A Escola das Odds

Cardiff City v Northampton Town

Início: 2026-04-25 14:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

52 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Cardiff City (Local)

Previsão 80.22%1.25odd justa
EV -2.93%
Vantagem -2.42%
Kelly -13.95%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.21

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
77.84%80.20%80.21%82.80%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.121.171.171.2189.29%85.61%85.47%82.64%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Northampton Town (Visitante)

Previsão 7.04%14.21odd justa
EV +19.64%
Vantagem +1.16%
Kelly +1.23%
Crescimento +0.241%

pressupondo odds máximas de 17.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
5.50%6.97%7.09%8.43%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
11.0013.0613.0017.009.09%7.66%7.69%5.88%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 12.74%7.85odd justa
EV +1.91%
Vantagem +0.239%
Kelly +0.273%
Crescimento +0.005%

pressupondo odds máximas de 8.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
11.67%12.83%12.70%15.42%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
6.006.977.008.0016.67%14.35%14.29%12.50%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (52 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Bet Victor1.13I 88.50%NM 82.80%EV -9.35%E -8.27%K -71.90%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.50%EV +19.64%E +1.16%K +1.23%G +0.241%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV +1.91%E +0.239%K +0.273%G +0.005%6.9%2026-04-23 14:05
Betsson1.17I 85.47%NM 79.76%EV -6.14%E -5.25%K -36.10%G +0.000%16.50I 6.06%NM 5.66%EV +16.12%E +0.977%K +1.04%G +0.168%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.58%EV -18.47%E -2.89%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-20 15:35
NordicBet1.17I 85.47%NM 79.76%EV -6.14%E -5.25%K -36.10%G +0.000%16.50I 6.06%NM 5.66%EV +16.12%E +0.977%K +1.04%G +0.168%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.58%EV -18.47%E -2.89%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-20 15:34
Paddy Power1.17I 85.47%NM 80.31%EV -6.14%E -5.25%K -36.10%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.26%EV +5.56%E +0.371%K +0.397%G +0.022%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -10.83%E -1.55%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 06:18
Unibet (UK)1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -7.74%E -6.73%K -51.62%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.23%EV +5.56%E +0.371%K +0.397%G +0.022%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -4.46%E -0.595%K -0.686%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-24 02:49
PlayUp1.18I 84.75%NM 78.90%EV -5.34%E -4.52%K -29.64%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.21%EV +5.56%E +0.371%K +0.397%G +0.022%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.90%EV -20.38%E -3.26%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 22:39
SportsBet1.15I 86.96%NM 80.58%EV -7.74%E -6.73%K -51.62%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.18%EV +5.56%E +0.371%K +0.397%G +0.022%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -10.83%E -1.55%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 06:19
TAB1.18I 84.75%NM 78.41%EV -5.34%E -4.52%K -29.64%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.17%EV +5.56%E +0.371%K +0.397%G +0.022%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.42%EV -23.57%E -3.93%K -4.71%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 22:41
Marathon Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -7.74%E -6.73%K -51.62%G +0.000%14.25I 7.02%NM 6.56%EV +0.282%E +0.020%K +0.021%G +0.000%7.70I 12.99%NM 12.14%EV -1.91%E -0.248%K -0.286%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-24 02:13
1xBet1.15I 86.96%NM 81.28%EV -7.74%E -6.73%K -51.62%G +0.000%14.20I 7.04%NM 6.58%EV -0.070%E -0.005%K -0.005%G +0.000%7.70I 12.99%NM 12.14%EV -1.91%E -0.248%K -0.286%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-24 02:19
Tipico (DE)1.13I 88.50%NM 81.21%EV -9.35%E -8.27%K -71.90%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.55%EV -1.48%E -0.106%K -0.114%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.24%EV -4.46%E -0.595%K -0.686%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 08:44
Pinnacle1.15I 86.96%NM 80.92%EV -7.74%E -6.73%K -51.62%G +0.000%13.54I 7.39%NM 6.87%EV -4.71%E -0.348%K -0.376%G +0.000%7.62I 13.12%NM 12.21%EV -2.93%E -0.385%K -0.443%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-24 02:20
Coral1.18I 84.75%NM 80.76%EV -5.34%E -4.52%K -29.64%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.33%EV -8.51%E -0.655%K -0.710%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.91%EV +1.91%E +0.239%K +0.273%G +0.005%4.9%2026-04-23 18:25
Betr (AU)1.18I 84.75%NM 79.41%EV -5.34%E -4.52%K -29.64%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -8.51%E -0.655%K -0.710%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -10.83%E -1.55%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 06:20
Coolbet1.18I 84.75%NM 79.41%EV -5.34%E -4.52%K -29.64%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -8.51%E -0.655%K -0.710%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -10.83%E -1.55%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 06:19
betfred_uk1.18I 84.75%NM 79.41%EV -5.34%E -4.52%K -29.64%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -8.51%E -0.655%K -0.710%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -10.83%E -1.55%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 08:13
DraftKings1.15I 86.96%NM 81.15%EV -7.74%E -6.73%K -51.62%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.18%EV -8.51%E -0.655%K -0.710%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV +1.91%E +0.239%K +0.273%G +0.005%7.1%2026-04-23 08:24
888sport1.17I 85.47%NM 79.55%EV -6.14%E -5.25%K -36.10%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.16%EV -8.51%E -0.655%K -0.710%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -10.83%E -1.55%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 23:39
William Hill1.17I 85.47%NM 79.55%EV -6.14%E -5.25%K -36.10%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.16%EV -8.51%E -0.655%K -0.710%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -10.83%E -1.55%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 23:39
Mr Green (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 79.55%EV -6.14%E -5.25%K -36.10%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.16%EV -8.51%E -0.655%K -0.710%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -10.83%E -1.55%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 23:39
888sport (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 79.55%EV -6.14%E -5.25%K -36.10%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.16%EV -8.51%E -0.655%K -0.710%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -10.83%E -1.55%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 23:35
PointsBet (AU)1.17I 85.47%NM 79.16%EV -6.14%E -5.25%K -36.10%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.12%EV -8.51%E -0.655%K -0.710%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.72%EV -14.01%E -2.08%K -2.44%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 06:19
Betway1.15I 86.96%NM 79.82%EV -7.74%E -6.73%K -51.62%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.06%EV -8.51%E -0.655%K -0.710%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.11%EV -10.83%E -1.55%K -1.81%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-24 02:09
BoyleSports1.15I 86.96%NM 79.82%EV -7.74%E -6.73%K -51.62%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.06%EV -8.51%E -0.655%K -0.710%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.11%EV -10.83%E -1.55%K -1.81%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 18:04
theScore Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 79.82%EV -7.74%E -6.73%K -51.62%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.06%EV -8.51%E -0.655%K -0.710%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.11%EV -10.83%E -1.55%K -1.81%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 09:19
Bovada1.14I 87.72%NM 80.33%EV -8.54%E -7.50%K -61.03%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.04%EV -8.51%E -0.655%K -0.710%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.63%EV -7.65%E -1.05%K -1.22%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-24 01:24
BetUS1.14I 87.72%NM 80.33%EV -8.54%E -7.50%K -61.03%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.04%EV -8.51%E -0.655%K -0.710%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.63%EV -7.65%E -1.05%K -1.22%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-24 01:20
Codere (IT)1.13I 88.50%NM 80.39%EV -9.35%E -8.27%K -71.90%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.99%EV -8.51%E -0.655%K -0.710%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.62%EV -8.28%E -1.15%K -1.34%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-24 02:54
Svenska Spel1.21I 82.64%NM 78.37%EV -2.93%E -2.42%K -13.95%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.59%EV -12.03%E -0.963%K -1.05%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.05%EV -14.01%E -2.08%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 12:29
ATG (SE)1.21I 82.64%NM 78.37%EV -2.93%E -2.42%K -13.95%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.59%EV -12.03%E -0.963%K -1.05%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.05%EV -14.01%E -2.08%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 12:24
LeoVegas1.21I 82.64%NM 77.95%EV -2.93%E -2.42%K -13.95%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.55%EV -12.03%E -0.963%K -1.05%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.51%EV -17.20%E -2.65%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 12:24
Grosvenor1.19I 84.03%NM 78.23%EV -4.53%E -3.81%K -23.86%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.45%EV -12.03%E -0.963%K -1.05%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.32%EV -17.20%E -2.65%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 12:24
Unibet (NL)1.19I 84.03%NM 78.23%EV -4.53%E -3.81%K -23.86%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.45%EV -12.03%E -0.963%K -1.05%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.32%EV -17.20%E -2.65%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 12:25
Unibet1.19I 84.03%NM 78.23%EV -4.53%E -3.81%K -23.86%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.45%EV -12.03%E -0.963%K -1.05%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.32%EV -17.20%E -2.65%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 12:24
TABtouch1.19I 84.03%NM 78.23%EV -4.53%E -3.81%K -23.86%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.45%EV -12.03%E -0.963%K -1.05%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.32%EV -17.20%E -2.65%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 12:29
Unibet (SE)1.19I 84.03%NM 78.23%EV -4.53%E -3.81%K -23.86%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.45%EV -12.03%E -0.963%K -1.05%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.32%EV -17.20%E -2.65%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 12:24
Casumo1.19I 84.03%NM 78.23%EV -4.53%E -3.81%K -23.86%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.45%EV -12.03%E -0.963%K -1.05%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.32%EV -17.20%E -2.65%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 12:29
betPARX1.19I 84.03%NM 78.23%EV -4.53%E -3.81%K -23.86%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.45%EV -12.03%E -0.963%K -1.05%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.32%EV -17.20%E -2.65%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 12:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.34%E -4.52%K -29.64%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.89%EV -15.55%E -1.30%K -1.41%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.84%EV +1.91%E +0.239%K +0.273%G +0.005%5.6%2026-04-23 06:14
BetMGM1.18I 84.75%NM 79.96%EV -5.34%E -4.52%K -29.64%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.86%EV -15.55%E -1.30%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.17%EV -1.28%E -0.165%K -0.189%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 06:15
Fanatics1.16I 86.21%NM 79.91%EV -6.94%E -5.98%K -43.38%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.73%EV -15.55%E -1.30%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV -4.46%E -0.595%K -0.686%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 16:35
BetRivers1.18I 84.75%NM 77.96%EV -5.34%E -4.52%K -29.64%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.67%EV -15.55%E -1.30%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.37%EV -18.47%E -2.89%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 12:24
LeoVegas (SE)1.18I 84.75%NM 77.96%EV -5.34%E -4.52%K -29.64%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.67%EV -15.55%E -1.30%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.37%EV -18.47%E -2.89%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 12:29
Bet Right1.17I 85.47%NM 78.28%EV -6.14%E -5.25%K -36.10%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.63%EV -15.55%E -1.30%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -17.20%E -2.65%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 06:19
Sky Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 78.28%EV -6.14%E -5.25%K -36.10%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.63%EV -15.55%E -1.30%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -17.20%E -2.65%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 06:19
Virgin Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 77.84%EV -6.14%E -5.25%K -36.10%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.59%EV -15.55%E -1.30%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.57%EV -20.38%E -3.26%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-23 12:24
LiveScore Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 77.84%EV -6.14%E -5.25%K -36.10%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.59%EV -15.55%E -1.30%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.57%EV -20.38%E -3.26%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-23 12:24
Everygame1.12I 89.29%NM 79.01%EV -10.15%E -9.06%K -84.57%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.37%EV -15.55%E -1.30%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.61%EV -17.20%E -2.65%K -3.13%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-24 03:10
LowVig.ag1.15I 86.96%NM 79.38%EV -7.74%E -6.73%K -51.62%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.94%EV -19.07%E -1.66%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.68%EV -8.28%E -1.15%K -1.34%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-24 03:49
BetOnline.ag1.15I 86.96%NM 79.38%EV -7.74%E -6.73%K -51.62%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.94%EV -19.07%E -1.66%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.68%EV -8.28%E -1.15%K -1.34%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-24 03:50
Neds1.17I 85.47%NM 79.22%EV -6.14%E -5.25%K -36.10%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -22.59%E -2.05%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV -4.46%E -0.595%K -0.686%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 06:14
Ladbrokes (AU)1.17I 85.47%NM 79.22%EV -6.14%E -5.25%K -36.10%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -22.59%E -2.05%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV -4.46%E -0.595%K -0.686%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 06:14
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.18I 84.75%NM 81.78%16.50I 6.06%NM 5.85%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.37%3.6%2026-04-24 02:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.18I 84.75%NM 81.78%16.50I 6.06%NM 5.85%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.37%3.6%2026-04-24 02:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.18I 84.75%NM 81.78%16.50I 6.06%NM 5.85%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.37%3.6%2026-04-24 02:10
Matchbook1.18I 84.75%NM 81.38%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.65%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.98%4.1%2026-04-24 02:45
Smarkets1.16I 86.21%NM 81.77%16.50I 6.06%NM 5.75%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.48%5.4%2026-04-24 02:25