 48.54%NM 47.91%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.42%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67%1.3%2026-09-01 18:35
Matchbook◎2.06I 48.54%NM 47.91%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.42%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67%1.3%2026-09-01 18:35