L’École des cotesodds.school
Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Burton Albion v Mansfield Town

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-19 11:30 UTC

Score final : Burton Albion 2–2 Mansfield Town

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Burton Albion (Local)

Prévision 39.94%2.50cote équitable
EV -2.15%
Avantage -0.876%
Kelly -1.48%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.45

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.02%39.94%39.89%41.18%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.252.352.352.4544.44%42.58%42.55%40.82%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Mansfield Town (Visiteur)

Prévision 32.25%3.10cote équitable
EV -3.24%
Avantage -1.08%
Kelly -1.62%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.20%32.25%32.33%35.06%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.652.842.853.0037.74%35.20%35.09%33.33%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 27.81%3.60cote équitable
EV +0.100%
Avantage +0.028%
Kelly +0.039%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.74%27.81%27.77%29.27%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.103.353.353.6032.26%29.89%29.85%27.78%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Burton Albion (Local) : 39.94% ; Mansfield Town (Visiteur) : 32.25% ; Match nul : 27.81%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.596. 2 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.600, soit une espérance positive de +0.100%.

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.64%EV -2.15%E -0.876%K -1.48%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.06%EV -12.91%E -4.78%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.30%EV +0.100%E +0.028%K +0.039%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-16 11:31
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -10.13%E -4.50%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -9.69%E -3.46%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV +0.100%E +0.028%K +0.039%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-18 12:50
betfred_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -4.94%E -2.08%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.97%EV -7.11%E -2.47%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -2.68%E -0.766%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-18 12:50
Betr (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.06%EV -6.14%E -2.61%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -8.08%E -2.83%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -2.68%E -0.766%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-18 12:50
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -8.14%E -3.54%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.52%EV -7.11%E -2.47%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -2.68%E -0.766%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-18 12:49
Coolbet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -8.14%E -3.54%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -8.08%E -2.83%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -2.68%E -0.766%K -1.07%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-18 12:48
SportsBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -8.14%E -3.54%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -8.08%E -2.83%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -2.68%E -0.766%K -1.07%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-18 12:50
betano_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -8.14%E -3.54%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -3.24%E -1.08%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.46%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-18 12:49
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -8.14%E -3.54%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -3.24%E -1.08%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.46%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-18 12:50
Unibet (UK)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.98%EV -6.14%E -2.61%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -6.46%E -2.23%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.46%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-18 12:25
DraftKings🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.98%EV -6.14%E -2.61%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -6.46%E -2.23%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.46%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-18 12:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.64%EV -5.34%E -2.25%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.73%EV -7.43%E -2.59%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.46%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-18 12:40
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.64%EV -5.34%E -2.25%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.73%EV -7.43%E -2.59%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.46%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-18 12:40
Unibet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -2.15%E -0.876%K -1.48%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -11.30%E -4.11%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -5.46%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-12 14:20
Unibet (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -2.15%E -0.876%K -1.48%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -11.30%E -4.11%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -5.46%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-12 14:20
Casumo🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -2.15%E -0.876%K -1.48%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -11.30%E -4.11%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -5.46%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-12 14:20
Unibet (NL)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -2.15%E -0.876%K -1.48%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -11.30%E -4.11%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -5.46%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-12 14:20
LiveScore Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -2.15%E -0.876%K -1.48%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -11.30%E -4.11%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -5.46%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-12 14:20
Svenska Spel🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -2.15%E -0.876%K -1.48%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -11.30%E -4.11%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -5.46%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-12 14:20
ATG (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -2.15%E -0.876%K -1.48%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -11.30%E -4.11%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -5.46%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-12 14:20
betPARX🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -2.15%E -0.876%K -1.48%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -11.30%E -4.11%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -5.46%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-12 14:20
BetMGM🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -6.14%E -2.61%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -8.08%E -2.83%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -5.46%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-18 12:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.27%EV -8.14%E -3.54%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.50%EV -8.08%E -2.83%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -5.46%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-18 12:50
Bet Right🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -8.14%E -3.54%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -9.69%E -3.46%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -5.46%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-18 12:50
theScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -10.13%E -4.50%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -9.69%E -3.46%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -5.46%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-18 12:50
Pinnacle🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 39.26%EV -2.54%E -1.04%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.48%EV -4.85%E -1.64%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.26%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-18 13:25
LeoVegas🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -6.14%E -2.61%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -7.11%E -2.47%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -6.85%E -2.05%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-18 12:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -6.14%E -2.61%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.64%EV -8.08%E -2.83%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -6.85%E -2.05%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-18 12:40
Neds🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -6.14%E -2.61%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.64%EV -8.08%E -2.83%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -6.85%E -2.05%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-18 12:40
1xBet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.13%EV -6.94%E -2.98%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.70%EV -4.85%E -1.64%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.17%EV -7.69%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-18 15:10
Marathon Bet🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 40.30%EV -7.74%E -3.35%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.66%EV -5.17%E -1.76%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.04%EV -7.69%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-18 15:05
LowVig.ag🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.60%EV -4.94%E -2.08%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.84%EV -4.53%E -1.53%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -8.24%E -2.50%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-18 15:05
BetOnline.ag🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.60%EV -4.94%E -2.08%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.84%EV -4.53%E -1.53%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -8.24%E -2.50%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-18 15:04
BetUS🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.60%EV -4.94%E -2.08%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.84%EV -4.53%E -1.53%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -8.24%E -2.50%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-18 15:04
NordicBet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.95%EV -7.34%E -3.16%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -6.46%E -2.23%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -8.24%E -2.50%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-18 12:35
Betsson🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.95%EV -7.34%E -3.16%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -6.46%E -2.23%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -8.24%E -2.50%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-18 12:39
PlayUp🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -8.14%E -3.54%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -6.46%E -2.23%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -8.24%E -2.50%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-18 12:25
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -8.14%E -3.54%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -6.46%E -2.23%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -8.24%E -2.50%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-18 12:19
Tipico (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -10.13%E -4.50%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -4.85%E -1.64%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -8.24%E -2.50%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-18 12:20
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -8.14%E -3.54%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -8.08%E -2.83%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -8.24%E -2.50%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-18 12:45
Bovada🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -8.14%E -3.54%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -6.46%E -2.23%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -9.63%E -2.96%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-18 12:47
TAB🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -8.14%E -3.54%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -6.46%E -2.23%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -9.63%E -2.96%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-18 12:19
Codere (IT)🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 39.64%EV -8.54%E -3.73%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.42%EV -9.69%E -3.46%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -9.63%E -2.96%K -4.28%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-18 12:30
Grosvenor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.02%EV -4.94%E -2.08%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.14%EV -14.53%E -5.48%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.84%EV -9.63%E -2.96%K -4.28%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-12 14:20
Virgin Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.02%EV -4.94%E -2.08%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.14%EV -14.53%E -5.48%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.84%EV -9.63%E -2.96%K -4.28%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-12 14:20
TABtouch🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.02%EV -4.94%E -2.08%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.14%EV -14.53%E -5.48%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.84%EV -9.63%E -2.96%K -4.28%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-12 14:19
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.31%EV -8.14%E -3.54%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.88%EV -11.30%E -4.11%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -9.63%E -2.96%K -4.28%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-18 12:25
BetRivers🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.32%EV -6.14%E -2.61%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.98%EV -14.53%E -5.48%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -9.63%E -2.96%K -4.28%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-12 14:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.32%EV -6.14%E -2.61%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.98%EV -14.53%E -5.48%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -9.63%E -2.96%K -4.28%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-12 14:20
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.14%E -3.54%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -6.46%E -2.23%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -13.80%E -4.45%K -6.57%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-18 12:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.14%E -3.54%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -6.46%E -2.23%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -13.80%E -4.45%K -6.57%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-18 12:44
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.14%E -3.54%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -6.46%E -2.23%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -13.80%E -4.45%K -6.57%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-18 12:44
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.14%E -3.54%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -6.46%E -2.23%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -13.80%E -4.45%K -6.57%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-18 12:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook◎2.46I 40.65%NM 40.06%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.79%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.15%1.5%2026-09-18 14:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.46I 40.65%NM 39.69%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.01%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.30%2.4%2026-09-18 15:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.46I 40.65%NM 39.69%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.01%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.30%2.4%2026-09-18 15:30
Smarkets◎2.46I 40.65%NM 39.64%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.50%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.86%2.6%2026-09-18 15:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.46I 40.65%NM 39.48%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.37%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.15%3.0%2026-09-18 15:30