Language:English
Bolton Wanderers v Bradford City
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Bolton Wanderers (Local)
Prediction 50.68%1.97fair odd
EV -4.72%
Edge -2.51%
Kelly -5.36%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.88
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.57%50.77%50.72%52.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.731.831.831.8857.80%54.72%54.64%53.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Bradford City (Visit)
Prediction 21.60%4.63fair odd
EV +2.58%
Edge +0.544%
Kelly +0.688%
Growth +0.018%
assuming max odds 4.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.06%21.61%21.57%23.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.294.254.7525.00%23.30%23.53%21.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.72%3.61fair odd
EV -0.196%
Edge -0.055%
Kelly -0.076%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.47%27.62%27.71%28.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.393.403.6032.26%29.50%29.41%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Bolton Wanderers (Local): 50.68%; Bradford City (Visit): 21.60%; Draw: 27.72%. For Bradford City (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.63. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.58%.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.84%EV -6.24%E -3.37%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.19%EV +2.58%E +0.544%K +0.688%G +0.018% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 27.96%EV -4.91%E -1.43%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-09 18:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.80%EV -7.76%E -4.26%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.06%EV +1.50%E +0.320%K +0.406%G +0.006% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.14%EV -7.13%E -2.13%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-09 18:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.80%EV -7.76%E -4.26%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.06%EV +1.50%E +0.320%K +0.406%G +0.006% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.14%EV -7.13%E -2.13%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-09 18:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.06%EV -8.77%E -4.87%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -0.658%E -0.143%K -0.183%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-09 18:44 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -7.25%E -3.96%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -2.82%E -0.626%K -0.805%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -8.51%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-09 18:44 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.83%EV -8.77%E -4.87%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -2.82%E -0.626%K -0.805%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-09 18:29 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.94%EV -11.31%E -6.46%K -15.08%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -2.82%E -0.626%K -0.805%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -2.97%E -0.848%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-09 18:44 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.96%EV -7.25%E -3.96%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.96%EV -3.90%E -0.876%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.09%EV -7.96%E -2.40%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-09 18:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.63%EV -5.23%E -2.80%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.52%EV -4.98%E -1.13%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-09 18:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.90%EV -6.24%E -3.37%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%EV -4.98%E -1.13%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-09 18:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.90%EV -6.24%E -3.37%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%EV -4.98%E -1.13%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-09 18:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.99%EV -8.77%E -4.87%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -4.98%E -1.13%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -2.97%E -0.848%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-09 18:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.75%EV -7.25%E -3.96%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -4.98%E -1.13%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -8.51%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-09 18:34 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.94%EV -8.77%E -4.87%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -4.98%E -1.13%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -9.90%E -3.05%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-09 18:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.78%EV -6.24%E -3.37%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%EV -6.06%E -1.39%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-09 18:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.00%EV -7.25%E -3.96%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.55%EV -6.49%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-09 18:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.77%EV -8.77%E -4.87%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -6.49%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.12%EV -9.90%E -3.05%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-09 18:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.77%EV -8.77%E -4.87%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -6.49%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.12%EV -9.90%E -3.05%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-09 18:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.77%EV -8.77%E -4.87%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -6.49%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.12%EV -9.90%E -3.05%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-09 18:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.04%EV -4.72%E -2.51%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.31%EV -7.14%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.65%EV -0.196%E -0.055%K -0.076%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-09 18:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.04%EV -4.72%E -2.51%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.31%EV -7.14%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.65%EV -0.196%E -0.055%K -0.076%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-09 18:49 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -7.25%E -3.96%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.49%EV -7.14%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.01%EV -8.51%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-09 18:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -7.25%E -3.96%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.49%EV -7.14%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.01%EV -8.51%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-09 18:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.64%EV -7.76%E -4.26%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -7.14%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -8.51%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-09 18:43 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.99%EV -5.23%E -2.80%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 4.26I 23.47%NM 21.94%EV -8.00%E -1.88%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.07%EV -7.68%E -2.31%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-09 18:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.11%EV -6.24%E -3.37%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.25%EV -8.22%E -1.93%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.64%EV -1.58%E -0.446%K -0.621%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-09 18:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.31%EV -6.24%E -3.37%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.90%EV -8.22%E -1.93%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.79%EV -7.13%E -2.13%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-09 18:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.31%EV -6.24%E -3.37%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.90%EV -8.22%E -1.93%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.79%EV -7.13%E -2.13%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-09 18:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.59%EV -7.25%E -3.96%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -8.22%E -1.93%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -7.13%E -2.13%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-09 18:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.59%EV -7.25%E -3.96%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -8.22%E -1.93%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -7.13%E -2.13%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-09 18:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.57%EV -8.77%E -4.87%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.42%EV -8.22%E -1.93%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -9.90%E -3.05%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-09 18:44 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.12%EV -5.23%E -2.80%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -9.30%E -2.21%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-09 18:24 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%EV -7.25%E -3.96%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -9.30%E -2.21%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -2.97%E -0.848%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-09 18:14 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%EV -7.25%E -3.96%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -9.30%E -2.21%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -2.97%E -0.848%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-09 18:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%EV -7.25%E -3.96%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -9.30%E -2.21%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -2.97%E -0.848%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-09 18:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%EV -7.25%E -3.96%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -9.30%E -2.21%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -2.97%E -0.848%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-09 18:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%EV -7.25%E -3.96%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -9.30%E -2.21%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -2.97%E -0.848%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-09 18:49 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%EV -7.25%E -3.96%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -9.30%E -2.21%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -2.97%E -0.848%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-09 18:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%EV -7.25%E -3.96%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -9.30%E -2.21%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -2.97%E -0.848%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-09 18:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%EV -7.25%E -3.96%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -9.30%E -2.21%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -2.97%E -0.848%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-09 18:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.19%EV -7.76%E -4.26%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -9.30%E -2.21%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -2.97%E -0.848%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-09 18:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.19%EV -7.76%E -4.26%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -9.30%E -2.21%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -2.97%E -0.848%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-09 18:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.03%EV -7.25%E -3.96%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -9.30%E -2.21%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -9.90%E -3.05%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-09 18:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.66%EV -8.77%E -4.87%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -9.30%E -2.21%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -8.51%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-09 18:49 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.71%EV -4.72%E -2.51%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -11.46%E -2.79%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-09 18:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.94%EV -9.28%E -5.19%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.24%EV -11.46%E -2.79%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-09 18:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.94%EV -9.28%E -5.19%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.24%EV -11.46%E -2.79%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-09 18:49 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.57%EV -5.23%E -2.80%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -13.62%E -3.40%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-09 18:24 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -7.25%E -3.96%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -13.62%E -3.40%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-09 18:24 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.77%EV -6.75%E -3.67%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -13.62%E -3.40%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -7.13%E -2.13%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-09 18:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 50.24%EV -12.32%E -7.12%K -16.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.73%EV -13.62%E -3.40%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.04%EV -14.06%E -4.53%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-05-09 18:44 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.94% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.35% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.70% | 0.3% | 2026-05-09 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 52.07% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.30% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.63% | 0.5% | 2026-05-09 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 52.07% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.30% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.63% | 0.5% | 2026-05-09 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.87% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.22% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.91% | 0.9% | 2026-05-09 18:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.79% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.50% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.72% | 1.6% | 2026-05-09 18:55 |