Idioma:Español
Bradford City v Bolton Wanderers
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Bradford City (Local)
Predicción 37.10%2.70momio equitativo
EV -3.16%
Ventaja -1.21%
Kelly -1.96%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.61
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.22%37.12%37.08%38.21%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.402.502.502.6141.67%40.04%40.00%38.31%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Bolton Wanderers (Visitante)
Predicción 33.75%2.96momio equitativo
EV -2.12%
Ventaja -0.730%
Kelly -1.11%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.90
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.39%33.76%33.63%34.89%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.602.742.752.9038.46%36.43%36.36%34.48%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 29.14%3.43momio equitativo
EV +0.549%
Ventaja +0.159%
Kelly +0.224%
Crecimiento +0.001%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.45
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.72%29.13%29.29%30.59%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.883.213.253.4534.72%31.11%30.77%28.99%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Bradford City (Local): 37.10%; Bolton Wanderers (Visitante): 33.75%; Empate: 29.14%. Para Empate, esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.43. 2 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.45, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.549%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.39%E -2.11%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.78%EV -7.18%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.72%EV +0.549%E +0.159%K +0.224%G +0.001% | 4.6% | 2026-05-14 18:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.39%E -2.11%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.78%EV -7.18%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.72%EV +0.549%E +0.159%K +0.224%G +0.001% | 4.6% | 2026-05-14 18:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.90%EV -3.53%E -1.36%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.89%EV -7.18%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.22%EV -0.909%E -0.267%K -0.379%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-14 18:16 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -7.24%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -7.18%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -0.909%E -0.267%K -0.379%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-14 18:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.61%EV -7.99%E -3.22%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%EV -8.87%E -3.28%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -2.37%E -0.706%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-14 18:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.61%EV -7.99%E -3.22%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%EV -8.87%E -3.28%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -2.37%E -0.706%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-14 18:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.61%EV -7.99%E -3.22%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%EV -8.87%E -3.28%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -2.37%E -0.706%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-14 18:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.61%EV -7.99%E -3.22%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%EV -8.87%E -3.28%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -2.37%E -0.706%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-14 18:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.61%EV -7.99%E -3.22%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%EV -8.87%E -3.28%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -2.37%E -0.706%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-14 18:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.61%EV -7.99%E -3.22%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%EV -8.87%E -3.28%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -2.37%E -0.706%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-14 18:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.61%EV -7.99%E -3.22%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%EV -8.87%E -3.28%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -2.37%E -0.706%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-14 18:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.24%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -7.18%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -3.82%E -1.16%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-14 18:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.24%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -7.18%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -3.82%E -1.16%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-14 18:03 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.24%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -7.18%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -3.82%E -1.16%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-14 18:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.24%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -7.18%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -3.82%E -1.16%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-14 17:56 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -9.10%E -3.71%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -5.49%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -3.82%E -1.16%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-14 18:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -7.24%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -8.87%E -3.28%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -3.82%E -1.16%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-14 17:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -9.10%E -3.71%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -8.87%E -3.28%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -3.82%E -1.16%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-14 18:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -9.10%E -3.71%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -8.87%E -3.28%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -3.82%E -1.16%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-14 18:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -9.10%E -3.71%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -8.87%E -3.28%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -3.82%E -1.16%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-14 18:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.61I 38.31%NM 36.90%EV -3.16%E -1.21%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.56%EV -3.13%E -1.09%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.54%EV -4.99%E -1.53%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-14 18:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.56%EV -7.24%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -5.49%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -5.28%E -1.62%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-14 18:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -7.24%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -7.18%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -5.28%E -1.62%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-14 18:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -7.24%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -7.18%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -5.28%E -1.62%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-14 18:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.34%EV -9.10%E -3.71%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.52%EV -10.55%E -3.98%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.15%EV -5.28%E -1.62%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-14 18:16 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.43%EV -9.84%E -4.05%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.58%EV -11.23%E -4.27%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.99%EV -5.28%E -1.62%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-14 18:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.43%EV -9.84%E -4.05%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.58%EV -11.23%E -4.27%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.99%EV -5.28%E -1.62%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-14 18:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.15%EV -5.39%E -2.11%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.24%EV -3.80%E -1.33%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-14 18:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.93%EV -5.39%E -2.11%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -5.49%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-14 18:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -7.24%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -10.55%E -3.98%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-14 18:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.89%EV -10.95%E -4.56%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.68%EV -8.87%E -3.28%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.42%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-14 18:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.95%EV -6.50%E -2.58%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.49%EV -6.17%E -2.22%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.56%EV -8.19%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-14 18:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.22%EV -7.24%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.23%EV -5.49%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -8.19%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-14 18:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.77%EV -7.24%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.05%EV -8.87%E -3.28%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -8.19%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-14 18:09 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.51I 39.84%NM 37.14%EV -6.87%E -2.74%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 33.17%EV -5.15%E -1.83%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 29.69%EV -8.49%E -2.70%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-14 18:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.10%EV -5.76%E -2.27%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.50%EV -2.12%E -0.730%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -9.65%E -3.11%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-14 18:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.10%EV -5.76%E -2.27%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.50%EV -2.12%E -0.730%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -9.65%E -3.11%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-14 18:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.54%EV -5.02%E -1.96%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 33.29%EV -5.15%E -1.83%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -9.65%E -3.11%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-14 18:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05%EV -7.24%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -5.49%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -9.65%E -3.11%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-14 18:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05%EV -7.24%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -5.49%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -9.65%E -3.11%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-14 18:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05%EV -7.24%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -5.49%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -9.65%E -3.11%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-14 18:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05%EV -7.24%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -5.49%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -9.65%E -3.11%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-14 18:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -7.24%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -8.87%E -3.28%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -9.65%E -3.11%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-14 18:35 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -7.24%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -8.87%E -3.28%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -9.65%E -3.11%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-14 17:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -7.24%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -11.57%E -4.42%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -9.65%E -3.11%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-14 17:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.02%EV -6.50%E -2.58%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -2.79%E -0.969%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.59%EV -11.11%E -3.64%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-14 18:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -7.24%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -7.18%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -12.57%E -4.19%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-14 18:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -7.24%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -7.18%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -12.57%E -4.19%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-14 18:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -7.24%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -7.18%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -12.57%E -4.19%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-14 18:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -7.24%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -7.18%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -12.57%E -4.19%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-14 18:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.28%EV -10.95%E -4.56%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.49%EV -12.24%E -4.71%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.23%EV -16.06%E -5.58%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-05-14 18:41 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.30% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.08% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62% | 0.8% | 2026-05-14 18:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.30% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.08% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62% | 0.8% | 2026-05-14 18:41 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.30% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.08% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62% | 0.8% | 2026-05-14 18:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.22% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.22% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.55% | 1.0% | 2026-05-14 18:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.40% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.13% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.47% | 1.3% | 2026-05-14 18:55 |