Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Leicester City v Doncaster Rovers

2026-10-17 14:00 UTC — League 1

Frente a frente

33 casas de apostas (9 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Leicester City (Local)

Previsão 51.34%1.95odd justa
EV -5.02%
Vantagem -2.71%
Kelly -5.90%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.85

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
49.70%51.39%51.55%53.89%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.681.771.761.8559.52%56.61%56.82%54.05%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Doncaster Rovers (Visitante)

Previsão 24.82%4.03odd justa
EV +5.50%
Vantagem +1.29%
Kelly +1.69%
Crescimento +0.093%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.25

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
21.98%24.74%24.50%26.39%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.453.943.904.2528.99%25.38%25.64%23.53%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 23.83%4.20odd justa
EV -2.99%
Vantagem -0.735%
Kelly -0.975%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.07

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.26%23.86%23.96%24.57%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.703.863.904.0727.03%25.89%25.64%24.57%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Frente a frente, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Leicester City (Local): 51.34%; Doncaster Rovers (Visitante): 24.82%; Empate: 23.83%. Para Doncaster Rovers (Visitante), essa estimativa equivale a odds decimais justas de 4.03. 13 casas de apostas oferecem odds acima desse nível; as melhores odds disponíveis são 4.25, produzindo um valor esperado positivo de +5.50%.

Odds das casas de apostas (33 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Unibet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.89%EV -10.66%E -6.13%K -14.41%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.06%EV +5.50%E +1.29%K +1.69%G +0.093%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.04%EV -7.05%E -1.81%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-10 14:10
Casumo🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.89%EV -10.66%E -6.13%K -14.41%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.06%EV +5.50%E +1.29%K +1.69%G +0.093%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.04%EV -7.05%E -1.81%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-10 14:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.89%EV -10.66%E -6.13%K -14.41%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.06%EV +5.50%E +1.29%K +1.69%G +0.093%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.04%EV -7.05%E -1.81%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-10 14:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.89%EV -10.66%E -6.13%K -14.41%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.06%EV +5.50%E +1.29%K +1.69%G +0.093%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.04%EV -7.05%E -1.81%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-10 14:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.89%EV -10.66%E -6.13%K -14.41%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.06%EV +5.50%E +1.29%K +1.69%G +0.093%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.04%EV -7.05%E -1.81%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-10 14:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.89%EV -10.66%E -6.13%K -14.41%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.06%EV +5.50%E +1.29%K +1.69%G +0.093%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.04%EV -7.05%E -1.81%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-10 14:10
betPARX🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.89%EV -10.66%E -6.13%K -14.41%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.06%EV +5.50%E +1.29%K +1.69%G +0.093%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.04%EV -7.05%E -1.81%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-10 14:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.89%EV -10.66%E -6.13%K -14.41%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.06%EV +5.50%E +1.29%K +1.69%G +0.093%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.04%EV -7.05%E -1.81%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-10 14:25
Grosvenor🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.83%EV -13.74%E -8.18%K -20.21%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.06%EV +1.77%E +0.432%K +0.572%G +0.010%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -10.62%E -2.83%K -3.86%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-10 14:10
TABtouch🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.83%EV -13.74%E -8.18%K -20.21%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.06%EV +1.77%E +0.432%K +0.572%G +0.010%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -10.62%E -2.83%K -3.86%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-10 14:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.83%EV -13.74%E -8.18%K -20.21%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.06%EV +1.77%E +0.432%K +0.572%G +0.010%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -10.62%E -2.83%K -3.86%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-10 14:25
BetRivers🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.65%EV -13.74%E -8.18%K -20.21%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.98%EV +1.77%E +0.432%K +0.572%G +0.010%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.36%EV -11.81%E -3.19%K -4.37%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-10 14:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.65%EV -13.74%E -8.18%K -20.21%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.98%EV +1.77%E +0.432%K +0.572%G +0.010%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.36%EV -11.81%E -3.19%K -4.37%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-10 14:10
betfred_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.58%E -4.21%K -9.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -0.709%E -0.177%K -0.236%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -4.66%E -1.17%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-10 19:24
SportsBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -8.61%E -4.84%K -11.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -0.709%E -0.177%K -0.236%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -4.66%E -1.17%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-10 19:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -10.15%E -5.80%K -13.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -0.709%E -0.177%K -0.236%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -4.66%E -1.17%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-10 19:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%EV -7.58%E -4.21%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -3.19%E -0.818%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -4.66%E -1.17%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-10 19:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -9.12%E -5.15%K -11.85%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -3.19%E -0.818%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -7.05%E -1.81%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-10 19:24
Coolbet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.43%EV -8.61%E -4.84%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.24%EV -4.43%E -1.15%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -4.66%E -1.17%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-10 19:25
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -7.58%E -4.21%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -5.67%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -9.43%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-10 19:40
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.19%EV -7.58%E -4.21%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -5.67%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -10.62%E -2.83%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-10 19:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.19%EV -7.58%E -4.21%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -5.67%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -10.62%E -2.83%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-10 19:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.19%EV -7.58%E -4.21%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -5.67%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -10.62%E -2.83%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-10 19:05
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.19%EV -7.58%E -4.21%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -5.67%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -10.62%E -2.83%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-10 19:05
Bet Right🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.08%EV -9.64%E -5.48%K -12.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -5.67%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.81%EV -8.24%E -2.14%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-10 19:24
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -10.15%E -5.80%K -13.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -5.67%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -9.43%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-10 19:23
Sky Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.01%EV -11.18%E -6.46%K -15.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.99%EV -6.91%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.99%EV -10.62%E -2.83%K -3.86%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-10 20:10
1xBet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 50.83%EV -5.53%E -3.01%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.07%EV -7.41%E -1.99%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.10%EV -7.52%E -1.94%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-10 19:34
Pinnacle🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.16%EV -5.02%E -2.71%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.58%EV -8.16%E -2.20%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.26%EV -2.99%E -0.735%K -0.975%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-10 19:15
DraftKings🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.72%EV -6.04%E -3.30%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.78%EV -10.64%E -2.96%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.50%EV -5.85%E -1.48%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-10 20:30
LeoVegas🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.11%EV -5.02%E -2.71%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.12%EV -11.88%E -3.35%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -7.05%E -1.81%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-10 19:09
Unibet (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.93%EV -5.02%E -2.71%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -13.12%E -3.75%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -7.05%E -1.81%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-10 19:10
Codere (IT)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.70%EV -6.04%E -3.30%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.36%EV -14.36%E -4.16%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.94%EV -9.43%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-10 21:35
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Smarkets◎1.75I 57.14%NM 49.02%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.81%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.17%16.6%2026-10-10 19:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.71I 58.48%NM 45.27%2.78I 35.97%NM 27.85%2.88I 34.72%NM 26.88%29.2%2026-10-10 20:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.71I 58.48%NM 45.27%2.78I 35.97%NM 27.85%2.88I 34.72%NM 26.88%29.2%2026-10-10 20:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.71I 58.48%NM 24.34%1.10I 90.91%NM 37.83%1.10I 90.91%NM 37.83%140.3%2026-10-10 21:25