مدرسة الاحتمالات

Exeter City v Cardiff City

البداية: 2026-03-14 15:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

52 شركة مراهنات (18 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Exeter City (المضيف)

التنبؤ 21.98%4.55السعر العادل
EV +1.12%
الأفضلية +0.243%
Kelly +0.311%
النمو +0.003%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.60

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
20.47%21.92%21.96%23.10%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.004.224.204.6025.00%23.69%23.81%21.74%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Cardiff City (الضيف)

التنبؤ 53.65%1.86السعر العادل
EV -3.43%
الأفضلية -1.91%
Kelly -4.29%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.80

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
51.99%53.68%53.72%55.39%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.651.731.731.8060.61%57.72%57.80%55.56%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 24.37%4.10السعر العادل
EV -2.28%
الأفضلية -0.569%
Kelly -0.759%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.01

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
23.23%24.40%24.32%26.31%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.303.793.794.0130.30%26.39%26.39%24.94%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (52 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Bet Victor4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV +1.12%E +0.243%K +0.311%G +0.003%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -8.80%E -5.17%K -12.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -4.96%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 14:55
Pinnacle4.59I 21.79%NM 20.91%EV +0.899%E +0.196%K +0.250%G +0.002%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.16%EV -6.65%E -3.82%K -8.99%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 23.93%EV -2.28%E -0.569%K -0.759%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-14 14:55
1xBet4.53I 22.08%NM 20.63%EV -0.420%E -0.093%K -0.119%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.65%EV -8.26%E -4.83%K -11.63%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.72%EV -7.89%E -2.09%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 14:55
Tipico (DE)4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -3.28%E -0.745%K -0.964%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -10.41%E -6.23%K -15.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -7.40%E -1.95%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-14 14:40
Marathon Bet4.33I 23.09%NM 21.57%EV -4.82%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.98%EV -7.19%E -4.15%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.45%EV -6.91%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 14:45
SportsBet4.33I 23.09%NM 21.47%EV -4.82%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.69%EV -8.80%E -5.17%K -12.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.84%EV -4.96%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-14 14:50
William Hill4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -4.82%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.56%EV -7.19%E -4.15%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -9.84%E -2.66%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-14 14:35
Paddy Power4.33I 23.09%NM 21.34%EV -4.82%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.35%EV -8.80%E -5.17%K -12.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.31%EV -7.40%E -1.95%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-14 14:50
Everygame4.33I 23.09%NM 20.93%EV -4.82%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 54.91%EV -11.48%E -6.96%K -17.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -8.62%E -2.30%K -3.13%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-14 14:45
DraftKings4.30I 23.26%NM 21.93%EV -5.48%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.20%EV -6.65%E -3.82%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.87%EV -3.75%E -0.948%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-14 14:35
Betr (AU)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV -5.48%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.55%EV -6.11%E -3.49%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -7.40%E -1.95%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-14 14:40
Coolbet4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -5.48%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.01%EV -7.19%E -4.15%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.27%EV -6.18%E -1.61%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 14:45
Fanatics4.30I 23.26%NM 21.63%EV -5.48%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.54%EV -5.04%E -2.85%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -12.27%E -3.41%K -4.72%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 14:05
Unibet (UK)4.25I 23.53%NM 22.19%EV -6.58%E -1.55%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.99%EV -4.50%E -2.53%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.82%EV -7.40%E -1.95%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-14 14:40
Betsson4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -6.58%E -1.55%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.34%EV -7.72%E -4.49%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.66%EV -3.75%E -0.948%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 14:45
NordicBet4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -6.58%E -1.55%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.34%EV -7.72%E -4.49%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.66%EV -3.75%E -0.948%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 14:45
PointsBet (AU)4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -6.58%E -1.55%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.99%EV -8.26%E -4.83%K -11.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -7.40%E -1.95%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-14 14:40
PlayUp4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -6.58%E -1.55%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.67%EV -7.72%E -4.49%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.61%EV -8.62%E -2.30%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-14 14:45
TAB4.25I 23.53%NM 21.51%EV -6.58%E -1.55%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.78%EV -8.80%E -5.17%K -12.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.71%EV -9.84%E -2.66%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-14 14:44
Coral4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -7.67%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.93%EV -6.11%E -3.49%K -8.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -2.53%E -0.632%K -0.842%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-14 14:10
Ladbrokes (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -7.67%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.61%EV -6.11%E -3.49%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -4.96%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-14 14:10
LeoVegas4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -7.67%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.99%EV -5.04%E -2.85%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -7.40%E -1.95%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-14 14:35
Svenska Spel4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -7.67%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.99%EV -5.04%E -2.85%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -7.40%E -1.95%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-14 14:35
ATG (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -7.67%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.99%EV -5.04%E -2.85%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -7.40%E -1.95%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-14 14:35
Unibet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -7.67%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.96%EV -5.58%E -3.17%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -8.62%E -2.30%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-14 14:35
Unibet (NL)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -7.67%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.96%EV -5.58%E -3.17%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -8.62%E -2.30%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-14 14:35
Grosvenor4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -7.67%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.96%EV -5.58%E -3.17%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -8.62%E -2.30%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-14 14:35
Casumo4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -7.67%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.96%EV -5.58%E -3.17%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -8.62%E -2.30%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-14 14:35
Unibet (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -7.67%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.96%EV -5.58%E -3.17%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -8.62%E -2.30%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-14 14:35
TABtouch4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -7.67%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.96%EV -5.58%E -3.17%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -8.62%E -2.30%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-14 14:35
betPARX4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -7.67%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.96%EV -5.58%E -3.17%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -8.62%E -2.30%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-14 14:35
Sky Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -7.67%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.65%EV -8.80%E -5.17%K -12.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -2.53%E -0.632%K -0.842%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-14 14:15
888sport4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -7.67%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.21%EV -7.19%E -4.15%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -9.84%E -2.66%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-14 14:35
888sport (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -7.67%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.21%EV -7.19%E -4.15%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -9.84%E -2.66%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-14 14:35
Mr Green (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -7.67%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.21%EV -7.19%E -4.15%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -9.84%E -2.66%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-14 14:35
Bovada4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -7.67%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.99%EV -8.80%E -5.17%K -12.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -7.40%E -1.95%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-14 14:55
BetUS4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -7.67%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.99%EV -8.80%E -5.17%K -12.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -7.40%E -1.95%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-14 14:55
Bet Right4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -7.67%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.67%EV -8.26%E -4.83%K -11.63%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.47%EV -8.62%E -2.30%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-14 14:40
Betway4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -7.67%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -8.80%E -5.17%K -12.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -8.62%E -2.30%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-14 14:50
BetOnline.ag4.10I 24.39%NM 23.10%EV -9.87%E -2.41%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.62%EV -3.43%E -1.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.28%EV -4.96%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-14 14:55
LowVig.ag4.10I 24.39%NM 23.10%EV -9.87%E -2.41%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.62%EV -3.43%E -1.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.28%EV -4.96%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-14 14:55
Neds4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -9.87%E -2.41%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.32%EV -6.11%E -3.49%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -4.96%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-14 14:10
Ladbrokes (AU)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -9.87%E -2.41%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.32%EV -6.11%E -3.49%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -4.96%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-14 14:10
BetMGM4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -9.87%E -2.41%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.46%EV -6.65%E -3.82%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -4.96%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 14:30
BetRivers4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -9.87%E -2.41%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.96%EV -6.65%E -3.82%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -8.62%E -2.30%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-14 14:35
LeoVegas (SE)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -9.87%E -2.41%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.96%EV -6.65%E -3.82%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -8.62%E -2.30%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-14 14:35
Virgin Bet4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -9.87%E -2.41%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.89%EV -7.72%E -4.49%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.92%EV -11.06%E -3.03%K -4.17%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-14 14:35
LiveScore Bet4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -9.87%E -2.41%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.89%EV -7.72%E -4.49%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.92%EV -11.06%E -3.03%K -4.17%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-14 14:35
Codere (IT)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -9.87%E -2.41%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.89%EV -7.72%E -4.49%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.92%EV -11.06%E -3.03%K -4.17%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-14 14:40
theScore Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -12.07%E -3.02%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.49%EV -6.65%E -3.82%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -9.84%E -2.66%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-14 12:30
BoyleSports4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -12.07%E -3.02%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.24%EV -8.80%E -5.17%K -12.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.13%EV -8.62%E -2.30%K -3.13%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-14 14:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 21.70%EV -12.07%E -3.02%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 51.99%EV -10.41%E -6.23%K -15.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.31%EV -19.58%E -5.93%K -8.52%G +0.000%15.2%2026-03-14 14:55
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.62%0.8%2026-03-14 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.70I 21.28%NM 21.01%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.48%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.51%1.3%2026-03-14 14:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.70I 21.28%NM 21.01%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.48%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.51%1.3%2026-03-14 14:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.70I 21.28%NM 21.01%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.48%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.51%1.3%2026-03-14 14:50
Smarkets4.60I 21.74%NM 21.12%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.19%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.69%2.9%2026-03-14 14:55