A Escola das Odds

Exeter City v Lincoln City

Início: 2026-03-10 19:45 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

52 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Exeter City (Local)

Previsão 20.56%4.86odd justa
EV -1.31%
Vantagem -0.272%
Kelly -0.344%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
19.58%20.52%20.57%21.60%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.254.524.504.8023.53%22.13%22.22%20.83%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Lincoln City (Visitante)

Previsão 54.72%1.83odd justa
EV -4.78%
Vantagem -2.75%
Kelly -6.46%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.74

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
52.86%54.76%54.69%56.82%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.621.701.701.7461.73%58.80%58.82%57.47%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 24.71%4.05odd justa
EV +3.80%
Vantagem +0.905%
Kelly +1.19%
Crescimento +0.045%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
22.37%24.71%24.74%26.75%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.303.743.704.2030.30%26.75%27.03%23.81%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (52 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargemAtualização
Sky Bet4.40I 22.73%NM 21.36%EV -9.53%E -2.17%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.27%EV -8.61%E -5.16%K -12.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV +3.80%E +0.905%K +1.19%G +0.045%6.4%2026-03-10 19:35
1xBet4.33I 23.09%NM 21.60%EV -10.97%E -2.53%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.02%EV -6.97%E -4.10%K -9.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -1.14%E -0.286%K -0.381%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-10 19:35
Paddy Power4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -7.47%E -1.66%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -8.61%E -5.16%K -12.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -1.14%E -0.286%K -0.381%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-10 18:50
SportsBet4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -7.47%E -1.66%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.06%EV -9.16%E -5.52%K -13.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -1.14%E -0.286%K -0.381%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-10 18:50
Pinnacle4.72I 21.19%NM 20.35%EV -2.95%E -0.625%K -0.793%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.21%EV -4.78%E -2.75%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 24.44%EV -2.87%E -0.731%K -0.980%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-10 19:30
LowVig.ag4.70I 21.28%NM 20.32%EV -3.36%E -0.715%K -0.909%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.20%EV -5.33%E -3.08%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.49%EV -3.61%E -0.927%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-10 19:20
BetOnline.ag4.70I 21.28%NM 20.32%EV -3.36%E -0.715%K -0.909%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.20%EV -5.33%E -3.08%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.49%EV -3.61%E -0.927%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-10 19:19
Unibet (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -7.47%E -1.66%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -6.97%E -4.10%K -9.95%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -3.61%E -0.927%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-10 18:40
Tipico (DE)4.70I 21.28%NM 19.58%EV -3.36%E -0.715%K -0.909%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.82%EV -11.35%E -7.00%K -18.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.60%EV -3.61%E -0.927%K -1.25%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-10 18:40
Marathon Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -7.47%E -1.66%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.21%EV -7.52%E -4.45%K -10.89%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.05%EV -4.11%E -1.06%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-10 19:20
DraftKings4.50I 22.22%NM 21.03%EV -7.47%E -1.66%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.39%EV -4.78%E -2.75%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.58%EV -4.85%E -1.26%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-10 19:25
Ladbrokes (UK)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.54%EV -5.42%E -1.18%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.60%EV -5.33%E -3.08%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.86%EV -6.09%E -1.60%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-10 19:20
Coral4.60I 21.74%NM 20.54%EV -5.42%E -1.18%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.60%EV -5.33%E -3.08%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.86%EV -6.09%E -1.60%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-10 19:20
BetUS4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -9.53%E -2.17%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.83%EV -8.06%E -4.80%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -6.09%E -1.60%K -2.17%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-10 19:40
BoyleSports4.33I 23.09%NM 21.13%EV -10.97%E -2.53%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -8.61%E -5.16%K -12.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.08%EV -6.09%E -1.60%K -2.17%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-10 18:55
Bet Victor4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -1.31%E -0.272%K -0.344%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.33%EV -6.97%E -4.10%K -9.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -7.32%E -1.95%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-10 19:39
Coolbet4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -2.33%E -0.491%K -0.622%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.21%EV -6.97%E -4.10%K -9.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -7.32%E -1.95%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-10 19:15
Betr (AU)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -5.42%E -1.18%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.86%EV -6.97%E -4.10%K -9.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -7.32%E -1.95%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-10 19:15
BetMGM4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -7.47%E -1.66%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.76%EV -7.52%E -4.45%K -10.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.68%EV -7.32%E -1.95%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-10 19:20
Bovada4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -9.53%E -2.17%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.65%EV -8.06%E -4.80%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -7.32%E -1.95%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-10 19:28
Codere (IT)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.18%EV -11.59%E -2.69%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.53%EV -8.61%E -5.16%K -12.85%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -7.32%E -1.95%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-10 18:40
LeoVegas4.70I 21.28%NM 20.05%EV -3.36%E -0.715%K -0.909%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.48%EV -5.33%E -3.08%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -8.56%E -2.31%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-10 19:10
ATG (SE)4.70I 21.28%NM 20.05%EV -3.36%E -0.715%K -0.909%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.48%EV -5.33%E -3.08%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -8.56%E -2.31%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-10 19:10
Svenska Spel4.70I 21.28%NM 20.05%EV -3.36%E -0.715%K -0.909%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.48%EV -5.33%E -3.08%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -8.56%E -2.31%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-10 19:10
Ladbrokes (AU)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -7.47%E -1.66%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.14%EV -5.87%E -3.42%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -8.56%E -2.31%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-10 19:20
Neds4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -7.47%E -1.66%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.14%EV -5.87%E -3.42%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -8.56%E -2.31%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-10 19:20
NordicBet4.45I 22.47%NM 20.88%EV -8.50%E -1.91%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -5.87%E -3.42%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -8.56%E -2.31%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-10 19:20
Betsson4.45I 22.47%NM 20.88%EV -8.50%E -1.91%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -5.87%E -3.42%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -8.56%E -2.31%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-10 19:20
PointsBet (AU)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -7.47%E -1.66%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.28%EV -6.42%E -3.76%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -8.56%E -2.31%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-10 19:15
PlayUp4.35I 22.99%NM 21.26%EV -10.56%E -2.43%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -5.87%E -3.42%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.99%EV -8.56%E -2.31%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-10 19:20
888sport4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -9.53%E -2.17%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.18%EV -6.97%E -4.10%K -9.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -8.56%E -2.31%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-10 19:20
William Hill4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -9.53%E -2.17%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.18%EV -6.97%E -4.10%K -9.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -8.56%E -2.31%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-10 19:15
888sport (SE)4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -9.53%E -2.17%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.18%EV -6.97%E -4.10%K -9.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -8.56%E -2.31%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-10 19:20
Mr Green (SE)4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -9.53%E -2.17%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.18%EV -6.97%E -4.10%K -9.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -8.56%E -2.31%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-10 19:20
theScore Bet4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -5.42%E -1.18%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -8.61%E -5.16%K -12.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -8.56%E -2.31%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-10 19:15
TAB4.25I 23.53%NM 21.51%EV -12.61%E -2.97%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.78%EV -6.97%E -4.10%K -9.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.71%EV -8.56%E -2.31%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-10 19:25
Unibet4.60I 21.74%NM 20.20%EV -5.42%E -1.18%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.34%EV -6.42%E -3.76%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.46%EV -9.79%E -2.68%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-10 19:10
Casumo4.60I 21.74%NM 20.20%EV -5.42%E -1.18%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.34%EV -6.42%E -3.76%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.46%EV -9.79%E -2.68%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-10 19:10
Grosvenor4.60I 21.74%NM 20.20%EV -5.42%E -1.18%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.34%EV -6.42%E -3.76%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.46%EV -9.79%E -2.68%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-10 19:10
Unibet (SE)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.20%EV -5.42%E -1.18%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.34%EV -6.42%E -3.76%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.46%EV -9.79%E -2.68%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-10 19:10
Unibet (NL)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.20%EV -5.42%E -1.18%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.34%EV -6.42%E -3.76%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.46%EV -9.79%E -2.68%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-10 19:10
TABtouch4.60I 21.74%NM 20.20%EV -5.42%E -1.18%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.34%EV -6.42%E -3.76%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.46%EV -9.79%E -2.68%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-10 19:10
betPARX4.60I 21.74%NM 20.20%EV -5.42%E -1.18%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.34%EV -6.42%E -3.76%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.46%EV -9.79%E -2.68%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-10 19:10
LeoVegas (SE)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -5.42%E -1.18%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.49%EV -6.97%E -4.10%K -9.95%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.38%EV -9.79%E -2.68%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-10 19:05
BetRivers4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -5.42%E -1.18%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.49%EV -6.97%E -4.10%K -9.95%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.38%EV -9.79%E -2.68%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-10 19:05
Bet Right4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -7.47%E -1.66%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.54%EV -8.06%E -4.80%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -9.79%E -2.68%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-10 19:15
Everygame4.33I 23.09%NM 20.92%EV -10.97%E -2.53%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.25%EV -8.61%E -5.16%K -12.85%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.82%EV -9.79%E -2.68%K -3.70%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-10 19:19
Fanatics4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -7.47%E -1.66%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -6.42%E -3.76%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -11.03%E -3.06%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-10 19:25
Betway4.33I 23.09%NM 21.25%EV -10.97%E -2.53%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.19%EV -5.33%E -3.08%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -11.03%E -3.06%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-10 19:20
LiveScore Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV -7.47%E -1.66%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.30%EV -8.61%E -5.16%K -12.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.55%EV -12.26%E -3.45%K -4.81%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-10 19:10
Virgin Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV -7.47%E -1.66%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.30%EV -8.61%E -5.16%K -12.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.55%EV -12.26%E -3.45%K -4.81%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-10 19:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.33I 23.09%NM 20.39%EV -10.97%E -2.53%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 52.86%EV -8.61%E -5.16%K -12.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.75%EV -18.44%E -5.59%K -8.02%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-10 19:35
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.90I 20.41%NM 20.33%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.96%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.72%0.4%2026-03-10 19:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.90I 20.41%NM 20.33%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.96%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.72%0.4%2026-03-10 19:40
Matchbook4.90I 20.41%NM 20.33%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.96%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.72%0.4%2026-03-10 19:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.90I 20.41%NM 20.21%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.64%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.15%1.0%2026-03-10 19:35
Smarkets4.80I 20.83%NM 20.35%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.82%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.83%2.4%2026-03-10 19:40