مدرسة الاحتمالات

Bolton Wanderers v Stockport County FC

البداية: 2026-04-06 14:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

46 شركة مراهنات (17 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Bolton Wanderers (المضيف)

التنبؤ 43.36%2.31السعر العادل
EV -3.73%
الأفضلية -1.68%
Kelly -3.06%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.22

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
42.01%43.45%43.26%45.31%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.002.122.102.2250.00%47.20%47.51%45.05%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Stockport County FC (الضيف)

التنبؤ 30.38%3.29السعر العادل
EV +0.270%
الأفضلية +0.082%
Kelly +0.117%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.30

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
28.15%30.33%30.45%31.61%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.883.103.083.3034.72%32.21%32.52%30.30%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 26.25%3.81السعر العادل
EV -1.56%
الأفضلية -0.416%
Kelly -0.567%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.75

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
25.03%26.22%26.29%27.58%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.103.523.503.7532.26%28.37%28.57%26.67%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (46 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
LowVig.ag2.22I 45.05%NM 43.35%EV -3.73%E -1.68%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.16%EV +0.270%E +0.082%K +0.117%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.49%EV -8.12%E -2.32%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-06 13:35
BetOnline.ag2.22I 45.05%NM 43.35%EV -3.73%E -1.68%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.16%EV +0.270%E +0.082%K +0.117%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.49%EV -8.12%E -2.32%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-06 13:35
LeoVegas2.08I 48.08%NM 45.12%EV -9.80%E -4.71%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV +0.270%E +0.082%K +0.117%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -6.81%E -1.92%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-06 13:35
Unibet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -11.10%E -5.42%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV +0.270%E +0.082%K +0.117%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -8.12%E -2.32%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-06 13:35
Unibet (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -11.10%E -5.42%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV +0.270%E +0.082%K +0.117%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -8.12%E -2.32%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-06 13:35
Casumo2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -11.10%E -5.42%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV +0.270%E +0.082%K +0.117%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -8.12%E -2.32%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-06 13:35
Unibet (NL)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -11.10%E -5.42%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV +0.270%E +0.082%K +0.117%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -8.12%E -2.32%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-06 13:35
TABtouch2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -11.10%E -5.42%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV +0.270%E +0.082%K +0.117%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -8.12%E -2.32%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-06 13:35
Grosvenor2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -11.10%E -5.42%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV +0.270%E +0.082%K +0.117%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -8.12%E -2.32%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-06 13:35
Pinnacle2.22I 45.05%NM 43.32%EV -3.73%E -1.68%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.59%EV -1.25%E -0.384%K -0.555%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.09%EV -6.81%E -1.92%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-06 13:45
BetRivers2.04I 49.02%NM 45.24%EV -11.54%E -5.65%K -11.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -1.25%E -0.384%K -0.555%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -8.12%E -2.32%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-06 13:35
LeoVegas (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 45.24%EV -11.54%E -5.65%K -11.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -1.25%E -0.384%K -0.555%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -8.12%E -2.32%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-06 13:35
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -8.93%E -4.25%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -2.77%E -0.865%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -8.12%E -2.32%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-06 12:55
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -8.93%E -4.25%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -2.77%E -0.865%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -8.12%E -2.32%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-06 12:55
LiveScore Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 45.11%EV -12.40%E -6.14%K -12.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -2.77%E -0.865%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -9.44%E -2.73%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-06 13:35
Virgin Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 45.11%EV -12.40%E -6.14%K -12.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -2.77%E -0.865%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -9.44%E -2.73%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-06 13:35
1xBet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.95%EV -5.47%E -2.51%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 29.91%EV -4.90%E -1.56%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.14%EV -9.44%E -2.73%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-06 13:44
Marathon Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.35%EV -6.77%E -3.15%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.87%EV -5.20%E -1.67%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.78%EV -8.65%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-06 13:44
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 43.09%EV -4.60%E -2.09%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV -5.81%E -1.87%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -5.50%E -1.53%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-06 12:55
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.69%EV -8.93%E -4.25%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -5.81%E -1.87%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -1.56%E -0.416%K -0.567%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-06 13:35
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -8.93%E -4.25%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -5.81%E -1.87%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.12%E -2.32%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-06 12:00
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -11.10%E -5.42%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -5.81%E -1.87%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -5.50%E -1.53%K -2.11%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-06 13:35
Everygame2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -8.93%E -4.25%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -5.81%E -1.87%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -13.37%E -4.05%K -5.81%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-06 13:35
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.61%EV -5.47%E -2.51%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -7.33%E -2.40%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -9.44%E -2.73%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-06 13:45
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 42.61%EV -5.47%E -2.51%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -7.33%E -2.40%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -9.44%E -2.73%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-06 13:44
Bovada2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -8.93%E -4.25%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -7.33%E -2.40%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -8.12%E -2.32%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 12:25
BetUS2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -8.93%E -4.25%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -7.33%E -2.40%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -8.12%E -2.32%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 13:44
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.10%EV -4.60%E -2.09%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.61%EV -8.85%E -2.95%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.29%EV -1.56%E -0.416%K -0.567%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-06 13:35
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 43.10%EV -4.60%E -2.09%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.61%EV -8.85%E -2.95%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.29%EV -1.56%E -0.416%K -0.567%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-06 13:35
Coolbet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.67%EV -6.77%E -3.15%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.30%EV -8.85%E -2.95%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -1.56%E -0.416%K -0.567%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-06 13:35
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -4.60%E -2.09%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -8.85%E -2.95%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.50%E -1.53%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-06 13:45
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 43.52%EV -6.77%E -3.15%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.85%E -2.95%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -2.87%E -0.776%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-06 13:45
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.52%EV -6.77%E -3.15%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.85%E -2.95%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -2.87%E -0.776%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-06 13:35
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -4.60%E -2.09%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -8.85%E -2.95%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -10.75%E -3.16%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-06 13:44
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -8.93%E -4.25%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -8.85%E -2.95%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -5.50%E -1.53%K -2.11%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-06 12:00
Bet Right2.10I 47.62%NM 43.64%EV -8.93%E -4.25%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.55%EV -8.85%E -2.95%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -6.81%E -1.92%K -2.67%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-06 12:00
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -6.77%E -3.15%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -8.85%E -2.95%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.75%E -3.16%K -4.48%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-06 13:44
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -6.77%E -3.15%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -8.85%E -2.95%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.75%E -3.16%K -4.48%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-06 12:50
William Hill2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -6.77%E -3.15%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -8.85%E -2.95%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.75%E -3.16%K -4.48%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-06 12:49
TAB2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -6.77%E -3.15%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -8.85%E -2.95%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.75%E -3.16%K -4.48%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-06 13:45
Codere (IT)2.11I 47.39%NM 43.20%EV -8.50%E -4.03%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -8.85%E -2.95%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.42%EV -9.44%E -2.73%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-06 11:44
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.29%EV -6.77%E -3.15%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -10.36%E -3.51%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -2.87%E -0.776%K -1.06%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-06 13:35
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 43.29%EV -6.77%E -3.15%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -10.36%E -3.51%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -2.87%E -0.776%K -1.06%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-06 12:00
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 43.29%EV -6.77%E -3.15%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -10.36%E -3.51%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -2.87%E -0.776%K -1.06%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-06 13:35
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 43.62%EV -11.10%E -5.42%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -11.88%E -4.10%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.55%EV -8.12%E -2.32%K -3.25%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-06 13:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.74%EV -13.27%E -6.64%K -13.27%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.68%EV -12.49%E -4.34%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.58%EV -18.62%E -6.01%K -8.87%G +0.000%17.0%2026-04-06 13:35
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.48%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.30%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.22%0.4%2026-04-06 13:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.48%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.30%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.22%0.4%2026-04-06 13:45
Matchbook2.24I 44.64%NM 44.48%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.30%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.22%0.4%2026-04-06 13:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.70%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.19%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.11%0.8%2026-04-06 13:35
Smarkets2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.27%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.15%2.0%2026-04-06 13:35