Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Burton Albion v Stevenage

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-15 14:00 UTC

Score final : Burton Albion 1–1 Stevenage

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Burton Albion (Local)

Prévision 32.82%3.05cote équitable
EV -0.223%
Avantage -0.073%
Kelly -0.109%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.04

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.39%32.96%32.76%35.32%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.602.792.803.0438.46%35.87%35.71%32.89%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Stevenage (Visiteur)

Prévision 36.56%2.74cote équitable
EV -3.11%
Avantage -1.17%
Kelly -1.88%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.88%36.43%36.69%37.56%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.452.562.552.6540.82%39.07%39.22%37.74%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 30.62%3.27cote équitable
EV -0.499%
Avantage -0.153%
Kelly -0.222%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.90%30.61%30.55%31.92%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.803.033.003.2535.71%33.04%33.33%30.77%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Burton Albion (Local) : 32.82% ; Stevenage (Visiteur) : 36.56% ; Match nul : 30.62%. Pour Burton Albion (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.05. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 3.04, pour une espérance de -0.223% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯3.04I 32.89%NM 31.68%EV -0.223%E -0.073%K -0.109%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.75%EV -4.21%E -1.61%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.57%EV -6.62%E -2.17%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-15 13:55
LowVig.ag🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -1.54%E -0.512%K -0.768%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.79%EV -6.40%E -2.50%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.82%EV -9.38%E -3.17%K -4.78%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 13:54
BetOnline.ag🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -1.54%E -0.512%K -0.768%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.79%EV -6.40%E -2.50%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.82%EV -9.38%E -3.17%K -4.78%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 13:55
Marathon Bet🎯2.93I 34.13%NM 31.81%EV -3.83%E -1.31%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 36.27%EV -6.03%E -2.35%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.92%EV -10.60%E -3.63%K -5.52%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-15 13:49
DraftKings🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.84%EV -4.82%E -1.66%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.94%EV -3.11%E -1.17%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.22%EV -6.62%E -2.17%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 13:45
Betway🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -4.82%E -1.66%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -8.59%E -3.44%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-15 13:44
betano_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV -5.47%E -1.90%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.93%EV -6.76%E -2.65%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -5.09%E -1.64%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 13:52
Bet Victor🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV -5.47%E -1.90%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.93%EV -6.76%E -2.65%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -5.09%E -1.64%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 13:53
Unibet (UK)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV -6.46%E -2.27%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.80%EV -6.76%E -2.65%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -5.09%E -1.64%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-15 13:54
Betsson🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -6.46%E -2.27%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.71%EV -7.86%E -3.12%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.83%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-15 13:44
NordicBet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -6.46%E -2.27%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.71%EV -7.86%E -3.12%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.83%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-15 13:45
Fanatics🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.36%EV -6.46%E -2.27%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.89%EV -8.59%E -3.44%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-15 13:55
PlayUp🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.36%EV -6.46%E -2.27%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.89%EV -8.59%E -3.44%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-15 13:45
Tipico (DE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -6.46%E -2.27%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -8.59%E -3.44%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -9.68%E -3.28%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-15 13:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -8.10%E -2.89%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.56%EV -8.59%E -3.44%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -0.499%E -0.153%K -0.222%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-15 13:45
Coral🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -8.10%E -2.89%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.56%EV -8.59%E -3.44%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -0.499%E -0.153%K -0.222%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-15 13:45
Paddy Power🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -8.10%E -2.89%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.60%EV -4.21%E -1.61%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 13:44
SportsBet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.22%EV -8.10%E -2.89%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.78%EV -4.94%E -1.90%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-15 13:45
betPARX🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.18%EV -8.10%E -2.89%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.33%EV -3.84%E -1.46%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.49%EV -9.68%E -3.28%K -4.97%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-15 13:45
ATG (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.18%EV -8.10%E -2.89%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.33%EV -3.84%E -1.46%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.49%EV -9.68%E -3.28%K -4.97%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-15 13:45
Svenska Spel🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.18%EV -8.10%E -2.89%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.33%EV -3.84%E -1.46%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.49%EV -9.68%E -3.28%K -4.97%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-15 13:45
Grosvenor🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.18%EV -8.10%E -2.89%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.33%EV -3.84%E -1.46%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.49%EV -9.68%E -3.28%K -4.97%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-15 13:45
Unibet (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.18%EV -8.10%E -2.89%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.33%EV -3.84%E -1.46%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.49%EV -9.68%E -3.28%K -4.97%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-15 13:44
Casumo🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.18%EV -8.10%E -2.89%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.33%EV -3.84%E -1.46%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.49%EV -9.68%E -3.28%K -4.97%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-15 13:45
Unibet (NL)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.18%EV -8.10%E -2.89%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.33%EV -3.84%E -1.46%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.49%EV -9.68%E -3.28%K -4.97%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-15 13:45
TABtouch🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.18%EV -8.10%E -2.89%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.33%EV -3.84%E -1.46%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.49%EV -9.68%E -3.28%K -4.97%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-15 13:44
Unibet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.18%EV -8.10%E -2.89%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.33%EV -3.84%E -1.46%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.49%EV -9.68%E -3.28%K -4.97%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-15 13:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.00%EV -8.10%E -2.89%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.13%EV -3.84%E -1.46%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.86%EV -11.21%E -3.87%K -5.90%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-15 13:49
TAB🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -8.10%E -2.89%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -8.59%E -3.44%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-15 13:35
888sport (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -8.10%E -2.89%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -10.42%E -4.25%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-15 13:54
888sport🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -8.10%E -2.89%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -10.42%E -4.25%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-15 13:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -8.10%E -2.89%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -10.42%E -4.25%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-15 13:55
William Hill🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -8.10%E -2.89%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -10.42%E -4.25%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-15 13:53
1xBet🎯2.77I 36.10%NM 33.79%EV -9.08%E -3.28%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.14%EV -7.86%E -3.12%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.07%EV -1.42%E -0.440%K -0.638%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 13:49
betfred_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -9.74%E -3.54%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.08%EV -4.21%E -1.61%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.54%EV -2.03%E -0.634%K -0.923%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 13:45
Betr (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.36%EV -9.74%E -3.54%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.65%EV -3.11%E -1.17%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.99%EV -3.56%E -1.13%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 13:45
Sky Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -9.74%E -3.54%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -4.94%E -1.90%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -5.09%E -1.64%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 13:45
BetMGM🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -9.74%E -3.54%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -8.59%E -3.44%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -2.03%E -0.634%K -0.923%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-15 13:45
Neds🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -9.74%E -3.54%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -8.59%E -3.44%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -2.03%E -0.634%K -0.923%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-15 13:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -9.74%E -3.54%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -8.59%E -3.44%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -2.03%E -0.634%K -0.923%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-15 13:44
Codere (IT)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.10%EV -9.74%E -3.54%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 36.56%EV -8.96%E -3.60%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-15 13:54
Coolbet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -11.38%E -4.22%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.86%EV -4.94%E -1.90%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -3.56%E -1.13%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 13:44
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -11.38%E -4.22%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -4.94%E -1.90%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -5.09%E -1.64%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-15 13:45
theScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -11.38%E -4.22%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.14%EV -6.76%E -2.65%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -5.09%E -1.64%K -2.42%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-15 13:45
Bet Right🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.97%EV -11.38%E -4.22%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -6.76%E -2.65%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -6.62%E -2.17%K -3.23%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-15 13:45
BetRivers🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.26%EV -11.38%E -4.22%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.22%EV -6.76%E -2.65%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.51%EV -12.75%E -4.47%K -6.89%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-15 13:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.26%EV -11.38%E -4.22%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.22%EV -6.76%E -2.65%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.51%EV -12.75%E -4.47%K -6.89%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-15 13:44
Virgin Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.26%EV -13.02%E -4.91%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.26%EV -8.59%E -3.44%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.48%EV -14.28%E -5.10%K -7.93%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-15 13:44
LiveScore Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.26%EV -13.02%E -4.91%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.26%EV -8.59%E -3.44%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.48%EV -14.28%E -5.10%K -7.93%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-15 13:44
BoyleSports🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -14.66%E -5.64%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.05%EV -4.21%E -1.61%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -5.09%E -1.64%K -2.42%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-15 12:09
Bovada🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -14.66%E -5.64%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -4.94%E -1.90%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -5.09%E -1.64%K -2.42%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-15 13:48
BetUS🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -14.66%E -5.64%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -4.94%E -1.90%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -5.09%E -1.64%K -2.42%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-15 13:54
LeoVegas🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.88%EV -14.66%E -5.64%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.88%EV -4.94%E -1.90%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-15 13:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.83%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.33%1.3%2026-08-15 13:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 31.75%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.00%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.25%1.6%2026-08-15 13:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 31.75%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.00%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.25%1.6%2026-08-15 13:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.10I 32.26%NM 31.75%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.00%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.25%1.6%2026-08-15 13:50
Smarkets3.05I 32.79%NM 32.10%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.81%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.08%2.1%2026-08-15 13:55