Language:English
Exeter City v Cardiff City
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Exeter City (Local)
Prediction 21.98%4.55fair odd
EV +1.12%
Edge +0.243%
Kelly +0.311%
Growth +0.003%
assuming max odds 4.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.47%21.92%21.96%23.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.224.204.6025.00%23.69%23.81%21.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Cardiff City (Visit)
Prediction 53.65%1.86fair odd
EV -3.43%
Edge -1.91%
Kelly -4.29%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.99%53.68%53.72%55.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.731.731.8060.61%57.72%57.80%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 24.37%4.10fair odd
EV -2.28%
Edge -0.569%
Kelly -0.759%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.01
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.23%24.40%24.32%26.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.793.794.0130.30%26.39%26.39%24.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Exeter City (Local): 21.98%; Cardiff City (Visit): 53.65%; Draw: 24.37%. For Exeter City (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.55. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.12%.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV +1.12%E +0.243%K +0.311%G +0.003% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -8.80%E -5.17%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -4.96%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.59I 21.79%NM 20.91%EV +0.899%E +0.196%K +0.250%G +0.002% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.16%EV -6.65%E -3.82%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 4.01I 24.94%NM 23.93%EV -2.28%E -0.569%K -0.759%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.53I 22.08%NM 20.63%EV -0.420%E -0.093%K -0.119%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.65%EV -8.26%E -4.83%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 24.72%EV -7.89%E -2.09%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -3.28%E -0.745%K -0.964%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -10.41%E -6.23%K -15.53%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -7.40%E -1.95%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-14 14:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.57%EV -4.82%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.98%EV -7.19%E -4.15%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.45%EV -6.91%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-14 14:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.47%EV -4.82%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.69%EV -8.80%E -5.17%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.84%EV -4.96%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-14 14:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -4.82%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.56%EV -7.19%E -4.15%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -9.84%E -2.66%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-14 14:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.34%EV -4.82%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.35%EV -8.80%E -5.17%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.31%EV -7.40%E -1.95%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-14 14:50 |
| Everygame🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.93%EV -4.82%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.91%EV -11.48%E -6.96%K -17.66%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -8.62%E -2.30%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-14 14:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.93%EV -5.48%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.20%EV -6.65%E -3.82%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.87%EV -3.75%E -0.948%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-14 14:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV -5.48%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.55%EV -6.11%E -3.49%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -7.40%E -1.95%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-14 14:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -5.48%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.01%EV -7.19%E -4.15%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.27%EV -6.18%E -1.61%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-14 14:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.63%EV -5.48%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.54%EV -5.04%E -2.85%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -12.27%E -3.41%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-14 14:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.19%EV -6.58%E -1.55%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.99%EV -4.50%E -2.53%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.82%EV -7.40%E -1.95%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-14 14:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -6.58%E -1.55%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.34%EV -7.72%E -4.49%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.66%EV -3.75%E -0.948%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-14 14:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -6.58%E -1.55%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.34%EV -7.72%E -4.49%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.66%EV -3.75%E -0.948%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-14 14:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -6.58%E -1.55%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.99%EV -8.26%E -4.83%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -7.40%E -1.95%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-14 14:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -6.58%E -1.55%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.67%EV -7.72%E -4.49%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.61%EV -8.62%E -2.30%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-14 14:45 |
| TAB🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.51%EV -6.58%E -1.55%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.78%EV -8.80%E -5.17%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.71%EV -9.84%E -2.66%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-14 14:44 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -7.67%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.93%EV -6.11%E -3.49%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -2.53%E -0.632%K -0.842%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-14 14:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -7.67%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.61%EV -6.11%E -3.49%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -4.96%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-14 14:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -7.67%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.99%EV -5.04%E -2.85%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -7.40%E -1.95%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-14 14:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -7.67%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.99%EV -5.04%E -2.85%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -7.40%E -1.95%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-14 14:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -7.67%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.99%EV -5.04%E -2.85%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -7.40%E -1.95%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-14 14:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -7.67%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.96%EV -5.58%E -3.17%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -8.62%E -2.30%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-14 14:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -7.67%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.96%EV -5.58%E -3.17%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -8.62%E -2.30%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-14 14:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -7.67%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.96%EV -5.58%E -3.17%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -8.62%E -2.30%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-14 14:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -7.67%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.96%EV -5.58%E -3.17%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -8.62%E -2.30%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-14 14:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -7.67%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.96%EV -5.58%E -3.17%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -8.62%E -2.30%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-14 14:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -7.67%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.96%EV -5.58%E -3.17%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -8.62%E -2.30%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-14 14:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -7.67%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.96%EV -5.58%E -3.17%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -8.62%E -2.30%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-14 14:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -7.67%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.65%EV -8.80%E -5.17%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -2.53%E -0.632%K -0.842%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-14 14:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -7.67%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.21%EV -7.19%E -4.15%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -9.84%E -2.66%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-14 14:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -7.67%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.21%EV -7.19%E -4.15%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -9.84%E -2.66%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-14 14:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -7.67%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.21%EV -7.19%E -4.15%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -9.84%E -2.66%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-14 14:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -7.67%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.99%EV -8.80%E -5.17%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -7.40%E -1.95%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -7.67%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.99%EV -8.80%E -5.17%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -7.40%E -1.95%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -7.67%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.67%EV -8.26%E -4.83%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.47%EV -8.62%E -2.30%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-14 14:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -7.67%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -8.80%E -5.17%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -8.62%E -2.30%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-14 14:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.10%EV -9.87%E -2.41%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.62%EV -3.43%E -1.91%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.28%EV -4.96%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.10%EV -9.87%E -2.41%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.62%EV -3.43%E -1.91%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.28%EV -4.96%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -9.87%E -2.41%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.32%EV -6.11%E -3.49%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -4.96%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-14 14:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -9.87%E -2.41%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.32%EV -6.11%E -3.49%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -4.96%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-14 14:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -9.87%E -2.41%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.46%EV -6.65%E -3.82%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -4.96%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-14 14:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -9.87%E -2.41%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.96%EV -6.65%E -3.82%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -8.62%E -2.30%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-14 14:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -9.87%E -2.41%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.96%EV -6.65%E -3.82%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -8.62%E -2.30%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-14 14:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -9.87%E -2.41%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.89%EV -7.72%E -4.49%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.92%EV -11.06%E -3.03%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-14 14:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -9.87%E -2.41%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.89%EV -7.72%E -4.49%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.92%EV -11.06%E -3.03%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-14 14:35 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -9.87%E -2.41%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.89%EV -7.72%E -4.49%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.92%EV -11.06%E -3.03%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-14 14:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -12.07%E -3.02%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.49%EV -6.65%E -3.82%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -9.84%E -2.66%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-14 12:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -12.07%E -3.02%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.24%EV -8.80%E -5.17%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.13%EV -8.62%E -2.30%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-14 14:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.70%EV -12.07%E -3.02%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 51.99%EV -10.41%E -6.23%K -15.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.31%EV -19.58%E -5.93%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.62% | 0.8% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.01% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.48% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.51% | 1.3% | 2026-03-14 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.01% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.48% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.51% | 1.3% | 2026-03-14 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.01% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.48% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.51% | 1.3% | 2026-03-14 14:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.12% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.19% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.69% | 2.9% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |