The School of Odds

Burton Albion v Stevenage

2026-08-15 14:00 UTC — League 1

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Head to Head

43 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Burton Albion (Local)

Prediction 40.86%2.45fair odd
EV -5.61%
Edge -2.43%
Kelly -4.28%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.31

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.45%40.80%40.83%41.79%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.152.232.252.3147%45%44%43%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Stevenage (Visit)

Prediction 29.62%3.38fair odd
EV +0.693%
Edge +0.204%
Kelly +0.289%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.04%29.57%29.62%31.29%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.903.083.053.4034%32%33%29%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 29.52%3.39fair odd
EV -5.53%
Edge -1.73%
Kelly -2.51%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.08%29.63%29.54%31.17%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.953.113.103.2034%32%32%31%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -10.10%E -4.59%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV +0.693%E +0.204%K +0.289%G +0.002%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -12.91%E -4.38%K -6.62%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-17 12:55
betfred_uk2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.02%E -2.62%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -5.23%E -1.63%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -5.53%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-25 19:39
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.02%E -2.62%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -5.23%E -1.63%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -5.53%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 02:59
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.02%E -2.62%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -5.23%E -1.63%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -5.53%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-22 13:33
1xBet2.31I 43.29%NM 40.54%EV -5.61%E -2.43%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.73%EV -6.71%E -2.13%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.73%EV -7.00%E -2.22%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-12 08:24
Betsson2.28I 43.86%NM 40.86%EV -6.84%E -3.00%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.57%EV -6.71%E -2.13%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.57%EV -7.00%E -2.22%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-25 15:35
NordicBet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.86%EV -6.84%E -3.00%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.57%EV -6.71%E -2.13%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.57%EV -7.00%E -2.22%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-25 14:45
Marathon Bet2.29I 43.67%NM 40.71%EV -6.43%E -2.81%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.69%EV -7.01%E -2.23%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -7.00%E -2.22%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-12 08:20
betano_uk2.25I 44.44%NM 40.47%EV -8.06%E -3.58%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.18%EV -7.60%E -2.44%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -11.43%E -3.81%K -5.72%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-13 14:53
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 40.47%EV -8.06%E -3.58%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.18%EV -7.60%E -2.44%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -11.43%E -3.81%K -5.72%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-13 14:55
BetMGM2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -6.02%E -2.62%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -8.19%E -2.64%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -5.53%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-22 13:32
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -6.02%E -2.62%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -8.19%E -2.64%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -5.53%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-22 13:35
Neds2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -6.02%E -2.62%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -8.19%E -2.64%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -5.53%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-22 13:34
Ladbrokes (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -6.02%E -2.62%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -8.19%E -2.64%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -5.53%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-22 13:35
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.02%E -2.62%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -8.19%E -2.64%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -8.48%E -2.74%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-25 19:40
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -8.06%E -3.58%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -8.19%E -2.64%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -8.48%E -2.74%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-25 19:39
Bet Right2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -8.06%E -3.58%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -8.19%E -2.64%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -8.48%E -2.74%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-25 19:40
Unibet (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -8.06%E -3.58%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -8.19%E -2.64%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -8.48%E -2.74%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-21 16:35
Fanatics2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -8.06%E -3.58%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -8.19%E -2.64%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -8.48%E -2.74%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-17 14:24
Codere (IT)2.21I 45.25%NM 41.22%EV -9.70%E -4.39%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.39%EV -8.19%E -2.64%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.39%EV -8.48%E -2.74%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-04 17:15
TAB2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -10.10%E -4.59%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -8.19%E -2.64%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -8.48%E -2.74%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-25 15:40
Bovada2.25I 44.44%NM 40.59%EV -8.06%E -3.58%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.95%EV -9.67%E -3.17%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.46%EV -8.48%E -2.74%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-25 10:15
BetRivers2.18I 45.87%NM 41.36%EV -10.92%E -5.01%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.56%EV -9.67%E -3.17%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.08%EV -8.48%E -2.74%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 06:49
Virgin Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 41.36%EV -10.92%E -5.01%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.56%EV -9.67%E -3.17%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.08%EV -8.48%E -2.74%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 09:39
LeoVegas (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 41.36%EV -10.92%E -5.01%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.56%EV -9.67%E -3.17%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.08%EV -8.48%E -2.74%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 09:39
LiveScore Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 41.36%EV -10.92%E -5.01%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.56%EV -9.67%E -3.17%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.08%EV -8.48%E -2.74%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 09:39
betPARX2.18I 45.87%NM 41.36%EV -10.92%E -5.01%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.56%EV -9.67%E -3.17%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.08%EV -8.48%E -2.74%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 09:39
ATG (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 41.36%EV -10.92%E -5.01%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.56%EV -9.67%E -3.17%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.08%EV -8.48%E -2.74%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 09:39
Svenska Spel2.18I 45.87%NM 41.36%EV -10.92%E -5.01%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.56%EV -9.67%E -3.17%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.08%EV -8.48%E -2.74%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 09:39
Grosvenor2.18I 45.87%NM 41.36%EV -10.92%E -5.01%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.56%EV -9.67%E -3.17%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.08%EV -8.48%E -2.74%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 09:59
LeoVegas2.18I 45.87%NM 41.36%EV -10.92%E -5.01%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.56%EV -9.67%E -3.17%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.08%EV -8.48%E -2.74%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-22 13:35
Unibet (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 41.36%EV -10.92%E -5.01%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.56%EV -9.67%E -3.17%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.08%EV -8.48%E -2.74%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 09:59
Casumo2.18I 45.87%NM 41.36%EV -10.92%E -5.01%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.56%EV -9.67%E -3.17%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.08%EV -8.48%E -2.74%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 09:59
Unibet (NL)2.18I 45.87%NM 41.36%EV -10.92%E -5.01%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.56%EV -9.67%E -3.17%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.08%EV -8.48%E -2.74%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 10:00
TABtouch2.18I 45.87%NM 41.36%EV -10.92%E -5.01%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.56%EV -9.67%E -3.17%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.08%EV -8.48%E -2.74%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 10:20
Unibet2.18I 45.87%NM 41.36%EV -10.92%E -5.01%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.56%EV -9.67%E -3.17%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.08%EV -8.48%E -2.74%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 10:39
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -8.06%E -3.58%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -11.15%E -3.72%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.48%E -2.74%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.0%2026-06-30 09:39
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -8.06%E -3.58%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -11.15%E -3.72%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.48%E -2.74%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.0%2026-06-30 09:49
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -8.06%E -3.58%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -11.15%E -3.72%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.48%E -2.74%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.0%2026-06-30 09:49
William Hill2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -8.06%E -3.58%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -11.15%E -3.72%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.48%E -2.74%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.0%2026-06-30 14:19
Sky Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -10.10%E -4.59%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -11.15%E -3.72%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -11.43%E -3.81%K -5.72%G +0.000%12.1%2026-06-25 19:40
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 41.10%EV -12.15%E -5.65%K -10.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -11.15%E -3.72%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -11.43%E -3.81%K -5.72%G +0.000%13.2%2026-06-26 11:10
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -6.02%E -2.62%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -14.11%E -4.87%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -8.48%E -2.74%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-25 11:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets2.22I 45.05%NM 40.72%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.64%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.64%10.6%2026-07-08 00:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 42.87%2.22I 45.05%NM 32.83%3.00I 33.33%NM 24.30%37.2%2026-07-21 12:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 42.87%2.22I 45.05%NM 32.83%3.00I 33.33%NM 24.30%37.2%2026-07-21 12:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.70I 58.82%NM 42.87%2.22I 45.05%NM 32.83%3.00I 33.33%NM 24.30%37.2%2026-07-21 12:25