Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Barnsley v Milton Keynes Dons

2026-10-03 14:00 UTC — League 1

Résultat du match

32 opérateurs (10 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Barnsley (Local)

Prévision 38.21%2.62cote équitable
EV -4.85%
Avantage -1.95%
Kelly -3.25%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.49

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.31%38.28%38.16%39.63%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.302.392.392.4943.48%41.87%41.84%40.16%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Milton Keynes Dons (Visiteur)

Prévision 36.60%2.73cote équitable
EV +0.657%
Avantage +0.239%
Kelly +0.375%
Croissance +0.002%

avec la cote maximale 2.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.13%36.45%36.63%37.11%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.452.592.552.7540.82%38.61%39.22%36.36%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 25.18%3.97cote équitable
EV +0.734%
Avantage +0.183%
Kelly +0.245%
Croissance +0.002%

avec la cote maximale 4.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.78%25.26%25.21%26.68%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.403.613.554.0029.41%27.69%28.17%25.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Barnsley (Local) : 38.21% ; Milton Keynes Dons (Visiteur) : 36.60% ; Match nul : 25.18%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 3.97. 1 opérateur propose une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 4.00, pour une espérance positive de +0.734%.

Cotes des opérateurs (32 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.43%EV -9.05%E -3.80%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.13%EV +0.657%E +0.239%K +0.375%G +0.002%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -10.60%E -2.99%K -4.16%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-26 14:10
Unibet (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.43%EV -9.05%E -3.80%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.13%EV +0.657%E +0.239%K +0.375%G +0.002%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -10.60%E -2.99%K -4.16%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-26 14:10
LiveScore Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.43%EV -9.05%E -3.80%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.13%EV +0.657%E +0.239%K +0.375%G +0.002%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -10.60%E -2.99%K -4.16%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-26 14:10
Unibet (NL)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.43%EV -9.05%E -3.80%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.13%EV +0.657%E +0.239%K +0.375%G +0.002%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -10.60%E -2.99%K -4.16%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-26 14:10
betPARX🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.43%EV -9.05%E -3.80%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.13%EV +0.657%E +0.239%K +0.375%G +0.002%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -10.60%E -2.99%K -4.16%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-26 14:10
ATG (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.43%EV -9.05%E -3.80%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.13%EV +0.657%E +0.239%K +0.375%G +0.002%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -10.60%E -2.99%K -4.16%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-26 14:10
Svenska Spel🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.43%EV -9.05%E -3.80%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.13%EV +0.657%E +0.239%K +0.375%G +0.002%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -10.60%E -2.99%K -4.16%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-26 14:10
Grosvenor🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.10%EV -11.34%E -4.89%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.23%EV -3.00%E -1.13%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -14.38%E -4.23%K -5.99%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-26 14:10
TABtouch🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.10%EV -11.34%E -4.89%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.23%EV -3.00%E -1.13%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -14.38%E -4.23%K -5.99%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-26 14:10
Virgin Bet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.10%EV -11.34%E -4.89%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.23%EV -3.00%E -1.13%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -14.38%E -4.23%K -5.99%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-26 14:10
BetRivers🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.20%EV -12.11%E -5.26%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.28%EV -3.74%E -1.42%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -14.38%E -4.23%K -5.99%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-26 14:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.20%EV -12.11%E -5.26%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.28%EV -3.74%E -1.42%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -14.38%E -4.23%K -5.99%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-26 14:10
betfred_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.63%EV -8.29%E -3.45%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.83%E -1.86%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.78%EV +0.734%E +0.183%K +0.245%G +0.002%5.1%2026-09-26 14:20
Pinnacle🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 38.01%EV -4.85%E -1.95%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 36.82%EV -5.93%E -2.31%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.17%EV -5.31%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-26 16:55
Betr (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.63%EV -6.38%E -2.60%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.11%EV -6.66%E -2.61%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.26%EV -1.78%E -0.458%K -0.615%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-26 14:20
Coolbet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.99%EV -8.29%E -3.45%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.70%EV -6.66%E -2.61%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%EV -3.04%E -0.791%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-26 14:20
SportsBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.87%EV -8.29%E -3.45%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.58%EV -6.66%E -2.61%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -4.30%E -1.13%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-26 14:20
LeoVegas🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -8.29%E -3.45%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.34%EV -6.66%E -2.61%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.05%EV -6.82%E -1.84%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-26 16:05
Unibet (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -8.29%E -3.45%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.34%EV -6.66%E -2.61%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.05%EV -6.82%E -1.84%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-26 14:20
1xBet🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 38.11%EV -6.76%E -2.77%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 36.76%EV -7.40%E -2.92%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -6.82%E -1.84%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-26 16:58
Marathon Bet🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 38.11%EV -6.76%E -2.77%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 36.76%EV -7.40%E -2.92%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -6.82%E -1.84%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-26 16:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.59%EV -8.29%E -3.45%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.04%EV -8.49%E -3.40%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -4.30%E -1.13%K -1.54%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-26 14:20
DraftKings🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.72%EV -6.38%E -2.60%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.96%EV -8.49%E -3.40%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.32%EV -8.08%E -2.21%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-26 19:10
Bet Right🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -10.20%E -4.34%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -8.49%E -3.40%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -5.56%E -1.48%K -2.02%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-26 14:20
888sport🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -6.38%E -2.60%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -8.49%E -3.40%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -11.86%E -3.39%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-26 15:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -6.38%E -2.60%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -8.49%E -3.40%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -11.86%E -3.39%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-26 15:20
888sport (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -6.38%E -2.60%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -8.49%E -3.40%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -11.86%E -3.39%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-26 15:20
William Hill🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -6.38%E -2.60%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -8.49%E -3.40%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -11.86%E -3.39%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-26 15:25
Fanatics🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -8.29%E -3.45%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -8.49%E -3.40%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -9.34%E -2.59%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-26 15:25
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.34%EV -12.11%E -5.26%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.20%EV -8.49%E -3.40%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -6.82%E -1.84%K -2.53%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-26 14:25
Codere (IT)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.21%EV -9.05%E -3.80%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 36.52%EV -8.86%E -3.56%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -9.34%E -2.59%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-26 14:20
Sky Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.52%EV -12.11%E -5.26%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.16%EV -10.32%E -4.21%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.31%EV -11.86%E -3.39%K -4.74%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-26 14:42
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-09-26 18:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-09-26 18:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.06I 94.34%NM 33.33%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.33%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.33%183.0%2026-09-26 18:45