Wycombe Wanderers v Stevenage

2026-08-07 18:45 — EFL Cup

Head to Head

12 sportsbooks (3 in analysis)

Option 1: Wycombe Wanderers (Local)

Odds

1.9052.63%Min

1.9651.02%Mean

1.9750.76%Median

2.0050.00%Max

Consensus probabilities

45.73%2.187Min

48.63%2.056Max

46.93%2.131Mean

47.09%2.124Median

46.93%2.131IQM

47.03%2.126Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.00 under the IQM model: 46.93%

EV -6.13%Edge -3.07%Kelly -6.13%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Stevenage (Visit)

Odds

3.2530.77%Min

3.4928.65%Mean

3.5028.61%Median

3.7027.03%Max

Consensus probabilities

24.97%4.005Min

28.14%3.554Max

26.63%3.756Mean

26.45%3.780Median

26.63%3.756IQM

26.50%3.773Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 3.70 under the IQM model: 26.63%

EV -1.48%Edge -0.400%Kelly -0.548%Growth +0.000%

Option 3: Draw

Odds

3.4029.41%Min

3.5028.61%Mean

3.5028.57%Median

3.5528.17%Max

Consensus probabilities

26.13%3.827Min

27.06%3.696Max

26.44%3.782Mean

26.45%3.780Median

26.44%3.782IQM

26.47%3.778Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 3.55 under the IQM model: 26.44%

EV -6.14%Edge -1.73%Kelly -2.41%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (12 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Wycombe Wanderers (Local) ▼	Stevenage (Visit)	Draw	Margin	Updated
Betr (AU)	2.00I 50.00% NM 47.35%EV -6.13% E -3.07% K -6.13% G +0.000%	3.70I 27.03% NM 25.59%EV -1.48% E -0.400% K -0.548% G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57% NM 27.06%EV -7.46% E -2.13% K -2.99% G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-07-02 21:25
888sport	2.00I 50.00% NM 45.73%EV -6.13% E -3.07% K -6.13% G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77% NM 28.14%EV -13.46% E -4.14% K -5.98% G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57% NM 26.13%EV -7.46% E -2.13% K -2.99% G +0.000%	9.3%	2026-07-02 21:25
William Hill	2.00I 50.00% NM 45.73%EV -6.13% E -3.07% K -6.13% G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77% NM 28.14%EV -13.46% E -4.14% K -5.98% G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57% NM 26.13%EV -7.46% E -2.13% K -2.99% G +0.000%	9.3%	2026-07-02 21:25
888sport (SE)	2.00I 50.00% NM 45.73%EV -6.13% E -3.07% K -6.13% G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77% NM 28.14%EV -13.46% E -4.14% K -5.98% G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57% NM 26.13%EV -7.46% E -2.13% K -2.99% G +0.000%	9.3%	2026-07-02 21:25
Mr Green (SE)	2.00I 50.00% NM 45.73%EV -6.13% E -3.07% K -6.13% G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77% NM 28.14%EV -13.46% E -4.14% K -5.98% G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57% NM 26.13%EV -7.46% E -2.13% K -2.99% G +0.000%	9.3%	2026-07-02 21:25
1xBet	1.99I 50.25% NM 47.11%EV -6.60% E -3.32% K -6.67% G +0.000%	3.54I 28.25% NM 26.48%EV -5.74% E -1.62% K -2.26% G +0.000%	3.55I 28.17% NM 26.41%EV -6.14% E -1.73% K -2.41% G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-07-02 21:25
FanDuel	1.95I 51.28% NM 47.98%EV -8.48% E -4.35% K -8.93% G +0.000%	3.70I 27.03% NM 25.29%EV -1.48% E -0.400% K -0.548% G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57% NM 26.73%EV -7.46% E -2.13% K -2.99% G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-07-02 21:25
LeoVegas	1.95I 51.28% NM 47.12%EV -8.48% E -4.35% K -8.93% G +0.000%	3.45I 28.99% NM 26.63%EV -8.14% E -2.36% K -3.32% G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57% NM 26.25%EV -7.46% E -2.13% K -2.99% G +0.000%	8.8%	2026-07-05 11:24
Sky Bet	1.91I 52.36% NM 48.50%EV -10.36% E -5.42% K -11.38% G +0.000%	3.70I 27.03% NM 25.04%EV -1.48% E -0.400% K -0.548% G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57% NM 26.47%EV -7.46% E -2.13% K -2.99% G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-07-02 21:24
Paddy Power	1.91I 52.36% NM 48.50%EV -10.36% E -5.42% K -11.38% G +0.000%	3.70I 27.03% NM 25.04%EV -1.48% E -0.400% K -0.548% G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57% NM 26.47%EV -7.46% E -2.13% K -2.99% G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-07-02 21:25
BoyleSports	1.91I 52.36% NM 47.09%EV -10.36% E -5.42% K -11.38% G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41% NM 26.45%EV -9.47% E -2.78% K -3.94% G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41% NM 26.45%EV -10.11% E -2.97% K -4.21% G +0.000%	11.2%	2026-07-02 21:25
SportsBet	1.90I 52.63% NM 48.63%EV -10.83% E -5.70% K -12.03% G +0.000%	3.70I 27.03% NM 24.97%EV -1.48% E -0.400% K -0.548% G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57% NM 26.40%EV -7.46% E -2.13% K -2.99% G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-07-02 21:25

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (3)

Bookmaker	Wycombe Wanderers (Local)	Stevenage (Visit)	Draw	Margin ▲	Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)	1.04I 96.15%	1.04I 96.15%	1.02I 98.04%	190.3%	2026-07-02 21:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)	1.04I 96.15%	1.04I 96.15%	1.02I 98.04%	190.3%	2026-07-02 21:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)	1.04I 96.15%	1.04I 96.15%	1.02I 98.04%	190.3%	2026-07-02 21:25