Language:English
Barnsley v Cardiff City
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Barnsley (Local)
Prediction 23.69%4.22fair odd
EV -0.507%
Edge -0.121%
Kelly -0.158%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.33%23.68%23.64%24.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.883.854.2027.78%25.75%25.97%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Cardiff City (Visit)
Prediction 53.10%1.88fair odd
EV -4.43%
Edge -2.46%
Kelly -5.54%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.15%53.20%53.14%54.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.751.751.8059.88%57.07%57.14%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 23.22%4.31fair odd
EV +0.292%
Edge +0.068%
Kelly +0.088%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.32
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.18%23.12%23.23%25.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.984.004.3229.41%25.14%25.00%23.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Barnsley (Local): 23.69%; Cardiff City (Visit): 53.10%; Draw: 23.22%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.31. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.32, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.292%.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.37%EV -2.88%E -0.701%K -0.928%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.45%EV -6.55%E -3.72%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 4.32I 23.15%NM 22.18%EV +0.292%E +0.068%K +0.088%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-10 19:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.88%EV -5.24%E -1.31%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -5.49%E -3.08%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.47%EV -1.33%E -0.314%K -0.410%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-10 19:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.88%EV -5.24%E -1.31%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -5.49%E -3.08%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.47%EV -1.33%E -0.314%K -0.410%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-10 19:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -5.24%E -1.31%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.07%EV -7.61%E -4.38%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -2.49%E -0.594%K -0.779%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-10 19:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -9.98%E -2.63%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -7.08%E -4.05%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -2.49%E -0.594%K -0.779%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-10 19:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.09I 24.45%NM 22.91%EV -3.11%E -0.761%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.17%EV -8.14%E -4.71%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 4.09I 24.45%NM 22.91%EV -5.05%E -1.23%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-10 19:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -6.43%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.08%E -4.05%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.04%EV -5.98%E -1.48%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-10 19:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -5.24%E -1.31%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.49%E -3.08%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -7.14%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-10 19:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -7.61%E -1.95%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%EV -4.43%E -2.46%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -7.14%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-10 18:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -7.61%E -1.95%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%EV -4.43%E -2.46%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -7.14%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-10 18:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -8.80%E -2.29%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.15%EV -4.43%E -2.46%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -7.14%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-10 19:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -8.80%E -2.29%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.15%EV -4.43%E -2.46%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -7.14%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-10 19:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -8.80%E -2.29%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.15%EV -4.43%E -2.46%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -7.14%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-10 19:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -0.507%E -0.121%K -0.158%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.22%EV -8.14%E -4.71%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -7.14%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-10 19:24 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -5.24%E -1.31%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.08%E -4.05%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -7.14%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-10 19:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -5.24%E -1.31%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.08%E -4.05%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -7.14%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-10 19:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -5.24%E -1.31%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.08%E -4.05%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -7.14%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-10 19:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -5.24%E -1.31%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.08%E -4.05%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -7.14%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-10 19:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -9.98%E -2.63%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.40%EV -6.02%E -3.40%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -7.14%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-10 19:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.72%EV -7.61%E -1.95%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.16%EV -7.61%E -4.38%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -7.14%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-10 19:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -5.24%E -1.31%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -8.68%E -5.04%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -7.14%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-10 19:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -7.61%E -1.95%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.45%EV -8.68%E -5.04%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -7.14%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-10 19:33 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -7.61%E -1.95%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.45%EV -8.68%E -5.04%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -7.14%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-10 19:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -7.61%E -1.95%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.45%EV -8.68%E -5.04%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -7.14%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-10 19:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -9.98%E -2.63%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.97%EV -8.14%E -4.71%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -7.14%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-10 19:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.13%EV -11.17%E -2.98%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.24%EV -9.74%E -5.73%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -7.14%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-10 19:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -14.72%E -4.09%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.71%EV -9.74%E -5.73%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -7.14%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-03-10 19:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.40%EV -1.69%E -0.408%K -0.537%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.06%EV -8.68%E -5.04%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -8.30%E -2.10%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-10 19:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.40%EV -1.69%E -0.408%K -0.537%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.06%EV -8.68%E -5.04%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -8.30%E -2.10%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-10 19:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -9.98%E -2.63%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.11%EV -5.49%E -3.08%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.48%EV -8.30%E -2.10%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-10 19:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -9.98%E -2.63%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.11%EV -5.49%E -3.08%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.48%EV -8.30%E -2.10%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-10 19:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -9.98%E -2.63%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.11%EV -5.49%E -3.08%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.48%EV -8.30%E -2.10%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-10 19:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -9.98%E -2.63%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.11%EV -5.49%E -3.08%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.48%EV -8.30%E -2.10%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-10 19:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -9.98%E -2.63%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.11%EV -5.49%E -3.08%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.48%EV -8.30%E -2.10%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-10 19:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -9.98%E -2.63%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.11%EV -5.49%E -3.08%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.48%EV -8.30%E -2.10%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-10 19:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -9.98%E -2.63%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.11%EV -5.49%E -3.08%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.48%EV -8.30%E -2.10%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-10 19:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.34%EV -9.98%E -2.63%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.25%EV -6.02%E -3.40%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.41%EV -8.30%E -2.10%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-10 19:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.34%EV -9.98%E -2.63%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.25%EV -6.02%E -3.40%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.41%EV -8.30%E -2.10%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-10 19:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -7.61%E -1.95%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -6.02%E -3.40%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -9.46%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-10 18:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.34%EV -9.98%E -2.63%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.95%EV -5.49%E -3.08%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.71%EV -9.46%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-10 18:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.34%EV -9.98%E -2.63%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.95%EV -5.49%E -3.08%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.71%EV -9.46%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-10 18:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -7.61%E -1.95%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -8.14%E -4.71%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -9.46%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-10 19:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -9.98%E -2.63%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.38%EV -7.08%E -4.05%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -9.46%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-10 19:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -9.98%E -2.63%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.38%EV -7.08%E -4.05%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -9.46%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-10 19:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -9.98%E -2.63%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.38%EV -7.08%E -4.05%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -9.46%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-10 19:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -9.98%E -2.63%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.38%EV -7.08%E -4.05%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -9.46%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-10 19:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -5.24%E -1.31%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -9.74%E -5.73%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -9.46%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-10 19:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -7.61%E -1.95%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.28%EV -9.21%E -5.38%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -9.46%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-10 19:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -11.17%E -2.98%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.35%EV -7.61%E -4.38%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -9.46%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-10 19:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -11.17%E -2.98%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.35%EV -7.61%E -4.38%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -9.46%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-10 19:05 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -9.98%E -2.63%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.50%EV -8.14%E -4.71%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.59%EV -10.62%E -2.76%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-10 19:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.73%EV -14.72%E -4.09%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 51.15%EV -11.33%E -6.78%K -16.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.12%EV -21.07%E -6.20%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 17.1% | 2026-03-10 19:09 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.02% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99% | 1.2% | 2026-03-10 19:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.02% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99% | 1.2% | 2026-03-10 19:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.02% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99% | 1.2% | 2026-03-10 19:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.02% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99% | 1.2% | 2026-03-10 19:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.37% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.82% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.81% | 4.4% | 2026-03-10 19:40 |