Language:English
Burton Albion v Stevenage
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Burton Albion (Local)
Prediction 32.82%3.05fair odd
EV -0.223%
Edge -0.073%
Kelly -0.109%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.04
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.39%32.96%32.76%35.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.792.803.0438.46%35.87%35.71%32.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Stevenage (Visit)
Prediction 36.56%2.74fair odd
EV -3.11%
Edge -1.17%
Kelly -1.88%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.88%36.43%36.69%37.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.562.552.6540.82%39.07%39.22%37.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 30.62%3.27fair odd
EV -0.499%
Edge -0.153%
Kelly -0.222%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.90%30.61%30.55%31.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.033.003.2535.71%33.04%33.33%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Burton Albion (Local): 32.82%; Stevenage (Visit): 36.56%; Draw: 30.62%. For Burton Albion (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.05. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.04, with an expected value of -0.223%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.68%EV -0.223%E -0.073%K -0.109%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.75%EV -4.21%E -1.61%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.57%EV -6.62%E -2.17%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-15 13:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -1.54%E -0.512%K -0.768%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.79%EV -6.40%E -2.50%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.82%EV -9.38%E -3.17%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-15 13:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -1.54%E -0.512%K -0.768%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.79%EV -6.40%E -2.50%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.82%EV -9.38%E -3.17%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-15 13:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.93I 34.13%NM 31.81%EV -3.83%E -1.31%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 36.27%EV -6.03%E -2.35%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.92%EV -10.60%E -3.63%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-15 13:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.84%EV -4.82%E -1.66%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.94%EV -3.11%E -1.17%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.22%EV -6.62%E -2.17%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-15 13:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -4.82%E -1.66%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -8.59%E -3.44%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-15 13:44 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV -5.47%E -1.90%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.93%EV -6.76%E -2.65%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -5.09%E -1.64%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-15 13:52 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV -5.47%E -1.90%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.93%EV -6.76%E -2.65%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -5.09%E -1.64%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-15 13:53 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV -6.46%E -2.27%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.80%EV -6.76%E -2.65%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -5.09%E -1.64%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-15 13:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -6.46%E -2.27%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.71%EV -7.86%E -3.12%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.83%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-15 13:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -6.46%E -2.27%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.71%EV -7.86%E -3.12%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.83%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-15 13:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.36%EV -6.46%E -2.27%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.89%EV -8.59%E -3.44%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-15 13:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.36%EV -6.46%E -2.27%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.89%EV -8.59%E -3.44%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-15 13:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -6.46%E -2.27%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -8.59%E -3.44%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -9.68%E -3.28%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-15 13:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -8.10%E -2.89%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.56%EV -8.59%E -3.44%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -0.499%E -0.153%K -0.222%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-15 13:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -8.10%E -2.89%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.56%EV -8.59%E -3.44%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -0.499%E -0.153%K -0.222%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-15 13:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -8.10%E -2.89%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.60%EV -4.21%E -1.61%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-15 13:44 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.22%EV -8.10%E -2.89%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.78%EV -4.94%E -1.90%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-15 13:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.18%EV -8.10%E -2.89%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.33%EV -3.84%E -1.46%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.49%EV -9.68%E -3.28%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-15 13:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.18%EV -8.10%E -2.89%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.33%EV -3.84%E -1.46%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.49%EV -9.68%E -3.28%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-15 13:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.18%EV -8.10%E -2.89%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.33%EV -3.84%E -1.46%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.49%EV -9.68%E -3.28%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-15 13:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.18%EV -8.10%E -2.89%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.33%EV -3.84%E -1.46%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.49%EV -9.68%E -3.28%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-15 13:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.18%EV -8.10%E -2.89%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.33%EV -3.84%E -1.46%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.49%EV -9.68%E -3.28%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-15 13:44 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.18%EV -8.10%E -2.89%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.33%EV -3.84%E -1.46%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.49%EV -9.68%E -3.28%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-15 13:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.18%EV -8.10%E -2.89%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.33%EV -3.84%E -1.46%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.49%EV -9.68%E -3.28%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-15 13:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.18%EV -8.10%E -2.89%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.33%EV -3.84%E -1.46%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.49%EV -9.68%E -3.28%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-15 13:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.18%EV -8.10%E -2.89%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.33%EV -3.84%E -1.46%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.49%EV -9.68%E -3.28%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-15 13:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.00%EV -8.10%E -2.89%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.13%EV -3.84%E -1.46%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.86%EV -11.21%E -3.87%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-15 13:49 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -8.10%E -2.89%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -8.59%E -3.44%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-15 13:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -8.10%E -2.89%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -10.42%E -4.25%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-15 13:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -8.10%E -2.89%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -10.42%E -4.25%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-15 13:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -8.10%E -2.89%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -10.42%E -4.25%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-15 13:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -8.10%E -2.89%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -10.42%E -4.25%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-15 13:53 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.77I 36.10%NM 33.79%EV -9.08%E -3.28%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.14%EV -7.86%E -3.12%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.07%EV -1.42%E -0.440%K -0.638%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-15 13:49 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -9.74%E -3.54%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.08%EV -4.21%E -1.61%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.54%EV -2.03%E -0.634%K -0.923%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 13:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.36%EV -9.74%E -3.54%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.65%EV -3.11%E -1.17%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.99%EV -3.56%E -1.13%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 13:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -9.74%E -3.54%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -4.94%E -1.90%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -5.09%E -1.64%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-15 13:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -9.74%E -3.54%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -8.59%E -3.44%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -2.03%E -0.634%K -0.923%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-15 13:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -9.74%E -3.54%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -8.59%E -3.44%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -2.03%E -0.634%K -0.923%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-15 13:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -9.74%E -3.54%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -8.59%E -3.44%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -2.03%E -0.634%K -0.923%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-15 13:44 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.10%EV -9.74%E -3.54%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 36.56%EV -8.96%E -3.60%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-15 13:54 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -11.38%E -4.22%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.86%EV -4.94%E -1.90%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -3.56%E -1.13%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-15 13:44 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -11.38%E -4.22%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -4.94%E -1.90%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -5.09%E -1.64%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-15 13:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -11.38%E -4.22%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.14%EV -6.76%E -2.65%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -5.09%E -1.64%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-15 13:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.97%EV -11.38%E -4.22%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -6.76%E -2.65%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -6.62%E -2.17%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-15 13:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.26%EV -11.38%E -4.22%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.22%EV -6.76%E -2.65%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.51%EV -12.75%E -4.47%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-15 13:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.26%EV -11.38%E -4.22%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.22%EV -6.76%E -2.65%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.51%EV -12.75%E -4.47%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-15 13:44 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.26%EV -13.02%E -4.91%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.26%EV -8.59%E -3.44%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.48%EV -14.28%E -5.10%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-08-15 13:44 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.26%EV -13.02%E -4.91%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.26%EV -8.59%E -3.44%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.48%EV -14.28%E -5.10%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-08-15 13:44 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -14.66%E -5.64%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.05%EV -4.21%E -1.61%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -5.09%E -1.64%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-15 12:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -14.66%E -5.64%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -4.94%E -1.90%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -5.09%E -1.64%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-15 13:48 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -14.66%E -5.64%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -4.94%E -1.90%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -5.09%E -1.64%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-15 13:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.88%EV -14.66%E -5.64%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.88%EV -4.94%E -1.90%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-15 13:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.83% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.33% | 1.3% | 2026-08-15 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.75% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.00% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.25% | 1.6% | 2026-08-15 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.75% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.00% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.25% | 1.6% | 2026-08-15 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.75% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.00% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.25% | 1.6% | 2026-08-15 13:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.10% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.81% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.08% | 2.1% | 2026-08-15 13:55 |