Burton Albion v Stevenage

2026-08-15 14:00 — League 1

Head to Head

28 sportsbooks (5 in analysis)

Option 1: Burton Albion (Local)

Odds

2.1546.51%Min

2.2245.09%Mean

2.1845.87%Median

2.3243.10%Max

Consensus probabilities

40.26%2.484Min

41.36%2.418Max

40.92%2.444Mean

41.08%2.434Median

40.96%2.441IQM

40.88%2.446Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.32 under the IQM model: 40.96%

EV -4.96%Edge -2.14%Kelly -3.76%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Stevenage (Visit)

Odds

3.0033.33%Min

3.0632.67%Mean

3.0532.79%Median

3.2031.25%Max

Consensus probabilities

29.39%3.403Min

30.29%3.301Max

29.71%3.365Mean

29.55%3.384Median

29.64%3.374IQM

29.74%3.363Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 3.20 under the IQM model: 29.64%

EV -5.15%Edge -1.61%Kelly -2.34%Growth +0.000%

Option 3: Draw

Odds

3.0033.33%Min

3.1032.22%Mean

3.1032.26%Median

3.2031.25%Max

Consensus probabilities

28.94%3.455Min

29.87%3.348Max

29.37%3.405Mean

29.38%3.404Median

29.40%3.402IQM

29.38%3.403Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 3.20 under the IQM model: 29.40%

EV -5.93%Edge -1.85%Kelly -2.70%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (29 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Burton Albion (Local) ▼	Stevenage (Visit)	Draw	Margin	Updated
1xBet	2.32I 43.10% NM 40.36%EV -4.96% E -2.14% K -3.76% G +0.000%	3.13I 31.95% NM 29.92%EV -7.23% E -2.31% K -3.39% G +0.000%	3.15I 31.75% NM 29.73%EV -7.40% E -2.35% K -3.44% G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-06-26 09:57
betfred_uk	2.30I 43.48% NM 41.03%EV -5.78% E -2.51% K -4.45% G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25% NM 29.49%EV -5.15% E -1.61% K -2.34% G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25% NM 29.49%EV -5.93% E -1.85% K -2.70% G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-06-25 19:39
Betr (AU)	2.30I 43.48% NM 41.03%EV -5.78% E -2.51% K -4.45% G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25% NM 29.49%EV -5.15% E -1.61% K -2.34% G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25% NM 29.49%EV -5.93% E -1.85% K -2.70% G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-06-30 02:59
Marathon Bet	2.30I 43.48% NM 40.53%EV -5.78% E -2.51% K -4.45% G +0.000%	3.12I 32.05% NM 29.88%EV -7.52% E -2.41% K -3.55% G +0.000%	3.15I 31.75% NM 29.59%EV -7.40% E -2.35% K -3.44% G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-06-26 09:49
SportsBet	2.30I 43.48% NM 40.26%EV -5.78% E -2.51% K -4.45% G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26% NM 29.87%EV -8.12% E -2.62% K -3.86% G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26% NM 29.87%EV -8.87% E -2.86% K -4.23% G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-06-25 19:40
Paddy Power	2.25I 44.44% NM 40.79%EV -7.83% E -3.48% K -6.26% G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26% NM 29.61%EV -8.12% E -2.62% K -3.86% G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26% NM 29.61%EV -8.87% E -2.86% K -4.23% G +0.000%	9.0%	2026-06-25 19:39
Bet Right	2.25I 44.44% NM 40.79%EV -7.83% E -3.48% K -6.26% G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26% NM 29.61%EV -8.12% E -2.62% K -3.86% G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26% NM 29.61%EV -8.87% E -2.86% K -4.23% G +0.000%	9.0%	2026-06-25 19:40
888sport (SE)	2.25I 44.44% NM 40.39%EV -7.83% E -3.48% K -6.26% G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33% NM 30.29%EV -11.08% E -3.69% K -5.54% G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26% NM 29.32%EV -8.87% E -2.86% K -4.23% G +0.000%	10.0%	2026-06-30 09:39
888sport	2.25I 44.44% NM 40.39%EV -7.83% E -3.48% K -6.26% G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33% NM 30.29%EV -11.08% E -3.69% K -5.54% G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26% NM 29.32%EV -8.87% E -2.86% K -4.23% G +0.000%	10.0%	2026-06-30 09:49
Mr Green (SE)	2.25I 44.44% NM 40.39%EV -7.83% E -3.48% K -6.26% G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33% NM 30.29%EV -11.08% E -3.69% K -5.54% G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26% NM 29.32%EV -8.87% E -2.86% K -4.23% G +0.000%	10.0%	2026-06-30 09:49
William Hill	2.25I 44.44% NM 40.39%EV -7.83% E -3.48% K -6.26% G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33% NM 30.29%EV -11.08% E -3.69% K -5.54% G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26% NM 29.32%EV -8.87% E -2.86% K -4.23% G +0.000%	10.0%	2026-06-30 14:19
Codere (IT)	2.21I 45.25% NM 41.22%EV -9.47% E -4.28% K -7.83% G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26% NM 29.39%EV -8.12% E -2.62% K -3.86% G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26% NM 29.39%EV -8.87% E -2.86% K -4.23% G +0.000%	9.8%	2026-07-04 17:15
Sky Bet	2.20I 45.45% NM 40.54%EV -9.88% E -4.49% K -8.23% G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33% NM 29.73%EV -11.08% E -3.69% K -5.54% G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33% NM 29.73%EV -11.81% E -3.94% K -5.91% G +0.000%	12.1%	2026-06-25 19:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)	2.20I 45.45% NM 39.00%EV -9.88% E -4.49% K -8.23% G +0.000%	2.88I 34.72% NM 29.79%EV -14.64% E -5.08% K -7.79% G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36% NM 31.20%EV -19.16% E -6.97% K -10.95% G +0.000%	16.5%	2026-06-25 19:40
BetRivers	2.18I 45.87% NM 41.36%EV -10.70% E -4.91% K -9.07% G +0.000%	3.05I 32.79% NM 29.56%EV -9.60% E -3.15% K -4.68% G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26% NM 29.08%EV -8.87% E -2.86% K -4.23% G +0.000%	10.9%	2026-06-30 06:49
Virgin Bet	2.18I 45.87% NM 41.36%EV -10.70% E -4.91% K -9.07% G +0.000%	3.05I 32.79% NM 29.56%EV -9.60% E -3.15% K -4.68% G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26% NM 29.08%EV -8.87% E -2.86% K -4.23% G +0.000%	10.9%	2026-06-30 09:39
LeoVegas (SE)	2.18I 45.87% NM 41.36%EV -10.70% E -4.91% K -9.07% G +0.000%	3.05I 32.79% NM 29.56%EV -9.60% E -3.15% K -4.68% G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26% NM 29.08%EV -8.87% E -2.86% K -4.23% G +0.000%	10.9%	2026-06-30 09:39
LiveScore Bet	2.18I 45.87% NM 41.36%EV -10.70% E -4.91% K -9.07% G +0.000%	3.05I 32.79% NM 29.56%EV -9.60% E -3.15% K -4.68% G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26% NM 29.08%EV -8.87% E -2.86% K -4.23% G +0.000%	10.9%	2026-06-30 09:39
betPARX	2.18I 45.87% NM 41.36%EV -10.70% E -4.91% K -9.07% G +0.000%	3.05I 32.79% NM 29.56%EV -9.60% E -3.15% K -4.68% G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26% NM 29.08%EV -8.87% E -2.86% K -4.23% G +0.000%	10.9%	2026-06-30 09:39
ATG (SE)	2.18I 45.87% NM 41.36%EV -10.70% E -4.91% K -9.07% G +0.000%	3.05I 32.79% NM 29.56%EV -9.60% E -3.15% K -4.68% G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26% NM 29.08%EV -8.87% E -2.86% K -4.23% G +0.000%	10.9%	2026-06-30 09:39
Svenska Spel	2.18I 45.87% NM 41.36%EV -10.70% E -4.91% K -9.07% G +0.000%	3.05I 32.79% NM 29.56%EV -9.60% E -3.15% K -4.68% G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26% NM 29.08%EV -8.87% E -2.86% K -4.23% G +0.000%	10.9%	2026-06-30 09:39
Grosvenor	2.18I 45.87% NM 41.36%EV -10.70% E -4.91% K -9.07% G +0.000%	3.05I 32.79% NM 29.56%EV -9.60% E -3.15% K -4.68% G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26% NM 29.08%EV -8.87% E -2.86% K -4.23% G +0.000%	10.9%	2026-06-30 09:59
Unibet (SE)	2.18I 45.87% NM 41.36%EV -10.70% E -4.91% K -9.07% G +0.000%	3.05I 32.79% NM 29.56%EV -9.60% E -3.15% K -4.68% G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26% NM 29.08%EV -8.87% E -2.86% K -4.23% G +0.000%	10.9%	2026-06-30 09:59
Casumo	2.18I 45.87% NM 41.36%EV -10.70% E -4.91% K -9.07% G +0.000%	3.05I 32.79% NM 29.56%EV -9.60% E -3.15% K -4.68% G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26% NM 29.08%EV -8.87% E -2.86% K -4.23% G +0.000%	10.9%	2026-06-30 09:59
Unibet (NL)	2.18I 45.87% NM 41.36%EV -10.70% E -4.91% K -9.07% G +0.000%	3.05I 32.79% NM 29.56%EV -9.60% E -3.15% K -4.68% G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26% NM 29.08%EV -8.87% E -2.86% K -4.23% G +0.000%	10.9%	2026-06-30 10:00
TABtouch	2.18I 45.87% NM 41.36%EV -10.70% E -4.91% K -9.07% G +0.000%	3.05I 32.79% NM 29.56%EV -9.60% E -3.15% K -4.68% G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26% NM 29.08%EV -8.87% E -2.86% K -4.23% G +0.000%	10.9%	2026-06-30 10:20
Unibet	2.18I 45.87% NM 41.36%EV -10.70% E -4.91% K -9.07% G +0.000%	3.05I 32.79% NM 29.56%EV -9.60% E -3.15% K -4.68% G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26% NM 29.08%EV -8.87% E -2.86% K -4.23% G +0.000%	10.9%	2026-06-30 10:39
LeoVegas	2.18I 45.87% NM 41.15%EV -10.70% E -4.91% K -9.07% G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33% NM 29.91%EV -11.08% E -3.69% K -5.54% G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26% NM 28.94%EV -8.87% E -2.86% K -4.23% G +0.000%	11.5%	2026-07-04 17:10
BoyleSports	2.15I 46.51% NM 41.10%EV -11.93% E -5.55% K -10.37% G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33% NM 29.45%EV -11.08% E -3.69% K -5.54% G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33% NM 29.45%EV -11.81% E -3.94% K -5.91% G +0.000%	13.2%	2026-06-26 11:10

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (3)

Bookmaker	Burton Albion (Local)	Stevenage (Visit)	Draw	Margin ▲	Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)	1.04I 96.15%	1.06I 94.34%	1.06I 94.34%	184.8%	2026-06-30 01:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)	1.04I 96.15%	1.06I 94.34%	1.06I 94.34%	184.8%	2026-06-30 01:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)	1.04I 96.15%	1.06I 94.34%	1.06I 94.34%	184.8%	2026-06-30 01:40