La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Exeter City v Cardiff City
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Exeter City (Local)
Predicción 21.98%4.55momio equitativo
EV +1.12%
Ventaja +0.243%
Kelly +0.311%
Crecimiento +0.003%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.47%21.92%21.96%23.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.004.224.204.6025.00%23.69%23.81%21.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Cardiff City (Visitante)
Predicción 53.65%1.86momio equitativo
EV -3.43%
Ventaja -1.91%
Kelly -4.29%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.99%53.68%53.72%55.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.651.731.731.8060.61%57.72%57.80%55.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 24.37%4.10momio equitativo
EV -2.28%
Ventaja -0.569%
Kelly -0.759%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.01
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.23%24.40%24.32%26.31%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.793.794.0130.30%26.39%26.39%24.94%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Victor | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV +1.12%E +0.243%K +0.311%G +0.003% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -8.80%E -5.17%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -4.96%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| Pinnacle | 4.59I 21.79%NM 20.91%EV +0.899%E +0.196%K +0.250%G +0.002% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.16%EV -6.65%E -3.82%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 4.01I 24.94%NM 23.93%EV -2.28%E -0.569%K -0.759%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| 1xBet | 4.53I 22.08%NM 20.63%EV -0.420%E -0.093%K -0.119%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.65%EV -8.26%E -4.83%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 24.72%EV -7.89%E -2.09%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| Tipico (DE) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -3.28%E -0.745%K -0.964%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -10.41%E -6.23%K -15.53%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -7.40%E -1.95%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-14 14:40 |
| Marathon Bet | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.57%EV -4.82%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.98%EV -7.19%E -4.15%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.45%EV -6.91%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-14 14:45 |
| SportsBet | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.47%EV -4.82%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.69%EV -8.80%E -5.17%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.84%EV -4.96%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-14 14:50 |
| William Hill | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -4.82%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.56%EV -7.19%E -4.15%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -9.84%E -2.66%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-14 14:35 |
| Paddy Power | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.34%EV -4.82%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.35%EV -8.80%E -5.17%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.31%EV -7.40%E -1.95%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-14 14:50 |
| Everygame | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.93%EV -4.82%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.91%EV -11.48%E -6.96%K -17.66%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -8.62%E -2.30%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-14 14:45 |
| DraftKings | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.93%EV -5.48%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.20%EV -6.65%E -3.82%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.87%EV -3.75%E -0.948%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-14 14:35 |
| Betr (AU) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV -5.48%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.55%EV -6.11%E -3.49%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -7.40%E -1.95%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-14 14:40 |
| Coolbet | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -5.48%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.01%EV -7.19%E -4.15%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.27%EV -6.18%E -1.61%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-14 14:45 |
| Fanatics | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.63%EV -5.48%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.54%EV -5.04%E -2.85%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -12.27%E -3.41%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-14 14:05 |
| Unibet (UK) | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.19%EV -6.58%E -1.55%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.99%EV -4.50%E -2.53%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.82%EV -7.40%E -1.95%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-14 14:40 |
| Betsson | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -6.58%E -1.55%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.34%EV -7.72%E -4.49%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.66%EV -3.75%E -0.948%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-14 14:45 |
| NordicBet | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -6.58%E -1.55%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.34%EV -7.72%E -4.49%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.66%EV -3.75%E -0.948%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-14 14:45 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -6.58%E -1.55%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.99%EV -8.26%E -4.83%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -7.40%E -1.95%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-14 14:40 |
| PlayUp | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -6.58%E -1.55%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.67%EV -7.72%E -4.49%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.61%EV -8.62%E -2.30%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-14 14:45 |
| TAB | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.51%EV -6.58%E -1.55%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.78%EV -8.80%E -5.17%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.71%EV -9.84%E -2.66%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-14 14:44 |
| Coral | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -7.67%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.93%EV -6.11%E -3.49%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -2.53%E -0.632%K -0.842%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-14 14:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -7.67%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.61%EV -6.11%E -3.49%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -4.96%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-14 14:10 |
| LeoVegas | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -7.67%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.99%EV -5.04%E -2.85%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -7.40%E -1.95%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-14 14:35 |
| Svenska Spel | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -7.67%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.99%EV -5.04%E -2.85%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -7.40%E -1.95%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-14 14:35 |
| ATG (SE) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -7.67%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.99%EV -5.04%E -2.85%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -7.40%E -1.95%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-14 14:35 |
| Unibet | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -7.67%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.96%EV -5.58%E -3.17%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -8.62%E -2.30%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-14 14:35 |
| Unibet (NL) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -7.67%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.96%EV -5.58%E -3.17%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -8.62%E -2.30%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-14 14:35 |
| Grosvenor | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -7.67%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.96%EV -5.58%E -3.17%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -8.62%E -2.30%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-14 14:35 |
| Casumo | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -7.67%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.96%EV -5.58%E -3.17%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -8.62%E -2.30%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-14 14:35 |
| Unibet (SE) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -7.67%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.96%EV -5.58%E -3.17%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -8.62%E -2.30%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-14 14:35 |
| TABtouch | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -7.67%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.96%EV -5.58%E -3.17%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -8.62%E -2.30%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-14 14:35 |
| betPARX | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -7.67%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.96%EV -5.58%E -3.17%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -8.62%E -2.30%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-14 14:35 |
| Sky Bet | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -7.67%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.65%EV -8.80%E -5.17%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -2.53%E -0.632%K -0.842%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-14 14:15 |
| 888sport | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -7.67%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.21%EV -7.19%E -4.15%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -9.84%E -2.66%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-14 14:35 |
| 888sport (SE) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -7.67%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.21%EV -7.19%E -4.15%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -9.84%E -2.66%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-14 14:35 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -7.67%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.21%EV -7.19%E -4.15%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -9.84%E -2.66%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-14 14:35 |
| Bovada | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -7.67%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.99%EV -8.80%E -5.17%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -7.40%E -1.95%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| BetUS | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -7.67%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.99%EV -8.80%E -5.17%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -7.40%E -1.95%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| Bet Right | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -7.67%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.67%EV -8.26%E -4.83%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.47%EV -8.62%E -2.30%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-14 14:40 |
| Betway | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -7.67%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -8.80%E -5.17%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -8.62%E -2.30%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-14 14:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.10%EV -9.87%E -2.41%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.62%EV -3.43%E -1.91%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.28%EV -4.96%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.10%EV -9.87%E -2.41%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.62%EV -3.43%E -1.91%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.28%EV -4.96%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| Neds | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -9.87%E -2.41%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.32%EV -6.11%E -3.49%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -4.96%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-14 14:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -9.87%E -2.41%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.32%EV -6.11%E -3.49%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -4.96%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-14 14:10 |
| BetMGM | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -9.87%E -2.41%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.46%EV -6.65%E -3.82%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -4.96%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-14 14:30 |
| BetRivers | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -9.87%E -2.41%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.96%EV -6.65%E -3.82%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -8.62%E -2.30%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-14 14:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -9.87%E -2.41%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.96%EV -6.65%E -3.82%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -8.62%E -2.30%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-14 14:35 |
| Virgin Bet | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -9.87%E -2.41%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.89%EV -7.72%E -4.49%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.92%EV -11.06%E -3.03%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-14 14:35 |
| LiveScore Bet | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -9.87%E -2.41%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.89%EV -7.72%E -4.49%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.92%EV -11.06%E -3.03%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-14 14:35 |
| Codere (IT) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -9.87%E -2.41%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.89%EV -7.72%E -4.49%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.92%EV -11.06%E -3.03%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-14 14:40 |
| theScore Bet | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -12.07%E -3.02%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.49%EV -6.65%E -3.82%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -9.84%E -2.66%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-14 12:30 |
| BoyleSports | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -12.07%E -3.02%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.24%EV -8.80%E -5.17%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.13%EV -8.62%E -2.30%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-14 14:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.70%EV -12.07%E -3.02%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 51.99%EV -10.41%E -6.23%K -15.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.31%EV -19.58%E -5.93%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.62% | 0.8% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.01% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.48% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.51% | 1.3% | 2026-03-14 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.01% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.48% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.51% | 1.3% | 2026-03-14 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.01% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.48% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.51% | 1.3% | 2026-03-14 14:50 |
| Smarkets | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.12% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.19% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.69% | 2.9% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |