The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Leicester City v Doncaster Rovers

Kickoff: 2026-10-17 14:00 UTC

Final: Leicester City 2–1 Doncaster Rovers

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

52 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Leicester City (Local)

Prediction 52.65%1.90fair odd
EV -2.60%
Edge -1.40%
Kelly -3.05%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.81%52.63%52.59%55.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.771.771.8560.61%56.42%56.50%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Doncaster Rovers (Visit)

Prediction 24.10%4.15fair odd
EV -1.18%
Edge -0.287%
Kelly -0.380%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.73%24.12%24.10%25.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.863.904.1028.57%25.88%25.64%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.25%4.30fair odd
EV +0.654%
Edge +0.151%
Kelly +0.196%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 4.33

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.60%23.26%23.31%24.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.653.933.904.3327.40%25.45%25.64%23.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Leicester City (Local): 52.65%; Doncaster Rovers (Visit): 24.10%; Draw: 23.25%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.30. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.33, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.654%.

Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
Sky Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.02%EV -10.49%E -6.17%K -14.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -3.59%E -0.897%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.60%EV +0.654%E +0.151%K +0.196%G +0.001%6.9%2026-10-17 13:40
Pinnacle🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.69%EV -5.75%E -3.21%K -7.28%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.85%EV -2.86%E -0.711%K -0.945%G +0.000%4.28I 23.36%NM 22.46%EV -0.508%E -0.119%K -0.155%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-17 13:40
DraftKings🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.33%EV -6.81%E -3.85%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -6.00%E -1.54%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -2.37%E -0.564%K -0.740%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-17 13:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.61%EV -7.86%E -4.49%K -10.48%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -6.00%E -1.54%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -2.37%E -0.564%K -0.740%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-17 13:43
Betway🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -7.86%E -4.49%K -10.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -8.41%E -2.21%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -2.37%E -0.564%K -0.740%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-17 13:34
Betr (AU)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.89%EV -6.28%E -3.53%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -6.00%E -1.54%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -4.69%E -1.14%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-17 13:40
SportsBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -8.91%E -5.15%K -12.21%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -1.18%E -0.287%K -0.380%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -4.69%E -1.14%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-17 13:35
Tipico (DE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.10%EV -13.13%E -7.95%K -20.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -3.59%E -0.897%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.17%EV -4.69%E -1.14%K -1.51%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-17 13:34
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.30%EV -2.60%E -1.40%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -8.41%E -2.21%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.73%EV -7.02%E -1.75%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-17 13:35
betfred_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.23%E -2.90%K -6.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -3.59%E -0.897%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -7.02%E -1.75%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-17 13:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -3.65%E -1.99%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -9.61%E -2.56%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -7.02%E -1.75%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-17 13:35
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.64%EV -7.86%E -4.49%K -10.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.89%EV -1.18%E -0.287%K -0.380%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -7.02%E -1.75%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-17 13:39
betano_uk🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.64%EV -7.86%E -4.49%K -10.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.89%EV -1.18%E -0.287%K -0.380%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -7.02%E -1.75%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-17 13:38
BetOnline.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.59%EV -6.28%E -3.53%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -6.00%E -1.54%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -7.02%E -1.75%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-17 13:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.59%EV -6.28%E -3.53%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -6.00%E -1.54%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -7.02%E -1.75%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-17 13:55
1xBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -6.81%E -3.85%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 23.84%EV -5.52%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -7.02%E -1.75%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-17 13:35
Coolbet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.43%EV -6.28%E -3.53%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.24%EV -7.20%E -1.87%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -7.02%E -1.75%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-17 13:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.14%EV -7.86%E -4.49%K -10.48%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.60%EV -5.03%E -1.28%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -7.02%E -1.75%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-17 13:33
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.91%E -5.15%K -12.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -3.59%E -0.897%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -7.02%E -1.75%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-17 13:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.40%EV -6.81%E -3.85%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -8.41%E -2.21%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -7.02%E -1.75%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-17 13:40
theScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.59%EV -9.97%E -5.83%K -14.04%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -6.00%E -1.54%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -7.02%E -1.75%K -2.34%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-17 13:40
picklebet_au🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.15%EV -2.60%E -1.40%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -8.41%E -2.21%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.95%EV -8.18%E -2.07%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-17 13:35
BetUS🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.58%EV -6.81%E -3.85%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -6.00%E -1.54%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -8.18%E -2.07%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-17 13:55
BetMGM🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -3.65%E -1.99%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -10.82%E -2.92%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -9.34%E -2.40%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-17 13:35
Neds🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.06%EV -4.18%E -2.29%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -10.82%E -2.92%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -9.34%E -2.40%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-17 13:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.06%EV -4.18%E -2.29%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -10.82%E -2.92%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -9.34%E -2.40%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-17 13:35
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.51%EV -5.23%E -2.90%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -9.61%E -2.56%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -9.34%E -2.40%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-17 13:45
Bovada🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.23%EV -7.33%E -4.17%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -8.41%E -2.21%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -9.34%E -2.40%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-17 13:40
Bet Right🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.38%EV -7.86%E -4.49%K -10.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -8.41%E -2.21%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -9.34%E -2.40%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-17 13:40
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.04%EV -7.86%E -4.49%K -10.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -10.82%E -2.92%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.35%EV -9.34%E -2.40%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-17 13:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.04%EV -7.86%E -4.49%K -10.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -10.82%E -2.92%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.35%EV -9.34%E -2.40%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-17 13:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.04%EV -7.86%E -4.49%K -10.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -10.82%E -2.92%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.35%EV -9.34%E -2.40%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-17 13:45
Unibet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.86%EV -4.70%E -2.60%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.76%EV -4.79%E -1.21%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -10.50%E -2.73%K -3.69%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-17 13:35
Casumo🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.86%EV -4.70%E -2.60%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.76%EV -4.79%E -1.21%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -10.50%E -2.73%K -3.69%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-17 13:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.86%EV -4.70%E -2.60%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.76%EV -4.79%E -1.21%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -10.50%E -2.73%K -3.69%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-17 13:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.86%EV -4.70%E -2.60%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.76%EV -4.79%E -1.21%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -10.50%E -2.73%K -3.69%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-17 13:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.86%EV -4.70%E -2.60%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.76%EV -4.79%E -1.21%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -10.50%E -2.73%K -3.69%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-17 13:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.86%EV -4.70%E -2.60%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.76%EV -4.79%E -1.21%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -10.50%E -2.73%K -3.69%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-17 13:35
betPARX🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.86%EV -4.70%E -2.60%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.76%EV -4.79%E -1.21%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -10.50%E -2.73%K -3.69%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-17 13:30
PlayUp🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.85%EV -7.86%E -4.49%K -10.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -3.59%E -0.897%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -10.50%E -2.73%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-17 13:50
Betsson🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.86%E -4.49%K -10.48%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.35%EV -4.79%E -1.21%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -10.50%E -2.73%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-17 13:35
NordicBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.86%E -4.49%K -10.48%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.35%EV -4.79%E -1.21%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -10.50%E -2.73%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-17 13:35
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -5.23%E -2.90%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -8.41%E -2.21%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -11.67%E -3.07%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-17 13:35
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.38%EV -7.86%E -4.49%K -10.48%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -6.00%E -1.54%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -11.67%E -3.07%K -4.17%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-17 13:55
Codere (IT)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 50.81%EV -5.75%E -3.21%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -13.23%E -3.67%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.93%EV -11.67%E -3.07%K -4.17%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-17 13:40
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.29%EV -8.91%E -5.15%K -12.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -15.64%E -4.47%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.35%EV -11.67%E -3.07%K -4.17%G +0.000%12.7%2026-10-17 13:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.44%EV -6.81%E -3.85%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.96%EV -8.41%E -2.21%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -13.99%E -3.78%K -5.18%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-17 13:35
Grosvenor🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 51.58%EV -7.33%E -4.17%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -8.41%E -2.21%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.53%EV -13.99%E -3.78%K -5.18%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-17 13:30
TABtouch🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 51.58%EV -7.33%E -4.17%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -8.41%E -2.21%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.53%EV -13.99%E -3.78%K -5.18%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-17 13:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 51.58%EV -7.33%E -4.17%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -8.41%E -2.21%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.53%EV -13.99%E -3.78%K -5.18%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-17 13:30
BetRivers🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.38%EV -7.86%E -4.49%K -10.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.98%EV -9.61%E -2.56%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.64%EV -15.15%E -4.15%K -5.72%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-17 13:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.38%EV -7.86%E -4.49%K -10.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.98%EV -9.61%E -2.56%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.64%EV -15.15%E -4.15%K -5.72%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-17 13:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook◎1.80I 55.56%NM 55.28%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.61%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.11%0.5%2026-10-17 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.50%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.50%1.0%2026-10-17 13:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.50%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.50%1.0%2026-10-17 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.50%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.50%1.0%2026-10-17 13:55
Smarkets◎1.80I 55.56%NM 54.71%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.38%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.90%1.5%2026-10-17 13:45