L’École des cotes

Exeter City v Lincoln City

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-10 19:45 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Exeter City (Local)

Prévision 20.56%4.86cote équitable
EV -1.31%
Avantage -0.272%
Kelly -0.344%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.58%20.52%20.57%21.60%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.254.524.504.8023.53%22.13%22.22%20.83%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Lincoln City (Visiteur)

Prévision 54.72%1.83cote équitable
EV -4.78%
Avantage -2.75%
Kelly -6.46%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.74

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
52.86%54.76%54.69%56.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.621.701.701.7461.73%58.80%58.82%57.47%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 24.71%4.05cote équitable
EV +3.80%
Avantage +0.905%
Kelly +1.19%
Croissance +0.045%

avec la cote maximale 4.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.37%24.71%24.74%26.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.743.704.2030.30%26.75%27.03%23.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
Sky Bet4.40I 22.73%NM 21.36%EV -9.53%E -2.17%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.27%EV -8.61%E -5.16%K -12.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV +3.80%E +0.905%K +1.19%G +0.045%6.4%2026-03-10 19:35
1xBet4.33I 23.09%NM 21.60%EV -10.97%E -2.53%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.02%EV -6.97%E -4.10%K -9.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -1.14%E -0.286%K -0.381%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-10 19:35
Paddy Power4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -7.47%E -1.66%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -8.61%E -5.16%K -12.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -1.14%E -0.286%K -0.381%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-10 18:50
SportsBet4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -7.47%E -1.66%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.06%EV -9.16%E -5.52%K -13.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -1.14%E -0.286%K -0.381%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-10 18:50
Pinnacle4.72I 21.19%NM 20.35%EV -2.95%E -0.625%K -0.793%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.21%EV -4.78%E -2.75%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 24.44%EV -2.87%E -0.731%K -0.980%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-10 19:30
LowVig.ag4.70I 21.28%NM 20.32%EV -3.36%E -0.715%K -0.909%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.20%EV -5.33%E -3.08%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.49%EV -3.61%E -0.927%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-10 19:20
BetOnline.ag4.70I 21.28%NM 20.32%EV -3.36%E -0.715%K -0.909%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.20%EV -5.33%E -3.08%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.49%EV -3.61%E -0.927%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-10 19:19
Unibet (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -7.47%E -1.66%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -6.97%E -4.10%K -9.95%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -3.61%E -0.927%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-10 18:40
Tipico (DE)4.70I 21.28%NM 19.58%EV -3.36%E -0.715%K -0.909%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.82%EV -11.35%E -7.00%K -18.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.60%EV -3.61%E -0.927%K -1.25%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-10 18:40
Marathon Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -7.47%E -1.66%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.21%EV -7.52%E -4.45%K -10.89%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.05%EV -4.11%E -1.06%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-10 19:20
DraftKings4.50I 22.22%NM 21.03%EV -7.47%E -1.66%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.39%EV -4.78%E -2.75%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.58%EV -4.85%E -1.26%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-10 19:25
Ladbrokes (UK)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.54%EV -5.42%E -1.18%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.60%EV -5.33%E -3.08%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.86%EV -6.09%E -1.60%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-10 19:20
Coral4.60I 21.74%NM 20.54%EV -5.42%E -1.18%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.60%EV -5.33%E -3.08%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.86%EV -6.09%E -1.60%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-10 19:20
BetUS4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -9.53%E -2.17%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.83%EV -8.06%E -4.80%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -6.09%E -1.60%K -2.17%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-10 19:40
BoyleSports4.33I 23.09%NM 21.13%EV -10.97%E -2.53%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -8.61%E -5.16%K -12.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.08%EV -6.09%E -1.60%K -2.17%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-10 18:55
Bet Victor4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -1.31%E -0.272%K -0.344%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.33%EV -6.97%E -4.10%K -9.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -7.32%E -1.95%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-10 19:39
Coolbet4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -2.33%E -0.491%K -0.622%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.21%EV -6.97%E -4.10%K -9.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -7.32%E -1.95%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-10 19:15
Betr (AU)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -5.42%E -1.18%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.86%EV -6.97%E -4.10%K -9.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -7.32%E -1.95%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-10 19:15
BetMGM4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -7.47%E -1.66%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.76%EV -7.52%E -4.45%K -10.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.68%EV -7.32%E -1.95%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-10 19:20
Bovada4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -9.53%E -2.17%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.65%EV -8.06%E -4.80%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -7.32%E -1.95%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-10 19:28
Codere (IT)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.18%EV -11.59%E -2.69%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.53%EV -8.61%E -5.16%K -12.85%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -7.32%E -1.95%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-10 18:40
LeoVegas4.70I 21.28%NM 20.05%EV -3.36%E -0.715%K -0.909%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.48%EV -5.33%E -3.08%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -8.56%E -2.31%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-10 19:10
ATG (SE)4.70I 21.28%NM 20.05%EV -3.36%E -0.715%K -0.909%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.48%EV -5.33%E -3.08%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -8.56%E -2.31%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-10 19:10
Svenska Spel4.70I 21.28%NM 20.05%EV -3.36%E -0.715%K -0.909%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.48%EV -5.33%E -3.08%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -8.56%E -2.31%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-10 19:10
Ladbrokes (AU)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -7.47%E -1.66%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.14%EV -5.87%E -3.42%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -8.56%E -2.31%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-10 19:20
Neds4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -7.47%E -1.66%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.14%EV -5.87%E -3.42%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -8.56%E -2.31%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-10 19:20
NordicBet4.45I 22.47%NM 20.88%EV -8.50%E -1.91%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -5.87%E -3.42%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -8.56%E -2.31%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-10 19:20
Betsson4.45I 22.47%NM 20.88%EV -8.50%E -1.91%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -5.87%E -3.42%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -8.56%E -2.31%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-10 19:20
PointsBet (AU)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -7.47%E -1.66%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.28%EV -6.42%E -3.76%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -8.56%E -2.31%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-10 19:15
PlayUp4.35I 22.99%NM 21.26%EV -10.56%E -2.43%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -5.87%E -3.42%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.99%EV -8.56%E -2.31%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-10 19:20
888sport4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -9.53%E -2.17%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.18%EV -6.97%E -4.10%K -9.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -8.56%E -2.31%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-10 19:20
William Hill4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -9.53%E -2.17%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.18%EV -6.97%E -4.10%K -9.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -8.56%E -2.31%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-10 19:15
888sport (SE)4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -9.53%E -2.17%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.18%EV -6.97%E -4.10%K -9.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -8.56%E -2.31%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-10 19:20
Mr Green (SE)4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -9.53%E -2.17%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.18%EV -6.97%E -4.10%K -9.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -8.56%E -2.31%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-10 19:20
theScore Bet4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -5.42%E -1.18%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -8.61%E -5.16%K -12.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -8.56%E -2.31%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-10 19:15
TAB4.25I 23.53%NM 21.51%EV -12.61%E -2.97%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.78%EV -6.97%E -4.10%K -9.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.71%EV -8.56%E -2.31%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-10 19:25
Unibet4.60I 21.74%NM 20.20%EV -5.42%E -1.18%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.34%EV -6.42%E -3.76%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.46%EV -9.79%E -2.68%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-10 19:10
Casumo4.60I 21.74%NM 20.20%EV -5.42%E -1.18%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.34%EV -6.42%E -3.76%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.46%EV -9.79%E -2.68%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-10 19:10
Grosvenor4.60I 21.74%NM 20.20%EV -5.42%E -1.18%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.34%EV -6.42%E -3.76%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.46%EV -9.79%E -2.68%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-10 19:10
Unibet (SE)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.20%EV -5.42%E -1.18%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.34%EV -6.42%E -3.76%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.46%EV -9.79%E -2.68%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-10 19:10
Unibet (NL)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.20%EV -5.42%E -1.18%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.34%EV -6.42%E -3.76%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.46%EV -9.79%E -2.68%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-10 19:10
TABtouch4.60I 21.74%NM 20.20%EV -5.42%E -1.18%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.34%EV -6.42%E -3.76%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.46%EV -9.79%E -2.68%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-10 19:10
betPARX4.60I 21.74%NM 20.20%EV -5.42%E -1.18%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.34%EV -6.42%E -3.76%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.46%EV -9.79%E -2.68%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-10 19:10
LeoVegas (SE)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -5.42%E -1.18%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.49%EV -6.97%E -4.10%K -9.95%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.38%EV -9.79%E -2.68%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-10 19:05
BetRivers4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -5.42%E -1.18%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.49%EV -6.97%E -4.10%K -9.95%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.38%EV -9.79%E -2.68%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-10 19:05
Bet Right4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -7.47%E -1.66%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.54%EV -8.06%E -4.80%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -9.79%E -2.68%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-10 19:15
Everygame4.33I 23.09%NM 20.92%EV -10.97%E -2.53%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.25%EV -8.61%E -5.16%K -12.85%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.82%EV -9.79%E -2.68%K -3.70%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-10 19:19
Fanatics4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -7.47%E -1.66%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -6.42%E -3.76%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -11.03%E -3.06%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-10 19:25
Betway4.33I 23.09%NM 21.25%EV -10.97%E -2.53%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.19%EV -5.33%E -3.08%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -11.03%E -3.06%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-10 19:20
LiveScore Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV -7.47%E -1.66%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.30%EV -8.61%E -5.16%K -12.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.55%EV -12.26%E -3.45%K -4.81%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-10 19:10
Virgin Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV -7.47%E -1.66%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.30%EV -8.61%E -5.16%K -12.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.55%EV -12.26%E -3.45%K -4.81%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-10 19:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.33I 23.09%NM 20.39%EV -10.97%E -2.53%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 52.86%EV -8.61%E -5.16%K -12.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.75%EV -18.44%E -5.59%K -8.02%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-10 19:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.90I 20.41%NM 20.33%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.96%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.72%0.4%2026-03-10 19:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.90I 20.41%NM 20.33%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.96%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.72%0.4%2026-03-10 19:40
Matchbook4.90I 20.41%NM 20.33%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.96%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.72%0.4%2026-03-10 19:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.90I 20.41%NM 20.21%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.64%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.15%1.0%2026-03-10 19:35
Smarkets4.80I 20.83%NM 20.35%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.82%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.83%2.4%2026-03-10 19:40