L’École des cotes

Exeter City v Cardiff City

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-14 15:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Exeter City (Local)

Prévision 21.98%4.55cote équitable
EV +1.12%
Avantage +0.243%
Kelly +0.311%
Croissance +0.003%

avec la cote maximale 4.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.47%21.92%21.96%23.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.004.224.204.6025.00%23.69%23.81%21.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cardiff City (Visiteur)

Prévision 53.65%1.86cote équitable
EV -3.43%
Avantage -1.91%
Kelly -4.29%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
51.99%53.68%53.72%55.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.651.731.731.8060.61%57.72%57.80%55.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 24.37%4.10cote équitable
EV -2.28%
Avantage -0.569%
Kelly -0.759%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.01

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.23%24.40%24.32%26.31%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.793.794.0130.30%26.39%26.39%24.94%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Bet Victor4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV +1.12%E +0.243%K +0.311%G +0.003%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -8.80%E -5.17%K -12.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -4.96%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 14:55
Pinnacle4.59I 21.79%NM 20.91%EV +0.899%E +0.196%K +0.250%G +0.002%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.16%EV -6.65%E -3.82%K -8.99%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 23.93%EV -2.28%E -0.569%K -0.759%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-14 14:55
1xBet4.53I 22.08%NM 20.63%EV -0.420%E -0.093%K -0.119%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.65%EV -8.26%E -4.83%K -11.63%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.72%EV -7.89%E -2.09%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 14:55
Tipico (DE)4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -3.28%E -0.745%K -0.964%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -10.41%E -6.23%K -15.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -7.40%E -1.95%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-14 14:40
Marathon Bet4.33I 23.09%NM 21.57%EV -4.82%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.98%EV -7.19%E -4.15%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.45%EV -6.91%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 14:45
SportsBet4.33I 23.09%NM 21.47%EV -4.82%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.69%EV -8.80%E -5.17%K -12.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.84%EV -4.96%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-14 14:50
William Hill4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -4.82%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.56%EV -7.19%E -4.15%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -9.84%E -2.66%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-14 14:35
Paddy Power4.33I 23.09%NM 21.34%EV -4.82%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.35%EV -8.80%E -5.17%K -12.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.31%EV -7.40%E -1.95%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-14 14:50
Everygame4.33I 23.09%NM 20.93%EV -4.82%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 54.91%EV -11.48%E -6.96%K -17.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -8.62%E -2.30%K -3.13%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-14 14:45
DraftKings4.30I 23.26%NM 21.93%EV -5.48%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.20%EV -6.65%E -3.82%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.87%EV -3.75%E -0.948%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-14 14:35
Betr (AU)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV -5.48%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.55%EV -6.11%E -3.49%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -7.40%E -1.95%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-14 14:40
Coolbet4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -5.48%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.01%EV -7.19%E -4.15%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.27%EV -6.18%E -1.61%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 14:45
Fanatics4.30I 23.26%NM 21.63%EV -5.48%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.54%EV -5.04%E -2.85%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -12.27%E -3.41%K -4.72%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 14:05
Unibet (UK)4.25I 23.53%NM 22.19%EV -6.58%E -1.55%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.99%EV -4.50%E -2.53%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.82%EV -7.40%E -1.95%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-14 14:40
Betsson4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -6.58%E -1.55%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.34%EV -7.72%E -4.49%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.66%EV -3.75%E -0.948%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 14:45
NordicBet4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -6.58%E -1.55%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.34%EV -7.72%E -4.49%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.66%EV -3.75%E -0.948%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 14:45
PointsBet (AU)4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -6.58%E -1.55%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.99%EV -8.26%E -4.83%K -11.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -7.40%E -1.95%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-14 14:40
PlayUp4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -6.58%E -1.55%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.67%EV -7.72%E -4.49%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.61%EV -8.62%E -2.30%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-14 14:45
TAB4.25I 23.53%NM 21.51%EV -6.58%E -1.55%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.78%EV -8.80%E -5.17%K -12.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.71%EV -9.84%E -2.66%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-14 14:44
Coral4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -7.67%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.93%EV -6.11%E -3.49%K -8.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -2.53%E -0.632%K -0.842%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-14 14:10
Ladbrokes (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -7.67%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.61%EV -6.11%E -3.49%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -4.96%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-14 14:10
LeoVegas4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -7.67%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.99%EV -5.04%E -2.85%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -7.40%E -1.95%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-14 14:35
Svenska Spel4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -7.67%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.99%EV -5.04%E -2.85%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -7.40%E -1.95%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-14 14:35
ATG (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -7.67%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.99%EV -5.04%E -2.85%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -7.40%E -1.95%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-14 14:35
Unibet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -7.67%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.96%EV -5.58%E -3.17%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -8.62%E -2.30%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-14 14:35
Unibet (NL)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -7.67%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.96%EV -5.58%E -3.17%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -8.62%E -2.30%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-14 14:35
Grosvenor4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -7.67%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.96%EV -5.58%E -3.17%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -8.62%E -2.30%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-14 14:35
Casumo4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -7.67%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.96%EV -5.58%E -3.17%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -8.62%E -2.30%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-14 14:35
Unibet (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -7.67%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.96%EV -5.58%E -3.17%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -8.62%E -2.30%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-14 14:35
TABtouch4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -7.67%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.96%EV -5.58%E -3.17%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -8.62%E -2.30%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-14 14:35
betPARX4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -7.67%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.96%EV -5.58%E -3.17%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -8.62%E -2.30%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-14 14:35
Sky Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -7.67%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.65%EV -8.80%E -5.17%K -12.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -2.53%E -0.632%K -0.842%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-14 14:15
888sport4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -7.67%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.21%EV -7.19%E -4.15%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -9.84%E -2.66%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-14 14:35
888sport (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -7.67%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.21%EV -7.19%E -4.15%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -9.84%E -2.66%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-14 14:35
Mr Green (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -7.67%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.21%EV -7.19%E -4.15%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -9.84%E -2.66%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-14 14:35
Bovada4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -7.67%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.99%EV -8.80%E -5.17%K -12.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -7.40%E -1.95%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-14 14:55
BetUS4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -7.67%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.99%EV -8.80%E -5.17%K -12.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -7.40%E -1.95%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-14 14:55
Bet Right4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -7.67%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.67%EV -8.26%E -4.83%K -11.63%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.47%EV -8.62%E -2.30%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-14 14:40
Betway4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -7.67%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -8.80%E -5.17%K -12.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -8.62%E -2.30%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-14 14:50
BetOnline.ag4.10I 24.39%NM 23.10%EV -9.87%E -2.41%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.62%EV -3.43%E -1.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.28%EV -4.96%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-14 14:55
LowVig.ag4.10I 24.39%NM 23.10%EV -9.87%E -2.41%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.62%EV -3.43%E -1.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.28%EV -4.96%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-14 14:55
Neds4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -9.87%E -2.41%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.32%EV -6.11%E -3.49%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -4.96%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-14 14:10
Ladbrokes (AU)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -9.87%E -2.41%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.32%EV -6.11%E -3.49%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -4.96%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-14 14:10
BetMGM4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -9.87%E -2.41%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.46%EV -6.65%E -3.82%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -4.96%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 14:30
BetRivers4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -9.87%E -2.41%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.96%EV -6.65%E -3.82%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -8.62%E -2.30%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-14 14:35
LeoVegas (SE)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -9.87%E -2.41%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.96%EV -6.65%E -3.82%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -8.62%E -2.30%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-14 14:35
Virgin Bet4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -9.87%E -2.41%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.89%EV -7.72%E -4.49%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.92%EV -11.06%E -3.03%K -4.17%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-14 14:35
LiveScore Bet4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -9.87%E -2.41%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.89%EV -7.72%E -4.49%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.92%EV -11.06%E -3.03%K -4.17%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-14 14:35
Codere (IT)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -9.87%E -2.41%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.89%EV -7.72%E -4.49%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.92%EV -11.06%E -3.03%K -4.17%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-14 14:40
theScore Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -12.07%E -3.02%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.49%EV -6.65%E -3.82%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -9.84%E -2.66%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-14 12:30
BoyleSports4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -12.07%E -3.02%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.24%EV -8.80%E -5.17%K -12.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.13%EV -8.62%E -2.30%K -3.13%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-14 14:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 21.70%EV -12.07%E -3.02%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 51.99%EV -10.41%E -6.23%K -15.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.31%EV -19.58%E -5.93%K -8.52%G +0.000%15.2%2026-03-14 14:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.62%0.8%2026-03-14 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.70I 21.28%NM 21.01%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.48%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.51%1.3%2026-03-14 14:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.70I 21.28%NM 21.01%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.48%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.51%1.3%2026-03-14 14:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.70I 21.28%NM 21.01%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.48%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.51%1.3%2026-03-14 14:50
Smarkets4.60I 21.74%NM 21.12%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.19%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.69%2.9%2026-03-14 14:55