L’École des cotesFrançais
Barnsley v Cardiff City
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Barnsley (Local)
Prévision 23.69%4.22cote équitable
EV -0.507%
Avantage -0.121%
Kelly -0.158%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.20
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.33%23.68%23.64%24.89%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.603.883.854.2027.78%25.75%25.97%23.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cardiff City (Visiteur)
Prévision 53.10%1.88cote équitable
EV -4.43%
Avantage -2.46%
Kelly -5.54%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.80
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
51.15%53.20%53.14%54.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.671.751.751.8059.88%57.07%57.14%55.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 23.22%4.31cote équitable
EV +0.292%
Avantage +0.068%
Kelly +0.088%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.32
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.18%23.12%23.23%25.12%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.403.984.004.3229.41%25.14%25.00%23.15%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.37%EV -2.88%E -0.701%K -0.928%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.45%EV -6.55%E -3.72%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 4.32I 23.15%NM 22.18%EV +0.292%E +0.068%K +0.088%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-10 19:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.88%EV -5.24%E -1.31%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -5.49%E -3.08%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.47%EV -1.33%E -0.314%K -0.410%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-10 19:10 |
| BetOnline.ag | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.88%EV -5.24%E -1.31%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -5.49%E -3.08%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.47%EV -1.33%E -0.314%K -0.410%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-10 19:10 |
| DraftKings | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -5.24%E -1.31%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.07%EV -7.61%E -4.38%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -2.49%E -0.594%K -0.779%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-10 19:25 |
| Sky Bet | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -9.98%E -2.63%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -7.08%E -4.05%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -2.49%E -0.594%K -0.779%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-10 19:10 |
| 1xBet | 4.09I 24.45%NM 22.91%EV -3.11%E -0.761%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.17%EV -8.14%E -4.71%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 4.09I 24.45%NM 22.91%EV -5.05%E -1.23%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-10 19:35 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -6.43%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.08%E -4.05%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.04%EV -5.98%E -1.48%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-10 19:20 |
| Unibet (UK) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -5.24%E -1.31%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.49%E -3.08%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -7.14%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-10 19:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -7.61%E -1.95%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%EV -4.43%E -2.46%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -7.14%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-10 18:55 |
| Coral | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -7.61%E -1.95%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%EV -4.43%E -2.46%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -7.14%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-10 18:55 |
| LeoVegas | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -8.80%E -2.29%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.15%EV -4.43%E -2.46%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -7.14%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-10 19:05 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -8.80%E -2.29%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.15%EV -4.43%E -2.46%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -7.14%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-10 19:05 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -8.80%E -2.29%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.15%EV -4.43%E -2.46%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -7.14%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-10 19:05 |
| Bet Victor | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -0.507%E -0.121%K -0.158%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.22%EV -8.14%E -4.71%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -7.14%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-10 19:24 |
| Betr (AU) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -5.24%E -1.31%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.08%E -4.05%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -7.14%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-10 19:30 |
| Coolbet | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -5.24%E -1.31%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.08%E -4.05%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -7.14%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-10 19:30 |
| SportsBet | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -5.24%E -1.31%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.08%E -4.05%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -7.14%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-10 19:05 |
| Paddy Power | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -5.24%E -1.31%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.08%E -4.05%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -7.14%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-10 19:05 |
| Fanatics | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -9.98%E -2.63%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.40%EV -6.02%E -3.40%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -7.14%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-10 19:25 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.72%EV -7.61%E -1.95%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.16%EV -7.61%E -4.38%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -7.14%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-10 19:30 |
| PlayUp | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -5.24%E -1.31%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -8.68%E -5.04%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -7.14%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-10 19:10 |
| Bovada | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -7.61%E -1.95%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.45%EV -8.68%E -5.04%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -7.14%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-10 19:33 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -7.61%E -1.95%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.45%EV -8.68%E -5.04%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -7.14%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-10 19:15 |
| BetUS | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -7.61%E -1.95%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.45%EV -8.68%E -5.04%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -7.14%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-10 19:35 |
| Betway | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -9.98%E -2.63%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.97%EV -8.14%E -4.71%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -7.14%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-10 19:10 |
| Everygame | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.13%EV -11.17%E -2.98%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.24%EV -9.74%E -5.73%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -7.14%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-10 19:09 |
| BoyleSports | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -14.72%E -4.09%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.71%EV -9.74%E -5.73%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -7.14%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-03-10 19:05 |
| NordicBet | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.40%EV -1.69%E -0.408%K -0.537%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.06%EV -8.68%E -5.04%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -8.30%E -2.10%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-10 19:10 |
| Betsson | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.40%EV -1.69%E -0.408%K -0.537%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.06%EV -8.68%E -5.04%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -8.30%E -2.10%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-10 19:09 |
| Unibet | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -9.98%E -2.63%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.11%EV -5.49%E -3.08%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.48%EV -8.30%E -2.10%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-10 19:05 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -9.98%E -2.63%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.11%EV -5.49%E -3.08%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.48%EV -8.30%E -2.10%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-10 19:05 |
| Grosvenor | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -9.98%E -2.63%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.11%EV -5.49%E -3.08%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.48%EV -8.30%E -2.10%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-10 19:05 |
| Casumo | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -9.98%E -2.63%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.11%EV -5.49%E -3.08%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.48%EV -8.30%E -2.10%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-10 19:05 |
| TABtouch | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -9.98%E -2.63%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.11%EV -5.49%E -3.08%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.48%EV -8.30%E -2.10%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-10 19:05 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -9.98%E -2.63%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.11%EV -5.49%E -3.08%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.48%EV -8.30%E -2.10%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-10 19:05 |
| betPARX | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -9.98%E -2.63%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.11%EV -5.49%E -3.08%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.48%EV -8.30%E -2.10%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-10 19:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.34%EV -9.98%E -2.63%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.25%EV -6.02%E -3.40%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.41%EV -8.30%E -2.10%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-10 19:05 |
| BetRivers | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.34%EV -9.98%E -2.63%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.25%EV -6.02%E -3.40%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.41%EV -8.30%E -2.10%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-10 19:05 |
| BetMGM | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -7.61%E -1.95%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -6.02%E -3.40%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -9.46%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-10 18:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.34%EV -9.98%E -2.63%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.95%EV -5.49%E -3.08%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.71%EV -9.46%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-10 18:55 |
| Neds | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.34%EV -9.98%E -2.63%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.95%EV -5.49%E -3.08%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.71%EV -9.46%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-10 18:55 |
| Bet Right | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -7.61%E -1.95%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -8.14%E -4.71%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -9.46%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-10 19:30 |
| 888sport | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -9.98%E -2.63%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.38%EV -7.08%E -4.05%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -9.46%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-10 19:20 |
| William Hill | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -9.98%E -2.63%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.38%EV -7.08%E -4.05%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -9.46%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-10 19:20 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -9.98%E -2.63%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.38%EV -7.08%E -4.05%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -9.46%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-10 19:20 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -9.98%E -2.63%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.38%EV -7.08%E -4.05%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -9.46%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-10 19:20 |
| TAB | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -5.24%E -1.31%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -9.74%E -5.73%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -9.46%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-10 19:25 |
| theScore Bet | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -7.61%E -1.95%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.28%EV -9.21%E -5.38%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -9.46%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-10 19:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -11.17%E -2.98%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.35%EV -7.61%E -4.38%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -9.46%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-10 19:05 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -11.17%E -2.98%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.35%EV -7.61%E -4.38%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -9.46%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-10 19:05 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -9.98%E -2.63%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.50%EV -8.14%E -4.71%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.59%EV -10.62%E -2.76%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-10 19:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.73%EV -14.72%E -4.09%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 51.15%EV -11.33%E -6.78%K -16.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.12%EV -21.07%E -6.20%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 17.1% | 2026-03-10 19:09 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.02% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99% | 1.2% | 2026-03-10 19:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.02% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99% | 1.2% | 2026-03-10 19:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.02% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99% | 1.2% | 2026-03-10 19:10 |
| Matchbook | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.02% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99% | 1.2% | 2026-03-10 19:25 |
| Smarkets | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.37% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.82% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.81% | 4.4% | 2026-03-10 19:40 |