Idioma:Español
Cardiff City v Northampton Town
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Cardiff City (Local)
Predicción 80.22%1.25momio equitativo
EV -2.93%
Ventaja -2.42%
Kelly -13.95%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.21
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
77.84%80.20%80.21%82.80%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.121.171.171.2189.29%85.61%85.47%82.64%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Northampton Town (Visitante)
Predicción 7.04%14.21momio equitativo
EV +19.64%
Ventaja +1.16%
Kelly +1.23%
Crecimiento +0.241%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 17.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
5.50%6.97%7.09%8.43%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
11.0013.0613.0017.009.09%7.66%7.69%5.88%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 12.74%7.85momio equitativo
EV +1.91%
Ventaja +0.239%
Kelly +0.273%
Crecimiento +0.005%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 8.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
11.67%12.83%12.70%15.42%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
6.006.977.008.0016.67%14.35%14.29%12.50%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Cardiff City (Local): 80.22%; Northampton Town (Visitante): 7.04%; Empate: 12.74%. Para Northampton Town (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 14.21. 9 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 17.00, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +19.64%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.80%EV -9.35%E -8.27%K -71.90%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.50%EV +19.64%E +1.16%K +1.23%G +0.241% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV +1.91%E +0.239%K +0.273%G +0.005% | 6.9% | 2026-04-23 14:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.76%EV -6.14%E -5.25%K -36.10%G +0.000% | 16.50I 6.06%NM 5.66%EV +16.12%E +0.977%K +1.04%G +0.168% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.58%EV -18.47%E -2.89%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-20 15:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.76%EV -6.14%E -5.25%K -36.10%G +0.000% | 16.50I 6.06%NM 5.66%EV +16.12%E +0.977%K +1.04%G +0.168% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.58%EV -18.47%E -2.89%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-20 15:34 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.31%EV -6.14%E -5.25%K -36.10%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.26%EV +5.56%E +0.371%K +0.397%G +0.022% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -10.83%E -1.55%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-23 06:18 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -7.74%E -6.73%K -51.62%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.23%EV +5.56%E +0.371%K +0.397%G +0.022% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -4.46%E -0.595%K -0.686%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-24 02:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.90%EV -5.34%E -4.52%K -29.64%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.21%EV +5.56%E +0.371%K +0.397%G +0.022% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.90%EV -20.38%E -3.26%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-23 22:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.58%EV -7.74%E -6.73%K -51.62%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.18%EV +5.56%E +0.371%K +0.397%G +0.022% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -10.83%E -1.55%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-23 06:19 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.41%EV -5.34%E -4.52%K -29.64%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.17%EV +5.56%E +0.371%K +0.397%G +0.022% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.42%EV -23.57%E -3.93%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-23 22:41 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -7.74%E -6.73%K -51.62%G +0.000% | 14.25I 7.02%NM 6.56%EV +0.282%E +0.020%K +0.021%G +0.000% | 7.70I 12.99%NM 12.14%EV -1.91%E -0.248%K -0.286%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-24 02:13 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.28%EV -7.74%E -6.73%K -51.62%G +0.000% | 14.20I 7.04%NM 6.58%EV -0.070%E -0.005%K -0.005%G +0.000% | 7.70I 12.99%NM 12.14%EV -1.91%E -0.248%K -0.286%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-24 02:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.21%EV -9.35%E -8.27%K -71.90%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.55%EV -1.48%E -0.106%K -0.114%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.24%EV -4.46%E -0.595%K -0.686%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-23 08:44 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.92%EV -7.74%E -6.73%K -51.62%G +0.000% | 13.54I 7.39%NM 6.87%EV -4.71%E -0.348%K -0.376%G +0.000% | 7.62I 13.12%NM 12.21%EV -2.93%E -0.385%K -0.443%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-24 02:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.76%EV -5.34%E -4.52%K -29.64%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.33%EV -8.51%E -0.655%K -0.710%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.91%EV +1.91%E +0.239%K +0.273%G +0.005% | 4.9% | 2026-04-23 18:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.41%EV -5.34%E -4.52%K -29.64%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -8.51%E -0.655%K -0.710%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -10.83%E -1.55%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 06:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.41%EV -5.34%E -4.52%K -29.64%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -8.51%E -0.655%K -0.710%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -10.83%E -1.55%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 06:19 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.41%EV -5.34%E -4.52%K -29.64%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -8.51%E -0.655%K -0.710%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -10.83%E -1.55%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 08:13 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.15%EV -7.74%E -6.73%K -51.62%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.18%EV -8.51%E -0.655%K -0.710%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV +1.91%E +0.239%K +0.273%G +0.005% | 7.1% | 2026-04-23 08:24 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.55%EV -6.14%E -5.25%K -36.10%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.16%EV -8.51%E -0.655%K -0.710%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -10.83%E -1.55%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-23 23:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.55%EV -6.14%E -5.25%K -36.10%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.16%EV -8.51%E -0.655%K -0.710%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -10.83%E -1.55%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-23 23:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.55%EV -6.14%E -5.25%K -36.10%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.16%EV -8.51%E -0.655%K -0.710%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -10.83%E -1.55%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-23 23:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.55%EV -6.14%E -5.25%K -36.10%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.16%EV -8.51%E -0.655%K -0.710%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -10.83%E -1.55%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-23 23:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.16%EV -6.14%E -5.25%K -36.10%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.12%EV -8.51%E -0.655%K -0.710%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.72%EV -14.01%E -2.08%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-23 06:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 79.82%EV -7.74%E -6.73%K -51.62%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.06%EV -8.51%E -0.655%K -0.710%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.11%EV -10.83%E -1.55%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-24 02:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 79.82%EV -7.74%E -6.73%K -51.62%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.06%EV -8.51%E -0.655%K -0.710%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.11%EV -10.83%E -1.55%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-23 18:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 79.82%EV -7.74%E -6.73%K -51.62%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.06%EV -8.51%E -0.655%K -0.710%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.11%EV -10.83%E -1.55%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-23 09:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 80.33%EV -8.54%E -7.50%K -61.03%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.04%EV -8.51%E -0.655%K -0.710%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.63%EV -7.65%E -1.05%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-24 01:24 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 80.33%EV -8.54%E -7.50%K -61.03%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.04%EV -8.51%E -0.655%K -0.710%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.63%EV -7.65%E -1.05%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-24 01:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 80.39%EV -9.35%E -8.27%K -71.90%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.99%EV -8.51%E -0.655%K -0.710%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 12.62%EV -8.28%E -1.15%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-24 02:54 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.37%EV -2.93%E -2.42%K -13.95%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.59%EV -12.03%E -0.963%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.05%EV -14.01%E -2.08%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-23 12:29 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.37%EV -2.93%E -2.42%K -13.95%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.59%EV -12.03%E -0.963%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.05%EV -14.01%E -2.08%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-23 12:24 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.95%EV -2.93%E -2.42%K -13.95%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.55%EV -12.03%E -0.963%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.51%EV -17.20%E -2.65%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-23 12:24 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.23%EV -4.53%E -3.81%K -23.86%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.45%EV -12.03%E -0.963%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.32%EV -17.20%E -2.65%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-23 12:24 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.23%EV -4.53%E -3.81%K -23.86%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.45%EV -12.03%E -0.963%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.32%EV -17.20%E -2.65%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-23 12:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.23%EV -4.53%E -3.81%K -23.86%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.45%EV -12.03%E -0.963%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.32%EV -17.20%E -2.65%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-23 12:24 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.23%EV -4.53%E -3.81%K -23.86%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.45%EV -12.03%E -0.963%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.32%EV -17.20%E -2.65%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-23 12:29 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.23%EV -4.53%E -3.81%K -23.86%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.45%EV -12.03%E -0.963%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.32%EV -17.20%E -2.65%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-23 12:24 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.23%EV -4.53%E -3.81%K -23.86%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.45%EV -12.03%E -0.963%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.32%EV -17.20%E -2.65%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-23 12:29 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.23%EV -4.53%E -3.81%K -23.86%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.45%EV -12.03%E -0.963%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.32%EV -17.20%E -2.65%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-23 12:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.34%E -4.52%K -29.64%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.89%EV -15.55%E -1.30%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.84%EV +1.91%E +0.239%K +0.273%G +0.005% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 06:14 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.96%EV -5.34%E -4.52%K -29.64%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.86%EV -15.55%E -1.30%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.17%EV -1.28%E -0.165%K -0.189%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-23 06:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.91%EV -6.94%E -5.98%K -43.38%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.73%EV -15.55%E -1.30%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV -4.46%E -0.595%K -0.686%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-23 16:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.96%EV -5.34%E -4.52%K -29.64%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.67%EV -15.55%E -1.30%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.37%EV -18.47%E -2.89%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-23 12:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.96%EV -5.34%E -4.52%K -29.64%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.67%EV -15.55%E -1.30%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.37%EV -18.47%E -2.89%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-23 12:29 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.28%EV -6.14%E -5.25%K -36.10%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.63%EV -15.55%E -1.30%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -17.20%E -2.65%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-23 06:19 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.28%EV -6.14%E -5.25%K -36.10%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.63%EV -15.55%E -1.30%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -17.20%E -2.65%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-23 06:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 77.84%EV -6.14%E -5.25%K -36.10%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.59%EV -15.55%E -1.30%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.57%EV -20.38%E -3.26%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-23 12:24 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 77.84%EV -6.14%E -5.25%K -36.10%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.59%EV -15.55%E -1.30%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.57%EV -20.38%E -3.26%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-23 12:24 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 79.01%EV -10.15%E -9.06%K -84.57%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.37%EV -15.55%E -1.30%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.61%EV -17.20%E -2.65%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-04-24 03:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 79.38%EV -7.74%E -6.73%K -51.62%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 7.94%EV -19.07%E -1.66%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 12.68%EV -8.28%E -1.15%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-24 03:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 79.38%EV -7.74%E -6.73%K -51.62%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 7.94%EV -19.07%E -1.66%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 12.68%EV -8.28%E -1.15%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-24 03:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.22%EV -6.14%E -5.25%K -36.10%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -22.59%E -2.05%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV -4.46%E -0.595%K -0.686%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-23 06:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.22%EV -6.14%E -5.25%K -36.10%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -22.59%E -2.05%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV -4.46%E -0.595%K -0.686%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-23 06:14 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.78% | 16.50I 6.06%NM 5.85% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.37% | 3.6% | 2026-04-24 02:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.78% | 16.50I 6.06%NM 5.85% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.37% | 3.6% | 2026-04-24 02:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.78% | 16.50I 6.06%NM 5.85% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.37% | 3.6% | 2026-04-24 02:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.38% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.65% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.98% | 4.1% | 2026-04-24 02:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.77% | 16.50I 6.06%NM 5.75% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.48% | 5.4% | 2026-04-24 02:25 |