Language:English
Exeter City v Lincoln City
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Exeter City (Local)
Prediction 20.56%4.86fair odd
EV -1.31%
Edge -0.272%
Kelly -0.344%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.58%20.52%20.57%21.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.254.524.504.8023.53%22.13%22.22%20.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Lincoln City (Visit)
Prediction 54.72%1.83fair odd
EV -4.78%
Edge -2.75%
Kelly -6.46%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.74
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.86%54.76%54.69%56.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.701.701.7461.73%58.80%58.82%57.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 24.71%4.05fair odd
EV +3.80%
Edge +0.905%
Kelly +1.19%
Growth +0.045%
assuming max odds 4.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.37%24.71%24.74%26.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.743.704.2030.30%26.75%27.03%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Exeter City (Local): 20.56%; Lincoln City (Visit): 54.72%; Draw: 24.71%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.05. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.80%.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.36%EV -9.53%E -2.17%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.27%EV -8.61%E -5.16%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV +3.80%E +0.905%K +1.19%G +0.045% | 6.4% | 2026-03-10 19:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.60%EV -10.97%E -2.53%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.02%EV -6.97%E -4.10%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -1.14%E -0.286%K -0.381%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-10 19:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -7.47%E -1.66%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -8.61%E -5.16%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -1.14%E -0.286%K -0.381%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-10 18:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -7.47%E -1.66%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.06%EV -9.16%E -5.52%K -13.87%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -1.14%E -0.286%K -0.381%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-10 18:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.72I 21.19%NM 20.35%EV -2.95%E -0.625%K -0.793%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.21%EV -4.78%E -2.75%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 3.93I 25.45%NM 24.44%EV -2.87%E -0.731%K -0.980%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-10 19:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.32%EV -3.36%E -0.715%K -0.909%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.20%EV -5.33%E -3.08%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.49%EV -3.61%E -0.927%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-10 19:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.32%EV -3.36%E -0.715%K -0.909%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.20%EV -5.33%E -3.08%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.49%EV -3.61%E -0.927%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-10 19:19 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -7.47%E -1.66%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -6.97%E -4.10%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -3.61%E -0.927%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-10 18:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.58%EV -3.36%E -0.715%K -0.909%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.82%EV -11.35%E -7.00%K -18.30%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.60%EV -3.61%E -0.927%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-10 18:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -7.47%E -1.66%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.21%EV -7.52%E -4.45%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.05%EV -4.11%E -1.06%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-10 19:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.03%EV -7.47%E -1.66%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.39%EV -4.78%E -2.75%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.58%EV -4.85%E -1.26%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-10 19:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.54%EV -5.42%E -1.18%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.60%EV -5.33%E -3.08%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.86%EV -6.09%E -1.60%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-10 19:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.54%EV -5.42%E -1.18%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.60%EV -5.33%E -3.08%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.86%EV -6.09%E -1.60%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-10 19:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -9.53%E -2.17%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.83%EV -8.06%E -4.80%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -6.09%E -1.60%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-10 19:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.13%EV -10.97%E -2.53%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -8.61%E -5.16%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.08%EV -6.09%E -1.60%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-10 18:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -1.31%E -0.272%K -0.344%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.33%EV -6.97%E -4.10%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -7.32%E -1.95%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-10 19:39 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -2.33%E -0.491%K -0.622%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.21%EV -6.97%E -4.10%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -7.32%E -1.95%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-10 19:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -5.42%E -1.18%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.86%EV -6.97%E -4.10%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -7.32%E -1.95%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-10 19:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -7.47%E -1.66%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.76%EV -7.52%E -4.45%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.68%EV -7.32%E -1.95%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-10 19:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -9.53%E -2.17%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.65%EV -8.06%E -4.80%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -7.32%E -1.95%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-10 19:28 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.18%EV -11.59%E -2.69%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.53%EV -8.61%E -5.16%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -7.32%E -1.95%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-10 18:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.05%EV -3.36%E -0.715%K -0.909%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.48%EV -5.33%E -3.08%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -8.56%E -2.31%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-10 19:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.05%EV -3.36%E -0.715%K -0.909%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.48%EV -5.33%E -3.08%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -8.56%E -2.31%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-10 19:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.05%EV -3.36%E -0.715%K -0.909%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.48%EV -5.33%E -3.08%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -8.56%E -2.31%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-10 19:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -7.47%E -1.66%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.14%EV -5.87%E -3.42%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -8.56%E -2.31%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-10 19:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -7.47%E -1.66%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.14%EV -5.87%E -3.42%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -8.56%E -2.31%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-10 19:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.88%EV -8.50%E -1.91%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -5.87%E -3.42%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -8.56%E -2.31%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-10 19:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.88%EV -8.50%E -1.91%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -5.87%E -3.42%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -8.56%E -2.31%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-10 19:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -7.47%E -1.66%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.28%EV -6.42%E -3.76%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -8.56%E -2.31%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-10 19:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.26%EV -10.56%E -2.43%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -5.87%E -3.42%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.99%EV -8.56%E -2.31%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-10 19:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -9.53%E -2.17%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.18%EV -6.97%E -4.10%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -8.56%E -2.31%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-10 19:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -9.53%E -2.17%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.18%EV -6.97%E -4.10%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -8.56%E -2.31%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-10 19:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -9.53%E -2.17%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.18%EV -6.97%E -4.10%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -8.56%E -2.31%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-10 19:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -9.53%E -2.17%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.18%EV -6.97%E -4.10%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -8.56%E -2.31%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-10 19:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -5.42%E -1.18%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -8.61%E -5.16%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -8.56%E -2.31%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-10 19:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.51%EV -12.61%E -2.97%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.78%EV -6.97%E -4.10%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.71%EV -8.56%E -2.31%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-10 19:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.20%EV -5.42%E -1.18%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.34%EV -6.42%E -3.76%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.46%EV -9.79%E -2.68%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-10 19:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.20%EV -5.42%E -1.18%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.34%EV -6.42%E -3.76%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.46%EV -9.79%E -2.68%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-10 19:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.20%EV -5.42%E -1.18%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.34%EV -6.42%E -3.76%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.46%EV -9.79%E -2.68%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-10 19:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.20%EV -5.42%E -1.18%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.34%EV -6.42%E -3.76%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.46%EV -9.79%E -2.68%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-10 19:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.20%EV -5.42%E -1.18%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.34%EV -6.42%E -3.76%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.46%EV -9.79%E -2.68%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-10 19:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.20%EV -5.42%E -1.18%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.34%EV -6.42%E -3.76%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.46%EV -9.79%E -2.68%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-10 19:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.20%EV -5.42%E -1.18%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.34%EV -6.42%E -3.76%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.46%EV -9.79%E -2.68%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-10 19:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -5.42%E -1.18%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.49%EV -6.97%E -4.10%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.38%EV -9.79%E -2.68%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-10 19:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -5.42%E -1.18%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.49%EV -6.97%E -4.10%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.38%EV -9.79%E -2.68%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-10 19:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -7.47%E -1.66%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.54%EV -8.06%E -4.80%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -9.79%E -2.68%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-10 19:15 |
| Everygame🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.92%EV -10.97%E -2.53%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.25%EV -8.61%E -5.16%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.82%EV -9.79%E -2.68%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-10 19:19 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -7.47%E -1.66%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -6.42%E -3.76%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -11.03%E -3.06%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-10 19:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.25%EV -10.97%E -2.53%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.19%EV -5.33%E -3.08%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -11.03%E -3.06%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-10 19:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV -7.47%E -1.66%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.30%EV -8.61%E -5.16%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.55%EV -12.26%E -3.45%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-10 19:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV -7.47%E -1.66%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.30%EV -8.61%E -5.16%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.55%EV -12.26%E -3.45%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-10 19:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.39%EV -10.97%E -2.53%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.86%EV -8.61%E -5.16%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.75%EV -18.44%E -5.59%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-03-10 19:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.33% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.96% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.72% | 0.4% | 2026-03-10 19:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.33% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.96% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.72% | 0.4% | 2026-03-10 19:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.33% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.96% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.72% | 0.4% | 2026-03-10 19:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.21% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.64% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.15% | 1.0% | 2026-03-10 19:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.35% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.82% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.83% | 2.4% | 2026-03-10 19:40 |