Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Burton Albion v Stevenage

Início: 2026-08-15 14:00 UTC

Final: Burton Albion 1–1 Stevenage

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

53 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Burton Albion (Local)

Previsão 32.82%3.05odd justa
EV -0.223%
Vantagem -0.073%
Kelly -0.109%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.04

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
31.39%32.96%32.76%35.32%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.602.792.803.0438.46%35.87%35.71%32.89%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Stevenage (Visitante)

Previsão 36.56%2.74odd justa
EV -3.11%
Vantagem -1.17%
Kelly -1.88%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.65

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
34.88%36.43%36.69%37.56%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.452.562.552.6540.82%39.07%39.22%37.74%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 30.62%3.27odd justa
EV -0.499%
Vantagem -0.153%
Kelly -0.222%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.25

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.90%30.61%30.55%31.92%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.803.033.003.2535.71%33.04%33.33%30.77%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Burton Albion (Local): 32.82%; Stevenage (Visitante): 36.56%; Empate: 30.62%. Para Burton Albion (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.05. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 3.04, com valor esperado de -0.223%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (53 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯3.04I 32.89%NM 31.68%EV -0.223%E -0.073%K -0.109%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.75%EV -4.21%E -1.61%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.57%EV -6.62%E -2.17%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-15 13:55
LowVig.ag🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -1.54%E -0.512%K -0.768%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.79%EV -6.40%E -2.50%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.82%EV -9.38%E -3.17%K -4.78%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 13:54
BetOnline.ag🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -1.54%E -0.512%K -0.768%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.79%EV -6.40%E -2.50%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.82%EV -9.38%E -3.17%K -4.78%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 13:55
Marathon Bet🎯2.93I 34.13%NM 31.81%EV -3.83%E -1.31%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 36.27%EV -6.03%E -2.35%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.92%EV -10.60%E -3.63%K -5.52%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-15 13:49
DraftKings🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.84%EV -4.82%E -1.66%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.94%EV -3.11%E -1.17%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.22%EV -6.62%E -2.17%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 13:45
Betway🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -4.82%E -1.66%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -8.59%E -3.44%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-15 13:44
betano_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV -5.47%E -1.90%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.93%EV -6.76%E -2.65%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -5.09%E -1.64%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 13:52
Bet Victor🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV -5.47%E -1.90%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.93%EV -6.76%E -2.65%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -5.09%E -1.64%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 13:53
Unibet (UK)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV -6.46%E -2.27%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.80%EV -6.76%E -2.65%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -5.09%E -1.64%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-15 13:54
Betsson🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -6.46%E -2.27%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.71%EV -7.86%E -3.12%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.83%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-15 13:44
NordicBet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -6.46%E -2.27%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.71%EV -7.86%E -3.12%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.83%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-15 13:45
Fanatics🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.36%EV -6.46%E -2.27%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.89%EV -8.59%E -3.44%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-15 13:55
PlayUp🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.36%EV -6.46%E -2.27%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.89%EV -8.59%E -3.44%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-15 13:45
Tipico (DE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -6.46%E -2.27%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -8.59%E -3.44%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -9.68%E -3.28%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-15 13:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -8.10%E -2.89%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.56%EV -8.59%E -3.44%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -0.499%E -0.153%K -0.222%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-15 13:45
Coral🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -8.10%E -2.89%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.56%EV -8.59%E -3.44%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -0.499%E -0.153%K -0.222%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-15 13:45
Paddy Power🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -8.10%E -2.89%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.60%EV -4.21%E -1.61%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 13:44
SportsBet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.22%EV -8.10%E -2.89%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.78%EV -4.94%E -1.90%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-15 13:45
betPARX🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.18%EV -8.10%E -2.89%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.33%EV -3.84%E -1.46%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.49%EV -9.68%E -3.28%K -4.97%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-15 13:45
ATG (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.18%EV -8.10%E -2.89%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.33%EV -3.84%E -1.46%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.49%EV -9.68%E -3.28%K -4.97%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-15 13:45
Svenska Spel🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.18%EV -8.10%E -2.89%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.33%EV -3.84%E -1.46%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.49%EV -9.68%E -3.28%K -4.97%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-15 13:45
Grosvenor🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.18%EV -8.10%E -2.89%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.33%EV -3.84%E -1.46%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.49%EV -9.68%E -3.28%K -4.97%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-15 13:45
Unibet (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.18%EV -8.10%E -2.89%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.33%EV -3.84%E -1.46%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.49%EV -9.68%E -3.28%K -4.97%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-15 13:44
Casumo🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.18%EV -8.10%E -2.89%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.33%EV -3.84%E -1.46%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.49%EV -9.68%E -3.28%K -4.97%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-15 13:45
Unibet (NL)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.18%EV -8.10%E -2.89%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.33%EV -3.84%E -1.46%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.49%EV -9.68%E -3.28%K -4.97%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-15 13:45
TABtouch🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.18%EV -8.10%E -2.89%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.33%EV -3.84%E -1.46%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.49%EV -9.68%E -3.28%K -4.97%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-15 13:44
Unibet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.18%EV -8.10%E -2.89%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.33%EV -3.84%E -1.46%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.49%EV -9.68%E -3.28%K -4.97%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-15 13:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.00%EV -8.10%E -2.89%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.13%EV -3.84%E -1.46%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.86%EV -11.21%E -3.87%K -5.90%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-15 13:49
TAB🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -8.10%E -2.89%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -8.59%E -3.44%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-15 13:35
888sport (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -8.10%E -2.89%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -10.42%E -4.25%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-15 13:54
888sport🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -8.10%E -2.89%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -10.42%E -4.25%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-15 13:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -8.10%E -2.89%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -10.42%E -4.25%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-15 13:55
William Hill🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -8.10%E -2.89%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -10.42%E -4.25%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-15 13:53
1xBet🎯2.77I 36.10%NM 33.79%EV -9.08%E -3.28%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.14%EV -7.86%E -3.12%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.07%EV -1.42%E -0.440%K -0.638%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 13:49
betfred_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -9.74%E -3.54%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.08%EV -4.21%E -1.61%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.54%EV -2.03%E -0.634%K -0.923%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 13:45
Betr (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.36%EV -9.74%E -3.54%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.65%EV -3.11%E -1.17%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.99%EV -3.56%E -1.13%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 13:45
Sky Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -9.74%E -3.54%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -4.94%E -1.90%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -5.09%E -1.64%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 13:45
BetMGM🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -9.74%E -3.54%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -8.59%E -3.44%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -2.03%E -0.634%K -0.923%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-15 13:45
Neds🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -9.74%E -3.54%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -8.59%E -3.44%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -2.03%E -0.634%K -0.923%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-15 13:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -9.74%E -3.54%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -8.59%E -3.44%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -2.03%E -0.634%K -0.923%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-15 13:44
Codere (IT)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.10%EV -9.74%E -3.54%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 36.56%EV -8.96%E -3.60%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-15 13:54
Coolbet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -11.38%E -4.22%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.86%EV -4.94%E -1.90%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -3.56%E -1.13%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 13:44
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -11.38%E -4.22%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -4.94%E -1.90%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -5.09%E -1.64%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-15 13:45
theScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -11.38%E -4.22%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.14%EV -6.76%E -2.65%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -5.09%E -1.64%K -2.42%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-15 13:45
Bet Right🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.97%EV -11.38%E -4.22%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -6.76%E -2.65%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -6.62%E -2.17%K -3.23%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-15 13:45
BetRivers🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.26%EV -11.38%E -4.22%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.22%EV -6.76%E -2.65%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.51%EV -12.75%E -4.47%K -6.89%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-15 13:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.26%EV -11.38%E -4.22%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.22%EV -6.76%E -2.65%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.51%EV -12.75%E -4.47%K -6.89%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-15 13:44
Virgin Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.26%EV -13.02%E -4.91%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.26%EV -8.59%E -3.44%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.48%EV -14.28%E -5.10%K -7.93%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-15 13:44
LiveScore Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.26%EV -13.02%E -4.91%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.26%EV -8.59%E -3.44%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.48%EV -14.28%E -5.10%K -7.93%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-15 13:44
BoyleSports🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -14.66%E -5.64%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.05%EV -4.21%E -1.61%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -5.09%E -1.64%K -2.42%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-15 12:09
Bovada🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -14.66%E -5.64%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -4.94%E -1.90%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -5.09%E -1.64%K -2.42%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-15 13:48
BetUS🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -14.66%E -5.64%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -4.94%E -1.90%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -5.09%E -1.64%K -2.42%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-15 13:54
LeoVegas🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.88%EV -14.66%E -5.64%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.88%EV -4.94%E -1.90%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-15 13:55
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.83%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.33%1.3%2026-08-15 13:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 31.75%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.00%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.25%1.6%2026-08-15 13:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 31.75%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.00%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.25%1.6%2026-08-15 13:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.10I 32.26%NM 31.75%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.00%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.25%1.6%2026-08-15 13:50
Smarkets3.05I 32.79%NM 32.10%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.81%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.08%2.1%2026-08-15 13:55