La scuola delle quoteItaliano
Cardiff City v Northampton Town
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Cardiff City (Casa)
Previsione 80.22%1.25quota equa
EV -2.93%
Vantaggio -2.42%
Kelly -13.95%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.21
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
77.84%80.20%80.21%82.80%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.121.171.171.2189.29%85.61%85.47%82.64%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Northampton Town (Trasferta)
Previsione 7.04%14.21quota equa
EV +19.64%
Vantaggio +1.16%
Kelly +1.23%
Crescita +0.241%
ipotizzando la quota massima 17.00
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
5.50%6.97%7.09%8.43%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
11.0013.0613.0017.009.09%7.66%7.69%5.88%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Pareggio
Previsione 12.74%7.85quota equa
EV +1.91%
Vantaggio +0.239%
Kelly +0.273%
Crescita +0.005%
ipotizzando la quota massima 8.00
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
11.67%12.83%12.70%15.42%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
6.006.977.008.0016.67%14.35%14.29%12.50%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (52 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Victor | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.80%EV -9.35%E -8.27%K -71.90%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.50%EV +19.64%E +1.16%K +1.23%G +0.241% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV +1.91%E +0.239%K +0.273%G +0.005% | 6.9% | 2026-04-23 14:05 |
| Betsson | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.76%EV -6.14%E -5.25%K -36.10%G +0.000% | 16.50I 6.06%NM 5.66%EV +16.12%E +0.977%K +1.04%G +0.168% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.58%EV -18.47%E -2.89%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-20 15:35 |
| NordicBet | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.76%EV -6.14%E -5.25%K -36.10%G +0.000% | 16.50I 6.06%NM 5.66%EV +16.12%E +0.977%K +1.04%G +0.168% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.58%EV -18.47%E -2.89%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-20 15:34 |
| Paddy Power | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.31%EV -6.14%E -5.25%K -36.10%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.26%EV +5.56%E +0.371%K +0.397%G +0.022% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -10.83%E -1.55%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-23 06:18 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -7.74%E -6.73%K -51.62%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.23%EV +5.56%E +0.371%K +0.397%G +0.022% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -4.46%E -0.595%K -0.686%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-24 02:49 |
| PlayUp | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.90%EV -5.34%E -4.52%K -29.64%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.21%EV +5.56%E +0.371%K +0.397%G +0.022% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.90%EV -20.38%E -3.26%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-23 22:39 |
| SportsBet | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.58%EV -7.74%E -6.73%K -51.62%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.18%EV +5.56%E +0.371%K +0.397%G +0.022% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -10.83%E -1.55%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-23 06:19 |
| TAB | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.41%EV -5.34%E -4.52%K -29.64%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.17%EV +5.56%E +0.371%K +0.397%G +0.022% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.42%EV -23.57%E -3.93%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-23 22:41 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -7.74%E -6.73%K -51.62%G +0.000% | 14.25I 7.02%NM 6.56%EV +0.282%E +0.020%K +0.021%G +0.000% | 7.70I 12.99%NM 12.14%EV -1.91%E -0.248%K -0.286%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-24 02:13 |
| 1xBet | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.28%EV -7.74%E -6.73%K -51.62%G +0.000% | 14.20I 7.04%NM 6.58%EV -0.070%E -0.005%K -0.005%G +0.000% | 7.70I 12.99%NM 12.14%EV -1.91%E -0.248%K -0.286%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-24 02:19 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.21%EV -9.35%E -8.27%K -71.90%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.55%EV -1.48%E -0.106%K -0.114%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.24%EV -4.46%E -0.595%K -0.686%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-23 08:44 |
| Pinnacle | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.92%EV -7.74%E -6.73%K -51.62%G +0.000% | 13.54I 7.39%NM 6.87%EV -4.71%E -0.348%K -0.376%G +0.000% | 7.62I 13.12%NM 12.21%EV -2.93%E -0.385%K -0.443%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-24 02:20 |
| Coral | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.76%EV -5.34%E -4.52%K -29.64%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.33%EV -8.51%E -0.655%K -0.710%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.91%EV +1.91%E +0.239%K +0.273%G +0.005% | 4.9% | 2026-04-23 18:25 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.41%EV -5.34%E -4.52%K -29.64%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -8.51%E -0.655%K -0.710%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -10.83%E -1.55%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 06:20 |
| Coolbet | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.41%EV -5.34%E -4.52%K -29.64%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -8.51%E -0.655%K -0.710%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -10.83%E -1.55%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 06:19 |
| betfred_uk | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.41%EV -5.34%E -4.52%K -29.64%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -8.51%E -0.655%K -0.710%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -10.83%E -1.55%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 08:13 |
| DraftKings | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.15%EV -7.74%E -6.73%K -51.62%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.18%EV -8.51%E -0.655%K -0.710%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV +1.91%E +0.239%K +0.273%G +0.005% | 7.1% | 2026-04-23 08:24 |
| 888sport | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.55%EV -6.14%E -5.25%K -36.10%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.16%EV -8.51%E -0.655%K -0.710%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -10.83%E -1.55%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-23 23:39 |
| William Hill | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.55%EV -6.14%E -5.25%K -36.10%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.16%EV -8.51%E -0.655%K -0.710%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -10.83%E -1.55%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-23 23:39 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.55%EV -6.14%E -5.25%K -36.10%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.16%EV -8.51%E -0.655%K -0.710%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -10.83%E -1.55%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-23 23:39 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.55%EV -6.14%E -5.25%K -36.10%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.16%EV -8.51%E -0.655%K -0.710%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -10.83%E -1.55%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-23 23:35 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.16%EV -6.14%E -5.25%K -36.10%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.12%EV -8.51%E -0.655%K -0.710%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.72%EV -14.01%E -2.08%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-23 06:19 |
| Betway | 1.15I 86.96%NM 79.82%EV -7.74%E -6.73%K -51.62%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.06%EV -8.51%E -0.655%K -0.710%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.11%EV -10.83%E -1.55%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-24 02:09 |
| BoyleSports | 1.15I 86.96%NM 79.82%EV -7.74%E -6.73%K -51.62%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.06%EV -8.51%E -0.655%K -0.710%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.11%EV -10.83%E -1.55%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-23 18:04 |
| theScore Bet | 1.15I 86.96%NM 79.82%EV -7.74%E -6.73%K -51.62%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.06%EV -8.51%E -0.655%K -0.710%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.11%EV -10.83%E -1.55%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-23 09:19 |
| Bovada | 1.14I 87.72%NM 80.33%EV -8.54%E -7.50%K -61.03%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.04%EV -8.51%E -0.655%K -0.710%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.63%EV -7.65%E -1.05%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-24 01:24 |
| BetUS | 1.14I 87.72%NM 80.33%EV -8.54%E -7.50%K -61.03%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.04%EV -8.51%E -0.655%K -0.710%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.63%EV -7.65%E -1.05%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-24 01:20 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 80.39%EV -9.35%E -8.27%K -71.90%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.99%EV -8.51%E -0.655%K -0.710%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 12.62%EV -8.28%E -1.15%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-24 02:54 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.37%EV -2.93%E -2.42%K -13.95%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.59%EV -12.03%E -0.963%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.05%EV -14.01%E -2.08%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-23 12:29 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.37%EV -2.93%E -2.42%K -13.95%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.59%EV -12.03%E -0.963%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.05%EV -14.01%E -2.08%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-23 12:24 |
| LeoVegas | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.95%EV -2.93%E -2.42%K -13.95%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.55%EV -12.03%E -0.963%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.51%EV -17.20%E -2.65%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-23 12:24 |
| Grosvenor | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.23%EV -4.53%E -3.81%K -23.86%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.45%EV -12.03%E -0.963%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.32%EV -17.20%E -2.65%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-23 12:24 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.23%EV -4.53%E -3.81%K -23.86%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.45%EV -12.03%E -0.963%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.32%EV -17.20%E -2.65%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-23 12:25 |
| Unibet | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.23%EV -4.53%E -3.81%K -23.86%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.45%EV -12.03%E -0.963%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.32%EV -17.20%E -2.65%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-23 12:24 |
| TABtouch | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.23%EV -4.53%E -3.81%K -23.86%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.45%EV -12.03%E -0.963%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.32%EV -17.20%E -2.65%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-23 12:29 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.23%EV -4.53%E -3.81%K -23.86%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.45%EV -12.03%E -0.963%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.32%EV -17.20%E -2.65%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-23 12:24 |
| Casumo | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.23%EV -4.53%E -3.81%K -23.86%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.45%EV -12.03%E -0.963%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.32%EV -17.20%E -2.65%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-23 12:29 |
| betPARX | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.23%EV -4.53%E -3.81%K -23.86%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.45%EV -12.03%E -0.963%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.32%EV -17.20%E -2.65%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-23 12:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.34%E -4.52%K -29.64%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.89%EV -15.55%E -1.30%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.84%EV +1.91%E +0.239%K +0.273%G +0.005% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 06:14 |
| BetMGM | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.96%EV -5.34%E -4.52%K -29.64%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.86%EV -15.55%E -1.30%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.17%EV -1.28%E -0.165%K -0.189%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-23 06:15 |
| Fanatics | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.91%EV -6.94%E -5.98%K -43.38%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.73%EV -15.55%E -1.30%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV -4.46%E -0.595%K -0.686%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-23 16:35 |
| BetRivers | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.96%EV -5.34%E -4.52%K -29.64%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.67%EV -15.55%E -1.30%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.37%EV -18.47%E -2.89%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-23 12:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.96%EV -5.34%E -4.52%K -29.64%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.67%EV -15.55%E -1.30%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.37%EV -18.47%E -2.89%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-23 12:29 |
| Bet Right | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.28%EV -6.14%E -5.25%K -36.10%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.63%EV -15.55%E -1.30%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -17.20%E -2.65%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-23 06:19 |
| Sky Bet | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.28%EV -6.14%E -5.25%K -36.10%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.63%EV -15.55%E -1.30%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -17.20%E -2.65%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-23 06:19 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.17I 85.47%NM 77.84%EV -6.14%E -5.25%K -36.10%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.59%EV -15.55%E -1.30%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.57%EV -20.38%E -3.26%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-23 12:24 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.17I 85.47%NM 77.84%EV -6.14%E -5.25%K -36.10%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.59%EV -15.55%E -1.30%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.57%EV -20.38%E -3.26%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-23 12:24 |
| Everygame | 1.12I 89.29%NM 79.01%EV -10.15%E -9.06%K -84.57%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.37%EV -15.55%E -1.30%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.61%EV -17.20%E -2.65%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-04-24 03:10 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.15I 86.96%NM 79.38%EV -7.74%E -6.73%K -51.62%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 7.94%EV -19.07%E -1.66%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 12.68%EV -8.28%E -1.15%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-24 03:49 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.15I 86.96%NM 79.38%EV -7.74%E -6.73%K -51.62%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 7.94%EV -19.07%E -1.66%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 12.68%EV -8.28%E -1.15%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-24 03:50 |
| Neds | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.22%EV -6.14%E -5.25%K -36.10%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -22.59%E -2.05%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV -4.46%E -0.595%K -0.686%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-23 06:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.22%EV -6.14%E -5.25%K -36.10%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -22.59%E -2.05%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV -4.46%E -0.595%K -0.686%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-23 06:14 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (5)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.78% | 16.50I 6.06%NM 5.85% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.37% | 3.6% | 2026-04-24 02:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.78% | 16.50I 6.06%NM 5.85% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.37% | 3.6% | 2026-04-24 02:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.78% | 16.50I 6.06%NM 5.85% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.37% | 3.6% | 2026-04-24 02:10 |
| Matchbook | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.38% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.65% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.98% | 4.1% | 2026-04-24 02:45 |
| Smarkets | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.77% | 16.50I 6.06%NM 5.75% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.48% | 5.4% | 2026-04-24 02:25 |