A Escola das Odds

Bolton Wanderers v Bradford City

Início: 2026-05-09 19:00 UTC

Final: Bolton Wanderers 1–0 Bradford City

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

51 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Bolton Wanderers (Local)

Previsão 50.68%1.97odd justa
EV -4.72%
Vantagem -2.51%
Kelly -5.36%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.88

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
49.57%50.77%50.72%52.94%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.731.831.831.8857.80%54.72%54.64%53.19%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Bradford City (Visitante)

Previsão 21.60%4.63odd justa
EV +2.58%
Vantagem +0.544%
Kelly +0.688%
Crescimento +0.018%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
20.06%21.61%21.57%23.17%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.004.294.254.7525.00%23.30%23.53%21.05%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 27.72%3.61odd justa
EV -0.196%
Vantagem -0.055%
Kelly -0.076%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.47%27.62%27.71%28.28%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.103.393.403.6032.26%29.50%29.41%27.78%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (51 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle1.85I 54.05%NM 51.84%EV -6.24%E -3.37%K -7.34%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.19%EV +2.58%E +0.544%K +0.688%G +0.018%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.96%EV -4.91%E -1.43%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-09 18:55
BetOnline.ag1.82I 54.95%NM 51.80%EV -7.76%E -4.26%K -9.46%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.06%EV +1.50%E +0.320%K +0.406%G +0.006%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.14%EV -7.13%E -2.13%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-09 18:50
LowVig.ag1.82I 54.95%NM 51.80%EV -7.76%E -4.26%K -9.46%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.06%EV +1.50%E +0.320%K +0.406%G +0.006%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.14%EV -7.13%E -2.13%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-09 18:50
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.06%EV -8.77%E -4.87%K -10.97%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -0.658%E -0.143%K -0.183%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 18:44
BetUS1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -7.25%E -3.96%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -2.82%E -0.626%K -0.805%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -8.51%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-09 18:44
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 51.83%EV -8.77%E -4.87%K -10.97%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -2.82%E -0.626%K -0.805%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-09 18:29
Sky Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 52.94%EV -11.31%E -6.46%K -15.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -2.82%E -0.626%K -0.805%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -2.97%E -0.848%K -1.19%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-09 18:44
Marathon Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.96%EV -7.25%E -3.96%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.96%EV -3.90%E -0.876%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.09%EV -7.96%E -2.40%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-09 18:39
DraftKings1.87I 53.48%NM 50.63%EV -5.23%E -2.80%K -6.01%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.52%EV -4.98%E -1.13%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-09 18:35
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 50.90%EV -6.24%E -3.37%K -7.34%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%EV -4.98%E -1.13%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-09 18:49
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.90%EV -6.24%E -3.37%K -7.34%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%EV -4.98%E -1.13%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-09 18:49
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 51.99%EV -8.77%E -4.87%K -10.97%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -4.98%E -1.13%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -2.97%E -0.848%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 18:55
William Hill1.83I 54.64%NM 50.75%EV -7.25%E -3.96%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -4.98%E -1.13%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -8.51%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-09 18:34
Everygame1.80I 55.56%NM 50.94%EV -8.77%E -4.87%K -10.97%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -4.98%E -1.13%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -9.90%E -3.05%K -4.40%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-09 18:45
Unibet (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.78%EV -6.24%E -3.37%K -7.34%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%EV -6.06%E -1.39%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-09 18:50
BetMGM1.83I 54.64%NM 51.00%EV -7.25%E -3.96%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.55%EV -6.49%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-09 18:49
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 50.77%EV -8.77%E -4.87%K -10.97%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -6.49%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.12%EV -9.90%E -3.05%K -4.40%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-09 18:35
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.77%EV -8.77%E -4.87%K -10.97%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -6.49%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.12%EV -9.90%E -3.05%K -4.40%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-09 18:34
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.77%EV -8.77%E -4.87%K -10.97%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -6.49%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.12%EV -9.90%E -3.05%K -4.40%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-09 18:35
ATG (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 51.04%EV -4.72%E -2.51%K -5.36%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.31%EV -7.14%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.65%EV -0.196%E -0.055%K -0.076%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-09 18:50
Svenska Spel1.88I 53.19%NM 51.04%EV -4.72%E -2.51%K -5.36%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.31%EV -7.14%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.65%EV -0.196%E -0.055%K -0.076%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-09 18:49
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -7.25%E -3.96%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.49%EV -7.14%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.01%EV -8.51%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-09 18:00
PlayUp1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -7.25%E -3.96%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.49%EV -7.14%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.01%EV -8.51%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-09 18:45
Bovada1.82I 54.95%NM 50.64%EV -7.76%E -4.26%K -9.46%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -7.14%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -8.51%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-09 18:43
1xBet1.87I 53.48%NM 49.99%EV -5.23%E -2.80%K -6.01%G +0.000%4.26I 23.47%NM 21.94%EV -8.00%E -1.88%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.07%EV -7.68%E -2.31%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 18:49
LeoVegas1.85I 54.05%NM 51.11%EV -6.24%E -3.37%K -7.34%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.25%EV -8.22%E -1.93%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.64%EV -1.58%E -0.446%K -0.621%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-09 18:49
Betsson1.85I 54.05%NM 50.31%EV -6.24%E -3.37%K -7.34%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.90%EV -8.22%E -1.93%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.79%EV -7.13%E -2.13%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-09 18:44
NordicBet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.31%EV -6.24%E -3.37%K -7.34%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.90%EV -8.22%E -1.93%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.79%EV -7.13%E -2.13%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-09 18:44
Ladbrokes (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.59%EV -7.25%E -3.96%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -8.22%E -1.93%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -7.13%E -2.13%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-09 18:49
Neds1.83I 54.64%NM 50.59%EV -7.25%E -3.96%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -8.22%E -1.93%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -7.13%E -2.13%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-09 18:50
TAB1.80I 55.56%NM 50.57%EV -8.77%E -4.87%K -10.97%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.42%EV -8.22%E -1.93%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -9.90%E -3.05%K -4.40%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-09 18:44
Coolbet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.12%EV -5.23%E -2.80%K -6.01%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -9.30%E -2.21%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 18:24
betfred_uk1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%EV -7.25%E -3.96%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -9.30%E -2.21%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -2.97%E -0.848%K -1.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 18:14
Unibet (NL)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%EV -7.25%E -3.96%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -9.30%E -2.21%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -2.97%E -0.848%K -1.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 18:49
Unibet (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%EV -7.25%E -3.96%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -9.30%E -2.21%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -2.97%E -0.848%K -1.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 18:49
Grosvenor1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%EV -7.25%E -3.96%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -9.30%E -2.21%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -2.97%E -0.848%K -1.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 18:49
Unibet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%EV -7.25%E -3.96%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -9.30%E -2.21%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -2.97%E -0.848%K -1.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 18:49
Casumo1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%EV -7.25%E -3.96%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -9.30%E -2.21%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -2.97%E -0.848%K -1.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 18:50
betPARX1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%EV -7.25%E -3.96%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -9.30%E -2.21%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -2.97%E -0.848%K -1.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 18:49
TABtouch1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%EV -7.25%E -3.96%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -9.30%E -2.21%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -2.97%E -0.848%K -1.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 18:49
BetRivers1.82I 54.95%NM 51.19%EV -7.76%E -4.26%K -9.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -9.30%E -2.21%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -2.97%E -0.848%K -1.19%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-09 18:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.19%EV -7.76%E -4.26%K -9.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -9.30%E -2.21%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -2.97%E -0.848%K -1.19%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-09 18:49
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 50.03%EV -7.25%E -3.96%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -9.30%E -2.21%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -9.90%E -3.05%K -4.40%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-09 18:49
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 50.66%EV -8.77%E -4.87%K -10.97%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -9.30%E -2.21%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -8.51%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-09 18:49
Betr (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.71%EV -4.72%E -2.51%K -5.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -11.46%E -2.79%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 18:25
LiveScore Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 50.94%EV -9.28%E -5.19%K -11.75%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.24%EV -11.46%E -2.79%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-09 18:50
Virgin Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 50.94%EV -9.28%E -5.19%K -11.75%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.24%EV -11.46%E -2.79%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-09 18:49
PointsBet (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.57%EV -5.23%E -2.80%K -6.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -13.62%E -3.40%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-09 18:24
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -7.25%E -3.96%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -13.62%E -3.40%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-09 18:24
Bet Right1.84I 54.35%NM 49.77%EV -6.75%E -3.67%K -8.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -13.62%E -3.40%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -7.13%E -2.13%K -3.03%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-09 18:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 50.24%EV -12.32%E -7.12%K -16.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.73%EV -13.62%E -3.40%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.04%EV -14.06%E -4.53%K -6.69%G +0.000%15.1%2026-05-09 18:44
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook1.92I 52.08%NM 51.94%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.35%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.70%0.3%2026-05-09 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.91I 52.36%NM 52.07%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.30%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.63%0.5%2026-05-09 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 52.07%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.30%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.63%0.5%2026-05-09 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 51.87%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.22%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.91%0.9%2026-05-09 18:55
Smarkets1.90I 52.63%NM 51.79%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.50%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.72%1.6%2026-05-09 18:55