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Barnsley v Cardiff City
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Barnsley (Хозяева)
Прогноз 23.69%4.22справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.507%
Преимущество -0.121%
Kelly -0.158%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 4.20
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
22.33%23.68%23.64%24.89%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.603.883.854.2027.78%25.75%25.97%23.81%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Cardiff City (Гости)
Прогноз 53.10%1.88справедливый коэффициент
EV -4.43%
Преимущество -2.46%
Kelly -5.54%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.80
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
51.15%53.20%53.14%54.45%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.671.751.751.8059.88%57.07%57.14%55.56%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ничья
Прогноз 23.22%4.31справедливый коэффициент
EV +0.292%
Преимущество +0.068%
Kelly +0.088%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 4.32
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
22.18%23.12%23.23%25.12%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.403.984.004.3229.41%25.14%25.00%23.15%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Barnsley (Хозяева): 23.69%; Cardiff City (Гости): 53.10%; Ничья: 23.22%. Для исхода «Ничья» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 4.31. 1 букмекер предлагал итоговый коэффициент выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 4.32, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +0.292%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (52 букмекерские конторы)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья ▼ | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.37%EV -2.88%E -0.701%K -0.928%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.45%EV -6.55%E -3.72%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 4.32I 23.15%NM 22.18%EV +0.292%E +0.068%K +0.088%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-10 19:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.88%EV -5.24%E -1.31%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -5.49%E -3.08%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.47%EV -1.33%E -0.314%K -0.410%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-10 19:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.88%EV -5.24%E -1.31%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -5.49%E -3.08%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.47%EV -1.33%E -0.314%K -0.410%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-10 19:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -5.24%E -1.31%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.07%EV -7.61%E -4.38%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -2.49%E -0.594%K -0.779%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-10 19:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -9.98%E -2.63%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -7.08%E -4.05%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -2.49%E -0.594%K -0.779%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-10 19:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.09I 24.45%NM 22.91%EV -3.11%E -0.761%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.17%EV -8.14%E -4.71%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 4.09I 24.45%NM 22.91%EV -5.05%E -1.23%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-10 19:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -6.43%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.08%E -4.05%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.04%EV -5.98%E -1.48%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-10 19:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -5.24%E -1.31%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.49%E -3.08%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -7.14%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-10 19:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -7.61%E -1.95%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%EV -4.43%E -2.46%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -7.14%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-10 18:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -7.61%E -1.95%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%EV -4.43%E -2.46%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -7.14%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-10 18:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -8.80%E -2.29%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.15%EV -4.43%E -2.46%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -7.14%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-10 19:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -8.80%E -2.29%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.15%EV -4.43%E -2.46%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -7.14%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-10 19:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -8.80%E -2.29%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.15%EV -4.43%E -2.46%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -7.14%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-10 19:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -0.507%E -0.121%K -0.158%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.22%EV -8.14%E -4.71%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -7.14%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-10 19:24 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -5.24%E -1.31%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.08%E -4.05%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -7.14%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-10 19:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -5.24%E -1.31%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.08%E -4.05%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -7.14%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-10 19:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -5.24%E -1.31%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.08%E -4.05%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -7.14%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-10 19:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -5.24%E -1.31%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.08%E -4.05%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -7.14%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-10 19:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -9.98%E -2.63%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.40%EV -6.02%E -3.40%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -7.14%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-10 19:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.72%EV -7.61%E -1.95%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.16%EV -7.61%E -4.38%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -7.14%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-10 19:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -5.24%E -1.31%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -8.68%E -5.04%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -7.14%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-10 19:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -7.61%E -1.95%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.45%EV -8.68%E -5.04%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -7.14%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-10 19:33 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -7.61%E -1.95%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.45%EV -8.68%E -5.04%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -7.14%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-10 19:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -7.61%E -1.95%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.45%EV -8.68%E -5.04%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -7.14%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-10 19:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -9.98%E -2.63%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.97%EV -8.14%E -4.71%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -7.14%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-10 19:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.13%EV -11.17%E -2.98%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.24%EV -9.74%E -5.73%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -7.14%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-10 19:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -14.72%E -4.09%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.71%EV -9.74%E -5.73%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -7.14%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-03-10 19:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.40%EV -1.69%E -0.408%K -0.537%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.06%EV -8.68%E -5.04%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -8.30%E -2.10%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-10 19:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.40%EV -1.69%E -0.408%K -0.537%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.06%EV -8.68%E -5.04%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -8.30%E -2.10%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-10 19:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -9.98%E -2.63%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.11%EV -5.49%E -3.08%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.48%EV -8.30%E -2.10%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-10 19:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -9.98%E -2.63%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.11%EV -5.49%E -3.08%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.48%EV -8.30%E -2.10%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-10 19:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -9.98%E -2.63%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.11%EV -5.49%E -3.08%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.48%EV -8.30%E -2.10%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-10 19:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -9.98%E -2.63%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.11%EV -5.49%E -3.08%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.48%EV -8.30%E -2.10%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-10 19:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -9.98%E -2.63%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.11%EV -5.49%E -3.08%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.48%EV -8.30%E -2.10%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-10 19:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -9.98%E -2.63%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.11%EV -5.49%E -3.08%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.48%EV -8.30%E -2.10%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-10 19:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -9.98%E -2.63%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.11%EV -5.49%E -3.08%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.48%EV -8.30%E -2.10%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-10 19:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.34%EV -9.98%E -2.63%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.25%EV -6.02%E -3.40%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.41%EV -8.30%E -2.10%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-10 19:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.34%EV -9.98%E -2.63%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.25%EV -6.02%E -3.40%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.41%EV -8.30%E -2.10%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-10 19:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -7.61%E -1.95%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -6.02%E -3.40%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -9.46%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-10 18:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.34%EV -9.98%E -2.63%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.95%EV -5.49%E -3.08%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.71%EV -9.46%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-10 18:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.34%EV -9.98%E -2.63%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.95%EV -5.49%E -3.08%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.71%EV -9.46%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-10 18:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -7.61%E -1.95%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -8.14%E -4.71%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -9.46%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-10 19:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -9.98%E -2.63%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.38%EV -7.08%E -4.05%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -9.46%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-10 19:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -9.98%E -2.63%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.38%EV -7.08%E -4.05%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -9.46%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-10 19:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -9.98%E -2.63%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.38%EV -7.08%E -4.05%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -9.46%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-10 19:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -9.98%E -2.63%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.38%EV -7.08%E -4.05%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -9.46%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-10 19:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -5.24%E -1.31%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -9.74%E -5.73%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -9.46%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-10 19:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -7.61%E -1.95%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.28%EV -9.21%E -5.38%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -9.46%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-10 19:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -11.17%E -2.98%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.35%EV -7.61%E -4.38%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -9.46%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-10 19:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -11.17%E -2.98%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.35%EV -7.61%E -4.38%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -9.46%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-10 19:05 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -9.98%E -2.63%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.50%EV -8.14%E -4.71%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.59%EV -10.62%E -2.76%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-10 19:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.73%EV -14.72%E -4.09%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 51.15%EV -11.33%E -6.78%K -16.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.12%EV -21.07%E -6.20%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 17.1% | 2026-03-10 19:09 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (5)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.02% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99% | 1.2% | 2026-03-10 19:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.02% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99% | 1.2% | 2026-03-10 19:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.02% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99% | 1.2% | 2026-03-10 19:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.02% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99% | 1.2% | 2026-03-10 19:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.37% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.82% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.81% | 4.4% | 2026-03-10 19:40 |