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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Barnsley v Milton Keynes Dons

2026-10-03 14:00 UTC — League 1

胜负盘

32 家博彩公司 (10 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Barnsley (主队)

预测 38.21%2.62公平赔率
EV -4.85%
优势 -1.95%
Kelly -3.25%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.49

博彩公司预测分布
37.31%38.28%38.16%39.63%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.302.392.392.4943.48%41.87%41.84%40.16%最小值均值中位数最大值

Milton Keynes Dons (客队)

预测 36.60%2.73公平赔率
EV +0.657%
优势 +0.239%
Kelly +0.375%
增长率 +0.002%

假设最高赔率为 2.75

博彩公司预测分布
34.13%36.45%36.63%37.11%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.452.592.552.7540.82%38.61%39.22%36.36%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 25.18%3.97公平赔率
EV +0.734%
优势 +0.183%
Kelly +0.245%
增长率 +0.002%

假设最高赔率为 4.00

博彩公司预测分布
23.78%25.26%25.21%26.68%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.403.613.554.0029.41%27.69%28.17%25.00%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为：Barnsley (主队)：38.21%；Milton Keynes Dons (客队)：36.60%；平局：25.18%。 对于“平局”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.97。 有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率；当前最佳赔率为4.00，由此产生+0.734%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (32 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
Unibet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.43%EV -9.05%E -3.80%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.13%EV +0.657%E +0.239%K +0.375%G +0.002%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -10.60%E -2.99%K -4.16%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-26 14:10
Unibet (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.43%EV -9.05%E -3.80%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.13%EV +0.657%E +0.239%K +0.375%G +0.002%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -10.60%E -2.99%K -4.16%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-26 14:10
LiveScore Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.43%EV -9.05%E -3.80%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.13%EV +0.657%E +0.239%K +0.375%G +0.002%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -10.60%E -2.99%K -4.16%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-26 14:10
Unibet (NL)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.43%EV -9.05%E -3.80%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.13%EV +0.657%E +0.239%K +0.375%G +0.002%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -10.60%E -2.99%K -4.16%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-26 14:10
betPARX🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.43%EV -9.05%E -3.80%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.13%EV +0.657%E +0.239%K +0.375%G +0.002%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -10.60%E -2.99%K -4.16%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-26 14:10
ATG (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.43%EV -9.05%E -3.80%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.13%EV +0.657%E +0.239%K +0.375%G +0.002%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -10.60%E -2.99%K -4.16%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-26 14:10
Svenska Spel🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.43%EV -9.05%E -3.80%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.13%EV +0.657%E +0.239%K +0.375%G +0.002%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -10.60%E -2.99%K -4.16%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-26 14:10
Grosvenor🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.10%EV -11.34%E -4.89%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.23%EV -3.00%E -1.13%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -14.38%E -4.23%K -5.99%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-26 14:10
TABtouch🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.10%EV -11.34%E -4.89%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.23%EV -3.00%E -1.13%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -14.38%E -4.23%K -5.99%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-26 14:10
Virgin Bet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.10%EV -11.34%E -4.89%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.23%EV -3.00%E -1.13%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -14.38%E -4.23%K -5.99%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-26 14:10
BetRivers🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.20%EV -12.11%E -5.26%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.28%EV -3.74%E -1.42%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -14.38%E -4.23%K -5.99%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-26 14:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.20%EV -12.11%E -5.26%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.28%EV -3.74%E -1.42%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -14.38%E -4.23%K -5.99%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-26 14:10
betfred_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.63%EV -8.29%E -3.45%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.83%E -1.86%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.78%EV +0.734%E +0.183%K +0.245%G +0.002%5.1%2026-09-26 14:20
Pinnacle🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 38.01%EV -4.85%E -1.95%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 36.82%EV -5.93%E -2.31%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.17%EV -5.31%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-26 16:55
Betr (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.63%EV -6.38%E -2.60%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.11%EV -6.66%E -2.61%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.26%EV -1.78%E -0.458%K -0.615%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-26 14:20
Coolbet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.99%EV -8.29%E -3.45%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.70%EV -6.66%E -2.61%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%EV -3.04%E -0.791%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-26 14:20
SportsBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.87%EV -8.29%E -3.45%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.58%EV -6.66%E -2.61%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -4.30%E -1.13%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-26 14:20
LeoVegas🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -8.29%E -3.45%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.34%EV -6.66%E -2.61%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.05%EV -6.82%E -1.84%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-26 16:05
Unibet (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -8.29%E -3.45%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.34%EV -6.66%E -2.61%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.05%EV -6.82%E -1.84%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-26 14:20
1xBet🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 38.11%EV -6.76%E -2.77%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 36.76%EV -7.40%E -2.92%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -6.82%E -1.84%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-26 16:58
Marathon Bet🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 38.11%EV -6.76%E -2.77%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 36.76%EV -7.40%E -2.92%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -6.82%E -1.84%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-26 16:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.59%EV -8.29%E -3.45%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.04%EV -8.49%E -3.40%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -4.30%E -1.13%K -1.54%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-26 14:20
DraftKings🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.72%EV -6.38%E -2.60%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.96%EV -8.49%E -3.40%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.32%EV -8.08%E -2.21%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-26 19:10
Bet Right🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -10.20%E -4.34%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -8.49%E -3.40%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -5.56%E -1.48%K -2.02%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-26 14:20
888sport🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -6.38%E -2.60%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -8.49%E -3.40%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -11.86%E -3.39%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-26 15:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -6.38%E -2.60%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -8.49%E -3.40%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -11.86%E -3.39%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-26 15:20
888sport (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -6.38%E -2.60%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -8.49%E -3.40%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -11.86%E -3.39%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-26 15:20
William Hill🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -6.38%E -2.60%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -8.49%E -3.40%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -11.86%E -3.39%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-26 15:25
Fanatics🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -8.29%E -3.45%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -8.49%E -3.40%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -9.34%E -2.59%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-26 15:25
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.34%EV -12.11%E -5.26%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.20%EV -8.49%E -3.40%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -6.82%E -1.84%K -2.53%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-26 14:25
Codere (IT)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.21%EV -9.05%E -3.80%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 36.52%EV -8.86%E -3.56%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -9.34%E -2.59%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-26 14:20
Sky Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.52%EV -12.11%E -5.26%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.16%EV -10.32%E -4.21%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.31%EV -11.86%E -3.39%K -4.74%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-26 14:42
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-09-26 18:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-09-26 18:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.06I 94.34%NM 33.33%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.33%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.33%183.0%2026-09-26 18:45