Language:English
Bradford City v Bolton Wanderers
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Bradford City (Local)
Prediction 37.10%2.70fair odd
EV -3.16%
Edge -1.21%
Kelly -1.96%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.61
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.22%37.12%37.08%38.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.502.502.6141.67%40.04%40.00%38.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Bolton Wanderers (Visit)
Prediction 33.75%2.96fair odd
EV -2.12%
Edge -0.730%
Kelly -1.11%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.39%33.76%33.63%34.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.742.752.9038.46%36.43%36.36%34.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 29.14%3.43fair odd
EV +0.549%
Edge +0.159%
Kelly +0.224%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 3.45
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.72%29.13%29.29%30.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.213.253.4534.72%31.11%30.77%28.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Bradford City (Local): 37.10%; Bolton Wanderers (Visit): 33.75%; Draw: 29.14%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.43. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.45, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.549%.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.39%E -2.11%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.78%EV -7.18%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.72%EV +0.549%E +0.159%K +0.224%G +0.001% | 4.6% | 2026-05-14 18:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.39%E -2.11%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.78%EV -7.18%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.72%EV +0.549%E +0.159%K +0.224%G +0.001% | 4.6% | 2026-05-14 18:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.90%EV -3.53%E -1.36%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.89%EV -7.18%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.22%EV -0.909%E -0.267%K -0.379%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-14 18:16 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -7.24%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -7.18%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -0.909%E -0.267%K -0.379%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-14 18:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.61%EV -7.99%E -3.22%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%EV -8.87%E -3.28%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -2.37%E -0.706%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-14 18:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.61%EV -7.99%E -3.22%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%EV -8.87%E -3.28%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -2.37%E -0.706%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-14 18:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.61%EV -7.99%E -3.22%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%EV -8.87%E -3.28%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -2.37%E -0.706%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-14 18:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.61%EV -7.99%E -3.22%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%EV -8.87%E -3.28%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -2.37%E -0.706%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-14 18:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.61%EV -7.99%E -3.22%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%EV -8.87%E -3.28%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -2.37%E -0.706%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-14 18:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.61%EV -7.99%E -3.22%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%EV -8.87%E -3.28%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -2.37%E -0.706%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-14 18:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.61%EV -7.99%E -3.22%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%EV -8.87%E -3.28%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -2.37%E -0.706%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-14 18:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.24%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -7.18%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -3.82%E -1.16%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-14 18:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.24%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -7.18%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -3.82%E -1.16%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-14 18:03 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.24%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -7.18%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -3.82%E -1.16%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-14 18:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.24%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -7.18%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -3.82%E -1.16%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-14 17:56 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -9.10%E -3.71%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -5.49%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -3.82%E -1.16%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-14 18:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -7.24%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -8.87%E -3.28%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -3.82%E -1.16%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-14 17:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -9.10%E -3.71%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -8.87%E -3.28%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -3.82%E -1.16%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-14 18:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -9.10%E -3.71%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -8.87%E -3.28%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -3.82%E -1.16%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-14 18:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -9.10%E -3.71%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -8.87%E -3.28%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -3.82%E -1.16%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-14 18:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.61I 38.31%NM 36.90%EV -3.16%E -1.21%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.56%EV -3.13%E -1.09%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.54%EV -4.99%E -1.53%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-14 18:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.56%EV -7.24%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -5.49%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -5.28%E -1.62%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-14 18:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -7.24%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -7.18%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -5.28%E -1.62%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-14 18:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -7.24%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -7.18%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -5.28%E -1.62%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-14 18:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.34%EV -9.10%E -3.71%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.52%EV -10.55%E -3.98%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.15%EV -5.28%E -1.62%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-14 18:16 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.43%EV -9.84%E -4.05%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.58%EV -11.23%E -4.27%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.99%EV -5.28%E -1.62%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-14 18:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.43%EV -9.84%E -4.05%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.58%EV -11.23%E -4.27%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.99%EV -5.28%E -1.62%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-14 18:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.15%EV -5.39%E -2.11%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.24%EV -3.80%E -1.33%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-14 18:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.93%EV -5.39%E -2.11%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -5.49%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-14 18:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -7.24%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -10.55%E -3.98%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-14 18:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.89%EV -10.95%E -4.56%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.68%EV -8.87%E -3.28%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.42%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-14 18:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.95%EV -6.50%E -2.58%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.49%EV -6.17%E -2.22%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.56%EV -8.19%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-14 18:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.22%EV -7.24%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.23%EV -5.49%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -8.19%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-14 18:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.77%EV -7.24%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.05%EV -8.87%E -3.28%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -8.19%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-14 18:09 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.51I 39.84%NM 37.14%EV -6.87%E -2.74%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 33.17%EV -5.15%E -1.83%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 29.69%EV -8.49%E -2.70%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-14 18:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.10%EV -5.76%E -2.27%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.50%EV -2.12%E -0.730%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -9.65%E -3.11%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-14 18:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.10%EV -5.76%E -2.27%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.50%EV -2.12%E -0.730%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -9.65%E -3.11%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-14 18:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.54%EV -5.02%E -1.96%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 33.29%EV -5.15%E -1.83%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -9.65%E -3.11%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-14 18:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05%EV -7.24%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -5.49%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -9.65%E -3.11%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-14 18:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05%EV -7.24%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -5.49%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -9.65%E -3.11%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-14 18:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05%EV -7.24%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -5.49%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -9.65%E -3.11%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-14 18:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05%EV -7.24%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -5.49%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -9.65%E -3.11%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-14 18:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -7.24%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -8.87%E -3.28%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -9.65%E -3.11%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-14 18:35 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -7.24%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -8.87%E -3.28%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -9.65%E -3.11%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-14 17:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -7.24%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -11.57%E -4.42%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -9.65%E -3.11%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-14 17:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.02%EV -6.50%E -2.58%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -2.79%E -0.969%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.59%EV -11.11%E -3.64%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-14 18:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -7.24%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -7.18%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -12.57%E -4.19%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-14 18:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -7.24%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -7.18%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -12.57%E -4.19%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-14 18:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -7.24%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -7.18%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -12.57%E -4.19%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-14 18:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -7.24%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -7.18%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -12.57%E -4.19%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-14 18:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.28%EV -10.95%E -4.56%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.49%EV -12.24%E -4.71%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.23%EV -16.06%E -5.58%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-05-14 18:41 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.30% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.08% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62% | 0.8% | 2026-05-14 18:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.30% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.08% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62% | 0.8% | 2026-05-14 18:41 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.30% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.08% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62% | 0.8% | 2026-05-14 18:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.22% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.22% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.55% | 1.0% | 2026-05-14 18:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.40% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.13% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.47% | 1.3% | 2026-05-14 18:55 |