La escuela de los momios

Bolton Wanderers v Stockport County FC

Inicio: 2026-04-06 14:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

46 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Bolton Wanderers (Local)

Predicción 43.36%2.31momio equitativo
EV -3.73%
Ventaja -1.68%
Kelly -3.06%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.22

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.01%43.45%43.26%45.31%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.122.102.2250.00%47.20%47.51%45.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Stockport County FC (Visitante)

Predicción 30.38%3.29momio equitativo
EV +0.270%
Ventaja +0.082%
Kelly +0.117%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.15%30.33%30.45%31.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.103.083.3034.72%32.21%32.52%30.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.25%3.81momio equitativo
EV -1.56%
Ventaja -0.416%
Kelly -0.567%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.03%26.22%26.29%27.58%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.523.503.7532.26%28.37%28.57%26.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
LowVig.ag2.22I 45.05%NM 43.35%EV -3.73%E -1.68%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.16%EV +0.270%E +0.082%K +0.117%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.49%EV -8.12%E -2.32%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-06 13:35
BetOnline.ag2.22I 45.05%NM 43.35%EV -3.73%E -1.68%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.16%EV +0.270%E +0.082%K +0.117%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.49%EV -8.12%E -2.32%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-06 13:35
LeoVegas2.08I 48.08%NM 45.12%EV -9.80%E -4.71%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV +0.270%E +0.082%K +0.117%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -6.81%E -1.92%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-06 13:35
Unibet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -11.10%E -5.42%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV +0.270%E +0.082%K +0.117%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -8.12%E -2.32%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-06 13:35
Unibet (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -11.10%E -5.42%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV +0.270%E +0.082%K +0.117%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -8.12%E -2.32%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-06 13:35
Casumo2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -11.10%E -5.42%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV +0.270%E +0.082%K +0.117%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -8.12%E -2.32%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-06 13:35
Unibet (NL)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -11.10%E -5.42%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV +0.270%E +0.082%K +0.117%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -8.12%E -2.32%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-06 13:35
TABtouch2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -11.10%E -5.42%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV +0.270%E +0.082%K +0.117%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -8.12%E -2.32%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-06 13:35
Grosvenor2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -11.10%E -5.42%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV +0.270%E +0.082%K +0.117%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -8.12%E -2.32%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-06 13:35
Pinnacle2.22I 45.05%NM 43.32%EV -3.73%E -1.68%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.59%EV -1.25%E -0.384%K -0.555%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.09%EV -6.81%E -1.92%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-06 13:45
BetRivers2.04I 49.02%NM 45.24%EV -11.54%E -5.65%K -11.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -1.25%E -0.384%K -0.555%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -8.12%E -2.32%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-06 13:35
LeoVegas (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 45.24%EV -11.54%E -5.65%K -11.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -1.25%E -0.384%K -0.555%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -8.12%E -2.32%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-06 13:35
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -8.93%E -4.25%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -2.77%E -0.865%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -8.12%E -2.32%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-06 12:55
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -8.93%E -4.25%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -2.77%E -0.865%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -8.12%E -2.32%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-06 12:55
LiveScore Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 45.11%EV -12.40%E -6.14%K -12.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -2.77%E -0.865%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -9.44%E -2.73%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-06 13:35
Virgin Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 45.11%EV -12.40%E -6.14%K -12.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -2.77%E -0.865%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -9.44%E -2.73%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-06 13:35
1xBet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.95%EV -5.47%E -2.51%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 29.91%EV -4.90%E -1.56%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.14%EV -9.44%E -2.73%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-06 13:44
Marathon Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.35%EV -6.77%E -3.15%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.87%EV -5.20%E -1.67%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.78%EV -8.65%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-06 13:44
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 43.09%EV -4.60%E -2.09%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV -5.81%E -1.87%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -5.50%E -1.53%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-06 12:55
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.69%EV -8.93%E -4.25%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -5.81%E -1.87%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -1.56%E -0.416%K -0.567%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-06 13:35
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -8.93%E -4.25%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -5.81%E -1.87%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.12%E -2.32%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-06 12:00
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -11.10%E -5.42%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -5.81%E -1.87%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -5.50%E -1.53%K -2.11%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-06 13:35
Everygame2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -8.93%E -4.25%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -5.81%E -1.87%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -13.37%E -4.05%K -5.81%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-06 13:35
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.61%EV -5.47%E -2.51%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -7.33%E -2.40%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -9.44%E -2.73%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-06 13:45
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 42.61%EV -5.47%E -2.51%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -7.33%E -2.40%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -9.44%E -2.73%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-06 13:44
Bovada2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -8.93%E -4.25%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -7.33%E -2.40%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -8.12%E -2.32%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 12:25
BetUS2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -8.93%E -4.25%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -7.33%E -2.40%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -8.12%E -2.32%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 13:44
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.10%EV -4.60%E -2.09%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.61%EV -8.85%E -2.95%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.29%EV -1.56%E -0.416%K -0.567%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-06 13:35
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 43.10%EV -4.60%E -2.09%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.61%EV -8.85%E -2.95%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.29%EV -1.56%E -0.416%K -0.567%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-06 13:35
Coolbet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.67%EV -6.77%E -3.15%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.30%EV -8.85%E -2.95%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -1.56%E -0.416%K -0.567%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-06 13:35
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -4.60%E -2.09%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -8.85%E -2.95%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.50%E -1.53%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-06 13:45
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 43.52%EV -6.77%E -3.15%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.85%E -2.95%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -2.87%E -0.776%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-06 13:45
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.52%EV -6.77%E -3.15%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.85%E -2.95%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -2.87%E -0.776%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-06 13:35
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -4.60%E -2.09%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -8.85%E -2.95%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -10.75%E -3.16%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-06 13:44
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -8.93%E -4.25%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -8.85%E -2.95%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -5.50%E -1.53%K -2.11%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-06 12:00
Bet Right2.10I 47.62%NM 43.64%EV -8.93%E -4.25%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.55%EV -8.85%E -2.95%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -6.81%E -1.92%K -2.67%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-06 12:00
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -6.77%E -3.15%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -8.85%E -2.95%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.75%E -3.16%K -4.48%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-06 13:44
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -6.77%E -3.15%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -8.85%E -2.95%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.75%E -3.16%K -4.48%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-06 12:50
William Hill2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -6.77%E -3.15%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -8.85%E -2.95%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.75%E -3.16%K -4.48%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-06 12:49
TAB2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -6.77%E -3.15%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -8.85%E -2.95%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.75%E -3.16%K -4.48%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-06 13:45
Codere (IT)2.11I 47.39%NM 43.20%EV -8.50%E -4.03%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -8.85%E -2.95%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.42%EV -9.44%E -2.73%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-06 11:44
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.29%EV -6.77%E -3.15%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -10.36%E -3.51%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -2.87%E -0.776%K -1.06%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-06 13:35
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 43.29%EV -6.77%E -3.15%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -10.36%E -3.51%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -2.87%E -0.776%K -1.06%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-06 12:00
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 43.29%EV -6.77%E -3.15%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -10.36%E -3.51%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -2.87%E -0.776%K -1.06%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-06 13:35
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 43.62%EV -11.10%E -5.42%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -11.88%E -4.10%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.55%EV -8.12%E -2.32%K -3.25%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-06 13:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.74%EV -13.27%E -6.64%K -13.27%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.68%EV -12.49%E -4.34%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.58%EV -18.62%E -6.01%K -8.87%G +0.000%17.0%2026-04-06 13:35
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.48%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.30%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.22%0.4%2026-04-06 13:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.48%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.30%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.22%0.4%2026-04-06 13:45
Matchbook2.24I 44.64%NM 44.48%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.30%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.22%0.4%2026-04-06 13:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.70%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.19%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.11%0.8%2026-04-06 13:35
Smarkets2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.27%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.15%2.0%2026-04-06 13:35