L’École des cotesFrançais
Cardiff City v Northampton Town
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Cardiff City (Local)
Prévision 80.22%1.25cote équitable
EV -2.93%
Avantage -2.42%
Kelly -13.95%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.21
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
77.84%80.20%80.21%82.80%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.121.171.171.2189.29%85.61%85.47%82.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Northampton Town (Visiteur)
Prévision 7.04%14.21cote équitable
EV +19.64%
Avantage +1.16%
Kelly +1.23%
Croissance +0.241%
avec la cote maximale 17.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
5.50%6.97%7.09%8.43%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
11.0013.0613.0017.009.09%7.66%7.69%5.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 12.74%7.85cote équitable
EV +1.91%
Avantage +0.239%
Kelly +0.273%
Croissance +0.005%
avec la cote maximale 8.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
11.67%12.83%12.70%15.42%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
6.006.977.008.0016.67%14.35%14.29%12.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Victor | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.80%EV -9.35%E -8.27%K -71.90%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.50%EV +19.64%E +1.16%K +1.23%G +0.241% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV +1.91%E +0.239%K +0.273%G +0.005% | 6.9% | 2026-04-23 14:05 |
| Betsson | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.76%EV -6.14%E -5.25%K -36.10%G +0.000% | 16.50I 6.06%NM 5.66%EV +16.12%E +0.977%K +1.04%G +0.168% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.58%EV -18.47%E -2.89%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-20 15:35 |
| NordicBet | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.76%EV -6.14%E -5.25%K -36.10%G +0.000% | 16.50I 6.06%NM 5.66%EV +16.12%E +0.977%K +1.04%G +0.168% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.58%EV -18.47%E -2.89%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-20 15:34 |
| Paddy Power | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.31%EV -6.14%E -5.25%K -36.10%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.26%EV +5.56%E +0.371%K +0.397%G +0.022% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -10.83%E -1.55%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-23 06:18 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -7.74%E -6.73%K -51.62%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.23%EV +5.56%E +0.371%K +0.397%G +0.022% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -4.46%E -0.595%K -0.686%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-24 02:49 |
| PlayUp | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.90%EV -5.34%E -4.52%K -29.64%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.21%EV +5.56%E +0.371%K +0.397%G +0.022% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.90%EV -20.38%E -3.26%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-23 22:39 |
| SportsBet | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.58%EV -7.74%E -6.73%K -51.62%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.18%EV +5.56%E +0.371%K +0.397%G +0.022% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -10.83%E -1.55%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-23 06:19 |
| TAB | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.41%EV -5.34%E -4.52%K -29.64%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.17%EV +5.56%E +0.371%K +0.397%G +0.022% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.42%EV -23.57%E -3.93%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-23 22:41 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -7.74%E -6.73%K -51.62%G +0.000% | 14.25I 7.02%NM 6.56%EV +0.282%E +0.020%K +0.021%G +0.000% | 7.70I 12.99%NM 12.14%EV -1.91%E -0.248%K -0.286%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-24 02:13 |
| 1xBet | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.28%EV -7.74%E -6.73%K -51.62%G +0.000% | 14.20I 7.04%NM 6.58%EV -0.070%E -0.005%K -0.005%G +0.000% | 7.70I 12.99%NM 12.14%EV -1.91%E -0.248%K -0.286%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-24 02:19 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.21%EV -9.35%E -8.27%K -71.90%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.55%EV -1.48%E -0.106%K -0.114%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.24%EV -4.46%E -0.595%K -0.686%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-23 08:44 |
| Pinnacle | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.92%EV -7.74%E -6.73%K -51.62%G +0.000% | 13.54I 7.39%NM 6.87%EV -4.71%E -0.348%K -0.376%G +0.000% | 7.62I 13.12%NM 12.21%EV -2.93%E -0.385%K -0.443%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-24 02:20 |
| Coral | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.76%EV -5.34%E -4.52%K -29.64%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.33%EV -8.51%E -0.655%K -0.710%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.91%EV +1.91%E +0.239%K +0.273%G +0.005% | 4.9% | 2026-04-23 18:25 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.41%EV -5.34%E -4.52%K -29.64%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -8.51%E -0.655%K -0.710%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -10.83%E -1.55%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 06:20 |
| Coolbet | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.41%EV -5.34%E -4.52%K -29.64%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -8.51%E -0.655%K -0.710%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -10.83%E -1.55%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 06:19 |
| betfred_uk | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.41%EV -5.34%E -4.52%K -29.64%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -8.51%E -0.655%K -0.710%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -10.83%E -1.55%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 08:13 |
| DraftKings | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.15%EV -7.74%E -6.73%K -51.62%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.18%EV -8.51%E -0.655%K -0.710%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV +1.91%E +0.239%K +0.273%G +0.005% | 7.1% | 2026-04-23 08:24 |
| 888sport | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.55%EV -6.14%E -5.25%K -36.10%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.16%EV -8.51%E -0.655%K -0.710%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -10.83%E -1.55%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-23 23:39 |
| William Hill | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.55%EV -6.14%E -5.25%K -36.10%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.16%EV -8.51%E -0.655%K -0.710%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -10.83%E -1.55%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-23 23:39 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.55%EV -6.14%E -5.25%K -36.10%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.16%EV -8.51%E -0.655%K -0.710%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -10.83%E -1.55%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-23 23:39 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.55%EV -6.14%E -5.25%K -36.10%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.16%EV -8.51%E -0.655%K -0.710%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -10.83%E -1.55%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-23 23:35 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.16%EV -6.14%E -5.25%K -36.10%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.12%EV -8.51%E -0.655%K -0.710%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.72%EV -14.01%E -2.08%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-23 06:19 |
| Betway | 1.15I 86.96%NM 79.82%EV -7.74%E -6.73%K -51.62%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.06%EV -8.51%E -0.655%K -0.710%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.11%EV -10.83%E -1.55%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-24 02:09 |
| BoyleSports | 1.15I 86.96%NM 79.82%EV -7.74%E -6.73%K -51.62%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.06%EV -8.51%E -0.655%K -0.710%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.11%EV -10.83%E -1.55%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-23 18:04 |
| theScore Bet | 1.15I 86.96%NM 79.82%EV -7.74%E -6.73%K -51.62%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.06%EV -8.51%E -0.655%K -0.710%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.11%EV -10.83%E -1.55%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-23 09:19 |
| Bovada | 1.14I 87.72%NM 80.33%EV -8.54%E -7.50%K -61.03%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.04%EV -8.51%E -0.655%K -0.710%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.63%EV -7.65%E -1.05%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-24 01:24 |
| BetUS | 1.14I 87.72%NM 80.33%EV -8.54%E -7.50%K -61.03%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.04%EV -8.51%E -0.655%K -0.710%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.63%EV -7.65%E -1.05%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-24 01:20 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 80.39%EV -9.35%E -8.27%K -71.90%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.99%EV -8.51%E -0.655%K -0.710%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 12.62%EV -8.28%E -1.15%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-24 02:54 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.37%EV -2.93%E -2.42%K -13.95%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.59%EV -12.03%E -0.963%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.05%EV -14.01%E -2.08%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-23 12:29 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.37%EV -2.93%E -2.42%K -13.95%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.59%EV -12.03%E -0.963%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.05%EV -14.01%E -2.08%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-23 12:24 |
| LeoVegas | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.95%EV -2.93%E -2.42%K -13.95%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.55%EV -12.03%E -0.963%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.51%EV -17.20%E -2.65%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-23 12:24 |
| Grosvenor | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.23%EV -4.53%E -3.81%K -23.86%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.45%EV -12.03%E -0.963%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.32%EV -17.20%E -2.65%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-23 12:24 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.23%EV -4.53%E -3.81%K -23.86%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.45%EV -12.03%E -0.963%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.32%EV -17.20%E -2.65%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-23 12:25 |
| Unibet | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.23%EV -4.53%E -3.81%K -23.86%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.45%EV -12.03%E -0.963%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.32%EV -17.20%E -2.65%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-23 12:24 |
| TABtouch | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.23%EV -4.53%E -3.81%K -23.86%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.45%EV -12.03%E -0.963%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.32%EV -17.20%E -2.65%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-23 12:29 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.23%EV -4.53%E -3.81%K -23.86%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.45%EV -12.03%E -0.963%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.32%EV -17.20%E -2.65%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-23 12:24 |
| Casumo | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.23%EV -4.53%E -3.81%K -23.86%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.45%EV -12.03%E -0.963%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.32%EV -17.20%E -2.65%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-23 12:29 |
| betPARX | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.23%EV -4.53%E -3.81%K -23.86%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.45%EV -12.03%E -0.963%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.32%EV -17.20%E -2.65%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-23 12:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.34%E -4.52%K -29.64%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.89%EV -15.55%E -1.30%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.84%EV +1.91%E +0.239%K +0.273%G +0.005% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 06:14 |
| BetMGM | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.96%EV -5.34%E -4.52%K -29.64%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.86%EV -15.55%E -1.30%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.17%EV -1.28%E -0.165%K -0.189%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-23 06:15 |
| Fanatics | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.91%EV -6.94%E -5.98%K -43.38%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.73%EV -15.55%E -1.30%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV -4.46%E -0.595%K -0.686%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-23 16:35 |
| BetRivers | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.96%EV -5.34%E -4.52%K -29.64%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.67%EV -15.55%E -1.30%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.37%EV -18.47%E -2.89%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-23 12:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.96%EV -5.34%E -4.52%K -29.64%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.67%EV -15.55%E -1.30%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.37%EV -18.47%E -2.89%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-23 12:29 |
| Bet Right | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.28%EV -6.14%E -5.25%K -36.10%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.63%EV -15.55%E -1.30%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -17.20%E -2.65%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-23 06:19 |
| Sky Bet | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.28%EV -6.14%E -5.25%K -36.10%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.63%EV -15.55%E -1.30%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -17.20%E -2.65%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-23 06:19 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.17I 85.47%NM 77.84%EV -6.14%E -5.25%K -36.10%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.59%EV -15.55%E -1.30%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.57%EV -20.38%E -3.26%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-23 12:24 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.17I 85.47%NM 77.84%EV -6.14%E -5.25%K -36.10%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.59%EV -15.55%E -1.30%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.57%EV -20.38%E -3.26%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-23 12:24 |
| Everygame | 1.12I 89.29%NM 79.01%EV -10.15%E -9.06%K -84.57%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.37%EV -15.55%E -1.30%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.61%EV -17.20%E -2.65%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-04-24 03:10 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.15I 86.96%NM 79.38%EV -7.74%E -6.73%K -51.62%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 7.94%EV -19.07%E -1.66%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 12.68%EV -8.28%E -1.15%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-24 03:49 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.15I 86.96%NM 79.38%EV -7.74%E -6.73%K -51.62%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 7.94%EV -19.07%E -1.66%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 12.68%EV -8.28%E -1.15%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-24 03:50 |
| Neds | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.22%EV -6.14%E -5.25%K -36.10%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -22.59%E -2.05%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV -4.46%E -0.595%K -0.686%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-23 06:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.22%EV -6.14%E -5.25%K -36.10%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -22.59%E -2.05%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV -4.46%E -0.595%K -0.686%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-23 06:14 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.78% | 16.50I 6.06%NM 5.85% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.37% | 3.6% | 2026-04-24 02:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.78% | 16.50I 6.06%NM 5.85% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.37% | 3.6% | 2026-04-24 02:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.78% | 16.50I 6.06%NM 5.85% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.37% | 3.6% | 2026-04-24 02:10 |
| Matchbook | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.38% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.65% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.98% | 4.1% | 2026-04-24 02:45 |
| Smarkets | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.77% | 16.50I 6.06%NM 5.75% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.48% | 5.4% | 2026-04-24 02:25 |