L’École des cotes

Bradford City v Bolton Wanderers

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-14 19:00 UTC

Score final : Bradford City 0–1 Bolton Wanderers

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Bradford City (Local)

Prévision 37.10%2.70cote équitable
EV -3.16%
Avantage -1.21%
Kelly -1.96%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.61

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.22%37.12%37.08%38.21%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.402.502.502.6141.67%40.04%40.00%38.31%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Bolton Wanderers (Visiteur)

Prévision 33.75%2.96cote équitable
EV -2.12%
Avantage -0.730%
Kelly -1.11%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.39%33.76%33.63%34.89%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.602.742.752.9038.46%36.43%36.36%34.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 29.14%3.43cote équitable
EV +0.549%
Avantage +0.159%
Kelly +0.224%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 3.45

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.72%29.13%29.29%30.59%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.213.253.4534.72%31.11%30.77%28.99%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
Svenska Spel2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.39%E -2.11%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.78%EV -7.18%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.72%EV +0.549%E +0.159%K +0.224%G +0.001%4.6%2026-05-14 18:30
ATG (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.39%E -2.11%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.78%EV -7.18%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.72%EV +0.549%E +0.159%K +0.224%G +0.001%4.6%2026-05-14 18:30
betfred_uk2.60I 38.46%NM 36.90%EV -3.53%E -1.36%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.89%EV -7.18%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.22%EV -0.909%E -0.267%K -0.379%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-14 18:16
LeoVegas2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -7.24%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -7.18%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -0.909%E -0.267%K -0.379%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-14 18:30
Unibet (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.61%EV -7.99%E -3.22%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%EV -8.87%E -3.28%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -2.37%E -0.706%K -1.01%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-14 18:30
Grosvenor2.48I 40.32%NM 37.61%EV -7.99%E -3.22%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%EV -8.87%E -3.28%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -2.37%E -0.706%K -1.01%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-14 18:30
Unibet (NL)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.61%EV -7.99%E -3.22%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%EV -8.87%E -3.28%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -2.37%E -0.706%K -1.01%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-14 18:30
TABtouch2.48I 40.32%NM 37.61%EV -7.99%E -3.22%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%EV -8.87%E -3.28%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -2.37%E -0.706%K -1.01%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-14 18:30
Unibet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.61%EV -7.99%E -3.22%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%EV -8.87%E -3.28%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -2.37%E -0.706%K -1.01%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-14 18:30
Casumo2.48I 40.32%NM 37.61%EV -7.99%E -3.22%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%EV -8.87%E -3.28%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -2.37%E -0.706%K -1.01%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-14 18:30
betPARX2.48I 40.32%NM 37.61%EV -7.99%E -3.22%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%EV -8.87%E -3.28%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -2.37%E -0.706%K -1.01%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-14 18:30
Betr (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.24%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -7.18%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -3.82%E -1.16%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-14 18:05
Coolbet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.24%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -7.18%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -3.82%E -1.16%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-14 18:03
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.24%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -7.18%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -3.82%E -1.16%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-14 18:15
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.24%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -7.18%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -3.82%E -1.16%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-14 17:56
Sky Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -9.10%E -3.71%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -5.49%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -3.82%E -1.16%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-14 18:45
BetMGM2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -7.24%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -8.87%E -3.28%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -3.82%E -1.16%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-14 17:55
PointsBet (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -9.10%E -3.71%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -8.87%E -3.28%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -3.82%E -1.16%K -1.66%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-14 18:15
LeoVegas (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -9.10%E -3.71%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -8.87%E -3.28%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -3.82%E -1.16%K -1.66%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-14 18:30
BetRivers2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -9.10%E -3.71%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -8.87%E -3.28%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -3.82%E -1.16%K -1.66%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-14 18:30
Pinnacle2.61I 38.31%NM 36.90%EV -3.16%E -1.21%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.56%EV -3.13%E -1.09%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.54%EV -4.99%E -1.53%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-14 18:50
Bet Victor2.50I 40.00%NM 37.56%EV -7.24%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -5.49%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -5.28%E -1.62%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-14 18:40
Neds2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -7.24%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -7.18%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -5.28%E -1.62%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-14 18:15
Ladbrokes (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -7.24%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -7.18%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -5.28%E -1.62%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-14 18:15
Bet Right2.45I 40.82%NM 37.34%EV -9.10%E -3.71%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.52%EV -10.55%E -3.98%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.15%EV -5.28%E -1.62%K -2.35%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-14 18:16
LiveScore Bet2.43I 41.15%NM 37.43%EV -9.84%E -4.05%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.58%EV -11.23%E -4.27%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.99%EV -5.28%E -1.62%K -2.35%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-14 18:30
Virgin Bet2.43I 41.15%NM 37.43%EV -9.84%E -4.05%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.58%EV -11.23%E -4.27%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.99%EV -5.28%E -1.62%K -2.35%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-14 18:30
DraftKings2.55I 39.22%NM 37.15%EV -5.39%E -2.11%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.24%EV -3.80%E -1.33%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-14 18:55
Unibet (UK)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.93%EV -5.39%E -2.11%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -5.49%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-14 18:10
Fanatics2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -7.24%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -10.55%E -3.98%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-14 18:00
theScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 37.89%EV -10.95%E -4.56%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.68%EV -8.87%E -3.28%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.42%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-14 18:05
Betsson2.52I 39.68%NM 36.95%EV -6.50%E -2.58%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.49%EV -6.17%E -2.22%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.56%EV -8.19%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-14 18:00
BetUS2.50I 40.00%NM 37.22%EV -7.24%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.23%EV -5.49%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -8.19%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-14 18:55
Bovada2.50I 40.00%NM 36.77%EV -7.24%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.05%EV -8.87%E -3.28%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -8.19%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-14 18:09
Marathon Bet2.51I 39.84%NM 37.14%EV -6.87%E -2.74%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.17%EV -5.15%E -1.83%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.69%EV -8.49%E -2.70%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-14 18:55
LowVig.ag2.54I 39.37%NM 37.10%EV -5.76%E -2.27%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.50%EV -2.12%E -0.730%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -9.65%E -3.11%K -4.60%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-14 18:10
BetOnline.ag2.54I 39.37%NM 37.10%EV -5.76%E -2.27%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.50%EV -2.12%E -0.730%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -9.65%E -3.11%K -4.60%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-14 18:10
1xBet2.56I 39.06%NM 36.54%EV -5.02%E -1.96%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.29%EV -5.15%E -1.83%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -9.65%E -3.11%K -4.60%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-14 18:50
SportsBet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05%EV -7.24%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -5.49%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -9.65%E -3.11%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-14 18:45
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05%EV -7.24%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -5.49%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -9.65%E -3.11%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-14 18:45
PlayUp2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05%EV -7.24%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -5.49%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -9.65%E -3.11%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-14 18:55
TAB2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05%EV -7.24%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -5.49%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -9.65%E -3.11%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-14 18:05
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -7.24%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -8.87%E -3.28%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -9.65%E -3.11%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-14 18:35
Everygame2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -7.24%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -8.87%E -3.28%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -9.65%E -3.11%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-14 17:54
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -7.24%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -11.57%E -4.42%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -9.65%E -3.11%K -4.60%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-14 17:55
NordicBet2.52I 39.68%NM 37.02%EV -6.50%E -2.58%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -2.79%E -0.969%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.59%EV -11.11%E -3.64%K -5.42%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-14 18:55
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -7.24%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -7.18%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -12.57%E -4.19%K -6.28%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-14 18:10
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -7.24%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -7.18%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -12.57%E -4.19%K -6.28%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-14 18:10
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -7.24%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -7.18%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -12.57%E -4.19%K -6.28%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-14 18:10
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -7.24%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -7.18%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -12.57%E -4.19%K -6.28%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-14 18:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 36.28%EV -10.95%E -4.56%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.49%EV -12.24%E -4.71%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.23%EV -16.06%E -5.58%K -8.54%G +0.000%14.9%2026-05-14 18:41
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.66I 37.59%NM 37.30%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.08%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-05-14 18:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.66I 37.59%NM 37.30%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.08%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-05-14 18:41
Matchbook2.66I 37.59%NM 37.30%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.08%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-05-14 18:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.66I 37.59%NM 37.22%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.22%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.55%1.0%2026-05-14 18:55
Smarkets2.64I 37.88%NM 37.40%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.13%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.47%1.3%2026-05-14 18:55