Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Leicester City v Doncaster Rovers

2026-10-17 14:00 UTC — League 1

Résultat du match

32 opérateurs (8 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Leicester City (Local)

Prévision 51.55%1.94cote équitable
EV -4.62%
Avantage -2.50%
Kelly -5.44%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
49.93%51.61%51.63%53.89%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.681.761.751.8559.52%56.68%56.98%54.05%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Doncaster Rovers (Visiteur)

Prévision 24.61%4.06cote équitable
EV +4.59%
Avantage +1.08%
Kelly +1.41%
Croissance +0.065%

avec la cote maximale 4.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.98%24.54%24.46%26.39%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.503.963.954.2528.57%25.28%25.32%23.53%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 23.84%4.20cote équitable
EV -2.99%
Avantage -0.735%
Kelly -0.974%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.07

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.26%23.85%23.91%24.57%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.703.863.904.0727.03%25.88%25.64%24.57%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Leicester City (Local) : 51.55% ; Doncaster Rovers (Visiteur) : 24.61% ; Match nul : 23.84%. Pour Doncaster Rovers (Visiteur), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 4.06. 13 opérateurs proposent une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 4.25, pour une espérance positive de +4.59%.

Cotes des opérateurs (32 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.89%EV -10.29%E -5.92%K -13.91%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.06%EV +4.59%E +1.08%K +1.41%G +0.065%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.04%EV -7.04%E -1.81%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-10 14:10
Casumo🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.89%EV -10.29%E -5.92%K -13.91%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.06%EV +4.59%E +1.08%K +1.41%G +0.065%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.04%EV -7.04%E -1.81%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-10 14:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.89%EV -10.29%E -5.92%K -13.91%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.06%EV +4.59%E +1.08%K +1.41%G +0.065%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.04%EV -7.04%E -1.81%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-10 14:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.89%EV -10.29%E -5.92%K -13.91%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.06%EV +4.59%E +1.08%K +1.41%G +0.065%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.04%EV -7.04%E -1.81%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-10 14:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.89%EV -10.29%E -5.92%K -13.91%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.06%EV +4.59%E +1.08%K +1.41%G +0.065%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.04%EV -7.04%E -1.81%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-10 14:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.89%EV -10.29%E -5.92%K -13.91%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.06%EV +4.59%E +1.08%K +1.41%G +0.065%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.04%EV -7.04%E -1.81%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-10 14:10
betPARX🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.89%EV -10.29%E -5.92%K -13.91%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.06%EV +4.59%E +1.08%K +1.41%G +0.065%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.04%EV -7.04%E -1.81%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-10 14:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.89%EV -10.29%E -5.92%K -13.91%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.06%EV +4.59%E +1.08%K +1.41%G +0.065%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.04%EV -7.04%E -1.81%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-10 14:25
Grosvenor🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.83%EV -13.39%E -7.97%K -19.69%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.06%EV +0.900%E +0.220%K +0.290%G +0.003%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -10.62%E -2.83%K -3.86%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-10 14:10
TABtouch🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.83%EV -13.39%E -7.97%K -19.69%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.06%EV +0.900%E +0.220%K +0.290%G +0.003%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -10.62%E -2.83%K -3.86%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-10 14:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.83%EV -13.39%E -7.97%K -19.69%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.06%EV +0.900%E +0.220%K +0.290%G +0.003%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -10.62%E -2.83%K -3.86%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-10 14:25
BetRivers🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.65%EV -13.39%E -7.97%K -19.69%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.98%EV +0.900%E +0.220%K +0.290%G +0.003%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.36%EV -11.81%E -3.19%K -4.37%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-10 14:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.65%EV -13.39%E -7.97%K -19.69%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.98%EV +0.900%E +0.220%K +0.290%G +0.003%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.36%EV -11.81%E -3.19%K -4.37%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-10 14:10
betfred_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.20%E -4.00%K -9.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -1.56%E -0.390%K -0.520%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -4.66%E -1.16%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-10 19:24
SportsBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -8.23%E -4.63%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -1.56%E -0.390%K -0.520%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -4.66%E -1.16%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-10 19:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -9.78%E -5.59%K -13.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -1.56%E -0.390%K -0.520%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -4.66%E -1.16%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-10 19:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%EV -7.20%E -4.00%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -4.02%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -4.66%E -1.16%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-10 19:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -8.75%E -4.94%K -11.36%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -4.02%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -7.04%E -1.81%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-10 19:24
Coolbet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.43%EV -8.23%E -4.63%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.24%EV -5.25%E -1.36%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -4.66%E -1.16%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-10 19:25
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -7.20%E -4.00%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -6.48%E -1.71%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -9.43%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-10 19:40
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.19%EV -7.20%E -4.00%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -6.48%E -1.71%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -10.62%E -2.83%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-10 19:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.19%EV -7.20%E -4.00%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -6.48%E -1.71%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -10.62%E -2.83%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-10 19:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.19%EV -7.20%E -4.00%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -6.48%E -1.71%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -10.62%E -2.83%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-10 19:05
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.19%EV -7.20%E -4.00%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -6.48%E -1.71%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -10.62%E -2.83%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-10 19:05
Bet Right🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.08%EV -9.26%E -5.26%K -12.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -6.48%E -1.71%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.81%EV -8.23%E -2.14%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-10 19:24
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -9.78%E -5.59%K -13.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -6.48%E -1.71%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -9.43%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-10 19:23
Sky Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.01%EV -10.81%E -6.25%K -14.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.99%EV -7.71%E -2.06%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.99%EV -10.62%E -2.83%K -3.86%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-10 20:10
1xBet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 50.83%EV -5.14%E -2.79%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.07%EV -8.21%E -2.20%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.10%EV -7.52%E -1.94%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-10 19:34
Pinnacle🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.16%EV -4.62%E -2.50%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.58%EV -8.94%E -2.42%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.26%EV -2.99%E -0.735%K -0.974%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-10 19:15
DraftKings🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.72%EV -5.65%E -3.09%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.78%EV -11.40%E -3.17%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.50%EV -5.85%E -1.48%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-10 20:30
LeoVegas🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.11%EV -4.62%E -2.50%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.12%EV -12.64%E -3.56%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -7.04%E -1.81%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-10 19:09
Unibet (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.93%EV -4.62%E -2.50%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -13.87%E -3.96%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -7.04%E -1.81%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-10 19:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets◎1.75I 57.14%NM 49.02%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.81%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.17%16.6%2026-10-10 19:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.71I 58.48%NM 45.27%2.78I 35.97%NM 27.85%2.88I 34.72%NM 26.88%29.2%2026-10-10 20:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.71I 58.48%NM 45.27%2.78I 35.97%NM 27.85%2.88I 34.72%NM 26.88%29.2%2026-10-10 20:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.71I 58.48%NM 45.10%2.76I 36.23%NM 27.94%2.86I 34.97%NM 26.96%29.7%2026-10-10 20:30