Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Leicester City v Doncaster Rovers

2026-10-17 14:00 UTC — League 1

Testa a testa

32 bookmaker (8 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Leicester City (Casa)

Previsione 51.55%1.94quota equa
EV -4.62%
Vantaggio -2.50%
Kelly -5.44%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.85

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
49.93%51.61%51.63%53.89%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.681.761.751.8559.52%56.68%56.98%54.05%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Doncaster Rovers (Trasferta)

Previsione 24.61%4.06quota equa
EV +4.59%
Vantaggio +1.08%
Kelly +1.41%
Crescita +0.065%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.25

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
21.98%24.54%24.46%26.39%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.503.963.954.2528.57%25.28%25.32%23.53%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 23.84%4.20quota equa
EV -2.99%
Vantaggio -0.735%
Kelly -0.974%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.07

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
23.26%23.85%23.91%24.57%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.703.863.904.0727.03%25.88%25.64%24.57%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Per Testa a testa, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stima queste probabilità: Leicester City (Casa): 51.55%; Doncaster Rovers (Trasferta): 24.61%; Pareggio: 23.84%. Per Doncaster Rovers (Trasferta), questa stima equivale a una quota decimale equa di 4.06. 13 bookmaker offrono quote superiori a tale livello; la migliore quota disponibile è 4.25, con un valore atteso positivo del +4.59%.

Quote dei bookmaker (32 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Unibet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.89%EV -10.29%E -5.92%K -13.91%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.06%EV +4.59%E +1.08%K +1.41%G +0.065%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.04%EV -7.04%E -1.81%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-10 14:10
Casumo🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.89%EV -10.29%E -5.92%K -13.91%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.06%EV +4.59%E +1.08%K +1.41%G +0.065%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.04%EV -7.04%E -1.81%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-10 14:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.89%EV -10.29%E -5.92%K -13.91%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.06%EV +4.59%E +1.08%K +1.41%G +0.065%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.04%EV -7.04%E -1.81%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-10 14:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.89%EV -10.29%E -5.92%K -13.91%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.06%EV +4.59%E +1.08%K +1.41%G +0.065%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.04%EV -7.04%E -1.81%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-10 14:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.89%EV -10.29%E -5.92%K -13.91%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.06%EV +4.59%E +1.08%K +1.41%G +0.065%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.04%EV -7.04%E -1.81%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-10 14:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.89%EV -10.29%E -5.92%K -13.91%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.06%EV +4.59%E +1.08%K +1.41%G +0.065%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.04%EV -7.04%E -1.81%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-10 14:10
betPARX🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.89%EV -10.29%E -5.92%K -13.91%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.06%EV +4.59%E +1.08%K +1.41%G +0.065%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.04%EV -7.04%E -1.81%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-10 14:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.89%EV -10.29%E -5.92%K -13.91%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.06%EV +4.59%E +1.08%K +1.41%G +0.065%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.04%EV -7.04%E -1.81%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-10 14:25
Grosvenor🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.83%EV -13.39%E -7.97%K -19.69%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.06%EV +0.900%E +0.220%K +0.290%G +0.003%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -10.62%E -2.83%K -3.86%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-10 14:10
TABtouch🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.83%EV -13.39%E -7.97%K -19.69%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.06%EV +0.900%E +0.220%K +0.290%G +0.003%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -10.62%E -2.83%K -3.86%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-10 14:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.83%EV -13.39%E -7.97%K -19.69%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.06%EV +0.900%E +0.220%K +0.290%G +0.003%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -10.62%E -2.83%K -3.86%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-10 14:25
BetRivers🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.65%EV -13.39%E -7.97%K -19.69%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.98%EV +0.900%E +0.220%K +0.290%G +0.003%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.36%EV -11.81%E -3.19%K -4.37%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-10 14:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.65%EV -13.39%E -7.97%K -19.69%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.98%EV +0.900%E +0.220%K +0.290%G +0.003%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.36%EV -11.81%E -3.19%K -4.37%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-10 14:10
betfred_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.20%E -4.00%K -9.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -1.56%E -0.390%K -0.520%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -4.66%E -1.16%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-10 19:24
SportsBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -8.23%E -4.63%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -1.56%E -0.390%K -0.520%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -4.66%E -1.16%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-10 19:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -9.78%E -5.59%K -13.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -1.56%E -0.390%K -0.520%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -4.66%E -1.16%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-10 19:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%EV -7.20%E -4.00%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -4.02%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -4.66%E -1.16%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-10 19:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -8.75%E -4.94%K -11.36%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -4.02%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -7.04%E -1.81%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-10 19:24
Coolbet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.43%EV -8.23%E -4.63%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.24%EV -5.25%E -1.36%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -4.66%E -1.16%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-10 19:25
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -7.20%E -4.00%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -6.48%E -1.71%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -9.43%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-10 19:40
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.19%EV -7.20%E -4.00%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -6.48%E -1.71%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -10.62%E -2.83%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-10 19:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.19%EV -7.20%E -4.00%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -6.48%E -1.71%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -10.62%E -2.83%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-10 19:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.19%EV -7.20%E -4.00%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -6.48%E -1.71%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -10.62%E -2.83%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-10 19:05
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.19%EV -7.20%E -4.00%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -6.48%E -1.71%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -10.62%E -2.83%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-10 19:05
Bet Right🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.08%EV -9.26%E -5.26%K -12.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -6.48%E -1.71%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.81%EV -8.23%E -2.14%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-10 19:24
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -9.78%E -5.59%K -13.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -6.48%E -1.71%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -9.43%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-10 19:23
Sky Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.01%EV -10.81%E -6.25%K -14.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.99%EV -7.71%E -2.06%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.99%EV -10.62%E -2.83%K -3.86%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-10 20:10
1xBet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 50.83%EV -5.14%E -2.79%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.07%EV -8.21%E -2.20%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.10%EV -7.52%E -1.94%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-10 19:34
Pinnacle🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.16%EV -4.62%E -2.50%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.58%EV -8.94%E -2.42%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.26%EV -2.99%E -0.735%K -0.974%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-10 19:15
DraftKings🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.72%EV -5.65%E -3.09%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.78%EV -11.40%E -3.17%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.50%EV -5.85%E -1.48%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-10 20:30
LeoVegas🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.11%EV -4.62%E -2.50%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.12%EV -12.64%E -3.56%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -7.04%E -1.81%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-10 19:09
Unibet (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.93%EV -4.62%E -2.50%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -13.87%E -3.96%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -7.04%E -1.81%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-10 19:10
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (4)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Smarkets◎1.75I 57.14%NM 49.02%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.81%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.17%16.6%2026-10-10 19:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.71I 58.48%NM 45.27%2.78I 35.97%NM 27.85%2.88I 34.72%NM 26.88%29.2%2026-10-10 20:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.71I 58.48%NM 45.27%2.78I 35.97%NM 27.85%2.88I 34.72%NM 26.88%29.2%2026-10-10 20:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.71I 58.48%NM 45.10%2.76I 36.23%NM 27.94%2.86I 34.97%NM 26.96%29.7%2026-10-10 20:30