The School of Odds
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Barnsley v Milton Keynes Dons

2026-10-03 14:00 UTC — League 1

Head to Head

32 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Barnsley (Local)

Prediction 38.21%2.62fair odd
EV -4.85%
Edge -1.95%
Kelly -3.25%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.49

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.31%38.28%38.16%39.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.392.392.4943.48%41.87%41.84%40.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Milton Keynes Dons (Visit)

Prediction 36.60%2.73fair odd
EV +0.657%
Edge +0.239%
Kelly +0.375%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 2.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.13%36.45%36.63%37.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.592.552.7540.82%38.61%39.22%36.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.18%3.97fair odd
EV +0.734%
Edge +0.183%
Kelly +0.245%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.78%25.26%25.21%26.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.613.554.0029.41%27.69%28.17%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Barnsley (Local): 38.21%; Milton Keynes Dons (Visit): 36.60%; Draw: 25.18%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.97. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 4.00, producing a positive expected value of +0.734%.

Sportsbook Odds (32 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.43%EV -9.05%E -3.80%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.13%EV +0.657%E +0.239%K +0.375%G +0.002%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -10.60%E -2.99%K -4.16%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-26 14:10
Unibet (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.43%EV -9.05%E -3.80%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.13%EV +0.657%E +0.239%K +0.375%G +0.002%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -10.60%E -2.99%K -4.16%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-26 14:10
LiveScore Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.43%EV -9.05%E -3.80%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.13%EV +0.657%E +0.239%K +0.375%G +0.002%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -10.60%E -2.99%K -4.16%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-26 14:10
Unibet (NL)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.43%EV -9.05%E -3.80%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.13%EV +0.657%E +0.239%K +0.375%G +0.002%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -10.60%E -2.99%K -4.16%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-26 14:10
betPARX🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.43%EV -9.05%E -3.80%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.13%EV +0.657%E +0.239%K +0.375%G +0.002%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -10.60%E -2.99%K -4.16%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-26 14:10
ATG (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.43%EV -9.05%E -3.80%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.13%EV +0.657%E +0.239%K +0.375%G +0.002%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -10.60%E -2.99%K -4.16%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-26 14:10
Svenska Spel🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.43%EV -9.05%E -3.80%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.13%EV +0.657%E +0.239%K +0.375%G +0.002%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -10.60%E -2.99%K -4.16%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-26 14:10
Grosvenor🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.10%EV -11.34%E -4.89%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.23%EV -3.00%E -1.13%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -14.38%E -4.23%K -5.99%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-26 14:10
TABtouch🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.10%EV -11.34%E -4.89%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.23%EV -3.00%E -1.13%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -14.38%E -4.23%K -5.99%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-26 14:10
Virgin Bet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.10%EV -11.34%E -4.89%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.23%EV -3.00%E -1.13%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -14.38%E -4.23%K -5.99%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-26 14:10
BetRivers🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.20%EV -12.11%E -5.26%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.28%EV -3.74%E -1.42%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -14.38%E -4.23%K -5.99%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-26 14:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.20%EV -12.11%E -5.26%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.28%EV -3.74%E -1.42%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -14.38%E -4.23%K -5.99%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-26 14:10
betfred_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.63%EV -8.29%E -3.45%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.83%E -1.86%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.78%EV +0.734%E +0.183%K +0.245%G +0.002%5.1%2026-09-26 14:20
Pinnacle🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 38.01%EV -4.85%E -1.95%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 36.82%EV -5.93%E -2.31%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.17%EV -5.31%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-26 16:55
Betr (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.63%EV -6.38%E -2.60%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.11%EV -6.66%E -2.61%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.26%EV -1.78%E -0.458%K -0.615%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-26 14:20
Coolbet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.99%EV -8.29%E -3.45%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.70%EV -6.66%E -2.61%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%EV -3.04%E -0.791%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-26 14:20
SportsBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.87%EV -8.29%E -3.45%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.58%EV -6.66%E -2.61%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -4.30%E -1.13%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-26 14:20
LeoVegas🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -8.29%E -3.45%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.34%EV -6.66%E -2.61%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.05%EV -6.82%E -1.84%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-26 16:05
Unibet (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -8.29%E -3.45%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.34%EV -6.66%E -2.61%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.05%EV -6.82%E -1.84%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-26 14:20
1xBet🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 38.11%EV -6.76%E -2.77%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 36.76%EV -7.40%E -2.92%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -6.82%E -1.84%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-26 16:58
Marathon Bet🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 38.11%EV -6.76%E -2.77%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 36.76%EV -7.40%E -2.92%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -6.82%E -1.84%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-26 16:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.59%EV -8.29%E -3.45%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.04%EV -8.49%E -3.40%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -4.30%E -1.13%K -1.54%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-26 14:20
DraftKings🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.72%EV -6.38%E -2.60%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.96%EV -8.49%E -3.40%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.32%EV -8.08%E -2.21%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-26 19:10
Bet Right🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -10.20%E -4.34%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -8.49%E -3.40%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -5.56%E -1.48%K -2.02%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-26 14:20
888sport🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -6.38%E -2.60%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -8.49%E -3.40%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -11.86%E -3.39%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-26 15:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -6.38%E -2.60%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -8.49%E -3.40%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -11.86%E -3.39%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-26 15:20
888sport (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -6.38%E -2.60%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -8.49%E -3.40%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -11.86%E -3.39%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-26 15:20
William Hill🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -6.38%E -2.60%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -8.49%E -3.40%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -11.86%E -3.39%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-26 15:25
Fanatics🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -8.29%E -3.45%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -8.49%E -3.40%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -9.34%E -2.59%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-26 15:25
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.34%EV -12.11%E -5.26%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.20%EV -8.49%E -3.40%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -6.82%E -1.84%K -2.53%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-26 14:25
Codere (IT)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.21%EV -9.05%E -3.80%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 36.52%EV -8.86%E -3.56%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -9.34%E -2.59%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-26 14:20
Sky Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.52%EV -12.11%E -5.26%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.16%EV -10.32%E -4.21%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.31%EV -11.86%E -3.39%K -4.74%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-26 14:42
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-09-26 18:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-09-26 18:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.06I 94.34%NM 33.33%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.33%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.33%183.0%2026-09-26 18:45