La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Bolton Wanderers v Bradford City
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Bolton Wanderers (Local)
Predicción 50.68%1.97momio equitativo
EV -4.72%
Ventaja -2.51%
Kelly -5.36%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.88
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
49.57%50.77%50.72%52.94%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.731.831.831.8857.80%54.72%54.64%53.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Bradford City (Visitante)
Predicción 21.60%4.63momio equitativo
EV +2.58%
Ventaja +0.544%
Kelly +0.688%
Crecimiento +0.018%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.06%21.61%21.57%23.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.004.294.254.7525.00%23.30%23.53%21.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 27.72%3.61momio equitativo
EV -0.196%
Ventaja -0.055%
Kelly -0.076%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.47%27.62%27.71%28.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.393.403.6032.26%29.50%29.41%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.84%EV -6.24%E -3.37%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.19%EV +2.58%E +0.544%K +0.688%G +0.018% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 27.96%EV -4.91%E -1.43%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-09 18:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.80%EV -7.76%E -4.26%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.06%EV +1.50%E +0.320%K +0.406%G +0.006% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.14%EV -7.13%E -2.13%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-09 18:50 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.80%EV -7.76%E -4.26%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.06%EV +1.50%E +0.320%K +0.406%G +0.006% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.14%EV -7.13%E -2.13%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-09 18:50 |
| SportsBet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.06%EV -8.77%E -4.87%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -0.658%E -0.143%K -0.183%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-09 18:44 |
| BetUS | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -7.25%E -3.96%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -2.82%E -0.626%K -0.805%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -8.51%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-09 18:44 |
| Paddy Power | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.83%EV -8.77%E -4.87%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -2.82%E -0.626%K -0.805%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-09 18:29 |
| Sky Bet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.94%EV -11.31%E -6.46%K -15.08%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -2.82%E -0.626%K -0.805%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -2.97%E -0.848%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-09 18:44 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.96%EV -7.25%E -3.96%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.96%EV -3.90%E -0.876%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.09%EV -7.96%E -2.40%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-09 18:39 |
| DraftKings | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.63%EV -5.23%E -2.80%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.52%EV -4.98%E -1.13%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-09 18:35 |
| Coral | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.90%EV -6.24%E -3.37%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%EV -4.98%E -1.13%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-09 18:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.90%EV -6.24%E -3.37%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%EV -4.98%E -1.13%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-09 18:49 |
| Bet Victor | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.99%EV -8.77%E -4.87%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -4.98%E -1.13%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -2.97%E -0.848%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-09 18:55 |
| William Hill | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.75%EV -7.25%E -3.96%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -4.98%E -1.13%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -8.51%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-09 18:34 |
| Everygame | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.94%EV -8.77%E -4.87%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -4.98%E -1.13%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -9.90%E -3.05%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-09 18:45 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.78%EV -6.24%E -3.37%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%EV -6.06%E -1.39%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-09 18:50 |
| BetMGM | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.00%EV -7.25%E -3.96%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.55%EV -6.49%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-09 18:49 |
| 888sport | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.77%EV -8.77%E -4.87%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -6.49%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.12%EV -9.90%E -3.05%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-09 18:35 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.77%EV -8.77%E -4.87%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -6.49%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.12%EV -9.90%E -3.05%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-09 18:34 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.77%EV -8.77%E -4.87%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -6.49%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.12%EV -9.90%E -3.05%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-09 18:35 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.04%EV -4.72%E -2.51%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.31%EV -7.14%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.65%EV -0.196%E -0.055%K -0.076%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-09 18:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.04%EV -4.72%E -2.51%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.31%EV -7.14%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.65%EV -0.196%E -0.055%K -0.076%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-09 18:49 |
| Fanatics | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -7.25%E -3.96%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.49%EV -7.14%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.01%EV -8.51%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-09 18:00 |
| PlayUp | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -7.25%E -3.96%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.49%EV -7.14%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.01%EV -8.51%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-09 18:45 |
| Bovada | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.64%EV -7.76%E -4.26%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -7.14%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -8.51%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-09 18:43 |
| 1xBet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.99%EV -5.23%E -2.80%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 4.26I 23.47%NM 21.94%EV -8.00%E -1.88%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.07%EV -7.68%E -2.31%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-09 18:49 |
| LeoVegas | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.11%EV -6.24%E -3.37%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.25%EV -8.22%E -1.93%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.64%EV -1.58%E -0.446%K -0.621%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-09 18:49 |
| Betsson | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.31%EV -6.24%E -3.37%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.90%EV -8.22%E -1.93%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.79%EV -7.13%E -2.13%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-09 18:44 |
| NordicBet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.31%EV -6.24%E -3.37%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.90%EV -8.22%E -1.93%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.79%EV -7.13%E -2.13%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-09 18:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.59%EV -7.25%E -3.96%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -8.22%E -1.93%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -7.13%E -2.13%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-09 18:49 |
| Neds | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.59%EV -7.25%E -3.96%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -8.22%E -1.93%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -7.13%E -2.13%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-09 18:50 |
| TAB | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.57%EV -8.77%E -4.87%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.42%EV -8.22%E -1.93%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -9.90%E -3.05%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-09 18:44 |
| Coolbet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.12%EV -5.23%E -2.80%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -9.30%E -2.21%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-09 18:24 |
| betfred_uk | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%EV -7.25%E -3.96%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -9.30%E -2.21%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -2.97%E -0.848%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-09 18:14 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%EV -7.25%E -3.96%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -9.30%E -2.21%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -2.97%E -0.848%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-09 18:49 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%EV -7.25%E -3.96%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -9.30%E -2.21%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -2.97%E -0.848%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-09 18:49 |
| Grosvenor | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%EV -7.25%E -3.96%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -9.30%E -2.21%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -2.97%E -0.848%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-09 18:49 |
| Unibet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%EV -7.25%E -3.96%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -9.30%E -2.21%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -2.97%E -0.848%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-09 18:49 |
| Casumo | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%EV -7.25%E -3.96%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -9.30%E -2.21%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -2.97%E -0.848%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-09 18:50 |
| betPARX | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%EV -7.25%E -3.96%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -9.30%E -2.21%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -2.97%E -0.848%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-09 18:49 |
| TABtouch | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%EV -7.25%E -3.96%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -9.30%E -2.21%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -2.97%E -0.848%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-09 18:49 |
| BetRivers | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.19%EV -7.76%E -4.26%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -9.30%E -2.21%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -2.97%E -0.848%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-09 18:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.19%EV -7.76%E -4.26%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -9.30%E -2.21%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -2.97%E -0.848%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-09 18:49 |
| Betway | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.03%EV -7.25%E -3.96%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -9.30%E -2.21%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -9.90%E -3.05%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-09 18:49 |
| BoyleSports | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.66%EV -8.77%E -4.87%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -9.30%E -2.21%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -8.51%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-09 18:49 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.71%EV -4.72%E -2.51%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -11.46%E -2.79%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-09 18:25 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.94%EV -9.28%E -5.19%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.24%EV -11.46%E -2.79%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-09 18:50 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.94%EV -9.28%E -5.19%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.24%EV -11.46%E -2.79%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-09 18:49 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.57%EV -5.23%E -2.80%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -13.62%E -3.40%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-09 18:24 |
| theScore Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -7.25%E -3.96%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -13.62%E -3.40%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-09 18:24 |
| Bet Right | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.77%EV -6.75%E -3.67%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -13.62%E -3.40%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -7.13%E -2.13%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-09 18:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 50.24%EV -12.32%E -7.12%K -16.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.73%EV -13.62%E -3.40%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.04%EV -14.06%E -4.53%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-05-09 18:44 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.94% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.35% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.70% | 0.3% | 2026-05-09 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 52.07% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.30% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.63% | 0.5% | 2026-05-09 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 52.07% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.30% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.63% | 0.5% | 2026-05-09 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.87% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.22% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.91% | 0.9% | 2026-05-09 18:55 |
| Smarkets | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.79% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.50% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.72% | 1.6% | 2026-05-09 18:55 |