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Bolton Wanderers v Stockport County FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Bolton Wanderers (Local)
Prediction 43.36%2.31fair odd
EV -3.73%
Edge -1.68%
Kelly -3.06%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.22
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.01%43.45%43.26%45.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.122.102.2250.00%47.20%47.51%45.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Stockport County FC (Visit)
Prediction 30.38%3.29fair odd
EV +0.270%
Edge +0.082%
Kelly +0.117%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.15%30.33%30.45%31.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.103.083.3034.72%32.21%32.52%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.25%3.81fair odd
EV -1.56%
Edge -0.416%
Kelly -0.567%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.03%26.22%26.29%27.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.523.503.7532.26%28.37%28.57%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Bolton Wanderers (Local): 43.36%; Stockport County FC (Visit): 30.38%; Draw: 26.25%. For Stockport County FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.29. 9 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.270%.
Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.35%EV -3.73%E -1.68%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.16%EV +0.270%E +0.082%K +0.117%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.49%EV -8.12%E -2.32%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.35%EV -3.73%E -1.68%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.16%EV +0.270%E +0.082%K +0.117%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.49%EV -8.12%E -2.32%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.12%EV -9.80%E -4.71%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV +0.270%E +0.082%K +0.117%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -6.81%E -1.92%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -11.10%E -5.42%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV +0.270%E +0.082%K +0.117%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -8.12%E -2.32%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -11.10%E -5.42%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV +0.270%E +0.082%K +0.117%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -8.12%E -2.32%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -11.10%E -5.42%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV +0.270%E +0.082%K +0.117%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -8.12%E -2.32%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -11.10%E -5.42%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV +0.270%E +0.082%K +0.117%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -8.12%E -2.32%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -11.10%E -5.42%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV +0.270%E +0.082%K +0.117%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -8.12%E -2.32%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -11.10%E -5.42%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV +0.270%E +0.082%K +0.117%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -8.12%E -2.32%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.32%EV -3.73%E -1.68%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.59%EV -1.25%E -0.384%K -0.555%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.09%EV -6.81%E -1.92%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-06 13:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.24%EV -11.54%E -5.65%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -1.25%E -0.384%K -0.555%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -8.12%E -2.32%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.24%EV -11.54%E -5.65%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -1.25%E -0.384%K -0.555%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -8.12%E -2.32%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -8.93%E -4.25%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -2.77%E -0.865%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -8.12%E -2.32%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-06 12:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -8.93%E -4.25%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -2.77%E -0.865%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -8.12%E -2.32%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-06 12:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.11%EV -12.40%E -6.14%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -2.77%E -0.865%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -9.44%E -2.73%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.11%EV -12.40%E -6.14%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -2.77%E -0.865%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -9.44%E -2.73%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.95%EV -5.47%E -2.51%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 29.91%EV -4.90%E -1.56%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.14%EV -9.44%E -2.73%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-06 13:44 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.35%EV -6.77%E -3.15%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.87%EV -5.20%E -1.67%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.78%EV -8.65%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-06 13:44 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.09%EV -4.60%E -2.09%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV -5.81%E -1.87%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -5.50%E -1.53%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-06 12:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.69%EV -8.93%E -4.25%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -5.81%E -1.87%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -1.56%E -0.416%K -0.567%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -8.93%E -4.25%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -5.81%E -1.87%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.12%E -2.32%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-06 12:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -11.10%E -5.42%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -5.81%E -1.87%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -5.50%E -1.53%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -8.93%E -4.25%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -5.81%E -1.87%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -13.37%E -4.05%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.61%EV -5.47%E -2.51%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -7.33%E -2.40%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -9.44%E -2.73%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-06 13:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.61%EV -5.47%E -2.51%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -7.33%E -2.40%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -9.44%E -2.73%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-06 13:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -8.93%E -4.25%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -7.33%E -2.40%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -8.12%E -2.32%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-06 12:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -8.93%E -4.25%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -7.33%E -2.40%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -8.12%E -2.32%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-06 13:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.10%EV -4.60%E -2.09%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.61%EV -8.85%E -2.95%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.29%EV -1.56%E -0.416%K -0.567%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.10%EV -4.60%E -2.09%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.61%EV -8.85%E -2.95%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.29%EV -1.56%E -0.416%K -0.567%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.67%EV -6.77%E -3.15%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.30%EV -8.85%E -2.95%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -1.56%E -0.416%K -0.567%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -4.60%E -2.09%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -8.85%E -2.95%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.50%E -1.53%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-06 13:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.52%EV -6.77%E -3.15%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.85%E -2.95%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -2.87%E -0.776%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-06 13:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.52%EV -6.77%E -3.15%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.85%E -2.95%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -2.87%E -0.776%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -4.60%E -2.09%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -8.85%E -2.95%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -10.75%E -3.16%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-06 13:44 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -8.93%E -4.25%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -8.85%E -2.95%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -5.50%E -1.53%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-06 12:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.64%EV -8.93%E -4.25%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.55%EV -8.85%E -2.95%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -6.81%E -1.92%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-06 12:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -6.77%E -3.15%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -8.85%E -2.95%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.75%E -3.16%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-06 13:44 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -6.77%E -3.15%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -8.85%E -2.95%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.75%E -3.16%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-06 12:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -6.77%E -3.15%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -8.85%E -2.95%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.75%E -3.16%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-06 12:49 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -6.77%E -3.15%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -8.85%E -2.95%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.75%E -3.16%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-06 13:45 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 43.20%EV -8.50%E -4.03%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -8.85%E -2.95%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.42%EV -9.44%E -2.73%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-06 11:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.29%EV -6.77%E -3.15%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -10.36%E -3.51%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -2.87%E -0.776%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.29%EV -6.77%E -3.15%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -10.36%E -3.51%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -2.87%E -0.776%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-06 12:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.29%EV -6.77%E -3.15%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -10.36%E -3.51%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -2.87%E -0.776%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.62%EV -11.10%E -5.42%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -11.88%E -4.10%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.55%EV -8.12%E -2.32%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-06 13:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.74%EV -13.27%E -6.64%K -13.27%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.68%EV -12.49%E -4.34%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.58%EV -18.62%E -6.01%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 17.0% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.48% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.30% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.22% | 0.4% | 2026-04-06 13:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.48% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.30% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.22% | 0.4% | 2026-04-06 13:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.48% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.30% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.22% | 0.4% | 2026-04-06 13:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.70% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.19% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.11% | 0.8% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.27% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.15% | 2.0% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |