StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Barnsley v Milton Keynes Dons

2026-10-03 14:00 UTC — League 1

Matchresultat

32 spelbolag (10 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Barnsley (Hemma)

Prognos 38.21%2.62rättvist odds
EV -4.85%
Fördel -1.95%
Kelly -3.25%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.49

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
37.31%38.28%38.16%39.63%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.302.392.392.4943.48%41.87%41.84%40.16%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Milton Keynes Dons (Borta)

Prognos 36.60%2.73rättvist odds
EV +0.657%
Fördel +0.239%
Kelly +0.375%
Tillväxt +0.002%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.75

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
34.13%36.45%36.63%37.11%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.452.592.552.7540.82%38.61%39.22%36.36%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 25.18%3.97rättvist odds
EV +0.734%
Fördel +0.183%
Kelly +0.245%
Tillväxt +0.002%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.00

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
23.78%25.26%25.21%26.68%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.403.613.554.0029.41%27.69%28.17%25.00%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

För Matchresultat uppskattar Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) följande sannolikheter: Barnsley (Hemma): 38.21%; Milton Keynes Dons (Borta): 36.60%; Oavgjort: 25.18%. För Oavgjort motsvarar uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.97. 1 spelbolag erbjuder odds över den nivån; bästa tillgängliga odds är 4.00, vilket ger ett positivt väntevärde på +0.734%.

Spelbolagsodds (32 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Unibet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.43%EV -9.05%E -3.80%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.13%EV +0.657%E +0.239%K +0.375%G +0.002%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -10.60%E -2.99%K -4.16%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-26 14:10
Unibet (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.43%EV -9.05%E -3.80%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.13%EV +0.657%E +0.239%K +0.375%G +0.002%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -10.60%E -2.99%K -4.16%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-26 14:10
LiveScore Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.43%EV -9.05%E -3.80%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.13%EV +0.657%E +0.239%K +0.375%G +0.002%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -10.60%E -2.99%K -4.16%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-26 14:10
Unibet (NL)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.43%EV -9.05%E -3.80%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.13%EV +0.657%E +0.239%K +0.375%G +0.002%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -10.60%E -2.99%K -4.16%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-26 14:10
betPARX🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.43%EV -9.05%E -3.80%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.13%EV +0.657%E +0.239%K +0.375%G +0.002%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -10.60%E -2.99%K -4.16%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-26 14:10
ATG (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.43%EV -9.05%E -3.80%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.13%EV +0.657%E +0.239%K +0.375%G +0.002%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -10.60%E -2.99%K -4.16%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-26 14:10
Svenska Spel🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.43%EV -9.05%E -3.80%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.13%EV +0.657%E +0.239%K +0.375%G +0.002%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -10.60%E -2.99%K -4.16%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-26 14:10
Grosvenor🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.10%EV -11.34%E -4.89%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.23%EV -3.00%E -1.13%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -14.38%E -4.23%K -5.99%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-26 14:10
TABtouch🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.10%EV -11.34%E -4.89%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.23%EV -3.00%E -1.13%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -14.38%E -4.23%K -5.99%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-26 14:10
Virgin Bet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.10%EV -11.34%E -4.89%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.23%EV -3.00%E -1.13%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -14.38%E -4.23%K -5.99%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-26 14:10
BetRivers🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.20%EV -12.11%E -5.26%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.28%EV -3.74%E -1.42%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -14.38%E -4.23%K -5.99%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-26 14:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.20%EV -12.11%E -5.26%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.28%EV -3.74%E -1.42%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -14.38%E -4.23%K -5.99%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-26 14:10
betfred_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.63%EV -8.29%E -3.45%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.83%E -1.86%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.78%EV +0.734%E +0.183%K +0.245%G +0.002%5.1%2026-09-26 14:20
Pinnacle🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 38.01%EV -4.85%E -1.95%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 36.82%EV -5.93%E -2.31%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.17%EV -5.31%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-26 16:55
Betr (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.63%EV -6.38%E -2.60%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.11%EV -6.66%E -2.61%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.26%EV -1.78%E -0.458%K -0.615%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-26 14:20
Coolbet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.99%EV -8.29%E -3.45%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.70%EV -6.66%E -2.61%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%EV -3.04%E -0.791%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-26 14:20
SportsBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.87%EV -8.29%E -3.45%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.58%EV -6.66%E -2.61%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -4.30%E -1.13%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-26 14:20
LeoVegas🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -8.29%E -3.45%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.34%EV -6.66%E -2.61%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.05%EV -6.82%E -1.84%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-26 16:05
Unibet (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -8.29%E -3.45%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.34%EV -6.66%E -2.61%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.05%EV -6.82%E -1.84%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-26 14:20
1xBet🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 38.11%EV -6.76%E -2.77%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 36.76%EV -7.40%E -2.92%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -6.82%E -1.84%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-26 16:58
Marathon Bet🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 38.11%EV -6.76%E -2.77%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 36.76%EV -7.40%E -2.92%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -6.82%E -1.84%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-26 16:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.59%EV -8.29%E -3.45%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.04%EV -8.49%E -3.40%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -4.30%E -1.13%K -1.54%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-26 14:20
DraftKings🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.72%EV -6.38%E -2.60%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.96%EV -8.49%E -3.40%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.32%EV -8.08%E -2.21%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-26 19:10
Bet Right🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -10.20%E -4.34%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -8.49%E -3.40%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -5.56%E -1.48%K -2.02%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-26 14:20
888sport🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -6.38%E -2.60%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -8.49%E -3.40%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -11.86%E -3.39%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-26 15:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -6.38%E -2.60%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -8.49%E -3.40%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -11.86%E -3.39%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-26 15:20
888sport (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -6.38%E -2.60%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -8.49%E -3.40%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -11.86%E -3.39%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-26 15:20
William Hill🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -6.38%E -2.60%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -8.49%E -3.40%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -11.86%E -3.39%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-26 15:25
Fanatics🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -8.29%E -3.45%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -8.49%E -3.40%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -9.34%E -2.59%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-26 15:25
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.34%EV -12.11%E -5.26%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.20%EV -8.49%E -3.40%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -6.82%E -1.84%K -2.53%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-26 14:25
Codere (IT)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.21%EV -9.05%E -3.80%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 36.52%EV -8.86%E -3.56%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -9.34%E -2.59%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-26 14:20
Sky Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.52%EV -12.11%E -5.26%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.16%EV -10.32%E -4.21%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.31%EV -11.86%E -3.39%K -4.74%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-26 14:42
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (3)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-09-26 18:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-09-26 18:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.06I 94.34%NM 33.33%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.33%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.33%183.0%2026-09-26 18:45