La escuela de los momios

Barnsley v Cardiff City

Inicio: 2026-03-10 19:45 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

52 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Barnsley (Local)

Predicción 23.69%4.22momio equitativo
EV -0.507%
Ventaja -0.121%
Kelly -0.158%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.33%23.68%23.64%24.89%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.603.883.854.2027.78%25.75%25.97%23.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Cardiff City (Visitante)

Predicción 53.10%1.88momio equitativo
EV -4.43%
Ventaja -2.46%
Kelly -5.54%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.15%53.20%53.14%54.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.671.751.751.8059.88%57.07%57.14%55.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 23.22%4.31momio equitativo
EV +0.292%
Ventaja +0.068%
Kelly +0.088%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.32

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.18%23.12%23.23%25.12%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.403.984.004.3229.41%25.14%25.00%23.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargenActualizado
Pinnacle4.10I 24.39%NM 23.37%EV -2.88%E -0.701%K -0.928%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.45%EV -6.55%E -3.72%K -8.62%G +0.000%4.32I 23.15%NM 22.18%EV +0.292%E +0.068%K +0.088%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-10 19:30
LowVig.ag4.00I 25.00%NM 23.88%EV -5.24%E -1.31%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -5.49%E -3.08%K -7.04%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.47%EV -1.33%E -0.314%K -0.410%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-10 19:10
BetOnline.ag4.00I 25.00%NM 23.88%EV -5.24%E -1.31%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -5.49%E -3.08%K -7.04%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.47%EV -1.33%E -0.314%K -0.410%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-10 19:10
DraftKings4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -5.24%E -1.31%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.07%EV -7.61%E -4.38%K -10.29%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -2.49%E -0.594%K -0.779%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-10 19:25
Sky Bet3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -9.98%E -2.63%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -7.08%E -4.05%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -2.49%E -0.594%K -0.779%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-10 19:10
1xBet4.09I 24.45%NM 22.91%EV -3.11%E -0.761%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.17%EV -8.14%E -4.71%K -11.16%G +0.000%4.09I 24.45%NM 22.91%EV -5.05%E -1.23%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-10 19:35
Marathon Bet3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -6.43%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.08%E -4.05%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.04%EV -5.98%E -1.48%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-10 19:20
Unibet (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -5.24%E -1.31%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.49%E -3.08%K -7.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -7.14%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-10 19:30
Ladbrokes (UK)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -7.61%E -1.95%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%EV -4.43%E -2.46%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -7.14%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-10 18:55
Coral3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -7.61%E -1.95%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%EV -4.43%E -2.46%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -7.14%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-10 18:55
LeoVegas3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -8.80%E -2.29%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.15%EV -4.43%E -2.46%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -7.14%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-10 19:05
ATG (SE)3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -8.80%E -2.29%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.15%EV -4.43%E -2.46%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -7.14%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-10 19:05
Svenska Spel3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -8.80%E -2.29%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.15%EV -4.43%E -2.46%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -7.14%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-10 19:05
Bet Victor4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -0.507%E -0.121%K -0.158%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.22%EV -8.14%E -4.71%K -11.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -7.14%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-10 19:24
Betr (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -5.24%E -1.31%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.08%E -4.05%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -7.14%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-10 19:30
Coolbet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -5.24%E -1.31%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.08%E -4.05%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -7.14%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-10 19:30
SportsBet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -5.24%E -1.31%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.08%E -4.05%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -7.14%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-10 19:05
Paddy Power4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -5.24%E -1.31%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.08%E -4.05%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -7.14%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-10 19:05
Fanatics3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -9.98%E -2.63%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.40%EV -6.02%E -3.40%K -7.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -7.14%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-10 19:25
PointsBet (AU)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.72%EV -7.61%E -1.95%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.16%EV -7.61%E -4.38%K -10.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -7.14%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-10 19:30
PlayUp4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -5.24%E -1.31%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -8.68%E -5.04%K -12.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -7.14%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-10 19:10
Bovada3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -7.61%E -1.95%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.45%EV -8.68%E -5.04%K -12.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -7.14%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-10 19:33
Tipico (DE)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -7.61%E -1.95%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.45%EV -8.68%E -5.04%K -12.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -7.14%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-10 19:15
BetUS3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -7.61%E -1.95%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.45%EV -8.68%E -5.04%K -12.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -7.14%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-10 19:35
Betway3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -9.98%E -2.63%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.97%EV -8.14%E -4.71%K -11.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -7.14%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-10 19:10
Everygame3.75I 26.67%NM 24.13%EV -11.17%E -2.98%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.24%EV -9.74%E -5.73%K -13.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -7.14%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-10 19:09
BoyleSports3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -14.72%E -4.09%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.71%EV -9.74%E -5.73%K -13.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -7.14%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-10 19:05
NordicBet4.15I 24.10%NM 22.40%EV -1.69%E -0.408%K -0.537%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.06%EV -8.68%E -5.04%K -12.05%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -8.30%E -2.10%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-10 19:10
Betsson4.15I 24.10%NM 22.40%EV -1.69%E -0.408%K -0.537%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.06%EV -8.68%E -5.04%K -12.05%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -8.30%E -2.10%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-10 19:09
Unibet3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -9.98%E -2.63%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.11%EV -5.49%E -3.08%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.48%EV -8.30%E -2.10%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-10 19:05
Unibet (SE)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -9.98%E -2.63%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.11%EV -5.49%E -3.08%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.48%EV -8.30%E -2.10%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-10 19:05
Grosvenor3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -9.98%E -2.63%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.11%EV -5.49%E -3.08%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.48%EV -8.30%E -2.10%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-10 19:05
Casumo3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -9.98%E -2.63%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.11%EV -5.49%E -3.08%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.48%EV -8.30%E -2.10%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-10 19:05
TABtouch3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -9.98%E -2.63%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.11%EV -5.49%E -3.08%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.48%EV -8.30%E -2.10%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-10 19:05
Unibet (NL)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -9.98%E -2.63%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.11%EV -5.49%E -3.08%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.48%EV -8.30%E -2.10%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-10 19:05
betPARX3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -9.98%E -2.63%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.11%EV -5.49%E -3.08%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.48%EV -8.30%E -2.10%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-10 19:05
LeoVegas (SE)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.34%EV -9.98%E -2.63%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.25%EV -6.02%E -3.40%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.41%EV -8.30%E -2.10%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-10 19:05
BetRivers3.80I 26.32%NM 24.34%EV -9.98%E -2.63%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.25%EV -6.02%E -3.40%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.41%EV -8.30%E -2.10%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-10 19:05
BetMGM3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -7.61%E -1.95%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -6.02%E -3.40%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -9.46%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-10 18:54
Ladbrokes (AU)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.34%EV -9.98%E -2.63%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.95%EV -5.49%E -3.08%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.71%EV -9.46%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-10 18:55
Neds3.80I 26.32%NM 24.34%EV -9.98%E -2.63%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.95%EV -5.49%E -3.08%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.71%EV -9.46%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-10 18:55
Bet Right3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -7.61%E -1.95%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -8.14%E -4.71%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -9.46%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-10 19:30
888sport3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -9.98%E -2.63%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.38%EV -7.08%E -4.05%K -9.44%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -9.46%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-10 19:20
William Hill3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -9.98%E -2.63%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.38%EV -7.08%E -4.05%K -9.44%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -9.46%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-10 19:20
888sport (SE)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -9.98%E -2.63%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.38%EV -7.08%E -4.05%K -9.44%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -9.46%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-10 19:20
Mr Green (SE)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -9.98%E -2.63%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.38%EV -7.08%E -4.05%K -9.44%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -9.46%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-10 19:20
TAB4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -5.24%E -1.31%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -9.74%E -5.73%K -13.91%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -9.46%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-10 19:25
theScore Bet3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -7.61%E -1.95%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.28%EV -9.21%E -5.38%K -12.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -9.46%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-10 19:30
LiveScore Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -11.17%E -2.98%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.35%EV -7.61%E -4.38%K -10.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -9.46%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-10 19:05
Virgin Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -11.17%E -2.98%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.35%EV -7.61%E -4.38%K -10.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -9.46%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-10 19:05
Codere (IT)3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -9.98%E -2.63%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.50%EV -8.14%E -4.71%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.59%EV -10.62%E -2.76%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-10 19:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 23.73%EV -14.72%E -4.09%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 51.15%EV -11.33%E -6.78%K -16.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.12%EV -21.07%E -6.20%K -8.78%G +0.000%17.1%2026-03-10 19:09
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.02%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99%1.2%2026-03-10 19:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.02%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99%1.2%2026-03-10 19:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.02%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99%1.2%2026-03-10 19:10
Matchbook4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.02%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99%1.2%2026-03-10 19:25
Smarkets4.10I 24.39%NM 23.37%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.82%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.81%4.4%2026-03-10 19:40