A Escola das Odds

Bradford City v Bolton Wanderers

Início: 2026-05-14 19:00 UTC

Final: Bradford City 0–1 Bolton Wanderers

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

51 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Bradford City (Local)

Previsão 37.10%2.70odd justa
EV -3.16%
Vantagem -1.21%
Kelly -1.96%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.61

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
36.22%37.12%37.08%38.21%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.402.502.502.6141.67%40.04%40.00%38.31%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Bolton Wanderers (Visitante)

Previsão 33.75%2.96odd justa
EV -2.12%
Vantagem -0.730%
Kelly -1.11%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.90

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
32.39%33.76%33.63%34.89%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.602.742.752.9038.46%36.43%36.36%34.48%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 29.14%3.43odd justa
EV +0.549%
Vantagem +0.159%
Kelly +0.224%
Crescimento +0.001%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.45

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.72%29.13%29.29%30.59%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.883.213.253.4534.72%31.11%30.77%28.99%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (51 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargemAtualização
Svenska Spel2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.39%E -2.11%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.78%EV -7.18%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.72%EV +0.549%E +0.159%K +0.224%G +0.001%4.6%2026-05-14 18:30
ATG (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.39%E -2.11%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.78%EV -7.18%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.72%EV +0.549%E +0.159%K +0.224%G +0.001%4.6%2026-05-14 18:30
betfred_uk2.60I 38.46%NM 36.90%EV -3.53%E -1.36%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.89%EV -7.18%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.22%EV -0.909%E -0.267%K -0.379%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-14 18:16
LeoVegas2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -7.24%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -7.18%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -0.909%E -0.267%K -0.379%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-14 18:30
Unibet (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.61%EV -7.99%E -3.22%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%EV -8.87%E -3.28%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -2.37%E -0.706%K -1.01%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-14 18:30
Grosvenor2.48I 40.32%NM 37.61%EV -7.99%E -3.22%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%EV -8.87%E -3.28%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -2.37%E -0.706%K -1.01%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-14 18:30
Unibet (NL)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.61%EV -7.99%E -3.22%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%EV -8.87%E -3.28%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -2.37%E -0.706%K -1.01%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-14 18:30
TABtouch2.48I 40.32%NM 37.61%EV -7.99%E -3.22%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%EV -8.87%E -3.28%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -2.37%E -0.706%K -1.01%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-14 18:30
Unibet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.61%EV -7.99%E -3.22%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%EV -8.87%E -3.28%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -2.37%E -0.706%K -1.01%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-14 18:30
Casumo2.48I 40.32%NM 37.61%EV -7.99%E -3.22%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%EV -8.87%E -3.28%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -2.37%E -0.706%K -1.01%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-14 18:30
betPARX2.48I 40.32%NM 37.61%EV -7.99%E -3.22%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%EV -8.87%E -3.28%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -2.37%E -0.706%K -1.01%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-14 18:30
Betr (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.24%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -7.18%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -3.82%E -1.16%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-14 18:05
Coolbet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.24%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -7.18%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -3.82%E -1.16%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-14 18:03
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.24%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -7.18%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -3.82%E -1.16%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-14 18:15
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.24%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -7.18%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -3.82%E -1.16%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-14 17:56
Sky Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -9.10%E -3.71%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -5.49%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -3.82%E -1.16%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-14 18:45
BetMGM2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -7.24%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -8.87%E -3.28%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -3.82%E -1.16%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-14 17:55
PointsBet (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -9.10%E -3.71%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -8.87%E -3.28%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -3.82%E -1.16%K -1.66%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-14 18:15
LeoVegas (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -9.10%E -3.71%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -8.87%E -3.28%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -3.82%E -1.16%K -1.66%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-14 18:30
BetRivers2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -9.10%E -3.71%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -8.87%E -3.28%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -3.82%E -1.16%K -1.66%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-14 18:30
Pinnacle2.61I 38.31%NM 36.90%EV -3.16%E -1.21%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.56%EV -3.13%E -1.09%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.54%EV -4.99%E -1.53%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-14 18:50
Bet Victor2.50I 40.00%NM 37.56%EV -7.24%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -5.49%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -5.28%E -1.62%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-14 18:40
Neds2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -7.24%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -7.18%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -5.28%E -1.62%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-14 18:15
Ladbrokes (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -7.24%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -7.18%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -5.28%E -1.62%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-14 18:15
Bet Right2.45I 40.82%NM 37.34%EV -9.10%E -3.71%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.52%EV -10.55%E -3.98%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.15%EV -5.28%E -1.62%K -2.35%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-14 18:16
LiveScore Bet2.43I 41.15%NM 37.43%EV -9.84%E -4.05%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.58%EV -11.23%E -4.27%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.99%EV -5.28%E -1.62%K -2.35%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-14 18:30
Virgin Bet2.43I 41.15%NM 37.43%EV -9.84%E -4.05%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.58%EV -11.23%E -4.27%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.99%EV -5.28%E -1.62%K -2.35%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-14 18:30
DraftKings2.55I 39.22%NM 37.15%EV -5.39%E -2.11%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.24%EV -3.80%E -1.33%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-14 18:55
Unibet (UK)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.93%EV -5.39%E -2.11%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -5.49%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-14 18:10
Fanatics2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -7.24%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -10.55%E -3.98%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-14 18:00
theScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 37.89%EV -10.95%E -4.56%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.68%EV -8.87%E -3.28%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.42%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-14 18:05
Betsson2.52I 39.68%NM 36.95%EV -6.50%E -2.58%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.49%EV -6.17%E -2.22%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.56%EV -8.19%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-14 18:00
BetUS2.50I 40.00%NM 37.22%EV -7.24%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.23%EV -5.49%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -8.19%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-14 18:55
Bovada2.50I 40.00%NM 36.77%EV -7.24%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.05%EV -8.87%E -3.28%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -8.19%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-14 18:09
Marathon Bet2.51I 39.84%NM 37.14%EV -6.87%E -2.74%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.17%EV -5.15%E -1.83%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.69%EV -8.49%E -2.70%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-14 18:55
LowVig.ag2.54I 39.37%NM 37.10%EV -5.76%E -2.27%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.50%EV -2.12%E -0.730%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -9.65%E -3.11%K -4.60%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-14 18:10
BetOnline.ag2.54I 39.37%NM 37.10%EV -5.76%E -2.27%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.50%EV -2.12%E -0.730%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -9.65%E -3.11%K -4.60%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-14 18:10
1xBet2.56I 39.06%NM 36.54%EV -5.02%E -1.96%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.29%EV -5.15%E -1.83%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -9.65%E -3.11%K -4.60%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-14 18:50
SportsBet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05%EV -7.24%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -5.49%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -9.65%E -3.11%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-14 18:45
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05%EV -7.24%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -5.49%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -9.65%E -3.11%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-14 18:45
PlayUp2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05%EV -7.24%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -5.49%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -9.65%E -3.11%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-14 18:55
TAB2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05%EV -7.24%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -5.49%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -9.65%E -3.11%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-14 18:05
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -7.24%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -8.87%E -3.28%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -9.65%E -3.11%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-14 18:35
Everygame2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -7.24%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -8.87%E -3.28%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -9.65%E -3.11%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-14 17:54
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -7.24%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -11.57%E -4.42%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -9.65%E -3.11%K -4.60%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-14 17:55
NordicBet2.52I 39.68%NM 37.02%EV -6.50%E -2.58%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -2.79%E -0.969%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.59%EV -11.11%E -3.64%K -5.42%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-14 18:55
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -7.24%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -7.18%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -12.57%E -4.19%K -6.28%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-14 18:10
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -7.24%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -7.18%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -12.57%E -4.19%K -6.28%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-14 18:10
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -7.24%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -7.18%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -12.57%E -4.19%K -6.28%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-14 18:10
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -7.24%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -7.18%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -12.57%E -4.19%K -6.28%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-14 18:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 36.28%EV -10.95%E -4.56%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.49%EV -12.24%E -4.71%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.23%EV -16.06%E -5.58%K -8.54%G +0.000%14.9%2026-05-14 18:41
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.66I 37.59%NM 37.30%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.08%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-05-14 18:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.66I 37.59%NM 37.30%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.08%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-05-14 18:41
Matchbook2.66I 37.59%NM 37.30%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.08%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-05-14 18:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.66I 37.59%NM 37.22%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.22%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.55%1.0%2026-05-14 18:55
Smarkets2.64I 37.88%NM 37.40%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.13%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.47%1.3%2026-05-14 18:55