La escuela de los momios

Burton Albion v Stevenage

2026-08-15 14:00 UTC — League 1

Resultado del partido

43 corredores (12 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Burton Albion (Local)

Predicción 40.86%2.45momio equitativo
EV -5.61%
Ventaja -2.43%
Kelly -4.28%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.31

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.26%40.88%40.83%41.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.152.232.252.3146.51%44.77%44.44%43.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Stevenage (Visitante)

Predicción 29.62%3.38momio equitativo
EV +0.693%
Ventaja +0.204%
Kelly +0.289%
Crecimiento +0.002%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.04%29.49%29.62%30.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.093.053.4033.33%32.41%32.79%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 29.52%3.39momio equitativo
EV -5.53%
Ventaja -1.73%
Kelly -2.51%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.08%29.64%29.54%31.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.953.113.103.2033.90%32.17%32.26%31.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (43 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -10.10%E -4.59%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV +0.693%E +0.204%K +0.289%G +0.002%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -12.91%E -4.38%K -6.62%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-17 12:55
betfred_uk2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.02%E -2.62%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -5.23%E -1.63%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -5.53%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-25 19:39
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.02%E -2.62%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -5.23%E -1.63%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -5.53%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 02:59
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.02%E -2.62%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -5.23%E -1.63%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -5.53%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-22 13:33
1xBet2.31I 43.29%NM 40.54%EV -5.61%E -2.43%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.73%EV -6.71%E -2.13%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.73%EV -7.00%E -2.22%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-12 08:24
Betsson2.28I 43.86%NM 40.86%EV -6.84%E -3.00%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.57%EV -6.71%E -2.13%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.57%EV -7.00%E -2.22%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-26 01:09
NordicBet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.86%EV -6.84%E -3.00%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.57%EV -6.71%E -2.13%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.57%EV -7.00%E -2.22%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-26 01:09
Marathon Bet2.29I 43.67%NM 40.71%EV -6.43%E -2.81%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.69%EV -7.01%E -2.23%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -7.00%E -2.22%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-12 08:20
betano_uk2.25I 44.44%NM 40.47%EV -8.06%E -3.58%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.18%EV -7.60%E -2.44%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -11.43%E -3.81%K -5.72%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-13 14:53
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 40.47%EV -8.06%E -3.58%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.18%EV -7.60%E -2.44%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -11.43%E -3.81%K -5.72%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-13 14:55
BetMGM2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -6.02%E -2.62%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -8.19%E -2.64%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -5.53%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-22 13:32
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -6.02%E -2.62%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -8.19%E -2.64%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -5.53%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-22 13:35
Neds2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -6.02%E -2.62%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -8.19%E -2.64%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -5.53%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-22 13:34
Ladbrokes (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -6.02%E -2.62%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -8.19%E -2.64%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -5.53%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-22 13:35
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.02%E -2.62%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -8.19%E -2.64%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -8.48%E -2.74%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-25 19:40
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -8.06%E -3.58%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -8.19%E -2.64%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -8.48%E -2.74%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-25 19:39
Bet Right2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -8.06%E -3.58%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -8.19%E -2.64%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -8.48%E -2.74%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-25 19:40
Unibet (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -8.06%E -3.58%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -8.19%E -2.64%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -8.48%E -2.74%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-21 16:35
Fanatics2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -8.06%E -3.58%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -8.19%E -2.64%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -8.48%E -2.74%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-17 14:24
Codere (IT)2.21I 45.25%NM 41.22%EV -9.70%E -4.39%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.39%EV -8.19%E -2.64%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.39%EV -8.48%E -2.74%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-04 17:15
TAB2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -10.10%E -4.59%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -8.19%E -2.64%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -8.48%E -2.74%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-25 18:30
Bovada2.25I 44.44%NM 40.59%EV -8.06%E -3.58%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.95%EV -9.67%E -3.17%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.46%EV -8.48%E -2.74%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-25 16:33
BetRivers2.18I 45.87%NM 41.36%EV -10.92%E -5.01%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.56%EV -9.67%E -3.17%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.08%EV -8.48%E -2.74%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 06:49
Virgin Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 41.36%EV -10.92%E -5.01%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.56%EV -9.67%E -3.17%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.08%EV -8.48%E -2.74%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 09:39
LeoVegas (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 41.36%EV -10.92%E -5.01%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.56%EV -9.67%E -3.17%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.08%EV -8.48%E -2.74%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 09:39
LiveScore Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 41.36%EV -10.92%E -5.01%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.56%EV -9.67%E -3.17%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.08%EV -8.48%E -2.74%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 09:39
betPARX2.18I 45.87%NM 41.36%EV -10.92%E -5.01%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.56%EV -9.67%E -3.17%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.08%EV -8.48%E -2.74%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 09:39
ATG (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 41.36%EV -10.92%E -5.01%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.56%EV -9.67%E -3.17%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.08%EV -8.48%E -2.74%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 09:39
Svenska Spel2.18I 45.87%NM 41.36%EV -10.92%E -5.01%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.56%EV -9.67%E -3.17%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.08%EV -8.48%E -2.74%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 09:39
Grosvenor2.18I 45.87%NM 41.36%EV -10.92%E -5.01%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.56%EV -9.67%E -3.17%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.08%EV -8.48%E -2.74%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 09:59
LeoVegas2.18I 45.87%NM 41.36%EV -10.92%E -5.01%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.56%EV -9.67%E -3.17%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.08%EV -8.48%E -2.74%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-22 13:35
Unibet (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 41.36%EV -10.92%E -5.01%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.56%EV -9.67%E -3.17%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.08%EV -8.48%E -2.74%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 09:59
Casumo2.18I 45.87%NM 41.36%EV -10.92%E -5.01%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.56%EV -9.67%E -3.17%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.08%EV -8.48%E -2.74%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 09:59
Unibet (NL)2.18I 45.87%NM 41.36%EV -10.92%E -5.01%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.56%EV -9.67%E -3.17%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.08%EV -8.48%E -2.74%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 10:00
TABtouch2.18I 45.87%NM 41.36%EV -10.92%E -5.01%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.56%EV -9.67%E -3.17%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.08%EV -8.48%E -2.74%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 10:20
Unibet2.18I 45.87%NM 41.36%EV -10.92%E -5.01%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.56%EV -9.67%E -3.17%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.08%EV -8.48%E -2.74%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 10:39
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -8.06%E -3.58%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -11.15%E -3.72%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.48%E -2.74%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.0%2026-06-30 09:39
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -8.06%E -3.58%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -11.15%E -3.72%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.48%E -2.74%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.0%2026-06-30 09:49
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -8.06%E -3.58%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -11.15%E -3.72%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.48%E -2.74%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.0%2026-06-30 09:49
William Hill2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -8.06%E -3.58%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -11.15%E -3.72%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.48%E -2.74%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.0%2026-06-30 14:19
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -8.06%E -3.58%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -11.15%E -3.72%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.48%E -2.74%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-25 17:30
Sky Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -10.10%E -4.59%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -11.15%E -3.72%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -11.43%E -3.81%K -5.72%G +0.000%12.1%2026-06-25 19:40
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 41.10%EV -12.15%E -5.65%K -10.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -11.15%E -3.72%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -11.43%E -3.81%K -5.72%G +0.000%13.2%2026-06-26 11:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Smarkets2.22I 45.05%NM 40.72%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.64%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.64%10.6%2026-07-08 00:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 42.87%2.22I 45.05%NM 32.83%3.00I 33.33%NM 24.30%37.2%2026-07-21 12:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 42.87%2.22I 45.05%NM 32.83%3.00I 33.33%NM 24.30%37.2%2026-07-21 12:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.70I 58.82%NM 42.87%2.22I 45.05%NM 32.83%3.00I 33.33%NM 24.30%37.2%2026-07-21 12:25