A Escola das Oddsodds.school
Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)
+ Novo modeloTodos os modelos

Burton Albion v Mansfield Town

Início: 2026-09-19 11:30 UTC

Final: Burton Albion 2–2 Mansfield Town

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

53 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Burton Albion (Local)

Previsão 39.94%2.50odd justa
EV -2.15%
Vantagem -0.876%
Kelly -1.48%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.45

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
38.02%39.94%39.89%41.18%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.252.352.352.4544.44%42.58%42.55%40.82%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Mansfield Town (Visitante)

Previsão 32.25%3.10odd justa
EV -3.24%
Vantagem -1.08%
Kelly -1.62%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
31.20%32.25%32.33%35.06%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.652.842.853.0037.74%35.20%35.09%33.33%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 27.81%3.60odd justa
EV +0.100%
Vantagem +0.028%
Kelly +0.039%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.74%27.81%27.77%29.27%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.103.353.353.6032.26%29.89%29.85%27.78%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Burton Albion (Local): 39.94%; Mansfield Town (Visitante): 32.25%; Empate: 27.81%. Para Empate, essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.596. 2 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.600, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.100%.

Odds das casas de apostas (53 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargemAtualização
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.64%EV -2.15%E -0.876%K -1.48%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.06%EV -12.91%E -4.78%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.30%EV +0.100%E +0.028%K +0.039%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-16 11:31
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -10.13%E -4.50%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -9.69%E -3.46%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV +0.100%E +0.028%K +0.039%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-18 12:50
betfred_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -4.94%E -2.08%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.97%EV -7.11%E -2.47%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -2.68%E -0.766%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-18 12:50
Betr (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.06%EV -6.14%E -2.61%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -8.08%E -2.83%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -2.68%E -0.766%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-18 12:50
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -8.14%E -3.54%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.52%EV -7.11%E -2.47%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -2.68%E -0.766%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-18 12:49
Coolbet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -8.14%E -3.54%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -8.08%E -2.83%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -2.68%E -0.766%K -1.07%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-18 12:48
SportsBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -8.14%E -3.54%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -8.08%E -2.83%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -2.68%E -0.766%K -1.07%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-18 12:50
betano_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -8.14%E -3.54%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -3.24%E -1.08%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.46%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-18 12:49
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -8.14%E -3.54%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -3.24%E -1.08%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.46%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-18 12:50
Unibet (UK)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.98%EV -6.14%E -2.61%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -6.46%E -2.23%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.46%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-18 12:25
DraftKings🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.98%EV -6.14%E -2.61%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -6.46%E -2.23%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.46%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-18 12:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.64%EV -5.34%E -2.25%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.73%EV -7.43%E -2.59%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.46%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-18 12:40
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.64%EV -5.34%E -2.25%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.73%EV -7.43%E -2.59%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.46%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-18 12:40
Unibet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -2.15%E -0.876%K -1.48%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -11.30%E -4.11%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -5.46%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-12 14:20
Unibet (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -2.15%E -0.876%K -1.48%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -11.30%E -4.11%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -5.46%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-12 14:20
Casumo🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -2.15%E -0.876%K -1.48%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -11.30%E -4.11%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -5.46%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-12 14:20
Unibet (NL)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -2.15%E -0.876%K -1.48%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -11.30%E -4.11%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -5.46%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-12 14:20
LiveScore Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -2.15%E -0.876%K -1.48%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -11.30%E -4.11%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -5.46%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-12 14:20
Svenska Spel🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -2.15%E -0.876%K -1.48%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -11.30%E -4.11%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -5.46%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-12 14:20
ATG (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -2.15%E -0.876%K -1.48%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -11.30%E -4.11%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -5.46%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-12 14:20
betPARX🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -2.15%E -0.876%K -1.48%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -11.30%E -4.11%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -5.46%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-12 14:20
BetMGM🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -6.14%E -2.61%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -8.08%E -2.83%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -5.46%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-18 12:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.27%EV -8.14%E -3.54%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.50%EV -8.08%E -2.83%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -5.46%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-18 12:50
Bet Right🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -8.14%E -3.54%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -9.69%E -3.46%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -5.46%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-18 12:50
theScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -10.13%E -4.50%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -9.69%E -3.46%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -5.46%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-18 12:50
Pinnacle🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 39.26%EV -2.54%E -1.04%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.48%EV -4.85%E -1.64%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.26%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-18 13:25
LeoVegas🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -6.14%E -2.61%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -7.11%E -2.47%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -6.85%E -2.05%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-18 12:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -6.14%E -2.61%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.64%EV -8.08%E -2.83%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -6.85%E -2.05%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-18 12:40
Neds🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -6.14%E -2.61%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.64%EV -8.08%E -2.83%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -6.85%E -2.05%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-18 12:40
1xBet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.13%EV -6.94%E -2.98%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.70%EV -4.85%E -1.64%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.17%EV -7.69%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-18 15:10
Marathon Bet🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 40.30%EV -7.74%E -3.35%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.66%EV -5.17%E -1.76%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.04%EV -7.69%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-18 15:05
LowVig.ag🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.60%EV -4.94%E -2.08%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.84%EV -4.53%E -1.53%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -8.24%E -2.50%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-18 15:05
BetOnline.ag🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.60%EV -4.94%E -2.08%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.84%EV -4.53%E -1.53%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -8.24%E -2.50%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-18 15:04
BetUS🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.60%EV -4.94%E -2.08%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.84%EV -4.53%E -1.53%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -8.24%E -2.50%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-18 15:04
NordicBet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.95%EV -7.34%E -3.16%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -6.46%E -2.23%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -8.24%E -2.50%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-18 12:35
Betsson🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.95%EV -7.34%E -3.16%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -6.46%E -2.23%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -8.24%E -2.50%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-18 12:39
PlayUp🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -8.14%E -3.54%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -6.46%E -2.23%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -8.24%E -2.50%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-18 12:25
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -8.14%E -3.54%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -6.46%E -2.23%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -8.24%E -2.50%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-18 12:19
Tipico (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -10.13%E -4.50%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -4.85%E -1.64%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -8.24%E -2.50%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-18 12:20
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -8.14%E -3.54%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -8.08%E -2.83%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -8.24%E -2.50%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-18 12:45
Bovada🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -8.14%E -3.54%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -6.46%E -2.23%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -9.63%E -2.96%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-18 12:47
TAB🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -8.14%E -3.54%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -6.46%E -2.23%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -9.63%E -2.96%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-18 12:19
Codere (IT)🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 39.64%EV -8.54%E -3.73%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.42%EV -9.69%E -3.46%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -9.63%E -2.96%K -4.28%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-18 12:30
Grosvenor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.02%EV -4.94%E -2.08%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.14%EV -14.53%E -5.48%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.84%EV -9.63%E -2.96%K -4.28%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-12 14:20
Virgin Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.02%EV -4.94%E -2.08%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.14%EV -14.53%E -5.48%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.84%EV -9.63%E -2.96%K -4.28%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-12 14:20
TABtouch🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.02%EV -4.94%E -2.08%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.14%EV -14.53%E -5.48%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.84%EV -9.63%E -2.96%K -4.28%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-12 14:19
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.31%EV -8.14%E -3.54%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.88%EV -11.30%E -4.11%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -9.63%E -2.96%K -4.28%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-18 12:25
BetRivers🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.32%EV -6.14%E -2.61%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.98%EV -14.53%E -5.48%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -9.63%E -2.96%K -4.28%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-12 14:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.32%EV -6.14%E -2.61%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.98%EV -14.53%E -5.48%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -9.63%E -2.96%K -4.28%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-12 14:20
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.14%E -3.54%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -6.46%E -2.23%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -13.80%E -4.45%K -6.57%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-18 12:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.14%E -3.54%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -6.46%E -2.23%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -13.80%E -4.45%K -6.57%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-18 12:44
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.14%E -3.54%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -6.46%E -2.23%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -13.80%E -4.45%K -6.57%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-18 12:44
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.14%E -3.54%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -6.46%E -2.23%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -13.80%E -4.45%K -6.57%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-18 12:50
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎2.46I 40.65%NM 40.06%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.79%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.15%1.5%2026-09-18 14:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.46I 40.65%NM 39.69%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.01%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.30%2.4%2026-09-18 15:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.46I 40.65%NM 39.69%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.01%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.30%2.4%2026-09-18 15:30
Smarkets◎2.46I 40.65%NM 39.64%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.50%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.86%2.6%2026-09-18 15:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.46I 40.65%NM 39.48%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.37%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.15%3.0%2026-09-18 15:30