Language:English
Burton Albion v Mansfield Town
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Burton Albion (Local)
Prediction 39.94%2.50fair odd
EV -2.15%
Edge -0.876%
Kelly -1.48%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.45
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.02%39.94%39.89%41.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.352.352.4544.44%42.58%42.55%40.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Mansfield Town (Visit)
Prediction 32.25%3.10fair odd
EV -3.24%
Edge -1.08%
Kelly -1.62%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.20%32.25%32.33%35.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.652.842.853.0037.74%35.20%35.09%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.81%3.60fair odd
EV +0.100%
Edge +0.028%
Kelly +0.039%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.74%27.81%27.77%29.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.353.353.6032.26%29.89%29.85%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Burton Albion (Local): 39.94%; Mansfield Town (Visit): 32.25%; Draw: 27.81%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.596. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.600, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.100%.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.64%EV -2.15%E -0.876%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.06%EV -12.91%E -4.78%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.30%EV +0.100%E +0.028%K +0.039%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-16 11:31 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -10.13%E -4.50%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -9.69%E -3.46%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV +0.100%E +0.028%K +0.039%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-18 12:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -4.94%E -2.08%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.97%EV -7.11%E -2.47%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -2.68%E -0.766%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-18 12:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.06%EV -6.14%E -2.61%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -8.08%E -2.83%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -2.68%E -0.766%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-18 12:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -8.14%E -3.54%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.52%EV -7.11%E -2.47%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -2.68%E -0.766%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-18 12:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -8.14%E -3.54%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -8.08%E -2.83%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -2.68%E -0.766%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-18 12:48 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -8.14%E -3.54%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -8.08%E -2.83%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -2.68%E -0.766%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-18 12:50 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -8.14%E -3.54%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -3.24%E -1.08%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.46%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-18 12:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -8.14%E -3.54%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -3.24%E -1.08%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.46%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-18 12:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.98%EV -6.14%E -2.61%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -6.46%E -2.23%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.46%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-18 12:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.98%EV -6.14%E -2.61%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -6.46%E -2.23%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.46%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-18 12:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.64%EV -5.34%E -2.25%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.73%EV -7.43%E -2.59%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.46%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-18 12:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.64%EV -5.34%E -2.25%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.73%EV -7.43%E -2.59%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.46%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-18 12:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -2.15%E -0.876%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -11.30%E -4.11%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -5.46%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -2.15%E -0.876%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -11.30%E -4.11%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -5.46%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -2.15%E -0.876%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -11.30%E -4.11%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -5.46%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -2.15%E -0.876%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -11.30%E -4.11%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -5.46%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -2.15%E -0.876%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -11.30%E -4.11%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -5.46%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -2.15%E -0.876%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -11.30%E -4.11%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -5.46%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -2.15%E -0.876%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -11.30%E -4.11%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -5.46%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -2.15%E -0.876%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -11.30%E -4.11%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -5.46%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -6.14%E -2.61%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -8.08%E -2.83%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -5.46%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-18 12:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.27%EV -8.14%E -3.54%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.50%EV -8.08%E -2.83%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -5.46%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-18 12:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -8.14%E -3.54%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -9.69%E -3.46%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -5.46%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-18 12:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -10.13%E -4.50%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -9.69%E -3.46%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -5.46%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-18 12:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.26%EV -2.54%E -1.04%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.48%EV -4.85%E -1.64%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.26%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-18 13:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -6.14%E -2.61%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -7.11%E -2.47%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -6.85%E -2.05%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-18 12:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -6.14%E -2.61%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.64%EV -8.08%E -2.83%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -6.85%E -2.05%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-18 12:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -6.14%E -2.61%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.64%EV -8.08%E -2.83%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -6.85%E -2.05%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-18 12:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.13%EV -6.94%E -2.98%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.70%EV -4.85%E -1.64%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.17%EV -7.69%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-18 15:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 40.30%EV -7.74%E -3.35%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.66%EV -5.17%E -1.76%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.04%EV -7.69%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-18 15:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.60%EV -4.94%E -2.08%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.84%EV -4.53%E -1.53%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -8.24%E -2.50%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-18 15:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.60%EV -4.94%E -2.08%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.84%EV -4.53%E -1.53%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -8.24%E -2.50%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-18 15:04 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.60%EV -4.94%E -2.08%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.84%EV -4.53%E -1.53%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -8.24%E -2.50%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-18 15:04 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.95%EV -7.34%E -3.16%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -6.46%E -2.23%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -8.24%E -2.50%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-18 12:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.95%EV -7.34%E -3.16%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -6.46%E -2.23%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -8.24%E -2.50%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-18 12:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -8.14%E -3.54%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -6.46%E -2.23%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -8.24%E -2.50%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-18 12:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -8.14%E -3.54%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -6.46%E -2.23%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -8.24%E -2.50%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-18 12:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -10.13%E -4.50%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -4.85%E -1.64%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -8.24%E -2.50%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-18 12:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -8.14%E -3.54%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -8.08%E -2.83%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -8.24%E -2.50%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-18 12:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -8.14%E -3.54%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -6.46%E -2.23%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -9.63%E -2.96%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-18 12:47 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -8.14%E -3.54%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -6.46%E -2.23%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -9.63%E -2.96%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-18 12:19 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 39.64%EV -8.54%E -3.73%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.42%EV -9.69%E -3.46%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -9.63%E -2.96%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-18 12:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.02%EV -4.94%E -2.08%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.14%EV -14.53%E -5.48%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.84%EV -9.63%E -2.96%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.02%EV -4.94%E -2.08%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.14%EV -14.53%E -5.48%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.84%EV -9.63%E -2.96%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.02%EV -4.94%E -2.08%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.14%EV -14.53%E -5.48%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.84%EV -9.63%E -2.96%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-12 14:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.31%EV -8.14%E -3.54%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.88%EV -11.30%E -4.11%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -9.63%E -2.96%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-18 12:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.32%EV -6.14%E -2.61%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.98%EV -14.53%E -5.48%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -9.63%E -2.96%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.32%EV -6.14%E -2.61%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.98%EV -14.53%E -5.48%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -9.63%E -2.96%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.14%E -3.54%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -6.46%E -2.23%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -13.80%E -4.45%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-18 12:44 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.14%E -3.54%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -6.46%E -2.23%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -13.80%E -4.45%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-18 12:44 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.14%E -3.54%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -6.46%E -2.23%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -13.80%E -4.45%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-18 12:44 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.14%E -3.54%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -6.46%E -2.23%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -13.80%E -4.45%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-18 12:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.06% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.79% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.15% | 1.5% | 2026-09-18 14:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.69% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.01% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.30% | 2.4% | 2026-09-18 15:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.69% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.01% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.30% | 2.4% | 2026-09-18 15:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.64% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.50% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.86% | 2.6% | 2026-09-18 15:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.48% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.37% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.15% | 3.0% | 2026-09-18 15:30 |