مدرسة الاحتمالات

Bolton Wanderers v Bradford City

البداية: 2026-05-09 19:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Bolton Wanderers 1–0 Bradford City

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

51 شركة مراهنات (16 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Bolton Wanderers (المضيف)

التنبؤ 50.68%1.97السعر العادل
EV -4.72%
الأفضلية -2.51%
Kelly -5.36%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.88

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
49.57%50.77%50.72%52.94%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.731.831.831.8857.80%54.72%54.64%53.19%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Bradford City (الضيف)

التنبؤ 21.60%4.63السعر العادل
EV +2.58%
الأفضلية +0.544%
Kelly +0.688%
النمو +0.018%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.75

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
20.06%21.61%21.57%23.17%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.004.294.254.7525.00%23.30%23.53%21.05%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 27.72%3.61السعر العادل
EV -0.196%
الأفضلية -0.055%
Kelly -0.076%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.60

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
26.47%27.62%27.71%28.28%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.103.393.403.6032.26%29.50%29.41%27.78%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (51 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle1.85I 54.05%NM 51.84%EV -6.24%E -3.37%K -7.34%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.19%EV +2.58%E +0.544%K +0.688%G +0.018%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.96%EV -4.91%E -1.43%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-09 18:55
BetOnline.ag1.82I 54.95%NM 51.80%EV -7.76%E -4.26%K -9.46%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.06%EV +1.50%E +0.320%K +0.406%G +0.006%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.14%EV -7.13%E -2.13%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-09 18:50
LowVig.ag1.82I 54.95%NM 51.80%EV -7.76%E -4.26%K -9.46%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.06%EV +1.50%E +0.320%K +0.406%G +0.006%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.14%EV -7.13%E -2.13%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-09 18:50
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.06%EV -8.77%E -4.87%K -10.97%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -0.658%E -0.143%K -0.183%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 18:44
BetUS1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -7.25%E -3.96%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -2.82%E -0.626%K -0.805%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -8.51%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-09 18:44
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 51.83%EV -8.77%E -4.87%K -10.97%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -2.82%E -0.626%K -0.805%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-09 18:29
Sky Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 52.94%EV -11.31%E -6.46%K -15.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -2.82%E -0.626%K -0.805%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -2.97%E -0.848%K -1.19%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-09 18:44
Marathon Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.96%EV -7.25%E -3.96%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.96%EV -3.90%E -0.876%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.09%EV -7.96%E -2.40%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-09 18:39
DraftKings1.87I 53.48%NM 50.63%EV -5.23%E -2.80%K -6.01%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.52%EV -4.98%E -1.13%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-09 18:35
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 50.90%EV -6.24%E -3.37%K -7.34%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%EV -4.98%E -1.13%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-09 18:49
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.90%EV -6.24%E -3.37%K -7.34%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%EV -4.98%E -1.13%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-09 18:49
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 51.99%EV -8.77%E -4.87%K -10.97%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -4.98%E -1.13%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -2.97%E -0.848%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 18:55
William Hill1.83I 54.64%NM 50.75%EV -7.25%E -3.96%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -4.98%E -1.13%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -8.51%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-09 18:34
Everygame1.80I 55.56%NM 50.94%EV -8.77%E -4.87%K -10.97%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -4.98%E -1.13%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -9.90%E -3.05%K -4.40%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-09 18:45
Unibet (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.78%EV -6.24%E -3.37%K -7.34%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%EV -6.06%E -1.39%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-09 18:50
BetMGM1.83I 54.64%NM 51.00%EV -7.25%E -3.96%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.55%EV -6.49%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-09 18:49
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 50.77%EV -8.77%E -4.87%K -10.97%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -6.49%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.12%EV -9.90%E -3.05%K -4.40%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-09 18:35
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.77%EV -8.77%E -4.87%K -10.97%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -6.49%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.12%EV -9.90%E -3.05%K -4.40%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-09 18:34
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.77%EV -8.77%E -4.87%K -10.97%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -6.49%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.12%EV -9.90%E -3.05%K -4.40%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-09 18:35
ATG (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 51.04%EV -4.72%E -2.51%K -5.36%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.31%EV -7.14%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.65%EV -0.196%E -0.055%K -0.076%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-09 18:50
Svenska Spel1.88I 53.19%NM 51.04%EV -4.72%E -2.51%K -5.36%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.31%EV -7.14%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.65%EV -0.196%E -0.055%K -0.076%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-09 18:49
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -7.25%E -3.96%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.49%EV -7.14%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.01%EV -8.51%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-09 18:00
PlayUp1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -7.25%E -3.96%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.49%EV -7.14%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.01%EV -8.51%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-09 18:45
Bovada1.82I 54.95%NM 50.64%EV -7.76%E -4.26%K -9.46%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -7.14%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -8.51%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-09 18:43
1xBet1.87I 53.48%NM 49.99%EV -5.23%E -2.80%K -6.01%G +0.000%4.26I 23.47%NM 21.94%EV -8.00%E -1.88%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.07%EV -7.68%E -2.31%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 18:49
LeoVegas1.85I 54.05%NM 51.11%EV -6.24%E -3.37%K -7.34%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.25%EV -8.22%E -1.93%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.64%EV -1.58%E -0.446%K -0.621%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-09 18:49
Betsson1.85I 54.05%NM 50.31%EV -6.24%E -3.37%K -7.34%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.90%EV -8.22%E -1.93%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.79%EV -7.13%E -2.13%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-09 18:44
NordicBet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.31%EV -6.24%E -3.37%K -7.34%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.90%EV -8.22%E -1.93%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.79%EV -7.13%E -2.13%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-09 18:44
Ladbrokes (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.59%EV -7.25%E -3.96%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -8.22%E -1.93%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -7.13%E -2.13%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-09 18:49
Neds1.83I 54.64%NM 50.59%EV -7.25%E -3.96%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -8.22%E -1.93%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -7.13%E -2.13%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-09 18:50
TAB1.80I 55.56%NM 50.57%EV -8.77%E -4.87%K -10.97%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.42%EV -8.22%E -1.93%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -9.90%E -3.05%K -4.40%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-09 18:44
Coolbet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.12%EV -5.23%E -2.80%K -6.01%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -9.30%E -2.21%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 18:24
betfred_uk1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%EV -7.25%E -3.96%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -9.30%E -2.21%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -2.97%E -0.848%K -1.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 18:14
Unibet (NL)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%EV -7.25%E -3.96%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -9.30%E -2.21%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -2.97%E -0.848%K -1.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 18:49
Unibet (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%EV -7.25%E -3.96%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -9.30%E -2.21%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -2.97%E -0.848%K -1.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 18:49
Grosvenor1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%EV -7.25%E -3.96%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -9.30%E -2.21%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -2.97%E -0.848%K -1.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 18:49
Unibet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%EV -7.25%E -3.96%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -9.30%E -2.21%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -2.97%E -0.848%K -1.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 18:49
Casumo1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%EV -7.25%E -3.96%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -9.30%E -2.21%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -2.97%E -0.848%K -1.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 18:50
betPARX1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%EV -7.25%E -3.96%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -9.30%E -2.21%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -2.97%E -0.848%K -1.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 18:49
TABtouch1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%EV -7.25%E -3.96%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -9.30%E -2.21%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -2.97%E -0.848%K -1.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 18:49
BetRivers1.82I 54.95%NM 51.19%EV -7.76%E -4.26%K -9.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -9.30%E -2.21%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -2.97%E -0.848%K -1.19%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-09 18:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.19%EV -7.76%E -4.26%K -9.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -9.30%E -2.21%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -2.97%E -0.848%K -1.19%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-09 18:49
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 50.03%EV -7.25%E -3.96%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -9.30%E -2.21%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -9.90%E -3.05%K -4.40%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-09 18:49
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 50.66%EV -8.77%E -4.87%K -10.97%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -9.30%E -2.21%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -8.51%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-09 18:49
Betr (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.71%EV -4.72%E -2.51%K -5.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -11.46%E -2.79%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 18:25
LiveScore Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 50.94%EV -9.28%E -5.19%K -11.75%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.24%EV -11.46%E -2.79%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-09 18:50
Virgin Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 50.94%EV -9.28%E -5.19%K -11.75%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.24%EV -11.46%E -2.79%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-09 18:49
PointsBet (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.57%EV -5.23%E -2.80%K -6.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -13.62%E -3.40%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-09 18:24
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -7.25%E -3.96%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -13.62%E -3.40%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -5.74%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-09 18:24
Bet Right1.84I 54.35%NM 49.77%EV -6.75%E -3.67%K -8.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -13.62%E -3.40%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -7.13%E -2.13%K -3.03%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-09 18:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 50.24%EV -12.32%E -7.12%K -16.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.73%EV -13.62%E -3.40%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.04%EV -14.06%E -4.53%K -6.69%G +0.000%15.1%2026-05-09 18:44
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook1.92I 52.08%NM 51.94%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.35%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.70%0.3%2026-05-09 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.91I 52.36%NM 52.07%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.30%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.63%0.5%2026-05-09 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 52.07%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.30%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.63%0.5%2026-05-09 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 51.87%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.22%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.91%0.9%2026-05-09 18:55
Smarkets1.90I 52.63%NM 51.79%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.50%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.72%1.6%2026-05-09 18:55