The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Leicester City v Doncaster Rovers

2026-10-17 14:00 UTC — League 1

Head to Head

31 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Leicester City (Local)

Prediction 51.69%1.93fair odd
EV -4.38%
Edge -2.37%
Kelly -5.15%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.93%51.73%51.67%53.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.681.761.751.8559.52%56.75%57.14%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Doncaster Rovers (Visit)

Prediction 24.43%4.09fair odd
EV +3.81%
Edge +0.896%
Kelly +1.17%
Growth +0.045%

assuming max odds 4.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.98%24.37%24.40%26.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.974.004.2528.57%25.21%25.00%23.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.89%4.19fair odd
EV -2.78%
Edge -0.682%
Kelly -0.905%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.07

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.26%23.90%23.94%24.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.703.863.904.0727.03%25.90%25.64%24.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Leicester City (Local): 51.69%; Doncaster Rovers (Visit): 24.43%; Draw: 23.89%. For Doncaster Rovers (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.09. 13 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 4.25, producing a positive expected value of +3.81%.

Sportsbook Odds (31 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.89%EV -10.06%E -5.78%K -13.60%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.06%EV +3.81%E +0.896%K +1.17%G +0.045%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.04%EV -6.84%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-10 14:10
Casumo🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.89%EV -10.06%E -5.78%K -13.60%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.06%EV +3.81%E +0.896%K +1.17%G +0.045%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.04%EV -6.84%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-10 14:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.89%EV -10.06%E -5.78%K -13.60%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.06%EV +3.81%E +0.896%K +1.17%G +0.045%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.04%EV -6.84%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-10 14:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.89%EV -10.06%E -5.78%K -13.60%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.06%EV +3.81%E +0.896%K +1.17%G +0.045%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.04%EV -6.84%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-10 14:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.89%EV -10.06%E -5.78%K -13.60%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.06%EV +3.81%E +0.896%K +1.17%G +0.045%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.04%EV -6.84%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-10 14:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.89%EV -10.06%E -5.78%K -13.60%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.06%EV +3.81%E +0.896%K +1.17%G +0.045%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.04%EV -6.84%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-10 14:10
betPARX🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.89%EV -10.06%E -5.78%K -13.60%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.06%EV +3.81%E +0.896%K +1.17%G +0.045%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.04%EV -6.84%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-10 14:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.89%EV -10.06%E -5.78%K -13.60%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.06%EV +3.81%E +0.896%K +1.17%G +0.045%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.04%EV -6.84%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-10 14:25
Grosvenor🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.83%EV -13.17%E -7.84%K -19.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.06%EV +0.145%E +0.035%K +0.047%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -10.42%E -2.78%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-10 14:10
TABtouch🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.83%EV -13.17%E -7.84%K -19.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.06%EV +0.145%E +0.035%K +0.047%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -10.42%E -2.78%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-10 14:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.83%EV -13.17%E -7.84%K -19.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.06%EV +0.145%E +0.035%K +0.047%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -10.42%E -2.78%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-10 14:25
BetRivers🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.65%EV -13.17%E -7.84%K -19.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.98%EV +0.145%E +0.035%K +0.047%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.36%EV -11.62%E -3.14%K -4.30%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-10 14:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.65%EV -13.17%E -7.84%K -19.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.98%EV +0.145%E +0.035%K +0.047%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.36%EV -11.62%E -3.14%K -4.30%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-10 14:10
betfred_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.96%E -3.87%K -8.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -2.30%E -0.574%K -0.766%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -4.45%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-10 19:24
SportsBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -8.00%E -4.49%K -10.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -2.30%E -0.574%K -0.766%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -4.45%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-10 19:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -9.55%E -5.46%K -12.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -2.30%E -0.574%K -0.766%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -4.45%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-10 19:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%EV -6.96%E -3.87%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -4.74%E -1.22%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -4.45%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-10 19:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -8.51%E -4.81%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -4.74%E -1.22%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -6.84%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-10 19:24
Coolbet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.43%EV -8.00%E -4.49%K -10.25%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.24%EV -5.96%E -1.55%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -4.45%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-10 19:25
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -6.96%E -3.87%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -7.18%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -9.23%E -2.43%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-10 19:40
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.19%EV -6.96%E -3.87%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -7.18%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -10.42%E -2.78%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-10 19:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.19%EV -6.96%E -3.87%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -7.18%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -10.42%E -2.78%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-10 19:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.19%EV -6.96%E -3.87%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -7.18%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -10.42%E -2.78%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-10 19:05
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.19%EV -6.96%E -3.87%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -7.18%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -10.42%E -2.78%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-10 19:05
Bet Right🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.08%EV -9.03%E -5.13%K -11.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -7.18%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.81%EV -8.03%E -2.09%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-10 19:24
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -9.55%E -5.46%K -12.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -7.18%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -9.23%E -2.43%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-10 19:23
Sky Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.01%EV -10.58%E -6.12%K -14.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.99%EV -8.40%E -2.24%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.99%EV -10.42%E -2.78%K -3.79%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-10 20:10
1xBet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 50.83%EV -4.90%E -2.66%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.07%EV -8.89%E -2.38%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.10%EV -7.32%E -1.89%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-10 19:34
Pinnacle🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.16%EV -4.38%E -2.37%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.58%EV -9.63%E -2.60%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.26%EV -2.78%E -0.682%K -0.905%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-10 19:15
LeoVegas🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.11%EV -4.38%E -2.37%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.12%EV -13.29%E -3.74%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -6.84%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-10 19:09
Unibet (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.93%EV -4.38%E -2.37%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -14.51%E -4.15%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -6.84%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-10 19:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎1.75I 57.14%NM 49.02%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.81%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.17%16.6%2026-10-10 19:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.71I 58.48%NM 45.19%2.78I 35.97%NM 27.80%2.86I 34.97%NM 27.02%29.4%2026-10-10 20:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.71I 58.48%NM 45.19%2.78I 35.97%NM 27.80%2.86I 34.97%NM 27.02%29.4%2026-10-10 20:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.71I 58.48%NM 31.72%1.10I 90.91%NM 49.31%2.86I 34.97%NM 18.97%84.4%2026-10-10 20:05