A Escola das Odds

Bolton Wanderers v Stockport County FC

Início: 2026-04-06 14:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

46 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Bolton Wanderers (Local)

Previsão 43.36%2.31odd justa
EV -3.73%
Vantagem -1.68%
Kelly -3.06%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.22

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
42.01%43.45%43.26%45.31%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.002.122.102.2250.00%47.20%47.51%45.05%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Stockport County FC (Visitante)

Previsão 30.38%3.29odd justa
EV +0.270%
Vantagem +0.082%
Kelly +0.117%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.15%30.33%30.45%31.61%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.883.103.083.3034.72%32.21%32.52%30.30%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 26.25%3.81odd justa
EV -1.56%
Vantagem -0.416%
Kelly -0.567%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.03%26.22%26.29%27.58%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.103.523.503.7532.26%28.37%28.57%26.67%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (46 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
LowVig.ag2.22I 45.05%NM 43.35%EV -3.73%E -1.68%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.16%EV +0.270%E +0.082%K +0.117%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.49%EV -8.12%E -2.32%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-06 13:35
BetOnline.ag2.22I 45.05%NM 43.35%EV -3.73%E -1.68%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.16%EV +0.270%E +0.082%K +0.117%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.49%EV -8.12%E -2.32%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-06 13:35
LeoVegas2.08I 48.08%NM 45.12%EV -9.80%E -4.71%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV +0.270%E +0.082%K +0.117%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -6.81%E -1.92%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-06 13:35
Unibet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -11.10%E -5.42%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV +0.270%E +0.082%K +0.117%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -8.12%E -2.32%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-06 13:35
Unibet (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -11.10%E -5.42%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV +0.270%E +0.082%K +0.117%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -8.12%E -2.32%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-06 13:35
Casumo2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -11.10%E -5.42%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV +0.270%E +0.082%K +0.117%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -8.12%E -2.32%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-06 13:35
Unibet (NL)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -11.10%E -5.42%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV +0.270%E +0.082%K +0.117%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -8.12%E -2.32%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-06 13:35
TABtouch2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -11.10%E -5.42%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV +0.270%E +0.082%K +0.117%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -8.12%E -2.32%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-06 13:35
Grosvenor2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -11.10%E -5.42%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV +0.270%E +0.082%K +0.117%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -8.12%E -2.32%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-06 13:35
Pinnacle2.22I 45.05%NM 43.32%EV -3.73%E -1.68%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.59%EV -1.25%E -0.384%K -0.555%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.09%EV -6.81%E -1.92%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-06 13:45
BetRivers2.04I 49.02%NM 45.24%EV -11.54%E -5.65%K -11.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -1.25%E -0.384%K -0.555%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -8.12%E -2.32%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-06 13:35
LeoVegas (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 45.24%EV -11.54%E -5.65%K -11.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -1.25%E -0.384%K -0.555%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -8.12%E -2.32%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-06 13:35
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -8.93%E -4.25%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -2.77%E -0.865%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -8.12%E -2.32%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-06 12:55
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -8.93%E -4.25%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -2.77%E -0.865%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -8.12%E -2.32%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-06 12:55
LiveScore Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 45.11%EV -12.40%E -6.14%K -12.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -2.77%E -0.865%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -9.44%E -2.73%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-06 13:35
Virgin Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 45.11%EV -12.40%E -6.14%K -12.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -2.77%E -0.865%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -9.44%E -2.73%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-06 13:35
1xBet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.95%EV -5.47%E -2.51%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 29.91%EV -4.90%E -1.56%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.14%EV -9.44%E -2.73%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-06 13:44
Marathon Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.35%EV -6.77%E -3.15%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.87%EV -5.20%E -1.67%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.78%EV -8.65%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-06 13:44
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 43.09%EV -4.60%E -2.09%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV -5.81%E -1.87%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -5.50%E -1.53%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-06 12:55
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.69%EV -8.93%E -4.25%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -5.81%E -1.87%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -1.56%E -0.416%K -0.567%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-06 13:35
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -8.93%E -4.25%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -5.81%E -1.87%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.12%E -2.32%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-06 12:00
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -11.10%E -5.42%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -5.81%E -1.87%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -5.50%E -1.53%K -2.11%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-06 13:35
Everygame2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -8.93%E -4.25%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -5.81%E -1.87%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -13.37%E -4.05%K -5.81%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-06 13:35
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.61%EV -5.47%E -2.51%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -7.33%E -2.40%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -9.44%E -2.73%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-06 13:45
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 42.61%EV -5.47%E -2.51%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -7.33%E -2.40%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -9.44%E -2.73%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-06 13:44
Bovada2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -8.93%E -4.25%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -7.33%E -2.40%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -8.12%E -2.32%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 12:25
BetUS2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -8.93%E -4.25%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -7.33%E -2.40%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -8.12%E -2.32%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 13:44
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.10%EV -4.60%E -2.09%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.61%EV -8.85%E -2.95%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.29%EV -1.56%E -0.416%K -0.567%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-06 13:35
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 43.10%EV -4.60%E -2.09%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.61%EV -8.85%E -2.95%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.29%EV -1.56%E -0.416%K -0.567%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-06 13:35
Coolbet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.67%EV -6.77%E -3.15%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.30%EV -8.85%E -2.95%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -1.56%E -0.416%K -0.567%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-06 13:35
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -4.60%E -2.09%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -8.85%E -2.95%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.50%E -1.53%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-06 13:45
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 43.52%EV -6.77%E -3.15%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.85%E -2.95%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -2.87%E -0.776%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-06 13:45
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.52%EV -6.77%E -3.15%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.85%E -2.95%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -2.87%E -0.776%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-06 13:35
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -4.60%E -2.09%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -8.85%E -2.95%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -10.75%E -3.16%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-06 13:44
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -8.93%E -4.25%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -8.85%E -2.95%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -5.50%E -1.53%K -2.11%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-06 12:00
Bet Right2.10I 47.62%NM 43.64%EV -8.93%E -4.25%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.55%EV -8.85%E -2.95%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -6.81%E -1.92%K -2.67%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-06 12:00
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -6.77%E -3.15%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -8.85%E -2.95%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.75%E -3.16%K -4.48%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-06 13:44
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -6.77%E -3.15%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -8.85%E -2.95%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.75%E -3.16%K -4.48%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-06 12:50
William Hill2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -6.77%E -3.15%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -8.85%E -2.95%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.75%E -3.16%K -4.48%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-06 12:49
TAB2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -6.77%E -3.15%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -8.85%E -2.95%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.75%E -3.16%K -4.48%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-06 13:45
Codere (IT)2.11I 47.39%NM 43.20%EV -8.50%E -4.03%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -8.85%E -2.95%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.42%EV -9.44%E -2.73%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-06 11:44
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.29%EV -6.77%E -3.15%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -10.36%E -3.51%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -2.87%E -0.776%K -1.06%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-06 13:35
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 43.29%EV -6.77%E -3.15%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -10.36%E -3.51%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -2.87%E -0.776%K -1.06%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-06 12:00
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 43.29%EV -6.77%E -3.15%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -10.36%E -3.51%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -2.87%E -0.776%K -1.06%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-06 13:35
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 43.62%EV -11.10%E -5.42%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -11.88%E -4.10%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.55%EV -8.12%E -2.32%K -3.25%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-06 13:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.74%EV -13.27%E -6.64%K -13.27%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.68%EV -12.49%E -4.34%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.58%EV -18.62%E -6.01%K -8.87%G +0.000%17.0%2026-04-06 13:35
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.48%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.30%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.22%0.4%2026-04-06 13:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.48%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.30%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.22%0.4%2026-04-06 13:45
Matchbook2.24I 44.64%NM 44.48%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.30%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.22%0.4%2026-04-06 13:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.70%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.19%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.11%0.8%2026-04-06 13:35
Smarkets2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.27%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.15%2.0%2026-04-06 13:35